Bacon's Rebellion

  • Gov. Youngkin’s Priorities Shared by Jefferson Institute

    Posted on

    by

    Steve Haner

    By Derrick Max

    Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) presented his budget amendments to the the legislature’s money committees yesterday.ย The speech was filled with budget amendments to reduce taxes and fund new or existing programs. These tax cuts and additional spending proposals were made possible by Secretary of Finance Stephen E. Cummings’ report that the Commonwealth was again sitting on massive surpluses.

    Specifically, Secretary Cummings reported that General Fund revenues have reached a record high, well above original forecasts.ย ย 

    When combined with FY24 surplus revenues, year-end agency balances, and other revenue, the Commonwealth has a current and projected surplus of $4.7 billion.ย The forward-looking revenue projections are driven by continued strength in employment and wages.

    Setting aside that this means Virginians have again been severely overtaxed, Governor Youngkin proposed several amendments that have been top priorities of the Thomas Jefferson Institute for a long time. Below is a quick summary of those proposals based on what we know so far.

    (more…)

  • A Nonsensical Proposal

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    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Governor Youngkin has taken on the car tax again, sorta. Rather than attack it directly, he proposes a Rube Goldberg process for some Virginians to get some relief from the car tax.

    Here is how it would work: Individual taxpayers with a federal AGI of $50,000 or less would get a refundable credit of $150 or the amount of car tax actually paid to the locality, whichever is less. For married couples filing a joint return, the credit would be $300 or the actual amount paid to the locality, whichever is less. https://budget.lis.virginia.gov/get/budget/5050/HB1600/ (p. 731)

    But, there is a catch. An individual would not be eligible for such credit if his or her county or city increased its car tax rate more than 2.5 percent over the rate it imposed the previous year. The governor seems to think this is a cap on the annual increase enacted by localities, but it is not. It is a penalty imposed on the residents of a locality that increases its car tax rate by more than 2.5 percent.

    All this would be paid for over the next three years with a $1.1 billion fund created out of current surplus revenues.

    (more…)

  • The Woke Scare Is Four Times Worse Than the Red Scare

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    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    More than a third (35%) of tenured and tenure-track faculty at 55 of the nation’s most prestigious colleges and universities say they have toned down their writing for fear of engendering controversy, according to a new survey by the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression (FIRE). That compares to 9% during the Red Scare of the 1950s.

    More than a quarter (27%) say they feel unable to speak freely for fear of offending someone, and 40% say they worry about damaging their reputations, notes FIRE in its report, “Silence in the Classroom.”

    Sadly, the University of Virginia and Virginia Tech, both covered by the survey were no exceptions to the rule. At Virginia Tech, 22% of faculty members say they hide their political beliefs from colleagues “very often” or “fairly often. At UVA, the figure is 13%.

    Conservatives are most afraid to speak their minds, although reluctance to freely share one’s mind is found across the ideological spectrum.

    (more…)

  • Incoherent, Fact-Free Thinking About Maternal Mortality Disparities

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    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    Cherry picking data. Image credit: ChatGPT

    Radio IQ, Virginia’s public radio network, is aptly named. It appeals to highly educated people who think of themselves as smarter and better informed than everybody else. Radio IQ listeners may, in fact, have higher IQs than ordinary Virginians — the correlation between education and intelligence is real.

    Whether public radio listeners are better informed, however, is dubious, especially if they rely upon articles like today’s piece previewing the legislative battle over what to do about racial disparities in maternal health outcomes. Radio IQ kicked off its article with this lede:

    With mere hours until Governor Glenn Youngkin announces his budget amendments for the 2025 session, he doubled down on his disinterest in racial bias training for Virginia doctors despite his admission that such biases exist.

    Upon what basis does Radio IQ Richmond Bureau Chief Brad Kutner assert that Youngkin concedes that racial “biases” exist? He tells us in the follow-up paragraph.

    โ€œWe know thereโ€™s a disparate outcome between Black women and white women,โ€ Youngkin said Tuesday morning at a press event to support his new maternal health initiatives ahead of the 2025 session.

    (more…)

  • Details, Please, About the New Nuke

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    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    Has fusion power finally arrived? Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS), a Massachusetts-based developer of high-temperature, superconducting magnets used to jam hydrogen molecules together and release massive amounts of energy, has announced that it will invest “several billion dollars” to build the world’s first grid-scale, commercial fusion power plant.

    โ€œThis is an historic moment for Virginia and the world at large,โ€ said Governor Glenn Youngkin in a prepared statement. โ€œCommonwealth Fusion Systems is not just building a facility, they are pioneering groundbreaking innovation to generate clean, reliable, safe power, and itโ€™s happening right here in Virginia. We are proud to be home to this pursuit to change the future of energy and power.โ€ 

    The power plant, capable of generating 400 megawatts of electricity, enough to power about 150,000 homes, will be located at the James River Industrial Center in Chesterfield County, Virginia, on a site owned by Dominion Energy.

    This is blockbuster news. Fusion power (as distinct from conventional fission power) has been the long-heralded “power source of the future” but for decades has seemed out of reach. Now, it appears, the technology has reached economic critical mass. Even environmentalists should rejoice. Fusion power is clean. It generates no pollutants, and it could provide a source of base-load energy to support the grid’s evolution toward renewable sources like solar and wind.

    Not to look a gift horse in the mouth but I must ask: How much will this electric power cost? And who will pay for it? The press release provides few details.

    (more…)

  • A Cluster Fark of Monumental Proportions

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    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    Broadly speaking, there are two ways to extend broadband Internet service to remote rural areas.

    One way is to sign up for Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite service. Order a Starlink satellite dish, Wi-Fi router, mounting hardware, and cables; the kit arrives within a few weeks and typically can be installed in minutes. Average download speeds are 192 Mbps. Hardware for the residential plan costs $349, and the service costs $120 monthly. Total up-front cost for the estimated 392,000 households in Virginia lacking broadband would run less than $140 million — presumably less if the state negotiated volume discounts.

    Virginia didn’t pick that option.

    Instead, the Commonwealth went with programs cobbled together with $3.2 billion in state, federal and private funds to build a ground-based network of fiber optic lines. Minimum download speeds are 100 Mbps. Service would cost $59 to $99 monthly, depending upon the plan selected. The up-front cost per household amounts to roughly $8,200.

    Oh, by the way, Virginia set a goal have having near-universal broadband connectivity by 2024. Here it is, the end of 2024, and broadband initiatives have fallen way behind. In a report issued a week ago, the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission (JLARC) concluded, “Virginia is unlikely to achieve its goal of near universal coverage until 2030 or later.“

    (more…)

  • Chesterfield Spending, Taxes Out of Control

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    by

    James A. Bacon

    by Doug Bradham

    In early 2024 I received a 10.8% increase in my residential property tax versus 2023 (which now totals a 30.8% increase over the past five years of 2020 thru 2025). Other Chesterfield residents complained that they were seeing dramatic increases in their property taxes as well. Joining forces with other citizens who were working to hold the Board of Supervisors accountable, I began investigating the spending and property tax history of Chesterfield County.

    Using the Freedom of Information Act, we obtained county spending and taxation data 2017 through 2023 actual, the 2024 adopted budget, and pro forma estimated spending from 2025 through 2028. We organized the data, analyzed it, and presented it in Power Point Slides to make it easy to understand.

    As a reference point, the Virginia legislature has specified that:

    • It is the responsibility of each county manager to establish the assessed property value. The real estate assessor’s office in Chesterfield has a 2024 budget of $3.9 million and reports to County Administrator Joe Casey.
    • Each county’s Board of Supervisors sets the tax rate ($ per $100 of assessed value) to be applied to the assessed value. For 2024, the Board set the tax rate at $0.90 per $100. For a property appraised at $500,000, the annual property tax would be calculated as $0.90 X $5,000 = $4,500 ($2,250 to be paid every six months).
    • Keep in mind is that every $0.01 per $100 of assessed value on the property tax rate amounts to $6 million.
    (more…)

  • Weapons Scanners, It Appears, Are Not Enough to Stop School Stabbings

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    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    Last week a Henrico High School student was hospitalized after being stabbed at school. Needless to say, many students are upset.

    โ€œSeeing the aftermath of it all โ€ฆ the poorly cleaned up crime scene and still seeing the dried-up blood on the pavement and on the door โ€ฆ as I saw this โ€ฆ it spoke something to me: We are not safe,โ€ [first name unintelligible] Burnett told the Henrico County School Board last week.

    “We need stronger, more effective safeguards in place to ensure we feel safe every single day,โ€ echoed senior Mackenzie Nelson.

    Also addressing the school board, freshman Logan Corry saw the problem as an unwillingness to enforce the rules. He has often seen fellow students skip through the weapons scanners without consequences.

    “What use are the rules if people just choose to ignore them?” he asked. “There is obviously a lack of willingness on the part of school administrators to treat rule-breaking seriously and enforce the fullest consequences available because they’re scared it will reflect badly on the school.”

    (more…)

  • Cline Does DOGE

    Posted on

    by

    James A. Bacon

    From L to R: Vivek Ramaswamy, Elon Musk, House Speaker Mike Johnson, Rep. Ben Cline

    by Scott Dreyer

    In his Dec. 9 emailed newsletter, Sixth District Congressman Ben Cline (R) wrote about his government-efficiency planning with Elon Musk that immediately followed the Thanksgiving holiday. Cline wrote:

    โ€œI recently joined Vivek Ramaswamy and Elon Musk (and his son!) to discuss transformative ideas aimed at improving government efficiency and accountability through the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). As a member of the new bipartisan DOGE caucus, I shared insights from the Republican Study Committeeโ€™s Balanced Budget Task Force report, which lays out 150 practical solutions focused on restoring fiscal responsibility, curbing wasteful spending, and cutting through the bureaucratic red tape.

    โ€œWe are fully committed to tackling government inefficiencies head-on. Together, the DOGE and our bipartisan caucus are ready to prioritize legislative efforts that will reduce our federal deficits. With innovative thinkers like Musk and Ramaswamy bringing fresh perspectives to the table, we will fight to create a more effective government that serves the American people.โ€

    (more…)

  • Will Helicopter Dollars Improve Virginia Schools?

    Posted on

    by

    James A. Bacon

    by James A. Bacon

    Governor Glenn Youngkin is dumping money into Virginia’s public education system like a liberal Democrat. He’s not putting the funds to work in the quite same way — there’s more for accountability measures and Lab School Partnerships — but it’s hard to see a big difference.

    I don’t know if he’s just bowing to the political reality that Democrats control the General Assembly and he might as well claim credit for what Dem politicians would compel him to do, or whether he genuinely believes that dropping helicopter dollars onto the K-12 system is the best path to improvement.

    Either way, Virginia is conducting a vast and expensive public policy experiment. We’ll find out if lack of funding is really what ails public schools.

    In a press release issued last week, the Governor boasted that with additional proposals to amend the 2025-26 budget, spending on K-12 education in the Commonwealth will leap to more than $22 billion over this biennium — a 54% increase over pre-COVID levels.

    โ€œTodayโ€™s investments address the real needs of our students and families by delivering on our commitment to unleash opportunity, raise the bar for academic excellence, and keep our children safe,โ€ Youngkin said.

    (more…)

  • Outside Study Confirms Natural Gas Must Remain for Data Centers

    Posted on

    by

    Steve Haner

    By Steve Haner

    Another analysis of the energy dilemma facing Virginia, this one commissioned by a Democrat-controlled legislative panel, has concluded that the use of natural gas to make electricity is going to have to grow over coming decades, not shrink. Virginiaโ€™s anti-hydrocarbon energy laws are doomed to fail because of the data center industry.   

    The new 150-page report takes its own look at Virginiaโ€™s future energy demand and the best mix of generation to meet it. It reaches the conclusions Dominion Energy Virginia also reached in its most recent integrated resource plan (IRP). Data centers by themselves are driving an enormous future demand curve, as Dominion claimed. The abandonment of coal and natural gas demanded by the Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA) creates an energy deficit, even if the data center growth proves slower than the current projections.  

    In fact, this report projects natural gas will remain necessary beyond the mandated retirement dates in the VCEA even if the data center growth doesnโ€™t happen. It plugs the gap in some scenarios by using hydrogen in place of natural gas in thermal energy plants. But that remains an unproven, experimental technology not used at scale anywhere. An entire new very expensive infrastructure would be needed to create and transport the hydrogen to power plants.    

    Only fantasy technology can comply with the fantasy VCEA. The nuclear plants it envisions are somewhat closer to reality, but still years if not decades away. โ€œIn the absence of policy, there is still a significant role for coal and gas generation, comprising another ~30% of demand,โ€ the consultant reports. This on a slide marked โ€œNo Data Center Growth, No VCEA.โ€ Carbon emitting sources are even more prominent on scenarios that include the demand growth. 

    (more…)

  • Jeanine’s Memes

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    by

    James A. Bacon

    From The Bull Elephant

  • Off the Interstate: Virginia Gold

    Posted on

    by

    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    This solitary place name marker is next to an abandoned gas station in Fauquier County. Unlike other such markers that I have written about, this one is not on a back road; it is along heavily-traveled Rt. 17 between Fredericksburg and Warrenton.

    This marker is different in another respect: It merits an official highway historical marker. That marker informs the reader that โ€œThomas Jefferson stated in NOTES ON THE STATE OF VIRGINIA (1782) that he found gold-bearing rock weighing approximately four pounds near this site.โ€œ It goes on to note that 19 gold mines had been in operation in that area.

    The Division of Geology of the Virginia Department of Energy reports that โ€œgold was mined extensively in Virginia from the early 1800s until the peak of gold production in 1849.โ€ After large deposits of gold were discovered in California in 1848, production of gold in Virginia decreased significantly. The last recorded production was in 1947. The division has identified almost 500 former gold mine sites in the Commonwealth.

    Most of the former sites lie within a โ€œgold-pyrite belt,โ€ a nine-mile to sixteen-mile-wide, nearly 140-mile-long geological unit that extends from Fairfax County to southwestern Buckingham County. The largest concentration of historical gold mines are in Buckingham, Fluvanna, Louisa, Goochland, and Spotsylvania counties.

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  • Capping Marine Mammal Harassment Constrains Offshore Wind

    Posted on

    by

    James A. Bacon

    by David Wojick

    Image credit: Bing image Creator

    Prior to approving offshore wind development NOAA routinely authorized the loud noise harassment of large numbers of whales under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA). New research by Professor Apostolos Gerasoulis shows that this harassment is causing a lot of whale deaths.

    For example, it is known to cause deafness which can easily be deadly. But harassment need not cause deafness to cause death. Offshore wind arrays that occupy a hundred square miles or more are typically built in low ship traffic areas with high traffic nearby. Harassment can simply cause the whales to avoid the low traffic area and spend more time in heavy ship traffic leading to an increase in deadly collisions.

    The same is true for lightly versus heavily used fishing areas where avoidance leads to increased entanglement. Ship strikes and entanglement are the two leading causes of whale deaths. Ironically the wind defenders say that increased ship strikes and entanglements show that wind is not causing increased death rates when they are actually strong evidence against wind.

    (more…)

  • UVA Has Ignored Its Longstanding Antisemitism Problem

    Posted on

    by

    James A. Bacon

    Joel Gardner is president of The Jefferson Council.

    by Joel Gardner

    The Daily Progress recently reported on perhaps the most staggering antisemitic incident in what has become a long list of antisemitic incidents at the University of Virginia.

    According to the story, a Jewish student had been continuously subjected to antisemitic ridicule and bullying by one of his housemates, which culminated in written threats and ultimately the alleged perpetrator brandishing a gun at him in his own room. The target of these threats courageously reported the incident to the police and the alleged offender was arrested, released on bail and reportedly suspended from classes. Another housemate who allegedly supplied the perpetrator with the gun was also suspended from classes.

    Quite an outrageous storyโ€”but one you wouldnโ€™t know about if you hadnโ€™t read it in the DPโ€”because neither the UVA administration nor any of its news organs has publicly commented on it. This is not surprising since this has been the administrationโ€™s modus operandi when it comes to antisemitic behavior. Yet given the fact that three UVA students were murdered by a handgun just two years ago, one would expect a serious public reaction to this event by the administration.

    The truth is that UVA has had a longstanding antisemitism problem that was exponentially exacerbated following the brutal massacres in Israel that occurred on October 7, 2023. The fact is that UVAโ€™s administration has watched as one serious antisemitic incident after another occurred after 10/7 without public comment as to the antisemitic nature of these incidents โ€”
    and perhaps even worse, it has consistently refused to admit that antisemitism on Grounds is a distinct and singular problem. For proof, as one famous sports commentator in NYC used to say, โ€œLetโ€™s go to the videotape.โ€

    Continue reading.

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Book cover of 'Dust Mites: A Second American Revolution' by James A. Bacon, featuring astronauts planting a flag with a blue and white emblem on a lunar landscape, with Earth visible in the background.
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The year: 2075. The American colonies on the Moon are getting restless under Washington’s tyrannical rule….

This second edition of “Dust Mites” has a snazzy new cover, includes helpful lunar maps, and is 5,000 words tighter than the original. The sequel, “Trogs,” is scheduled for publication this summer.

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Bacon’s Rebellion is Virginia’s leading politically non-aligned portal for news, opinions and analysis about state, regional and local public policy. Read more about us here.

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