• More Unintended Consequences: Shutdowns, Alcohol, and Domestic Violence

    The good news… Rapidly declining COVID-19 cases in Virginia

    by James A. Bacon

    As the number of COVID-19 vaccinations administered in Virginia passes the two million mark, new COVID-19 cases in Virginia are falling off rapidly. We can look forward to the day when fear of the virus will be a distant memory. But the damage wrought by the virus — or, to be more accurate, wrought by the lockdowns prompted by the virus — will linger with us for years. Perhaps forย  lifetimes.

    The impact on young children, compelled to learn in an online environment for which they are ill suited, has been well documented. A distressingly high percentage of students, consisting disproportionately of lower-income minorities, has fallen significantly behind academically. Whether they ever catch up is anybody’s guess. But sociologists already areย speculating about the long-term cost of lower educational achievement as reflected by higher dropout rates, increased criminality, lost employment, and lower lifetime wages.

    There may be an even more insidious, more damaging effect of the lockdowns: increased domestic violence and childhood trauma. (more…)


  • Jeanine’s Memes

    Sunday Memes on the Bull Elephant


  • Richmond Ballet: From Celebrating the Sublime to Defining the Dysfunctional


    by Ann McLean

    Who does not love โ€œThe Nutcrackerโ€ performance by the Richmond Ballet at Christmas? The beautiful costumes and magnificent stage sets, the grace of the Sugar Plum Fairy and Clara, the drama of the Mouse King and the delightful vision of the prince and princess traveling in the sleigh together, are visions many look forward to experiencing. White tulle tutus,ย  dancers on โ€œpoint,โ€ a hand held just soโ€ฆa lift, a twirl, a gracefully held armโ€ฆ the precision and careful movements of classical ballet transport the viewer out of the mundane to a place where the human spirit can soar with possibility.

    Human potential โ€” a vision of the goodness and promise of mankind โ€” is on view with classical ballet. Viewers can enjoy the vocabulary of the practiced movements, beautiful set designs, and the carefully choreographed arrangements. Classical ballet is a transformative experience. Nothing quite heals from the drudgery of a long winter like the ballet, especially when combined with the musical arrangements and skill of Pytor Tchaikovsky.

    So, it was with tulle and tutus in mind that I attended the Balletโ€™s February 18th Studio Series performance. After nearly a year of COVID restrictions, social distancing, masking diktats, sheltering at home, and disappointingly small Thanksgiving and Christmas gatherings, I needed the ballet. The fall production had, sadly, featured only one โ€œclassicalโ€ piece โ€” but that magnificent opening dance had lingered in my memory for months. The contemporary pieces, though athletic and skillfully performed, did not transport the spirit in the same way. (more…)


  • Will Northam’s Equity Initiatives Actually Advance Equity?

    by James A. Bacon

    A reader has forwarded to me an email exchange between herself and the Virginia Department of Education (VDOE) regarding the implementation of Critical Race Theory (CRT) in Virginia schools,

    My correspondent received a polite response from “Constituent Services” thanking her for her query. Without addressing CRT directly, the VDOE representative mentioned a number of Northam administration initiatives regarding the teaching of history and implementation of culturally relevant practices. Then she wrote the following, which describes the Northam approach to K-12 education more clearly and succinctly than I have seen anywhere.

    Our goal is to maximize the potential of ALL learners by eliminating the predictability of student outcomes based on race, gender, zip code, ability, socioeconomic status, or languages spoken at home. This will be accomplished through continuous reflection, cultural responsiveness, courageous leadership, compassionate student and family engagement, and curriculum reframing.

    (more…)


  • Medicaid and Medicaid Rate Increases Boost Virginia Hospital Profitability

    The Business of Healthcare

    by James C. Sherlock

    Virginia in 2018 both expanded Medicaid and increased Medicaid reimbursement rates. ย 

    Those changes orchestrated by Virginia hospitals took effect in 2019 and resulted in a major financial windfall to those same hospitals.

    I have compared the 2018 and 2019 Hospitals Operating and Total Margins spreadsheets published by the state through its contractor vhi.org. They provide detailed financial performance information for every hospital in Virginia. The 105 hospitals in 2019 included acute care, rural critical access hospitals, childrenโ€™s, psychiatric, rehabilitation and sub-acute hospitals.

    We will see that when the Medicaid changes kicked in in 2019, Virginiaโ€™s wealthy urban hospital systems got richer. ย 

    But we will also see that those same changes rescued the rural hospitals from barely breaking even in 2018 and enabled them as a class to book extraordinary profits in 2019.

    We will ask at the end of the discussion whether the state-provided outsized profitability of Virginiaโ€™s untaxed non-profit hospital systems may warrant a re-examination of their tax exemptions. (more…)


  • VDH Cleans Up COVID Deaths Stats

    by Carol J. Bova

    Anecdotes and social media comments have insisted that the Virginia Department of Health (VDH) has counted deaths from suicide, gunshot or motor vehicle accidents as COVID-19 deaths.

    On March 19, VDH announced on its COVID-19 Dashboard that it had reviewed more than 10,000 reported COVID-19 deaths using the Virginia Case Definition for COVID-19 Associated Mortality. The announcement said of the reviewed deaths:

    Among these, less than 1% (99 deaths) were determined to not qualify as “COVID-19 associated” deaths per the case definition and [were] re-classified to be a COVID-19 case that did not result in death. Today (3/19/21), a decrease in total net number of COVID-19 deaths is being reported on the VDH COVID-19 dashboard (more COVID-19 deaths were removed than added on 3/19/21).

    Since the net change was -90, that would mean only 9 deaths were recorded on March 18.


  • The War of Words over Robert E. Lee

    A Conversation with Ty Seidule from Washington and Lee News on Vimeo.

    Washington & Lee University recently hosted a video presentation by Ty Seidule, author of “Robert E. Lee and Me: A Southerner’s Reckoning with the Myth of the Lost Cause.” Seidule grew up in Alexandria, where he says he was raised to think of Lee as a god. He certainly doesn’t anymore. In a nutshell, he argues in his book, the No. 1 best seller in Amazon’s books on the history of the Confederacy, that Lee was a traitor to the United States who fought to defend slavery.ย 

    Neely Young and Alfred Eckes present their defense of Lee in a shorter video produced by The Generals Redoubt, a group of W&L alumni dedicated to preserving the Lee name and heritage.

    (more…)


  • Distrust Simplistic Narratives about Anti-Asian Hate Crimes

    Credit: CBS News

    by James A. Bacon

    Attorney General Mark Herring has long made an issue of the rise in hate crimes and white supremacy, which he has conflated as largely one and the same. As he runs a tough campaign for the Democratic Party nomination, he continues to put hate crimes front and center. Besides re-launching a NoHateVa.com section on the attorney general’s website, Herring is leading a virtual discussion with AGs from other states on the hate crime topic du jour, the rise of anti-Asian hate, this afternoon. You can tune in here at 1:00 p.m.

    “This rise in violence and hate against Asian Americans must stop,” proclaims Herring on the NoHateVa website. “It has been fueled by the hateful anti-Asian rhetoric that has plagued our country over the past year, at times even coming from the highest office in the country” — a barely disguised allusion to former President Trump who supposedly, by insisting upon referring to the COVID-19 virus as the Wuhan Flu, Kung Flu or China virus, stimulated the current wave of anti-Asian rhetoric.

    Given the polarization and vitriol of political discourse these days, I am prepared to believe that hate crimes have increased over the past year. And I would not be surprised if the surge is tied in part to a spread in white supremacist ideology on the right-wing fringes. But I suspect that the phenomenon is far more complex than commonly understood. And, until Herring can offer more than anecdotal evidence plucked from headlines around the country, I am not inclined to accept his interpretation of what is happening in Virginia. (more…)


  • We Are Losing Sight of Public Health in Vaccination Debates

    by James C. Sherlock

    We in the process of losing our collective minds.

    I read a story in the Roanoke Times by LuAnne Rife “One-third of Virginia’s long-term care workers declined COVID-19 vaccinations, as homes reopen to visitors.โ€

    We read other stories about teachers refusing vaccinations. They do it pointing to the fact that the vaccines are still under Emergency Use Authorization (EUA).

    Some parents, going with the flow, refuse to vaccinate their children not just for COVID when those vaccines are available for children, but for the MMR vaccine already mandatory for school attendance in Virginia.

    Some teachers and students then โ€œdemandโ€ that the schools accommodate their preferences. Cue the anti-vaxxer hysteria.

    We got to this point partly because the cultureโ€™s political and media elites spent eight months prior to the federal election conditioning the American public, who before COVID by and large did not spend five minutes a year worrying about vaccinations, to think of vaccines as dangerous. Especially if President Trumpโ€™s FDA approved them.

    They did it for political reasons. Now they need to help fix what they broke. (more…)


  • We Pay For All the COVID Funerals, Too?

    by Steve Haner

    Per the Centers for Disease Controlโ€™s tracking, more than 4 million death certificates have been recorded in the U.S. during the COVID-19 pandemic. Only 520,000 of them (those recorded so far) listed COVID as primary or contributing cause of death.ย  The survivors of those individuals are eligible for 100% compensation for funeral expenses under the new round of federal COVID spending.ย  (more…)


  • Odd Behavior by a Loudoun County Teachers / Parents Group

    by DJ Rippert

    Author’s note. There is a story circulating about a private Facebook group focused on Loudoun County schools that is keeping an “enemies list” of people opposed to Critical Race Theory (CRT) as it is being used in the Loudoun County Public Schools. The members of the group reportedly include teachers, parents, school board members and at least one prosecutor. Some within the group have reportedly gone so far as to seek hackers to compromise the websites of groups opposing CRT in Loudoun County.

    I initially picked up this story from an article in The Bull Elephant written by Jeanine Martin. The story was titled, “Loudoun County teachers plot war of harassment against parents and others who disagree with racial curriculum.”ย  That article, published Tuesday, relied on information from Townhall.com and The Daily Wire. I was not sufficiently confident in those sources to either ask for permission to repost Ms. Martin’s article or to write my own summary. However, the story continued to gain traction yesterday and today in the conservative mediaย  Fox News and The Washington Times have picked up on the story. Finally, there is a direct quote attributed to a spokesman for the Loudoun County Sheriff’s Office (Kraig Troxell) stating, “The Loudoun County Sheriffโ€™s Office is aware of the situation and the information has been forwarded to our criminal investigations division to review the matter.” Given that, I believe there is something going on that merits the attention of Bacon’s Rebellion readers. (more…)


  • Troubled Governance at Sentara

    Sentara Martha Jefferson Hospital

    by James C. Sherlock

    I have been studying and writing about Sentara Healthcare for 15 years. Sentara has during that time both expanded significantly and been mired in seemingly endless controversies regarding such widely reported issues as:

    • its death grip on the COPN process and business practices, which together have strangled their much weaker competitors in Hampton Roads;
    • its captive HMO Optima Health, which in 2018 raised ACA Individual Policy rates to the nation’s highest in Charlottesville and Albemarle County when Anthem pulled out of that market for a year and left Optima offering policies on the exchange. The severe financial distress to individual policyholders made headlines all over the state;
    • the ongoing reporting of conflicts of interests by a Circuit Court judge who had served as a Sentara attorney before sitting and ruling in favor of Sentara;
    • fierce pressure applied in the courts on people who could not pay their medical bills before the publicity and subsequent state and federal pressure effectively stopped it;
    • a senior Sentara executive threatening political retribution against a member of the Virginia Senate;
    • secret negotiations among Sentara, ODU, and a powerful group of businessmen in Hampton Roads to dump Eastern Virginia Medical School (EVMS) onto the taxpayers and take its profitable physicians practices; and
    • other headlines too often reporting unseemly activities.

    Those issues indicate poor executive leadership, ineffective board governance and a toxic culture.

    I recently completed a private study of the corporate architecture of Sentara to see what might be in its DNA that produces such results. Consider this an analyst’s note to shareholders, the public served by Sentara. (more…)


  • Podcast: How the General Assembly Has Changed

    By Peter Galuszka

    I haven’t contributed much to BR lately since I am slammed with non-Virginia work. I did manage to help out on a Podcast about how the General Assembly has changed the state over the last two years as Democrats have gained power.

    This Podcast is produced by WTJU, the University of Virginia radio station. I do a weekly talk show on state politics and economics and, on occasion, work on Podcasts.

    Joining me is Sally Hudson, a delegate from the Charlottesville area. She is Assistant Professor of Public Policy, Education and Economics. Sally studied at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Stanford and is one of the youngest members of the General Assembly.

    I hope you enjoy it.


  • The Resistance Gathers: UVa Edition

    This letter to University of Virginia alumni and parents appears in a change.org petition. As of 11:00 p.m., March 18, it had racked up 1,769 signatures. — JAB

    As students at the University of Virginia during a time of crisis, we are reaching out for alumni and parent support. Unfortunately, we are writing this letter anonymously because we have seen a violent backlash at the University toward people who speak up against COVID restrictions. As for Alumni, during your time at the University, voices that spoke in favor of freedom and the student experience did not receive the same treatment, and were likely hailed as leaders and protectors of the invaluable traditions that have been crucial aspects of student life here for generations. As for parents, you undoubtedly sent your child to this University under the impression that the principles stated above would be represented by our leaders, but we must apologize to the many parents of first years. This has been an abysmal year, and we can say first hand that the experience of first years has been worse than we could have ever imagined. (more…)


  • The Resistance Gathers: VMI Edition


    by James A. Bacon

    A group of Virginia Military Institute alumni have created a political action committee, The Spirit of VMI, to raise money to support political candidates who are friendly to the preservation of VMI institutions and traditions.

    “Our mission and objectives are to stop the decay of VMI caused by outside legislative influence,” declares the Spirit of VMI website. The unpaid organizers behind the PAC will consult with “seasoned politicians and operatives” on how to spend the funds it raises. “We have a long way to go, but have a pretty strong start.”

    In its own words, the group is dedicated to protecting the following:

    • The VMI honor code
    • The education of young women and men
    • The regimental system (VMI’s leadership system)
    • The class system (the foundational system building camaraderie and lifelong friendships among VMI years/classes)
    • The VMI ratline (the crucible for all freshmen)

    (more…)