• Donations to Local Races in Virginia – The Public Union Effect

    Pictured: Bobby Dyer, incumbent and candidate for mayor of Virginia Beach. ย  Courtesy Bobby Dyer for Mayor.

    James C. Sherlock

    It is always interesting, at least to me, to see who is investing in local political campaigns in Virginia and what they might expect for their money.  I have used VPAP to examine donations from all years/all filing periods and for this yearโ€™s race as applicable to let readers follow some of the money.

    Statewide

    The six donors who have given the largest amount of money to local candidates in Virginia in 2024 are all of the left side of the political spectrum. The left makes local candidates a bigger priority than any other political funding operation.  

    • New Virginia Majority (Alexandria): donated $361,498, most of that ($214,378) to Harrison Roday for Richmond Mayor. Roday is endorsed by city workers’ unions. Seems a relatively cheap investment given the financial stakes for the unions;
    • Lucas for Senate (Portsmouth): donated $306,803, most of that ($295,803) to Louise Lucasโ€™ daughter, Lisa Lucas-Burke, who is running for mayor of Portsmouth. Ms. Lucas-Burke has been on her motherโ€™s payroll at Lucas Lodge for 25 years and has been Vice-Mayor of Portsmouth since 2016;
    • Workers Vote (New York): $240,832, all of it to elect candidates for Alexandria mayor and city council who will support union-friendly changes to the cityโ€™s collective bargaining ordinance and support higher pay and benefits for city workers. One again, seems a bargain given the financial stakes for the unions;
    • Thomas J. McInerny (Genworth Financial – Henrico): $160,000, most of that ($125,000) to Harrison Roday for Richmond Mayor;
    • Amy Jackson (Alexandria): $119,111, self-funding campaign for mayor of Alexandria. She lost in a Democratic primary. Alyia Gaskins is running unopposed for mayor in the general election;
    • Lisa Roday (Henrico): 103,403, Harrison Roday for Richmond Mayor.
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  • A Voter Suppression Narrative in Which a Voter Scandalously… Er… Got to Vote

    Liza Burrell-Aldana displays her “I Voted” sticker in a selfie.

    Liza Burrell-Aldana, a Fairfax County school teacher, went to an early voting site last week and showed her driver’s license. The poll worker asked if she was a citizen. Burrell-Aldana, a Colombian immigrant who has been a citizen since 2011, said that she was. The poll worker asked for proof of citizenship. “Why would I carry that with me?” she replied.

    So begins a Washington Post article in today’s news feed. Then the Post goes on to say:

    The incident played out asย Donald Trumpย and many Republicans haveย falsely claimedย that waves of noncitizens are voting, stoking fears. Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) hasย embracedย the issue, pushing for aย daily scrubย of voter rolls. Voting rights activists throughout the country, meanwhile, are worried that this rhetoric will lead to eligible voters being harassed or afraid to cast their ballots.

    See what’s going on here? The article slides from Donald Trump making false claims about noncitizens voting to Governor Glenn Youngkin “embracing the issue” by pushing for a daily scrub of voter rolls. There’s no quote of Youngkin making false claims, just an insinuation that he’s in the same camp as Trump and his stop-the-steal allies.

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  • Jeanine’s Memes

    From The Bull Elephant


  • Fighting to Save Women’s Sports

    Roanoke College women’s swim team. Photo credit: Scott Dreyer

    by Scott Dreyer

    The womenโ€™s swim team at Roanoke College made national headlines October 5, 2023 when as a group they stood together to insist they only compete against other biological women. They told their stories in a press conference at the Hotel Roanoke. Their accounts are summarized in Parts One,ย Two,ย Three, andย Four.

    Instead of lauding them for their stance, however, three male Democrats on Roanoke City Council blasted the women. Showing they had not even heard the women yet, the three co-signed a letter, also dated October 5, but actually released before the women had spoken. Moreover, none of the three attended the press conference. Showing their displeasure, their letter was entitled โ€œHate Has No Place in Roanoke, Virginia,โ€ implying that all the women swimmers plus their families and allies are haters. One of the three, Joe Cobb, is currently vice mayor of Roanoke and is running to be mayor.

    This saga may seem to be a modern-day rendition of Jesusโ€™ words, โ€œa prophet is without honor in his hometown.โ€ In contrast to the animosity and hostility from Cobb and some other Roanoke City politicians, the lady swimmers are gaining a following that reaches across the continent.

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  • Bacon Meme of the Week


  • Virginia’s Fertility Rate — Nothing to Write Home About

    Map source: National Center for Health Statistics

    Following up on yesterday’s post showing the variation in birth rates by Virginia locality… the National Center for Health Statistics map above provides a breakdown of fertility rates by state. Virginia falls in the middle of the pack (but bottom half) with a fertility rate for women aged 15โ€“44 with 55.3 births per 1,000. It ranks 29th in the country. Meh.

    University of Virginia sociologist Brad Wilcox (a rare conservative at UVA) puts his spin on the data in this article published by the Institute for Family Studies (a rare conservative nonprofit headquartered in Charlottesville).

    The 10 states with the highest birth rates are red while the 10 states with the lowest birth rates are blue. The birth rate for deep-red South Dakota is 2.01 births per woman. The birth rate for deep-blue Vermont is 1.3.

    Wilcox argues that left-of-center policies to encourage fertility — government incentives and subsidies — don’t work very well. Families with children are moving out of blue states into red states. What matters more, he suggests, are job opportunities, cost of living (especially housing) and family-friendly culture.

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  • Billing, Upcoding and Hospital Revenues

    Image credit: Bing Image Creator

    by James A. Bacon

    As the investigation into alleged management abuses at the University of Virginia Health System and School of Medicine gathers momentum, several physicians have detailed their allegations to The Daily Progress. Perhaps the most damning charge is that senior Medical Center executives pressured physicians into “upcoding” procedures to overcharge patients and their insurers.

    Upcoding is fraud. Sadly, the practice is widespread in the healthcare industry. Whether it occurred at UVA remains an open question. The Jefferson Council trusts the Board of Visitors investigation to appraise the validity of the charges leveled by 128 UVA Medical Center professionals over the past several months.

    But I was curious about the business context in which upcoding might have occurred. Might financial pressures have incentivized senior management to take a more aggressive approach to billing? Such background information would be useful to the investigation.

    Several major events have roiled the UVA Health System since 2020 when Craig Kent became CEO and 2021 when Melina Kibbe took the helm as dean of the medical school: the COVID epidemic, the jettisoning of litigious debt-collection practices, and accounting misstatements stemming from the acquisition of three community hospitals.

    After a close review of Medical Center finances, here is my bottom line: allegations that UVA began billing more aggressively two to three years ago coincide with a surge in revenue per patient beginning in fiscal 2022. But many factors affect hospital revenues, so I am reluctant to draw any conclusion beyond suggesting that accusations of upcoding warrant a closer look.

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  • Virginia’s New Blue Collar Boom Town

    by James A. Bacon

    Don’t take this Chat GBT-generated image as an accurate rendering of what submarine construction looks like. But it’s more dramatic than a real photo.

    The Hampton Roads region will need 40,000 skilled workers over the next six years to support growth of the maritime and offshore wind industries, says Hampton Roads Workforce Council President and CEO Shawn Avery. Most of those jobs will require blue-collar skills now in short supply.

    Newport News Shipbuilding will need workers to build two Virginia-class submarines annually and make modular components for Columbia-class submarines, reports Virginia Business magazine. That doesn’t include thousands more needed to build the USS John F. Kennedy and USS Enterprise aircraft carriers or workers needed for the region’s naval shipyards that do repair and maintenance for the fleet.

    Then there’s the offshore wind industry. The wind-turbine building boom for Dominion Energy’s Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project will support an estimated 900 jobs, and when construction subsides, the wind farm will continue to support 1,100 direct and indirect jobs. Plus, there are signs that the regional effort to make Hampton Roads a major East Coast center of the wind-farm supply chain, including manufacturing, is paying off with more corporate investment and more jobs.

    It’s not clear from the article if the 40,000 figure represents total maritime/wind jobs or net new jobs. Either way, it looks like a significant gain for an economically moribund region that has been a drag on Virginia’s economic performance for many years.

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  • Random Stats of the Day: Birth Rates

    For the edification of Bacon’s Rebellion readers, I’m presenting some data compiled by Jim Weigand, our Lynchburg correspondent, on birth rates in Virginia. The table above shows the 10 localities with the highest birth rates. The thing that stands out: they’re all cities.

    What’s with the City of Fairfax, by the way? The birth rate in surrounding Fairfax County is only 11.59.

    Here are the localities with the lowest birth rates:

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  • Factoid of the Day: Toughest Driver Tests

    Virginia has the toughest written driving tests in the country, according to a study by the Whitley Law Firm, a personal injury firm, and Journo Research. States the press release:

    Virginia is the state where itโ€™s hardest to pass the written driving test, with an index score of 21.39 out of 100. To pass the 35-question exam, one must score at least 86%, meaning examinees must answer at least 30 questions correctly. In addition, there needs to be a 15-day gap between one test and the next if participants were unsuccessful the first time around.ย 

    New York has the easiest written test, according to the study.

     


  • Youngkin on Clean Election Rolls

    Governor Glenn Youngkin released the following statement after the Supreme Court ruling upholding his executive order to keep non-citizens off Virginia’s voter rolls (my bold):

    We are pleased by the Supreme Courtโ€™s order today. This is a victory for commonsense and election fairness. I am grateful for the work of Attorney General Jason Miyares on this critical fight to protect the fundamental rights of U.S. citizens. Clean voter rolls are one important part of a comprehensive approach we are taking to ensure the fairness of our elections. Virginians also know that we have paper ballots, counting machines not connected to the internet, a strong chain of custody process, signature verification, monitored and secured drop boxes, and a ‘triple check’ vote counting process to tabulate results. Virginians can cast their ballots on Election Day knowing that Virginiaโ€™s elections are fair, secure, and free from politically-motivated interference.

    I can’t speak for the other states in the union, but I’m confident that Virginia has a rigorous system for preserving election integrity. Voting fraud on a scale sufficient to alter an election outcome is impossible. Time to focus on getting out the vote. — JAB

     


  • Bacon Bits: Good, Bad, and Ugly

    All it took was picking up the phone. Radio IQ profiles Rina Shaw, a Central Virginia resident who was expunged along with 1,600 other Virginia residents from the voter rolls as part of Governor Glenn Youngkin’s purge of non-citizen voters. Shaw tells Radio IQ she accidentally marked “non-citizen” on her DMV paperwork and was disenrolled. After being informed of the fact, she tried unsuccessfully to correct her error by means of “mailed-in paperwork.” Youngkin’s action has been challenged legally and seems destined to a hearing before the U.S. Supreme Court. Here’s what’s ignored in most articles I’ve read: Youngkin’s order requires the state to notify those whose registrations are flagged… as evidently happened in Shaw’s case. And the order gives them 14 days to provide proof of citizenship… which Shaw managed to do. Radio IQ notes toward the bottom of its story that she “was reenrolled after a call to her registrarโ€™s office.”ย 

    Update: Minutes ago the Supreme Court upheld Youngkin’s executive order.

    History is complicated. Colonial Williamsburg hopes to open a new attraction next year: the Bray School, which is touted as the oldest surviving school for Black children in America. A school roster from 1760 shows that three free Black children were enrolled and 27 were slaves. Historians are understandably delighted in revealing an aspect of Black history in Virginia that had been buried for so long. And I agree. We should tell the history of all Americans. In its article about the school, The Washington Post asks, who were the children? What did they do with their education? Good questions. But I’d like to know also… who built the school? Who paid its ongoing expenses? What were their motivations? Weren’t there laws against educating Blacks? The institution of slavery, I suspect, was far more variegated in practice than commonly depicted.

    Image credit: Inside NoVa

    Sign of the times. To someone like me who attended school in the 1960s, images like the one above at Lake Ridge Middle School in Prince William County, are beyond bizarre. Requiring students to pass through metal detectors before entering school is an idea that literally never occurred to anyone back in the day. Now it’s hailed as a victory in the effort to keep students safe.

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  • Decked Out

    A lame duck councilman’s race card doesn’t trump anything.

    Councilman Chris Jones

    by Joe Fitzgerald

    Imagine that youโ€™re Harrisonburg City Councilman Chris Jones, perhaps without his driving record or his tax bills, but with his animosity toward the school system. Youโ€™re at the end of ten years on the council after coming in dead last in the Democratic primary. Is it time to rebuild bridges with the school system or to double down?

    Maybe this offer by Jones concerning his final two months in office will help define what he chose: โ€œIf we want to bring financial comfort or pain to the school system, then bring that to me.โ€

    Ten minutes into the latest School Board/City Council Liaison Committee meeting, Jones had already identified himself as a Black male twice. Heโ€™s in a room with nine city and school officials. Five of them are people of color and one is Jewish. Only two are White males and one of them has an adopted Black child. And Jones, speaking to two Black people, is demanding to know whether White people are deciding whoโ€™s on the Superintendent’s Task Force for Support of African American Students.

    โ€œI want to make sure weโ€™re not being tokenized,โ€ he says, with a straight face. โ€œI donโ€™t know whoโ€™s on your task force.โ€

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  • Is It Asking Too Much For Free And Fair Elections?

    by Kerry Dougherty

    Is it too much to ask for a little balance when it comes to American presidential elections?

    Iโ€™m not talking about balanced news coverage. I know THATโ€™s not going to happen.

    I mean a balance between making it easy to vote and making it easy to cheat. 

    Is that so hard?

    Requiring a picture ID to vote, for instance, should not be controversial. Yes, I am aware that leftists have low opinions of African Americans and believe that they travel through our world without identification. I donโ€™t happen to believe that. I believe that people of all races have IDs and should be required to produce one to vote.

    Here in Virginia if you donโ€™t have a picture ID a current utility bill with your name and address can substitute. 

    Idiocy.

    Produce a picture ID or you donโ€™t get to vote.

    This isnโ€™t hard.

    Then thereโ€™s the question of non-citizens voting. This is illegal under both federal and Virginia law.

    But when Gov. Glenn Youngkin notified more than 1,000 self-identified non-citizens that they were coming off the voter rolls, leftists scurried to court to block the move. Continue reading.


  • But, But… Illegal Aliens Are Mostly Peaceful

    Ortiz

    by James A. Bacon

    I have been assured by the smartest people that it’s a myth that illegal immigrants commit crimes at higher rates than native-born Americans. But it is indisputable that some illegal aliens do commit crimes. Here in Virginia, the individual arrested and charged in connection to a double murder in a Loudoun County parking lot, Marlyn Medrano-Ortiz, is affiliated with the criminal Salvadoran gang MS-13.

    Yeah, yeah, I know, it’s racist and xenophobic to single out instances like this. Except it’s really not. Indeed, one could argue that it’s racist and xenophobic to sweep the crimes of illegal immigrants under the rug. The reason is that their victims are disproportionately likely to be of the same ethnicity. You see, criminals usually commit violent offenses against people whom they know personally or mix in the same circles.

    Here’s a photo of the murder victims:

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