The Upcoming Contest: Kilgore vs. Fitch

Following my Nov. 29, 2004, column in Bacon’s Rebellion on the “Warrenton Miracle” and the potential candidacy of Mayor George Fitch for the Republican nomination for Governor, I have been inundated with messages from a number of people.


Predictably, the Republican establishment is unhappy at the thought of an intra-Party challenge. Such contests are expensive and the conventional thinking is that they drain the campaign resources of the leading candidates. That sort of thinking only looks at one side of the equation, however.

In reality, intra-Party contests cause a healthy discussion of the issues and force the Party to reassess its priorities and direction. Just going through the motions of picking the candidate that’s been campaigning the longest is no different than holding a coronation.

Here’s is a quote from a message I recently received about the direction of the Kilgore campaign: “Jerry Kilgore’s campaign manager has him following the Mark Earley strategy and if changes are not made, Kilgore will suffer the same sort of defeat that Mark Earley did.” This sort of sentiment is pretty representative in the email messages I get and what I hear from the folks I talk to.

I’m given to understand that George Fitch plans to kick off his campaign on February 8, 2004. Given his economic track record on cutting spending—and taxes—in Warrenton, his candidacy should rejuvenate the dialog as to the direction our Government has taken given the recent double-digit spending increases in the State budget.


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Comments


Comments

  1. E Joseph West Avatar
    E Joseph West

    Read your post on “Kilgore and Fitch” and I agree with many of your comments regarding the benefits of primary challenges.

    The one problem is that Fitch has absolutely no chance of winning the primary and therefore cannot influence the debate very much. It’s a quantum physics sort of thing: just observing phenomena causes a change in the nature of the observed matter. In this case, Fitch’s point has been made and observed by many, but the debate has moved on to other issues. That and he has no political base strong enough to fight the endorsements and base already built by Kilgore.

  2. Jim Bacon Avatar

    Joe, You’re probably right–Fitch probably doesn’t stand a chance against Kilgore. But the Virginia GOP, from what I have observed, is largely bereft of ideas these days. Half the party stands solidly against taxes, but with very few creative ideas on how to address the very real “unmet” needs that are out there. The other half of the party is indistinguishable from the tax-and-spend Democrats. At least George Fitch brings some fresh perspectives to the table. He will push government-process reform and, possibly, land use reform to drive down the cost of government.

    If all the GOP cares about is winning the next election, then a Fitch candidacy might hurt Kilgore’s chances. But, frankly, I don’t really care. I don’t see that Kilgore has a vision for making Virginia competitive in a globally competitive economy characterized by unrelenting technological change–Virginia’s No. 1 challenge. And I don’t see him as the kind of governor capable of making really tough choices. I’m happy to be proven wrong, but I don’t see it from anything he’s done or said.

  3. Will Vehrs Avatar
    Will Vehrs

    Jim, I have to agree with you, but with this caveat: Jerry Kilgore will be a private citizen and full-time candidate starting Feb. 1. Much as we all like a dedicated visionary, we ought to give Kilgore the benefit of the doubt for now–he’s had a job to do and he may not be ready to unveil certain plans or even have these plans fully thought through until the General Assembly end.

    The primary is in June; the election is November. It’s still early, much as we’d like to think the race has already been decided.

  4. Anonymous Avatar

    I’m hoping that some competition in the primaries will sharpen the Kilgore message and get him out in front of voters. As much as I like for my party to win, it does get a bit tiresome to have a 50-50 nation (or state) with everyone voting in lockstep based purely on party affiliation rather than ideas.

    No single party has a lock on good ideas forever.

    Go George!

    By the way, you guys really need trackbacks enabled on this site. I’d like to have linked to you and done the trackback.

    Richard
    the northerncrown weblog

  5. Anonymous Avatar

    Yes, GO GEORGE! The greatest thing about George Fitch so far is that he’s completely fearless, case in point, he’s the first candidate i’ve ever seen post an unedited blog on his website – a bold move, proving what he’s been saying, he’s here for one reason, to tackle the issues: http://www.georgefitch.com/blog.cfm – I’m looking forward to a real race in Virginia, the first in a long time…

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