SurveyUSA conducted a statewide poll for WSLS-TV in Roanoke. Based on the responses of 493 voters, with a margin of error of 4.5 percent, the survey found:
Kilgore…..46 percent
Kaine…….36 percent
Potts……. 6 percent
Delving into the details, there were a number of interesting findings. The gender gap lives… Kilgore led Kaine among men by 19 percent, but only 3 percent among women. But Republicans are making inroads among minorities… Kilgore performed respectably among blacks, logging 23 percent, and extraordinarily well among Hispanics, racking up 52 percent, the same as whites. (Given the small number of Hispanics in the survey, however, there may be a fairly large margin of error in that particular number.)
The more educated the voter, the more likely he or she was to prefer Kaine, who actually topped Kilgore among voters with graduate degrees. Likewise, voters from the “Northeast” part of the state (I presume that includes Northern Virginia) preferred Kaine by a 8 percent margin, while Kilgore trounced Kaine in his own backyard (Central Virginia) by a 25 percent margin.
Potts, at this point, does not seem to be a major factor, draining 5 percent of the Republican vote, 4 percent of the Democratic vote and 11 percent of the independent vote. By ideology, Potts pulls mainly from self-described “moderates” (7 percent) and “liberals” (7 percent) but few “conservatives” (3 percent).
