by Chris Saxman
Q – Is Virginia ready for a recession?
Let’s look at some macro level stuff first.
US government debt at 9am this morning:
About 1/3 of which is maturing soon:
That’s $10trn of US government debt, right?
That will be refinanced at HIGHER rates.
Add in $2trn more from this year’s deficit. That’s $12trn.
Plus another $2trn in corporate debt. That’s $14trn.
$14trn this year.
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The problem isn’t Republican states, but Democratic states where unfairness has prevailed for so long that Democrats cannot recognize the word fair anymore.
by Shaun Kenney
Tension between Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger and the renegades in the Democratic-controlled General Assembly is flaring up yet again, only this time it isn’t taxing data centers to death but taxing Virginia’s patience:
With less than one month to go, nearly a dozen Democratic state lawmakers, strategists and candidates say Spanberger — Virginia’s popular Democratic governor who cruised to victory by double-digits last November — needs to step up more assertively to sell the referendum to voters. And they’re warning that she’ll bear the brunt of the blame if the effort fails.
It’s not that she’s doing nothing: Spanberger has endorsed the referendum and launched an ad supporting it this week, her first of the campaign, as POLITICO first reported. But critics say it’s the bare minimum for an effort that is supposed to be a top Democratic priority as the party works to counter GOP-led states that are redrawing their own maps.
Of course, this shibboleth of blame shifting — Republicans did it first, Democrats are responding — just isn’t playing out for the precise reason that it just ain’t true.
If the question around redistricting is who is playing with the lines, or more precisely whether playing with the lines is a reaction to bad form on the opposite side, then the answer — and indeed, the blame — lies with New York Democrats, whose effort to gerrymander their congressional seats so as to remove a lone Republican in Staten Island was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court this March.
(more…)The mechanics of Virginia’s proposed mid-decade redistricting create obstacles for underdogs running for Congress.
by Ken Reid
There are various reasons for defeating the April 21 referendum to allow the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to redraw Virginia’s 11 U.S. house districts to give them a 10-1 advantage vs. 6-5 in the Nov. 3 congressional midterm elections.
One issue, which has gotten scant attention, is the confusion caused for candidates who want to run for House of Representatives.
Under Virginia law, to qualify to run for U.S. House, a candidate must, in part, secure the signatures of 1,000 qualified voters of that district on double-sided paper petition forms.
Well, who knows what the districts will be?
Democrats think they solved that with a provision inserted into House Bill 29, a budget bill, which extended the June primary to August 4, and petition and filing forms deadline to May 26. Governor Abigail Spanberger signed it into law.
(more…)by Todd Truitt
The Virginia Board of Education convened this week for its first meeting under the new administration of Governor Abigail Spanberger. The meeting represented a milestone for State Superintendent Jenna Conway, who presided over the Board for the first time in her new role. Rather than a reset, her first Board meeting as Superintendent signaled a steady, cohesive transition into the role.
Conway had already spent seven years at the Virginia Department of Education (VDOE), most recently serving as a deputy superintendent overseeing early childhood care and education initiatives and receiving national recognition for those efforts.
Before arriving at the VDOE, Conway worked in early childhood at the Louisiana Department of Education during a period of sweeping, high-impact reforms—alongside neighboring states, like Mississippi—in which those states began implementing literacy reforms and raising academic standards to drive significant academic gains as part of the so-called “Southern Surge.” Some have credited those states’ improvements in early childhood programs as having been also crucial to their subsequent K-12 success.
Gov. Spanberger’s promotion of Conway as the VDOE’s chief executive elevated a leader from within the VDOE’s ranks rather than bringing in an outsider. Her continuity is especially significant given the leadership turnover under former Governor Glenn Youngkin, during which Virginia had three state superintendents in four years (all of whom were outside hires).
At this week’s Board meeting, Conway was already well known to the incumbent Board members appointed by former Gov. Youngkin. Several offered glowing praise for Conway.
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by Jon Baliles
With all of the issues facing Richmond on a daily, monthly, and annual basis and limited funds to address them, Mayor Danny Avula has decided as City Council debates his new proposed budget, he also wants to update the city’s pay plan with a five-pound bag of sugar to sweeten and fatten any future severance packages for selected positions.
Avula’s new proposal redefines the hyphenated word “tone-deaf” and it would create a new top tier of “senior executives” who would be eligible for a year’s severance pay (52 weeks) no matter how long they work for the city. Current city policy offers a severance package for top officials up to 36 weeks (nine months) of pay if they have at least 15 years of service (with some exceptions for those with decades-long service).
Avula’s spokeswoman Mira Signer said earlier this week, “The Mayor agreed to revisit and improve the severance policy for some senior employees. The proposed policy is based on best practice standards, and is a recruiting tool that will help attract top talent to very senior roles. All councilmembers were briefed on the proposed policy.”
Chief Administrative Officer Odie Donald II defended the proposal at Monday’s Council budget hearing and said, “This is something that occurs in many of your best-run cities around the country.” Of course, most cities that have a similar policy do not have week-long water plant failures, meals tax fiascos, or almost $100 million in uncollected taxes. Some cities have some of those type of problems but we seem to have ALL of them, despite raising salaries enormously in the last six years and now we are told fat severances are the missing key that will fix all that, but I digress.
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by Jeff Bayard
Most Americans have never read the First Amendment religious liberty protections that apply to them — especially here in Virginia. They know the amendment exists. They just don’t know what it says. And even fewer know that Virginia adds a second layer of protection on top of it.
Here is the federal text:
“Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof…”
— U.S. Constitution, First Amendment
Now read what Virginia wrote — in 1776, before the federal Bill of Rights even existed:
“That religion or the duty which we owe to our Creator, and the manner of discharging it, can be directed only by reason and conviction, not by force or violence; and, therefore, all men are equally entitled to the free exercise of religion, according to the dictates of conscience…”
— Virginia Constitution, Article I, Section 16
Notice the difference. The federal amendment restrains government: Congress shall not. Virginia’s constitution gives you an affirmative right: all men are equally entitled. You don’t just have the right to believe privately. You have the right to live your faith — in your home, your business, your counseling office, your daily life.
That is double-layered protection. It was meant to be ironclad.
(more…)A blatant Democrat gerrymander is causing Zoomers to get active in politics.
by Drew DiMeglio
Virginia is the latest in a large line of states pursuing mid-decade redistricting efforts. That’s where the similarities end.
Unlike states whose state legislatures draw congressional lines, Virginia has a bipartisan redistricting commission formed of 16 citizens and lawmakers whose proposed maps require a supermajority of legislators in the General Assembly.
This commission was given the power to draw congressional maps after a 2020 amendment was approved by the vast majority of Virginians. The result of the commission has been clear: Virginia’s current Congressional districts were given an A rating for partisan fairness by the Princeton Gerrymandering Project.
The partisan apportionment lines up with recent statewide partisan results. Six out of the eleven districts are held by Democrats (55%), and five out of the eleven districts are held by Republicans (45%). That meshed with 2024 presidential election results, when Kamala Harris won 52% of the commonwealth’s vote, while Donald Trump captured 46%.
Despite the clear results of this commission to bring fair representation to Virginians, state Democrats are determined to recapture power for themselves with a constitutional amendment transferring power from the commission to the legislature. This special election is slated for April 21st.
(more…)by Kerry Dougherty
One of two things is true about State Sen. Aaron Rouse of Virginia Beach.
He’s either badly disabled and unable to work due to concussions and other injuries sustained during his three seasons as an NFL safety.
Or he’s a prevaricator.
Take your pick.
Either one casts doubts on his fitness to serve.
I’ve met Aaron Rouse. In fact,I interviewed and endorsed him for Virginia Beach City Council when he ran against the good ole boy Beach cronies back in 2018. He seemed fine to me. Charming, as a matter of fact.
He’s now in the General Assembly and last spring he lost in a crowded Democrat primary for lieutenant governor to Ghazala Hashmi. Clearly, Rouse has his eyes on the Governor’s Mansion. Every aspiring lieutenant governor does.
At the same time that this ambitious politician is serving in the state senate and planning a future in politics he’s suing the NFL for its most generous disability benefits, claiming he suffers from complete and total permanent disability due to injuries he sustained playing football for the Green Bay Packers and the Giants.
The Virginian-Pilot found this, in his complaint:
“The medical evidence from treating physicians, including Dr. Felix Kirven, Dr. Scott Sautter, and Dr. Alan Wagner, supported Rouse’s claim that he is totally and permanently disabled due to the cumulative effects of multiple concussions and other injuries sustained during his NFL career.”
Wait. What? Continue reading.
by Stephanie Lundquist-Arora
Republished with permission from IWFeatures
Fairfax County Public Schools manages a $4 billion budget, but lacks a thorough audit mechanism. Skepticism has grown as spending has increased while student enrollment has declined. Adding to these concerns, critics point to the school board’s decision to appoint Kyle McDaniel—who has faced embezzlement allegations and remains involved in ongoing litigation—as vice chair of the budget committee.
Last week, Fairfax County School Board Chair Sandy Anderson introduced a motion at a regular meeting to appoint Kyle McDaniel, a Democrat-endorsed, at-large member currently embroiled in an embezzlement scandal, as vice chair of the board’s budget committee. The motion passed with a 7-3 vote among its entirely Democrat-endorsed board members.
Melanie Meren, a member who opposed the motion, said, “I will not be able to vote for this motion because the board member who is proposed to be the vice chair of the budget committee is currently involved in a legal matter stating that he stole money from a company.”
The scandal involving McDaniel began in March of last year, when Blue Label Aviation filed a civil complaint in Loudoun County, VA, alleging that McDaniel had embezzled money from the employer. McDaniel was the school board’s budget committee chair at the time and was forced to step down.
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by Kenrick Brown
The Washington, D.C.–Maryland–Virginia super-region — amusingly known as the “DMV” — is a vital center of American national security and the Free World’s global governance. If there is a “Pax Americana,” an American-led global order, then the “DMV” is arguably analogous to a modern-day Ancient Rome, but with nice suburban outskirts. How can Virginia’s universities contribute to American national security? Ut Prosim, “That I May Serve,” is the school slogan for Virginia Tech and hints at what is needed. Top universities in Virginia — not just Virginia Tech, but the University of Virginia, the College of William & Mary, Virginia Military Institute (VMI), Washington & Lee, and others — have a moral obligation to prepare future leaders for service to both the country and the commonwealth.
To that end, five reforms described below would help ensure Virginia’s best and brightest schools are strengthening both American national security and the commonwealth’s institutional competence. In practice, that would mean placing greater emphasis in higher education on military, diplomatic, intelligence, and other forms of public service. At present, too many of the most capable and elite graduates enter private-sector paths, such as management consultancies and investment banking.
Rather than sending our smartest graduates out west to Seattle or the Bay Area or up north to New York City, we should retain them in the “DMV” region to protect and defend the Constitution against enemies foreign and domestic. Think Washington, D.C., over Washington State, Virginia over California, and Arlington over Manhattan.
Firstly, Virginia’s university leaders should re-embrace standardized testing for college admissions. During the Tang Dynasty of Imperial China (618–907 A.D.), civil service examinations expanded substantially in both use and political importance. Contemporary China uses the “Gaokao” — the national college entrance examination — as a principal mechanism for determining admission to universities. These include up to the country’s most elite institutions such as Peking and Tsinghua Universities.
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by James C. Sherlock
Scandals can have real victims. This one certainly does. The victims are poor people with intellectual and developmental disabilities, people who citizens think and hope are cared for by our Medicaid dollars under the Americans with Disabilities Act.
A politically powerful member of the Virginia Senate has failed them in her private business. Medicaid has paid her company to keep them well and safe, and to help them integrate as far as possible into society. Instead, the business has a long history of repeatedly violating Virginia laws and allowing serious injuries to the people in its care.
The same senator has for years sat in a position of direct authority over:
The situation presents a moral and political dilemma for the Senate of Virginia and, indeed, for all of us. It also presents a legal problem for Virginia, as the Commonwealth is already under a federal injunction for failing to properly serve this very population.
Here is the story. The Senator is poised to make it worse.
It’s not just redistricting that’s on the ballot. Virginia Democrats have earned a NO vote on April 21st.
by Daniel Cortez
The tragedy of a decorated middle eastern Army veteran’s losing his life to a convicted felon at Virginia’s Old Dominion University remains more than troubling.
ROTC instructor Lt. Col. Brandon A. Shah was perhaps on his last military assignment. He was an ODU alumni and an Iraq and Afghanistan war hero. Shah knew about facing an enemy in battle, but like every patriot did not expect to lose a life by the hands of a ISIS sympathizer who was a former veteran.
Clearly as distressful was how two Sierra Leone men with the last name Jalloh, shocked the Fredericksburg community. Are investigators examining the recent murder of Stephanie Minter of Fredericksburg, allegedly stabbed to death at a Fairfax County bus stop by illegal immigrant and ISIS sympathizer Abdul Jalloh?
Entering the U.S. from Sierra Leone in 2012, Jalloh’s rap sheet read like a criminal whose primary professional was committing more crime. Rape charges, malicious wounding, drug possession, trespassing, contributing to the delinquency of a minor, pickpocketing and assault are just a few crimes listed. Incredibly, Northern Virginia officials allowed Jalloh to be released 30 times prior to attacking Minter with multiple stab wounds to her upper body.
(more…)Spanberger to Biden: “You think you know how to steal an election? Hold my chablis, and watch what I can do.”
by John A. Lucas
The Phony Moderate, Governor Abigail Spanberger, and her Democrat allies are trying to steal an election. But not just a single election. That would be child’s play. Their play is to rig the system to steal one election and then use it to scoop up other congressional seats. They hope to accomplish this by misrepresenting the nature of a Democrat-sponsored amendment to Virginia’s Constitution, all in the name of “fairness.”
There is more than one way to steal an election.
The headline includes the proposition that Phony Moderate Governor’s efforts aim, in effect, to “steal” an election. Democrats consistently sneer and attempt to deplatform anyone who has the temerity to suggest that maybe, just maybe, Joe Biden’s and the Dems stole the 2020 election. Because some readers may roll their eyes and immediately tune out (or unsubscribe) when they see references to “stolen elections,” bear with me while I begin with a short explanation why it is both fair and accurate to refer to “stolen” elections in a way not traditionally done.
As with skinning cats, there is more than one way to steal elections, and the new form of electoral thievery takes a variety of forms. The old-fashioned tactics of phony voter registrations, forged ballots, votes case by dead people, and litigation over hanging chads have been supplemented by new forms of asymmetrical election warfare.
(more…)Democrats in Richmond successfully passed legislation in March to ban Virginians from owning everyday firearms.
by Bronson Winslow
Without restraint or even the slightest hint of accountability to the Constitution, Democrats in Richmond advanced legislation to gut the very essence of the Second Amendment.
In March, the legislature, dominated by a Democratic majority, sent SB 749 and HB 217 to the desk of Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D)—a longtime ally of the anti-firearm movement. These measures would ban many commonly owned firearms and impose strict magazine capacity limits. Democrats continue to call the bills “safety measures,” but they clearly conflict with the New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen decision at the United States Supreme Court—which affirmed every individual’s right to carry a firearm in public for self-defense.
The landmark Supreme Court ruling further affirmed that all firearm laws must be firmly rooted in the historical tradition of firearm regulation.
Virginia Republicans have warned the legislation will invite costly legal challenges, pointing to post-Bruen rulings in lower courts that have struck down firearm restrictions inconsistent with constitutional protections.
(more…)by Steve Haner
The 1540-megawatt natural gas generation unit approved last week by the Fluvanna County Board of Supervisors has already been identified by the regional PJM Interconnection electricity grid operator as a key reliability asset.
The Expedition Generation Station is proposed by independent power producer Tenaska, which already has the 940-megawatt Virginia Generation Station at the same location. Approval of the special use permit needed from the county will trigger a series of additional applications at the State Corporation Commission and the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality. The goal is to start construction in 2028.
The battle now moving to Richmond is likely to be as fierce as the contest over Dominion Energy Virginia’s proposed 944-megawatt natural gas plant for Chesterfield County. The state’s approval of that project is about to be challenged in the Virginia Supreme Court, the SCC has been notified.
When Dominion ran the same permitting gauntlet, DEQ boards like the Air Pollution Control Board were dominated by former Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin’s appointees, and those board will now be appointed by Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger.
The year: 2075. The American colonies on the Moon are getting restless under Washington’s tyrannical rule….
This second edition of “Dust Mites” has a snazzy new cover, includes helpful lunar maps, and is 5,000 words tighter than the original. The sequel, “Trogs,” is scheduled for publication this summer.
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