Bacon's Rebellion

  • A 10 Percent Increase in Real Wages?

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    James A. Bacon

    Wow! … if true.

    From Secretary of Commerce Juan Pablo ‘s December newsletter: 

    Over the last year, we’ve announced 156 billion dollars in net new capital investment across the Commonwealth. That growth is broad-based. We currently have 220,000 open jobs, with 85,000 more on the way, plus another 40,000 construction jobs. Because of this opportunity, real wages in Virginia have increased by more than 10 percent over the past year. The national average is just 4.2 percent. That means real wages in Virginia are growing at more than twice the national rate.

    Real wages are a critical metric of economic wellbeing. If the 10-percent-increase-in-real-wages figure stands up to scrutiny, that’s an extraordinary accomplishment for Virginia. But does it stand up to scrutiny? Perhaps someone in our desiccated husk of a press corps could look into it.

    Update from Austin Stevens in the Governor’s Office:

    The Secretary’s newsletter was citing data from Virginia Works, which highlighted July 2024 to July 2025 data from the Current Employment Statistics (CES) report for BLS. You can see the wage growth highlighted for total private was 9.42%, which was rounded up to 10%. In the newsletter, we walked people through the nominal increase while highlighting the national/CPI data to end up getting to real wages.

  • Gun Killings Down in 2024

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    James A. Bacon

    But homicides remained highly concentrated in nine old urban localities.

    Table showing gun-related homicides, rates, and trends over the last three years for various localities in Virginia.
    Source: JLARC

    From the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission report, “Effects of Community Gun Violence in Virginia“:

    Virginia ranks 23rd highest among states for violent firearm offenses, with 88 per 100,000 residents annually on average (slightly below the 50-state average of 93). Virginia’s statewide gun homicide rate was 5.4 per 100,000 people, which was 21st highest among the states and equal to the national average.

    In related matters… JLARC has access to Virginia’s 2024 homicide numbers. Why hasn’t the Virginia State Police published its 2024 Crime in Virginia report yet?

  • Maps of the Day: Virginia’s Data Center Surge

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    James A. Bacon

    Bigger than Texas!

    Map of the United States showing states with varying shades of purple to indicate the number of operational facilities, with Texas and Virginia highlighted.
    Source: Axios
    A map of the United States showing areas under construction or planned, with varying shades of green indicating the number of projects. Texas is highlighted in dark green with 442 projects, and Virginia in a darker shade with 595 projects.

    Read Axios article here.

  • Social Breakdown Update: Fairfax Edition

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    James A. Bacon

    A news article header about a man being freed from custody one day before a fatal shooting in Virginia, with an image showing police officers and debris from the scene.
    Source: Man Freed From Custody One Day Before Fatal Virginia Shooting, Police Confirm (Updated) | Elkton Daily Voice

    BONUS TRAVESTY: The dude is an illegal alien!

    (more…)

  • Fairfax Forfeits Transgender Case

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    James A. Bacon

    Fairfax County Public School leaders capitulated after a student challenged their pro-transgender policies in court, offering hope that the era of so-called “transgender rights” is coming to a close.

    by Stephanie Lundquist-Arora
    Republished with permission from IWFeatures

    Last month, Fairfax County Public Schools, represented by Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP, extended a Rule 68 Offer of Judgment to a former student, identified as “Jane Doe,” over its bathrooms and pronouns policies. Virginia’s largest public school district granted the plaintiff $50 and attorney’s fees associated with the case.

    Jane Doe, represented by America First Legal, filed the lawsuit asserting that the district violated the First and Fourteenth Amendments, Title IX, and the Virginia Constitution by prioritizing “gender identity” over biological sex and religious conscience. The plaintiff had encountered a boy in the girls’ bathroom while at school, which school policy permits. The district’s code of conduct stipulates bathroom and locker room use is based on “gender identity” rather than biological sex. It also mandates preferred pronoun usage.

    In response to the district’s decision not to fight the case, Jane Doe’s mother told IW Features, “My sincere thanks goes to my daughter’s legal team at America First Legal, who were the only adults during this whole ordeal to listen to my pleas for help to keep my daughter safe while she was at school.” 

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  • Youngkin Budget Proposes Partial State Deduction for Tips, OT

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    Steve Haner

    by Steve Haner

    Governor Glenn Youngkin (R), trying to cut taxes to the end.

    Governor Glenn Youngkin has proposed that Virginia conform its tax rules to most of the changes in federal taxes adopted by Congress last summer, including recognizing a state tax deduction for tip income, overtime pay and interest payments on car loans.   

    Those tax policy recommendations are part of the Republican’s final introduced state budget package, which he presented to legislators on Wednesday at a joint meeting of the House and Senate financial committees. Their fate will be decided early next year by the legislators and incoming Democratic Governor Abigail Spanberger.   

    The departing Governor also proposed to make other tax cuts he enacted during his term permanent, including the state’s current standard deduction amount of $8,750 per person or $17,500 per couple and the higher Earned Income Tax Credit. Without legislative action the standard deduction would revert in 2027 to $6,000 per couple, which was the allowed deduction at the start of his term. The higher deduction saves a married couple up to $661 per year, so losing it would hurt.    

    “There is no need for any new taxes and there is no need for tax increases,” Youngkin told the assembled legislators and Spanberger, who was watching in the front row. He included in that admonition the carbon tax on electricity imposed by the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), which he ended but which Spanberger has pledged to reimpose, reaping half a billion dollars per year from energy customers.  

    Youngkin is proposing only partial compliance with the new federal deductions for tips and overtime income, and the car loan interest. Deductions would not be available this current year, unlike the federal deductions. Starting with tax year 2026, a taxpayer who qualified for those deductions at the federal level could take 25% of that amount off on their state tax return, and in subsequent years it rises to 50% of the federal amount. 

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  • State Govt’s Maintenance Backlog: $1.1 Billion+

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    James A. Bacon

    Bar graph illustrating the percentage of building systems presumed to be expired for over 20 years past their expected expiration dates, including categories like Interior finishes, HVAC, Plumbing, and more.
    Source: JLARC | Capital Maintenance and Construction

    An insidious form of deficit spending is deferred maintenance. Could that be a problem in Virginia? The Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission took a look at state-owned buildings, valued at between $31 billion to $47 billion.

    The M-R FIX [database] shows that about half of state-owned buildings are almost 50 years old or older, and about one-third of the systems (e.g., HVAC, roofing, plumbing, etc.) in state buildings are past their expected lifespans (i.e., expired), according to generic lifespan metrics. … M-R FIX does not include data on actual building condition. …

    The state does not currently have an estimate for the total cost of addressing needed maintenance at state-owned buildings. However, data collected by JLARC staff from 12 agencies/HEIs with the majority of state-owned building square footage indicates that current maintenance reserve project needs exceed $1.1 billion. 

  • Time to Start Wearing Bullet-Proof Vests, People

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    James A. Bacon

    It might help to hire a taste tester, too.

    Politicians and other public figures — now including members of university presidential search committees, apparently — have learned in recent months to take death threats seriously. Many people fantasize about seeing them dead. Here in Virginia, there was Jay Jones, who has been elected Attorney General. And now…

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  • Advocacy and Activism for Teachers

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    James A. Bacon

    The Virginia Education Association emphasizes radicalism and resistance over reading and math.

    Source: Virginia Education Association | Facebook

    by Victoria Manning

    The Virginia Education Association (VEA), the state arm of the National Education Association, has no interest in educating your children. Instead, they want to push “advocacy and activism for educators”—a goal they stated explicitly and repeatedly throughout their November 2025 conference. The VEA indoctrinates educators whose public-school classrooms become incubators—creating future Democrat voters.

    During the VEA’s Education Professionals in Collaboration Conference in November, the session topics and speakers focused on far-left social justice talking points, and virtually nothing about improving educational opportunities for Virginia’s kids.

    The VEA’s event keynote speaker was non-binary author George M. Johnson whose book, All Boys Aren’t Blue, is found in schools across the nation. Leftists decry the removal of Johnson’s book from school library shelves despite its X-rated content. Excerpts include passages such as, “He reached his hand down and pulled out my d***. He quickly went to giving me ****. I just sat back and enjoyed it as I could tell he was too.” The book is filled with vile sexually explicit content that the VEA celebrates and pushes onto children.

    The VEA claims it’s “book banning” if anyone opposes pushing this sexual propaganda onto minors. In fact, they recently promoted Johnson’s book as a way to “fight against censorship in our schools.”

    Johnson’s controversial activism doesn’t end with the sexualization of children. He also instructs that America is systemically racist.

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  • A Coordinated Effort to Delegitimize and Intimidate the UVA Board

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    James A. Bacon

    A large, oval wooden conference table surrounded by black leather chairs, illuminated by an ornate chandelier in a well-lit room.
    UVA Board of Visitors boardroom

    by The Jefferson Council

    Any discerning observer paying attention to the ongoing barrage of unprecedented attacks on the University of Virginia Board of Visitors (BOV) and its leadership cannot help but notice a striking similar pattern. The same allegations—largely manufactured, repetitious, and thinly sourced—are recycled again and again, apparently in the belief that if a proverbial “big lie” is repeated often enough and echoed by multiple voices, it will eventually be accepted as fact. This naturally raises two questions: Where is this campaign coming from, and why are its participants acting with such unusual aggression and hostility?

    A closer look at developments in Charlottesville, coupled with information from knowledgeable inside sources, provides the answer. There is little doubt that these attacks are part of a highly coordinated and well-financed effort. This effort appears to be led by both friends and supporters of former president Jim Ryan and former UVA officials, further joined by Democrat members of the Virginia Senate, the Spanberger political team, certain members of the faculty and administration, and several student organizations (all collectively referred to hereafter as the “Cabal”). Much of this activity appears to be synchronized and amplified by a professional public relations firm.

    Why are they doing this? The immediate objective is clearly to intimidate and delegitimize the BOV during the current search for a new university president. The broader objective, however, is plainly political: to prevent the selection of any president who might depart from the highly politicized progressive agenda that has dominated the University Grounds for roughly the past fifteen years.

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  • Great Idea: Online FOIA Libraries

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    James A. Bacon

    I’d love to see one of these for the University of Virginia! — JAB

  • Leadership by Example Has Broken Down at VMI

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    James A. Bacon

    A formation of cadets in military uniforms marching in a parade with rifles, showcasing the traditional military presence and discipline at the Virginia Military Institute.
    Photo credit: The Cadet

    by George Mayforth

    My recent visit to the Institute during Parents Weekend—an occasion traditionally marked by pride in the Corps and confidence in the VMI system—left me with observations that must be addressed openly and honestly. These concerns do not arise from distant rumor or nostalgia; they come directly from what I witnessed on Post. And while the current administration has begun tightening standards, the conditions I observed demonstrate that the Institute faces deeper cultural issues that cannot be ignored. The issues I witnessed suggest that much more must be done—and done with urgency—if VMI is to remain true to its mission and its standards.

    Physical Fitness and Military Bearing: A Visible Decline

    The most visible and immediate concern was the overall lack of athletic conditioning across the Corps—an issue not limited to the Rat Line but evident at every class level. This is not simply about cosmetic appearance; physical readiness is a foundational pillar of a military college and central to the development of citizen-soldiers.

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  • The Empty Bus to Nowhere

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    James A. Bacon

    Why Virginia’s rural transit subsidies need a reality check

    A Virginia Breeze public transit bus parked, featuring a green and white design with the 'Virginia Breeze' logo.
    AI-generated image of empty bus: Grok

    by J.D. Wong

    If you live in one of Virginia’s picturesque rural counties, you may have seen a familiar, yet puzzling sight: a large, brightly branded public bus rolling down a country road or regional highway, carrying nothing but a driver and a volume of air.

    This phantom fleet is largely funded by the Federal Transit Administration’s Section 5311 program, a well-meaning but economically obsolete initiative that pumps millions of tax dollars into “Formula Grants for Rural Areas.” Administered in the Commonwealth by the Department of Rail and Public Transportation (DRPT), these subsidies are designed to provide mobility to rural residents. But from an economic perspective, we must ask the hard question: Is this a good use of money?

    The answer, increasingly, is no. The Section 5311 program represents a classic government failure.

    Public transit relies on density to be efficient. In urban centers like Arlington or Richmond, a bus can serve dozens of riders per hour, spreading the operating costs across many riders. In rural Virginia, where population density drops to fewer than 50 people per square mile, the economics of fixed-route transit collapse.

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  • “They should no longer have police in traffic enforcement.”

    Posted on

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    James A. Bacon

  • Busted: GOP in Panic Mode Over Goldman Redistricting Strategy

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    by

    James A. Bacon

    by Paul Goldman

    Thank you sir: Mr. Emilio Jaksetic’s attempt to refute my article actually demonstrates the GOP is in a panic over my redistricting strategy. The GOP realizes I have indeed come up with a way to outfox Judge Thomas and his colleagues. Their rationale in the Texas case told Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, House Speaker Don Scott, D-Portsmouth, and Senate Majority Leader Scott Surovell, D-Fairfax, their proposed plan is DOA. Ironically, the GOP right now will get crushed nationally in 2026 mid-terms no matter how the Supremes try to help them. 

    The lengthy response to my article “Outfoxing Judge Thomas: An Alternative Redistricting Strategy for VA Democrats” is well-written. I appreciate the seriousness of Mr. Jaksetic’s piece. 

    He says, “I will discuss Mr. Goldman’s proposed strategy… and explain why it is legally flawed.” It is always flattering to have someone write a column in response to your articles. In college, I used to write a political/current events column entitled “Golddust.” This inspired a rival column entitled “Goldrust”, likewise billed as a critique of sorts. It proved quite the rivalry. And also ultimately unpersuasive. 

    (more…)

Now Available

Book cover of 'Dust Mites: A Second American Revolution' by James A. Bacon, featuring astronauts planting a flag with a blue and white emblem on a lunar landscape, with Earth visible in the background.
For sale on Amazon.com

The year: 2075. The American colonies on the Moon are getting restless under Washington’s tyrannical rule….

This second edition of “Dust Mites” has a snazzy new cover, includes helpful lunar maps, and is 5,000 words tighter than the original. The sequel, “Trogs,” is scheduled for publication this summer.

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Bacon’s Rebellion is Virginia’s leading politically non-aligned portal for news, opinions and analysis about state, regional and local public policy. Read more about us here.

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