Coronavirus cases reported by the Virginia Department of Health have continued to increase in recent days, but they do not appear to be increasing at an accelerating rate. Whether these numbers accurately reflect reality or just the paucity of testing kits remains to be seen. If the impression is accurate, it is heartening indeed: The social distancing measures adopted voluntarily and imposed by public health authorities seem to be working. But the shape of the curve may change dramatically when more kits become available in the next few days and authorities begin taking more tests.
The VDH website displays the cumulative number of reported coronavirus cases on any given day, but it does not show the slope of the curve, so it is impossible to gauge whether the progression of the epidemic in Virginia is accelerating or decelerating. I will endeavor, as time allows, to keep the numbers updated.
— JAB
