• Virginia’s Old-Fashioned Cat Fight

    by Kerry Dougherty

    Someone recently asked why Iโ€™m so fond of including Tweets, er Xes, in my posts.

    Thatโ€™s easy. Thereโ€™s no better way to figure out whatโ€™s going on in the devious hearts of politicians than to read their Tweets.

    In the days after her businesses were raided by the FBI State Sen. Louise Lucas, who liked to pepper her posts with obscenities few octogenarians use, was quiet.

    Frankly, we missed the foul-mouthed Democrat political boss.

    Now sheโ€™s back. And instead of insulting Republicans and bragging about how sheโ€™s loading her bong with Republican tears, sheโ€™s going after the governor. A fellow Democrat.

    Itโ€™s an old fashioned cat fight. And Iโ€™m here for it.

    Hereโ€™s yesterdayโ€™s offerings as Lucas struck back at Abigail Spanberger who is blaming her for the budget impasse.

    Continue reading.


  • Spanberger Policies “Incoherent” — says Lucas Dem Advisor


  • Some Virginia Prosecutors Refusing to Enforce New Gun Laws

    A handgun and a gavel resting on an American flag, symbolizing themes of law and justice.

    by Kerry Dougherty

    This is odd. 

    Seems the same lefties who are unbothered by Fairfax Countyโ€™s Soros-backed commonwealthโ€™s attorney reluctance to prosecute illegal aliens or turn them over to ICE are having hissy fits over prosecutors who announced that they wonโ€™t enforce Virginiaโ€™s new – likely unconstitutional – gun law.

    Maybe some law-abiding citizens wouldnโ€™t feel the need to arm themselves if criminals werenโ€™t being turned loose on the public by soft-on-crime prosecutors.

    Earlier this month Gov. Abigail Spanberger signed into law a sweeping prohibition on certain types of semi-automatic firearms and high-capacity magazines. This includes of course, Americaโ€™s favorite rifle, the AR-15. Itโ€™s estimated that 20 to 25 million ARs are already in the hands of civilians in the U.S.

    After July 1, it will be a crime to sell, manufacture, import or transfer such a weapon in Virginia. Those who already own ARs will be grandfathered under the statute.

    Lawsuits challenging the constitutionality of the law have been filed in state and federal court and the U.S. Supreme Court seems likely to hear a case from another jurisdiction that addresses a similar ban.

    Hopefully, this Virginia law could be short-lived.

    In the meantime, commonwealthโ€™s attorneys in at least four jurisdictions have already signaled that they will not be enforcing the new gun restrictions. As constitutional officers, they are sworn to uphold the constitution and are answerable to the voters, not the governor.ย  Continue reading.


  • Suicidal Compassion Watch


  • Autism-related Vulnerability of Virginia Medicaid

    Autism-related Vulnerability of Virginia Medicaid

    by James C. Sherlock

    Virginia is not doing enough to prevent Medicaid fraud. Our attempts are hampered by the dysfunctional design of the state regulatory system. They often fail because they cannot work. This piece will focus on behavioral health and recommend specific actions, but the entire healthcare regulatory system needs an overhaul. Absent that, we risk the stoppage of federal Medicaid contributions.

    Ask Minnesota.

    The costs of Medicaid Behavioral Health Services are immense, even in a single state. Last fiscal year, Virginia alone spent nearly $2 billion on services for mental health and substance use disorders out of $14.8 billion total Medicaid expenditures.

    We note below from Medicaid and FAMIS Managed Care Healthcare Expenditures by Service Category that the fastest-growing Virginia Medicaid program is behavioral health services. It jumped from about $260 million to what appears to be $340 million per quarter over only six quarters.

    We also note that expenditures on Home and Community-based Services jumped from $400 million to $525 million per quarter over the same 18-month period. Payments to Lucas Lodge and more than a thousand other providers of community-based services for the intellectually and developmentally disabled (I/DD) services are included in that number.

    Autism diagnosis and treatment are included in both figures. ย 

    The National Institutes of Health reports that autism misdiagnosis or late diagnosis is highly common, but is often sought partially because an autism diagnosis โ€œis validating.โ€

    Because autism relies on behavioral observation rather than lab tests, traits are frequently masked to fit in or confused with other conditions like ADHD, social anxiety, or bipolar disorder. This can lead to years of inappropriate treatment and immense stress.

    Autism diagnosis and treatment are a growth industry, and the Medicaid money thrown at the problem is staggering. So, oversight to prevent fraud committed by companies, often owned by private equity firms, and by individual providers, is crucial.

    Virginia apparently does not yet see it that way. The feds do.

    (more…)


  • How Abby Got Her Groove Back

    A woman in a purple suit joyfully raising her hand while speaking into a microphone at an outdoor event.
    Doing that groove thing. AI-generated image by Grok.

    by Chap Petersen

    A great advantage of being out of power is that you can speak honestly about what’s going on — and not care who’s offended.

    Abigail Spanberger served in Congress and ran for Governor as a moderate Democrat, standing apart from the AOC-Mandani socialist wing. By running on that brand (and largely avoiding actual issues), she won with 57% of the vote.

    Then the 2026 session convened with Democrats holding all levers of power — and Spanberger was faced with a constitutional measure designed to “temporarily” dilute the votes of rural Virginians. Based on money and demographics, the referendum was sure to pass — and just as sure to enrage the 48.5% who were being politically erased.

    So much for bipartisanship.  Predictably, her popularity dropped.

    At that point, the Governor had two options:  pull a “Northam” and simply sign every Democratic bill or actually govern like a leader. Thankfully she (mostly) chose the latter.

    In the past two weeks, the Governor has vetoed multiple flawed bills which passed on a party-line vote: creating a retail marijuana market, mandating collective bargaining for local governments, and making “menopause” a protected category under the VA Human Rights Act (yes, really).

    (more…)

  • This Memorial Day, Maybe We Need to Read the Federalist Papers Again

    As politicians threaten the independence of the judiciary and arrogate the power of the legislature over all other branches, maybe some remedial reading is in order?

    A serene nighttime scene of a cemetery illuminated by numerous glowing luminary bags, each marked with a small American flag, creating a poignant tribute.
    The Fredericksburg Luminaria โ€” rained out this year, but an impressive and important reminder as to what we honor on Memorial Day.

    by Shaun Kenney

    After a rather shocking โ€” and by shocking, I mean disappointing โ€” exchange on social media with a sitting Virginia state senator regarding his misuse of Federalist 51 to insist that the legislature outweighs the other two branches of government, it dawned on me that this particular individual has perhaps never actually read the Federalist Papers much less Federalist 51.

    A few things out of the gate. The Federalist Papers were written to describe the limitations on the federal government vis a vis the United States Constitution, not the state constitutions themselves. Madison is widely believed to have written Federalist 51, and though he argues that because the legislative branch is the more powerful precisely because it is accountable to the people, he does not argue that it is superior to the other branches of the federal government.

    In fact, the nature of legislative power being as such, Madison argues that the check on this power is a bicameral legislature โ€” one being directly elected by the people themselves (the U.S. House of Representatives) to represent the demos and the other being elected by the state legislatures (the U.S. Senate) so as to represent the aristos. Of course, the 17th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution eliminated the U.S. Senate as imagined by the Founding Fathers, and the state constitutions โ€” though protected by the 10th Amendment โ€” are presently subject to federal understandings of right and law as the 14th Amendment progressively restricts the statesโ€™ ability to infringe upon rights protected by the U.S. Constitution.

    If you have never read the Federalist Papers, or if the last time you bumped into them was either in a high school or college classroom, there are a handful that are considered requisite reading:

    (more…)

  • More Timeshare Architecture!

    A vibrant street scene in Virginia Beach featuring a humorous sign for an 'AI Roast Off' event, with references to ocean views, nightlife, and local attractions. The backdrop includes tall buildings and pedestrians, creating a lively resort atmosphere.

    by Kerry Dougherty

    Scrolling through X the other day I stumbled on an amusing post by someone who asked AI to โ€œroastโ€ Virginia Beach. The result was spot on.

    Impossibly accurate.

    So I decided to give it a try.

    I asked ChatGPT to produce a โ€œroastโ€ of Virginia Beach. The prompts I gave only mentioned that all of the ocean views are obscured by hotels, that the sun sets at 3 p.m. on the resort strip beach as it slips behind the buildings and that the beachy atmosphere is a little dicey after dark.

    In under one minute, this is what our friendly bot created:

    Virginia Beach is what happens when a city looks at a gorgeous stretch of Atlantic coastline and says, โ€œYou know what this needs? More timeshare architecture.โ€ Somewhere along the way, local planners decided the best use of priceless oceanfront property was to line it with towering concrete hotel blocks that resemble a mid-budget casino district fleeing inland from Atlantic City. The result is a beach where the ocean is technically visible, provided you are standing at a precise 14-degree angle between a Marriott parking garage and a frozen daiquiri stand.

    The cityโ€™s zoning philosophy appears to have been developed by a committee whose only guiding principle was: โ€œWhat if absolutely everything cast a shadow?โ€ By mid-afternoon, the resort strip darkens like an eclipse simulation at a science museum. The sun doesnโ€™t so much set in Virginia Beach as file a noise complaint and leave early. Families arrive expecting golden coastal sunsets and instead spend half their vacation wrapped in damp towels beneath the looming silhouette of twelve stories of discounted balcony suites and an abandoned surf shop called something like โ€œGnarly Peteโ€™s.โ€ Continue reading.


  • The Need for Teacher Retention Data

    A digital representation of a woman composed of pixelated cubes, standing in front of a chalkboard filled with mathematical equations.
    Holes in the data. Image credit: Grok

    by Matt Hurt

    The teacher shortage is a national problem and has been for a number of years.ย We have been provided data on this from VDOE as each year since 2022 through the teacher vacancy rates that have been published.ย However, the teacher vacancy rate has two significant components: the recruitment of new professionals into the field and retaining people who are successful or have the capacity to be. Currently, Virginia lacks comprehensive, aggregate teacher retention data to measure the latter.

    A fragmented landscape

    In Virginia, teacher shortages vary.ย According to the Virginia Department of Educationโ€™s Staffing and Vacancy data, 2.54% of teaching positions went unfilled this year, which was down from a high of 3.86% in 2024. In 2026 the regional vacancy rates ranged from 1.07% in Southwest to 4.61% in Tidewater and the division rates ranged from 0% to 33.66%.

    Enticing new people into the teaching field is largely driven by financial compensation.ย College students weigh a number of factors when determining their career path goals, and earning potential is certainly among them. The General Assembly has made efforts in recent years to increase teaching salaries, but so too have other states.ย 

    (more…)

  • Virginia Redistricting Fails: The Fight Continues

    David J. Toscano

    Faced with a potential Democratic wave this fall, Republican legislators across the nation continue their efforts to placate Donald Trump by adopting unprecedented mid-cycle gerrymanderings designed to protect their majority in Congress.

    Emboldened by the U.S. Supreme Courtโ€™s evisceration of the Voting Rights Act in the Callais decision, Republicans just adopted new maps in Florida and Tennessee to target Democratic incumbents, including some of most senior African American representatives in the House. Thirteen states will have new congressional districts for 2026 midterms; South Carolina and Louisiana will likely join the list soon. The changes give Republicans more chances to preserve their House majority this fall.

    A map of the United States showing electoral seat gains by party, with states colored to indicate Republican seats gained in red, Democratic seats gained in blue, possible Republican seats gained in light red, possible Democratic seats gained in light blue, and states where Democratic counter efforts failed in pink.

    Remember how we got here

    When President Donald Trump and Republican leaders in Texas decided last year on their redistricting gambit, they ignited a political firestorm that threatens to destroy yet another political guardrail. North Carolina and Missouri followed Texas, passing new maps in fall, 2025. California then responded; in November, the stateโ€™s voters approved a constitutional amendment to counter the Republican actions.

    (more…)

  • Jeanine’s Memes

    A cartoon depicting a cannon labeled 'Redistricting' firing towards a wall where a figure labeled 'SCOTUS' is sitting, partially embedded in the wall, illustrating the concept of political redistricting and its impact on the Supreme Court.

    See more memes at The Bull Elephant.


  • Bacon Meme of the Week

    A close-up image of crispy bacon strips with a humorous quote about wandering and bacon. A jar of Fat Boy Bacon Salt is also featured in the corner.

  • Summer Dangers

    Summer Dangers

    by James C. Sherlock

    This weekend is the unofficial start of summer, and summer and early fall weather can induce disasters in this state. Weโ€™ll look at the hurricane threat to all of Virginia, not just the coasts.

    Coasts. Hurricanes get the most press and preparations on the coasts.  

    Hampton Roads homeowners expect the occasional hurricane, and our low-lying geography draws our attention, but our official regional evacuation plans are a mystery to most here. 

    (Hampton Roads area) EVACUATION ROUTES
    If officials order an evacuation for your area, use one of these designated routes. Become familiar with these routes and plan to leave early to avoid major traffic delays.
    PENINSULA
    ยป Interstate 64 West
    ยป Interstate 664 North
    ยป U.S. Route 17 North
    ยป U.S. Route 60 West
    ยป Route 143
    During severe weather, the Jamestown-Scotland Ferry is removed from service and should NOT be considered part of your evacuation plan.
    SOUTHSIDE
    ยป 264 West and Interstate 64
    Hampton Roads Bridge-Tunnel
    ยป Interstate 664 North
    Monitor Merrimac Memorial Bridge-Tunnel
    ยป U.S. Route 17 North
    ยป U.S. Route 58 West
    ยป U.S. Route 460 West
    ยป Route 10 West
    The Chesapeake Bay Bridge-Tunnel is NOT an evacuation route. For closure information, visit www.cbbt.com.

    Fortunately, the emergency routes for Peninsula and Eastern Shore residents and visitors are intuitive, if undoubtedly in the event choked with vehicles. ย But good luck to those of us in the Southside. ย Evacuation from here will prove to be the biggest shuffling of a deck of a million motor vehicles in state history. ย 
    EASTERN SHORE
    All Eastern Shore residents will use U.S. Route 13 North toward Salisbury, Maryland

    “Leaving early” means departing before a hurricane’s landfall is forecast.

    Far less predictable and historically more deadly in the Commonwealth are river and mountain flooding.

    (more…)

  • Helmer Threatens SCOVA Justice

    Maybe it isn’t Justice Kelsey that needs to be worried in 2027, but a coalition of Virginians sick and tired of Dan Helmer’s lust. For power. Of course.

    A man wearing a grey 'VETERAN' t-shirt with an American flag stands casually talking to a woman in a bar setting, with other patrons visible in the background.
    Delegate Dan Helmer (D-bag) in his natural habitat. Also โ€” 11 stripes on the flag?

    by Shaun Kenney

    Who is this magical โ€œweโ€ Dan Helmer is talking about? Have the Democrats already decided that Kelsey must go? Are Democrats seriously contemplating a palace coup against Virginiaโ€™s judiciary branch? Who else knows about this conspiracy? Who is the ringleader of this conspiracy? What do people think the reaction across Virginia will be if Justice Kelsey is punished for not obeying the Democratic Partyโ€™s political desires?

    Questions we ought to be asking โ€” but arenโ€™t.

    Questions we would be asking if a Republican threatened a Virginia Supreme Court justice like this โ€” but arenโ€™t.

    My antipathy for Helmer knows few boundaries. Not just that the man is wrong, but I can only have so many individuals come and talk to me about Helmerโ€™s โ€œreign of shameโ€ in Richmond and elsewhere that you begin to observe the old Virginia dictum: a gentleman does not lie, cheat, or steal nor do they associate with those who do.

    Helmer is not a gentleman โ€” and let that carry all the insinuation and odium one might conceive.

    (more…)

  • Fairfax Schools at a Crossroads

    Rising budgets, declining outcomes

    by Stephanie Lundquist-Arora

    Fairfax Countyโ€™s school board members are scheduled to vote today on the fiscal year 2027 $4.1 billion budget. Although there will be a $197 million increase in funds from last year, district leaders are still pointing to what they describe as a $28 million โ€œbudget gap,โ€ referring to the countyโ€™s Board of Supervisors not transferring FCPSโ€™s full requested amount.ย (Editor’s note: the School Board adopted the budget last night, a 5.0% increase over 2026.)

    Rather than addressing administrative bloat, district leadership is shifting resources away from classrooms to close the so-called โ€œbudget gap.โ€ A Freedom of Information Act request revealed that FCPS spent $272 million on salaries for 2,346 non-school-based administrators in fiscal year 2026.  Meanwhile, the district plans to reduce school reserve staffing by $8.8 million, eliminating 70 positions, which raises serious concerns. As class sizes increase in Fall 2026, some grades may require additional teachers, but reducing reserve staffing will limit flexibility to respond to enrollment shifts and will ultimately contribute to larger class sizes and reduced instructional support.

    Increasing administrative spending while simultaneously cutting school-level resources and increasing class sizes raises serious concerns about fiscal priorities. And a 36% increase in the superintendentโ€™s salary since 2019, as shown in the table below, has not coincided with improved student outcomes. In fact, since 2019, Fairfax County Public Schoolsโ€™ average SAT score has declined by 35 points.  

    Table displaying fiscal year data, including cost per pupil, total budget, superintendent salary, and average SAT score from 2019 to 2027.
    (more…)