• The “Honesty Gap” Is Dishonest

    by David Wojick

    Loyal Baconeers know what the so-called “Honesty Gap” is, as we have been discussing it at length. It is heavily featured in a recent report from the Virginia Department of Education. The gap itself is the big difference between the numerical thresholds of “proficiency” used by Virginia versus the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) for certain test regimes. NAEP’s threshold is much higher than Virginia’s (and most other States).

    The gap has nothing to do with honesty, just language. Virginia has two tiers of passing scores: โ€œproficientโ€ and โ€œadvanced.โ€ย NAEP has three: โ€œbasic,โ€ “proficientโ€ and โ€œadvanced.โ€ย ย What Virginia calls proficient aligns closely to what NAEP calls basic. Comparing Virginia students’ SOL pass rates at the proficient level with their NAEP pass rates at the proficient level is likening apples to organges.

    So, where does “honesty” come in? This is where the story gets interesting, and in my view unpleasant. It turns out that “honesty gap” is hyperbolic rhetoric, spawned by an advocacy group.

    The Honesty Gap ( HonestyGap.org) is a project of the Collaborative for Student Success, which is funded by a number of prominent left-wing foundations. The project home page immediately hits you with this grandiose pronouncement:

    Parents deserve the truth. Historically, states have exaggerated the percent of students who are proficient โ€“ as demonstrated by the huge gaps that have existed between state NAEP scores and what states report as their proficiency rate.

    (more…)


  • Progressive Dogma Untethered to Results – Voter Laws Edition

    by James C. Sherlock

    The armies of the progressive left are what the great political scientist George Edwards called “Prisoners of Their Premises.โ€ Many persons and institutions are captives, to a greater or lesser degree.

    Lesser is better in this case. Mistakes flow from the best of intentions. You can learn from them or repeat them.

    The United States military late in the Vietnam war mandated and then made a science out of analyzing its mistakes in order to learn from them.

    At the unit level, soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines debrief after every training and combat mission. At higher levels the reviews are periodic, but also professionally honest. Combat training schools capture, but do not enshrine those lessons. Because there is always a next time, newer equipment, newer force compositions, newer enemies and newer lessons.

    It is the only way to improve systematically.

    Many progressives, in solitary confinement with their dogma, are often wrong but always certain. When their policy prescriptions fail to provide the predicted results, which is most of the time, outcomes are ignored or blamed on outside factors beyond their control. Core beliefs, unchallenged, are undisturbed.

    Consider for illustration recent voting law changes. (more…)


  • The Grift Behind Grades and Growth

    by James A. Bacon

    Virginia’s public school officials rely upon a wide array of metrics to determine if schools are doing a good job of educating their students. Trusting in the integrity of the statistics, our political leaders use them to guide education policy and decision-making — as recently highlighted by the data-heavy critique of Virginia’s schools published by the Youngkin administration last week.

    I have written about Fletcher Norwood (not his real name), a high school teacher at a high-poverty school in Virginia, and his travails in teaching kids who are unmotivated, ill disciplined and addicted to cellphones. The system he describes is reminiscent of that of Chinese provincial functionaries concocting economic-performance numbers to make themselves look good, passing them up the line, and leaving higher-ups in Beijing with a distorted view of reality. Metrics malpractice at Norwood’s school is particularly evident in the handing out of grades and the measurement of student “growth.”

    Consider, for example, enrollment in the two “honors” classes that Norwood teaches. Collegevine says that most schools give honors classes an additional 0.5 grade kicker on a 1.0 to 4.0 scale in acknowledgment of the more demanding curricula.ย Some schools are motivated to place kids in honors classes because the weight-boosted average makes the school look better. But at his school, Norwood says, there is no discernible logic for admitting students to the honors classes he teaches.

    “When I first started with honors classes, I asked [students], what’s the difference between a regular class and an honors class? At least a quarter of them would say, ‘I don’t know why I’m honors, I got a D last year,” Norwood says. (more…)


  • Youngkin Endorses Dominion Wind Project

    by Steve Haner

    Republican Governor Glenn Youngkinโ€™s administration has filed a letter with the State Corporation Commission asking the regulators to approve the Dominion Energy Virginia application to build a 176-turbine Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project.

    The letter was on Department of Energy letterhead and signed by that agencyโ€™s director, John Warren, a holdover from the Democratic Ralph Northam administration. (more…)


  • Inflation and the Budget

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    In addition to conventional budget requests, the Youngkin administration is likely to receive requests from agencies in the fall budget development exercise for additional funding to enable them to cover additional costs resulting from higher inflation. (Yes, I realize that the 2022-2024 biennial budget has not even been agreed upon yet, but, once one round is out of the way, budget folks are always getting ready for the next round.)

    With some exceptions, inflation is not normally built into budget bills. Budget development for a biennial budget starts with a base budget, which is the appropriation for the second year of the most recent biennium. Adjustments are made to the base, but rarely are those adjustments for inflation. As for the mid-biennium budget, agencies normally are not provided additional appropriations to cover inflationary costs. (more…)


  • Who Will Replace Us?

    by Jim McCarthy

    Who is the โ€œwhoโ€ doing the replacing? Who is the โ€œusโ€ to be replaced? There is no discernable record that indigenous Americans asked themselves this question. In the early 1600s, the Powhattan people of Virginia observed as the English immigrants built a fort and spread their settlement across formerly Powhattan hunting grounds. In 1622, the natives attacked as a measure, according to some historians, to teach the English a lesson.

    From the circumstances, indigenous peoples were clear that the newcomers were not of their tribe nor sharing of their sensibilities; they were others with pale skins determined to clear and dominate forested lands for agriculture unburdened by who went before them. The existential evidence was reasonably graphic to conclude that the Powhattan were being replaced, their properties being converted without concern for their interests.

    Although the later governing document authored by the immigrant colonialists appeared to accord native Americans the high diplomatic privilege of reserving to the Congress explicit authority to regulate commerce and negotiate treaties with them, the document also excluded untaxed natives from the census. That Constitution ironically contained a provision limiting the taking of property without due process or just compensation. In 1800, Congress adopted an act for the preservation of peace with the natives limiting First Amendment speech and press freedoms as a means to proscribe criticism of national policies and discourage foreign nations from stirring them to protest. (more…)


  • Jeanine’s Memes

    From The Bull Elephant


  • TAVR Tuesday and Barbecue Thursday

    by Steve Haner

    Fourteen nights in a hospital, especially if you are fully awake and observant, is very instructive. Here are some things I want to share:

    The hospitals are understaffed and otherwise under major stress, to the point that patient standards of care have changed. As nice and diligent as everyone is, nurses or technicians can be withย onlyย one patient at a time, and the charting they must do is extensive.

    When the order for a vital test is placed at 11 a.m. and it finally happens at 2 a.m. the next morning, with two lonely techs running the CT machine through the dead of night, thatโ€™s about staffing. A 3 a.m. room visitor coming to conduct an ultrasound at bedside is a sign that team is also shorthanded. (more…)


  • The Honesty Gap: Yes, Virginia, There Is a Problem

    by Andrew Rotherham

    Two days ago, Governor Glenn Youngkin released the analysis of achievement and accountability in Virginiaย that was part of his executive order package when he took office. Itย was an open secret this was comingย โ€“ it was right there in the EO โ€“ yet there is still some surprise.ย Hereโ€™s theย RTD.

    The surprise is likely because itโ€™s pretty comprehensive. Itโ€™s reflexively getting framed as Youngkin versus Ralph Northam โ€“ the previous governor โ€“ but the problems the report outlines are more longstanding.

    And they are real. If you live in the commonwealth you should read it because itโ€™s an important and relatively unsparing look at achievement gaps that are too rarely discussed in Virginia, and some of the gamesmanship employed to sweep them under the rug. It also has information about overall achievement that is sobering. There is a lot of work to do to create a genuinely inclusive school system in Virginia…

    First, the report is a good look at the tension between looking good and doing well or as we sometimes call it around here,ย achievement realists versus public relationists. Every state should think about an analysis like this that gets beneath the puffery and reflexive tendency toย focus on silver linings disproportionately to clouds. (more…)


  • Virginia Absentee Ballots: Absent from the State?

    by Lindsey Zea

    For election accountability purposes, chain of custody for ballots should be observable and publicly verifiable. So, why are two of the largest counties in Virginia, as well as other localities, planning to expand the chain of custody to include a third-party absentee-ballot processing company from Washington state that was caught red-handed ignoring the security measures built into the law?

    Before 2021, absentee ballots were mailed from local registrarsโ€™ offices and processed and supervised by the registrarโ€™s staff. In 2021, a bill (SB 1239) was passed that permits localities to hire a third-party company to print, assemble, and mail absentee ballots. Once hired, this vendor receives the name, address, precinct, district and voter ID information for individual voters. In Loudoun County, for example, the list of permanent absentee ballots that would be handed over to the private vendor would number around 15,000.

    Last year, Fairfax County, the most populous county in Virginia, outsourced the printing and mailing of absentee ballots to a company called K&H located in Washington state. K&H failed to follow Virginia law. The company did not sign a legally required oathย before beginning work. A public information request found that the vendor failed to comply with Virginia law and did not sign the oaths until months after the election was over. (more…)


  • Bacon Meme of the Week

    Hat tip: John Butcher


  • Can Education Standards Be Brought Back?

    by Chris Braunlich

    โ€œ… score standards were adopted that made it easier for students to pass; and changes in accreditation regulations let schoolsย off the hook for their failures.โ€

    The words of Governor Glenn Youngkin at Thursdayโ€™s unveiling of a new report analyzing the decline of Virginiaโ€™s public education?

    Nope.ย They came from The Washington Post, in a February 8, 2020 editorial titled โ€œVirginia made a mistake by easing its academic standards.โ€

    Three years earlier, The Post presciently predicted the standards decline after interviewing the future governor:ย โ€œMr. Northam claimed to believe in accountability, but was utterly unable to explain what he means by the word,โ€ as Northam suggested different standards for different students.

    An editorial titled, โ€œVirginiaโ€™s retreat from academic rigor,โ€ noted:ย โ€œCreating different expectations for children does them no favors; it just allows adults to escape responsibility…. The emphasis appears to be not on actually improving schools but rather on approving how they appear….โ€

    This was precisely the result of the last eight years.ย And it is precisely what the Virginia Department of Education report has exposed. (more…)


  • The Empire Strikes Back

    by James A. Bacon

    That didn’t take long. Yesterday the Youngkin administration issued its report detailing the perilous condition of Virginia’s public schools. Today the
    progressive educational establishment struck back, thoroughly rejecting the administration’s claims that educational performance is heading in the wrong direction.

    The most forceful denunciations are found in The Washington Post, which not only quoted numerous critics of the report, but joined in the fray with its own “analysis” suggesting that Team Youngkin’s “use of data is misleading.”

    According to the Post (quoting verbatim):

    Senate Majority Leader Richard L. Saslaw (D-Fairfax)ย said in a statement: โ€œTo accuse Virginiaโ€™s education system of failure is an outright lie, supported by cherry-picked data and warped perspective.โ€

    The Virginia Education Association, a teachers union,ย called the reportย โ€œbiasedโ€ and designed to โ€œget the public to want school choice measures like vouchers.โ€ The association sharedย a video of [Secretary of Education Aimee] Guideraย speaking at an April panel hosted by the American Enterprise Institute, in which she promised to publish data on studentsโ€™ poor academic performance to โ€œhopefully โ€ฆ have those conversations about expanding choices outside the public system.โ€ (more…)


  • Two News Organizations Report on the Youngkin Administration Initiative to Improve K-12 Outcomes

    by James C. Sherlock

    I submit for your review two articles about the report of the Virginia Superintendent of Public Instruction, โ€œOur Commitment to Virginiansโ€.

    The first is by Sarah Rankin of the Associated Press.

    The other is by Hannah Natanson of The Washington Post.

    Both review the same report. ย Both are presented as news not opinion.

    That report promises broad attempts to improve the education of all Virginia public school children. I suggest that is what we employ a Superintendent of Public Instruction to do.

    Read both stories and the report in question. Make the effort a Rorschach test.

    What do you see?


  • Youngkin’s Principles for Achieving Educational Excellence

    by James A. Bacon

    Educational outcomes in Virginia have been trending negative since 2017, says a report issued by the Youngkin administration today, “Our Commitment to Virginians: High Expectations and Excellence for All Students.”

    So… how does Team Youngkin plan to get things moving in the right direction?

    Broadly speaking, the answer is to raise expectations and raise standards.

    In the Youngkin administration narrative, a succession of Republican and Democrat governors built one of the best public education systems in the country by setting ambitious goals and holding schools accountable. Beginning around 2017 concerns over racial disparities in academic performance prompted policies that, though well meaning, had the effect of watering down standards and hiding failure. Youngkin is determined to restore the commitment to excellence.

    โ€œThe future prosperity of our Commonwealth depends on how well we prepare our students,โ€ the Governor said in a prepared statement today. โ€œWorking alongside parents, teachers, and policymakers, we will restore excellence in education and ensure that all students have access to quality education opportunities that prepare them for success in our workplaces, our communities, and our democracy.โ€ (more…)