Bacon's Rebellion

Nursing Homes – What Could Go Wrong?

Mt. Vernon Healthcare Center Alexandria

by James C. Sherlock

I have written a lot recently about staffing shortages in Virginia nursing homes and the Commonwealth’s national ranking near the bottom of the states for staffing measures.

It is appropriate to ask why that matters.

Federal analyses of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) data offer the answer.

In proposing to adopt the Total Nursing Hours per Resident Day Staffing (Total Nurse Staffing) measure for the FY 2026 program year and subsequent years, the rule-makers offered this:

Staffing is a crucial component of quality care for nursing home residents. Numerous studies have explored the relationship between nursing home staffing levels and quality of care. The findings and methods of these studies have varied, but most have found a strong, positive relationship between staffing and quality outcomes.

Specifically, studies have shown an association between nurse staffing levels and hospitalizations, pressure ulcers, weight loss, functional status, and survey deficiencies, among other quality and clinical outcomes.

The strongest relationships have been identified for registered nurse (RN) staffing; several studies have found that higher RN staffing is associated with better care quality. We recognize that the relationship between nurse staffing and quality of care is multi-faceted, with elements such as staff turnover playing a critical role.

Remember, the surveys are conducted both for CMS certification and Virginia licensing by the Office of Licensure and Certification (OLC) of the Virginia Department of Health.

I have always found that office to be staffed by exemplary public servants, even while there have never been enough of them.

But we’ll get specific about Virginia nursing homes and survey deficiencies as the answer to the question:

“What could go wrong?”

CMS maintains exhaustive data catalogues. The one used for this article is Nursing homes including rehab services data archive.

From the July 2023 file, I have culled Virginia nursing homes in data accessed this afternoon. As filtered and presented here, it shows only the most recent results of each of the 131 certified facilities in Virginia with one-star staffing assessments.

Those facilities were cited in their last inspection and near-term follow-ups (required because of poor biennial survey results) with 2,155 deficiencies, an average of 16.5 each. The average number nationwide is 10. The range of deficiencies in Virginia was from 1 to 72 (Mt. Vernon Healthcare Center in Alexandria).

Given that the inspectors review only a subset of a facility’s patients for the survey, that is a lot of deficiency citations. If you see in the spreadsheet, for example, two citations for the same deficiency, that means they found that deficiency for two different patients.

In gross numbers, the violations cited by inspectors of those 140 facilities included standards (alphabetically) for:

Mount Vernon Healthcare Center in Alexandria, cited for abuse and number one on the CMS list for designation as a Special Focus Facility (SFF), is, officially, the bottom of that barrel. SFF designation does not come with a trophy.

But the ownership proclaims “True Blue” standards of excellence. It’s on Vimeo, so it must be true.

Check out in the spreadsheet of CMS data Mt. Vernon’s survey deficiency tag numbers awarded since November of 2022; that facility failed to:

For the full 165-page report of the inspectors, see here.

Ask again: what could go wrong?

The good news: Mt. Vernon Healthcare Center is really close to Inova Mt. Vernon Hospital.

That nursing facility is owned by CommuniCare, a privately held company headquartered in Cincinnati, which is family-owned.

When you or your loved one come to Mount Vernon Healthcare Center, you can rest assured our skilled nursing team will help you achieve your highest level of wellness.

Good to know.

Its Virginia locations are Annandale Healthcare Center, Battlefield Park Healthcare Center in Petersburg, Cedars Healthcare Center in Charlottesville, the aforementioned Mount Vernon Healthcare Center in Alexandria and Petersburg Healthcare Center. Check them out at the Nursing Home Compare links provided.

All, including the Alexandria facility, are accepting new patients.

Somehow, none of that came up in hearings in the Virginia House and Senate this year on a new law that was passed to set nurse staffing minimums at 3.08 total nursing hours per patient per day on July 1, 2025. That standard is far below the 4.1 hours that the federal government has proven are necessary to assure the health and safety of the residents.

The members neglected to ask what could go wrong. Or to ask about the patients at all.

For reference, current total nursing hours per patient per day in 95 Virginia nursing homes are below that 2025 standard that the industry itself chose in the bill they wrote.

By current Virginia regulation, the Health Commissioner may

impose such administrative sanctions or take such actions as are appropriate for violation of any of the standards or statutes or for abuse or neglect of persons in care. Such sanctions include:

1. Restricting or prohibiting new admissions to any nursing facility;

She can use the 2025 Virginia minimum staffing standard.

That will yield temporary prohibition of new admissions in 95 facilities. If she were to use the federal standard of 4.1, she would extend the temporary prohibition to 226 of them. Virginia only has 290.

That action will fix the worst understaffing problems within three months as high-need skilled nursing patients leave.

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