• This is Why It’s “Unscientific”

    I just received an email from one of the statewide campaigns, alerting me to nefarious mischief by another campaign. Dirty tricksters are trying to influence an online poll conducted by the Charlottesville Daily Press!

    How do campaigns get so desperate that they feel the need to manipulate an unscientific poll for bragging rights? Wouldn’t they be better off making phone calls, knocking on doors, or, in some cases, getting signatures?

    Update: The “real” Addison over at Sic Semper Tyrannis has more. It’s called “freeping.”


  • Is Fitch Really the Reagan-Style Candidate?

    George Fitch has finally entered the gubernatorial fray in a public way, questioning Jerry Kilgore’s commitment to cutting taxes. Said Fitch of Kilgore in a press release distributed late Sunday night: โ€œHe puts his anti-tax foot in, he pulls his anti-tax foot out. Heโ€™s doing the โ€˜hokey pokeyโ€™ with the taxpayers of Virginia.โ€

    “Kilgore proposes limiting hikes in real estate tax assessments to 5 percent beginning in 2009, if approved by a constitutional amendment,โ€ Fitch declared. But the amendment would not guarantee tax relief, he charged: All it does is cap assessments and not the tax rate.

    Fitch makes a good point. But what’s his preferred tax cut? It turns out he wants to finish phasing out the car tax cut.

    (Bacon puts his head in his hands and moans.) What is this obsession with the car tax? Yes, I know people hate it. But there are soooo many problems with it. (1) The benefits from repeal of the car tax are distributed incredibly unequally across the state; (2) the repeal rewards those localities that had raised their taxes the highest, not those that had tried to keep taxes low; (3) the state has consistently under-forecast its liability for the tax, making it more difficult to plan expenditures; and (4) repealing the tax cuts the cost of automobile ownership at a time when, due to increasing traffic congestion, we should be increasing the cost of ownership.

    Finally, (5) there are so many alternatives for cutting taxes that could reward people for working harder (trim the top rate of the state income tax), help support working families (increase the state income tax deduction for children), promote economic development (reduce corporate taxes on small and midsize businesses). The list could go on. Repealing the car tax may be good politics, but it is not good governance.

    Fitch has dubbed himself a supply-side, Reagan-style conservative, and I’d taken him at his word when profiling him recently in Bacon’s Rebellion. But there’s nothing “supply side” about repealing the car tax. I’m very disappointed.


  • Karol Jozef Wojtyla, Pope John Paul II, 1920-2005


  • Comment Commentary

    IMHO, one of the best things this blog is the comments section. Unlike many blogs, we who post here love comments and we frequently wade into the comment section ourselves.

    It’s a bit frustrating to me when bloggers almost never respond to comments, but even more frustrating when no comment mechanism is enabled.

    Take River City Rapids, a good blog about Richmond. It formerly allowed comments, but now there’s no way to communicate with “Snoopy” and “Wonder Woman.” There’s not even a way to email them.

    RCR has been covering the Greater Richmond Partnership economic development story quite well. I wanted to add a point or two–not enough to be worthy of a post here on BR, but something I thought might add to an understanding of the issue. I couldn’t do it.

    Virginia bloggers, open up the dialog! Props to Commonwealth Conservative, Salt Lick, Commonwealth Commonsense, Virginia Progressive, and Waldo Jaquith, some of the blogs I read regularly that have participatory comment sections.


  • A Goat for Lt. Governor

    Paul, one of our most passionate readers, made a good point in the comments section of the “‘Politics of Lies’” post. He said Virginians could elect a goat as Lt. Governor and it wouldn’t much matter, given the skimpy duties of the position.

    Those who have read Steve “Blue Dog” Sisson’s profiles of the candidates (here and here)know that each has a different take on the office and different areas of focus, even though the job gives them no power to focus on anything but presiding over the Senate. The job isn’t “Ombudsman for Pet Causes.”

    All that leads me to believe that perhaps we should not encourage ambitious pols to run for Lt. Governor. They would do the Commonwealth much more good in the General Assembly or (gasp!) the private sector. Respected, experienced public servants, perhaps retired from elective or appointed office, should be the kind of candidates who run for Lt. Governor, and maybe even “run” should be eliminated. They would agree to have their names put on the ballot by their party.

    We don’t allow a Governor to run for re-election. Perhaps we shouldn’t allow a Lt. Governor to be elected just to give him or her a platform to run for Governor. This is no commentary on Lt. Gov. Kaine, who has done a fine job. What do we remember about Don Beyer and John Hager, other than that they didn’t become Governor despite frantic campaigning from the Lt. Governor’s office?

    An “elder statesman” Lt. Governor, not seeking higher office, might even help reduce excessive partisanship in the General Assembly. Just something to think about for 2009. In Virginia, it’s never too early to think about the election after the next election.


  • Chamber of Commerce Tax Rally

    If this Commonwealth Commonsense report is accurate, even Russ Potts may not be enough of a tax-raiser to satisfy some people.


  • An Issue That Needs More Than Platitudes

    Every four years Virginia’s gubernatorial candidates announce their positions on economic development: they’re in favor of it.

    This election year, economic development requires more than platitudes. There are several issues related to economic development that are roiling and will require leadership from the new Governor. One Man’s Trash recently surveyed two of the important issues: the future of regionalism and the use of costly incentives to lure companies to the Old Dominion. To those I would add special programs and spending to help “distressed areas” and the heavy use of state resources to promote selling to state government as a business development tool.

    I’ll be looking for Fitch, Kaine, Kilgore, and Potts to talk specifics when they’re asked about economic development. Should we spend more on incentives to be “competitive” with other states, or does this just encourage “shopping” by companies looking for the best short-term deal? Should the state keep encouraging regional pooling of economic development resources, or are potential withdrawals by members of the Greater Richmond Partnership a harbinger of collapsing regionalism? Does Virginia need more “Virginia Works” spending on untested creative ideas or should existing state organizations be held accountable?

    Economic Development is in the midst of tremendous change. Not all those in the business are adjusting their approach enough in the face of change–leadership is critical. I’ll be looking for the candidate who recognizes change and addresses new realities. A cautious approach is exactly what we don’t need, but so far I haven’t seen a lot risk-taking by any of the campaigns.

    It’s still early, though.


  • Connaughton Campaign Responds to “The Politics of Lies”

    Phillip Rodokanakisโ€™ โ€œThe Politics of Lies,โ€ posted March 28 on Baconโ€™s Rebellion, is mind-boggling in its deceitful mudslinging and campaign chicanery, especially since it comes from someone claiming certification as a fraud investigator.

    The โ€œhalf-truths, falsehoods and outright liesโ€ Mr. Rodokanakis lays to Sean Connaughton โ€“ chairman-at large of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors running for the Republican nomination for Virginia lieutenant governor in the June 14 primary โ€“ actually better describe his own article.

    Tellingly, Mr. Rodokanakisโ€™ screed includes false allegations against Sean Connaughton almost identical to those made by his opponent, state Sen. Bill Bolling, in a campaign flier mailed to Virginia voters in December. (Read full text of response.)


  • The Inmates Are Running the Asylum

    If you ever wondered why local governments always run out of money and keep on raising property taxes, the story that ran today in the Washington Times says it all!

    Local governments are asking Gov. Warner to amend a bill approved by both Houses of the General Assembly with veto-proof majorities, to exempt them from having to comply with the requirements of this bill.

    And what is does this bill mandate that our local governments find so offensive? It forbids government agencies from providing Medicaid and welfare benefits to illegal aliens over 19 years of age. What a novel idea, eh?

    But our local governments are up in arms over this bill. Such a draconian bill could put an end to the out-of-control spending of local jurisdictions. How can they continue justifying huge social welfare staffs if they have to cut back to providing such services to illegal aliens? After all, they just donโ€™t have the manpower to screen anyone that comes in through their doors and asks for benefits weโ€™re toldโ€”yet they have the manpower to provide all these benefits in the first place.

    Do you get the idea that the inmates are running the asylum?

    Silly me, I had this ill-conceived notion that such benefits were reserved for the truly needy and were restricted to legal residents only. Now that Gerry Connolly and the other local jurisdictions have explained it to me, I have a much clearer vision of exactly how our tax dollars are being squandered by the likes of Gerry Connolly and out-of-control Boards of Supervisors.


  • Is More Money Really the Answer, Jerry?

    First off, let me give credit where credit is due. Instead of basing his campaign on sound bites and attacks on Tim Kaine, Jerry Kilgore has finally issued a serious position paper. This paper, “Better Pay for Better Teachers” gives us the first meaningful detail into Kilgore’s thinking about education policy. Thank you, Mr. Kilgore, for humoring the policy wonks among Virginia’s electorate — a tiny but vocal constituency.

    Second, let me state that Mr. Kilgore addresses a real problem: The increasing difficulty recruiting and retaining qualified teachers into Virginia’s public schools. It is an issue that merits the attention of our gubernatorial candidates.

    Now that I’ve gotten the obligatory niceties out of the way, let me get to the point. What are you thinking? Who drew up this plan for you — the teacher’s lobby? What’s your goal here — to run to the left of Tim Kaine?

    Kilgore’s solution entails the following: helping teachers repay student loans in exchange for taking jobs in distressed school districts; increasing retirement benefits; providing $5,000 bonuses to teachers who complete the National Board Certification process; and providing $5,000 bonuses to teachers who complete advanced degrees related to their teaching areas. The one really promising idea– creating a performance-based pay system–will be relegated to an Excellence in Education task force.

    Here’s what I’m reading between the lines: Even with Virginia schools awash in more state and federal money than they’ve ever had in their histories, we still need to spend more money! There’s nothing wrong with the public school system in Virginia that spending even more money won’t solve. Moving to a performance-based pay system could, potentially, entail structural change. But pardon my cynicism for suspecting that a performance-based system will turn out to be all carrots (reward good teachers) and no sticks (no thought to actually punishing, demoting or removing anyone).

    Virginia’s educational system needs serious structural reform. Pouring more money into the system is not likely to yield meaningful improvements to outcomes. There’s always the possibility that Kilgore will have more to say about education, so I’m withholding a final judgment. But he could not have launched a policy initiative less likely to appeal to fiscal conservatives.


  • $750 Million Savings in Search of a Candidate

    From the Wilder Commission
    FINAL REPORT
    December 12, 2002
    The Commission recommends that the following steps be taken to streamline and consolidate Virginia state government.
    โ€ข Merge the Virginia Museum of Natural History into the Science Museum of Virginia
    โ€ข Merge the Chesapeake Bay Local Assistance Department into the Department of Conservation and Recreation and maintain as a separate division within the department.
    โ€ข Merge the Commission on Local Government into the Department of Housing and Community Development (maintaining the annexation functions and the collegial body within DHCD)
    โ€ข Merge the State Milk Commission with the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services (with input from the Milk Commissionโ€™s regulants about the best means of accomplishing this task.)
    โ€ข Consolidate the Charitable Gaming Commission, Racing Commission and Lottery into a single department under the Lottery after a determination by the Governor of the most appropriate methods and timing for the consolidation..
    โ€ข Merge the Council on Human Rights with the Office of the Attorney General. (Ensure the maintenance of all functions and the continuation of public input into its operations.)
    โ€ข Integrate Richard Bland College into the Community College System.
    โ€ข Eliminate the Center for Innovative Technology in its existing form and reconstitute it as part of a statewide initiative to enhance Virginiaโ€™s research and development infrastructure.
    โ€ข The Governor should acquire sound business assessments of the real value of a privatized ABC retail operation and develop an RFP process to realize this value and authorize legislation for the 2003 General Assembly session. Privatization should be structured so as to provide at least as equal a revenue stream to the localities and to the state activities that are presently supported by ABC earned income.
    โ€ข Merge Chippokes Plantation into the Department of Conservation and Recreation
    โ€ข Move the office of Consumer Services from the Department of Agriculture
    โ€ข Eliminate all general fund support for the Commonwealth Competition Council
    โ€ข Merge the Department for the Blind and Vision Impaired, the Department for the Deaf and Hard of Hearing and the Department of Rehabilitative Services in a manner that will result in an enhancement and not a diminution of services. The Commission believes a consolidation plan that can result in the provision of more effective services needs to have genuine input and participation from the stakeholder groups.
    โ€ข Develop a common chart of accounts that can identify with precision the total amount of dollars spent on consultants, utilize a return on investment criteria for consultant engagements and implement periodic external reviews of consultant utilization and renewal procedures.
    โ€ข Eliminate the Commonwealthโ€™s function as a power plant operator by developing an energy management process that will enable the private sector to take over the management, upkeep and upgrade of power plants.
    โ€ข The Governor should develop a plan for reforming the administration and funding of local constitutional officers. This plan should examine: a) ways of eliminating duplication of efforts between constitutional officers and local officials; b) the possible regional provision of services currently provided by constitutional officers; c) the possible use of constitutional officers in collecting state receivables to offset potential reductions in general fund support; and d) possible streamlinings and consolidations that could be achieved in the agencies- The Compensation Board and the Commonwealth Attorneys Services Council- that currently administer and support constitutional officers.
    (Click on the comments link below to view the rest of the Wilder Commission recommendations)


  • WP columnist Morse is ‘stomping mad’ at both candidates

    It’s Easter morning!

    Oh yes, and FORGIVENESS is in the morning air. Both ‘Pubs and Dems can be angry at each other, but we have the power of forgiveness thanks to the one above.

    The Blue Dog just returned from early morning Sunrise Easter service and breakfast at my favorite Evangelical church and the Dawg is feeling pretty darn good.

    With church being so early in the morning, I forgot to buy my other Sunday Bible, err … the Washington Post, but the WP is Online! In the Sunday Outlook section, there’s a good article by Democratic pundit Gordon Morse, “Off to an Unimpressive Start” concerning the Kaine and Kilgore’s property tax proposals.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A2204-2005Mar25.html

    Morse concludes in the article: “Adlai Stevenson once advised against running for office in a manner that demonstrates your unfitness for the job. Kaine and Kilgore should bear that in mind.”

    Apparently, WP columnist Morse (another Warner sycophant) is stomping mad at both candidates this time. But look on the bright side, at least Gordon Morse is not another Gov. Warner “Stepford-pundit” like his RT-D counterpart, Jeff ‘Good-Copy’ Shapiro.

    The VA conservative blogging community (i.e. One Mans Trash) are simply sick & tired of reading Richmond Jeff’s ‘good copy’ because he is constantly washing Gov. Warner’s dirty laundry until it’s clean for public consumption.

    He’s also good at removing ‘Kaine-stains’ …

    But did you realize Gordon Morse was the chief speechwriter for Democratic Gov. Gerald Baliles back in the late eighties and served with his administration. During his tenure, the Virginia State budget nearly doubled and taxes were raised numerous times under Gov. Gerald Baliles — who loved spending our taxes as much as collecting them.

    Yes, siree Gordo! He worked for Gov. Gerald ‘budget-busting’ Baliles, who is better known for raising VA’s sales tax and the gasoline tax (as part of a $422 million-a-year transportation tax package that was a bust as well). Baliles is now attempting to resurrect his political career as your favorite special-interests US Senator.

    How apropos considering the Christian holiday of resurrection and redemption?

    Oh, that was mean of the Blue Dog ๐Ÿ™

    Please forgive me, Mr. Baliles?

    And I’m really sorry to bust the ‘Barnie for Senate’ fan club bubble as well. But Democrats can pick their poison here and now, because it’s either ex-Gov. Gerald ‘the Tax Governor’ Baliles — or Gov. Mark ‘the Revenator’ Warner as the 2006 Democratic US Senate candidate.

    Geographically speaking, Gordon Morse is a native of the Shenandoah Valley — so he is fairly knowledgeable about raising state pork and knows all the clever ways to politically spin a tax increase.

    After all, Baliles is the main reason then incoming Gov. Wilder had to cut state government 15-percent across the board. That’s probably the reason why the WP columnist never publishes anything good about the ex-Gov. and current Richmond Mayor Doug Wilder or his trusty sidekick and campaign manager Paul Goldman.

    I’ll need to hop back in the pickup truck before I really get in trouble — and go to town again to purchase a hardcopy of the Washington Post. Then it’s off to Grandma’s house I go — with the wife and our children.

    I’m looking forward to Sunday’s Easter Dinner (and today, I’m forgetting about that ‘low-carb’ starvation diet) with turkey & country ham and mashed tatters and corn pudding and pickled eggs. And topped off with Grandma’s chocolate Coca-Cola cake for dessert.

    Yummy, yummy … That’s eating right.


  • Lift the Wakefield Speaker Ban!

    Governor Jim Gilmore informs me today that he was never allowed to speak at the Shad Planking as a candidate, though Don Beyer was invited. I never knew this and find it personally offensive. The darkest day in North Carolina’s political history, to my way of thinking, was the day the legislature there passed the infamous ‘Speaker Ban’ law. When we reach a point in this country where we are afraid of words, of views, of opinions, where we don’t feel competent to let them compete in the unfettered marketplace of public expression, we are done for as a people. Let this be out cry between now and April 20: Lift the Wakefield Speaker Ban!


  • Shame on the Shad Planking! Let Potts, Fitch speak!

    Regardless of your political stripe, I call on all Virginia bloggers to appeal to Robert Bain, chairman of the Wakefield Ruritan Club’s Shad Planking Committee to make room for declared gubernatorial candidates Russ Potts and George Fitch on the speakers’ rostrum when the Shad Planking commences in Wakefield on April 20. Further, Kilgore and Kaine should insist on it. Potts and Fitch are declared candidates for the highest elective office in this Commonwealth. They deserve to be heard. Do we fear the views of these two men to such an extent that we will be a party to denying them the opportunity to speak? This is Virginia! I think not. If they’re not invited to speak, I’m not going. And I ask you to join me in this expression of indignation. If they’re not invited to speak, please, sit this one out. Don’t be a party to this muzzling. Stay away from Wakefield on April 20.


  • It all goes back to the tax vote in 2004 …

    Phew! Yesterday, the Blue Dog covered two Jerry Kilgore events and interviewed a number of GOP elected officials along with a new House of Delegate GOP candidate, Matt Lohr. I also had lunch with a Republican House of Delegate member who talked about his choice for VA’s next Governor, Jerry Kilgore.

    Q. Guess what I’m going to write about for the next month?
    A. Republicans, Republicans, Republicans.

    Mr. Kilgore and his staff were well organized with good crowds in Staunton and Harrisonburg for the campaign kickoff. Nice media handouts as well with Tim Murtaugh and others following up. The major players were out in force — Landes, Saxman, Cline and Obenshain, while 24th District Senator Hanger was AWOL from both events.

    Two key ‘fiscally conservative’ points with the Kilgore speech:
    1. Updated Taxpayer Bill of Rights; that would give citizens the opportunity to vote on any increase in state sales, gas or income tax.
    2. Another Watchdog Commission (remember the Wilder Commission?); a bipartisan commission to identify burdensome and wasteful regulations for elimination and reform (hmm … I told candidate Kilgore that a Blue Dog on a bipartisan Watch-DOG Commission would be a perfect fit).

    But it’s nice to see BOTH candidates, Kilgore and Kaine, talking the anti-tax talk with property tax relief, but as Governor, are these politicians willing to walk the anti-tax walk?

    The Commonwealth has already been there, done that with Gov. Mark “I will not raise taxes” Warner.

    With a wink and a smile, ‘Pub candidate Jerry Kilgore said he reads the Blue Dog Tales on a regular basis, while last year, Dem Tim Kaine said, “Oh that Blue Dog column. I don’t agree with your tax stands.”

    Hmm … maybe, I should ‘Barney-it-down’ quite a bit with the anti-tax rhetoric.

    There’s more retribution from the red storm that’s rising in the valley:

    Because a Valley ‘Pub told me he was witness to some fireworks at the Clarke County GOP committee meeting last week. Chris Oprison gave a fiery speech denouncing Joe May (who was in attendance) in from of a strong May crowd.

    … He called May’s record “abhorrent,” and said he “says one thing and does another.”

    “You could hear a pin drop. Very tense. After the meeting, May and Oprison had a face to face talk. Don’t know what words were passed but it was quite a show.”

    I say, like a heavy metal rock n roll show …

    If you think it’s over, better think again
    There’ll be no compromise
    Time to hit the power, feel adrenaline
    Move into overdrive

    Here comes the revolution
    Time for retribution

    Revolution by Judas Priest