• Blacks Don’t Always Think the Way White Cultural Elites Think They Do

    by James A. Bacon

    Governor Glenn Youngkin’s popularity in Virginia was the top-line story from a new Virginia Commonwealth University poll. The survey, published yesterday, found that 49% of Virginians polled approve of his job as governor compared to 38% who disapprove. It’s not surprising to see his popularity holding up so well. Virginians tend to be favorably disposed toward governors not caught up in scandal, and Youngkin is no exception.

    The more interesting data from the poll was buried in the VCU press release. Two points stand out: attitudes of Blacks toward taxes, and attitudes of Whites toward Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs).

    Leaving the plantation on taxes. Youngkin’s tax cut on gas is more popular among African-Americans than the electorate as a whole. The three-month elimination of the motor vehicles fuel tax garnered a 58% approval rating from all Virginians but 76% from Blacks. (Elimination of the state portion of the grocery tax was broadly popular across the partisan divide, with seven out of ten Virginians in favor. VCU did not break out the results for Blacks on that question.) (more…)


  • Mitigating Nurse, Teacher and Police Officer Shortages in Virginia – An Illustrative Example

    by James C. Sherlock

    Virginia is currently dealing with big shortages of nurses, teachers and police officers.

    If any one doubts that, please consult other conversations that have already been presented on this blog. We have also written here about working conditions for all three professions. Those need to be addressed and, again, have been on this blog. But not in this article.

    This article is about state funding to address statewide shortages in professions — education, health care, and law enforcement — without which society cannot function.

    College degree programs. The shortages of undergraduate candidates for degrees as registered nurses and teachers are projected to get worse with the “freshman cliffโ€ in 2025.

    The โ€œcliffโ€ represents a 15% drop in freshman prospects beginning in 2025 due to the decline in birth rate in the 2008 recession and lasting for years after. Those missing babies in 2008 would have begun entering college in 2025.

    Cops. The recruiting of cops has collapsed for cultural reasons including the public trashing and resulting lack of respect for cops and the frustrations and increased dangers (see any article on progressive prosecutors) on the job.

    Methodology. I will offer the data on current state budget investments in higher education, K-12 education, health care and law enforcement and recommend targeted investments in new teachers, new registered nurses and new cops.

    The Virginia Employment Commission is of no help currently in recruiting for these positions, and needs to re-evaluate and reform its statewide support.

    The strategic recommendations are firm. But while I have chosen the numbers of positions and investments in the requirements with some general care, they are used for impact illustration only. (more…)


  • Who’s Scared of Monkeypox? Not Me.

    by Kerry Dougherty

    Read the increasingly hysterical stories about monkeypox and youโ€™ll learn that public health officials are โ€œscrambling,โ€ โ€œgrapplingโ€ and โ€œstruggling.โ€

    They donโ€™t know what to do to slow the spread of this nasty, but rarely fatal disease.

    The WHO has declared a public health emergency, its highest level of alert. The Biden administration may do something similar soon now that 3,591 Americans have been infected. That will supposedly free up more vaccines or something.

    The fact is, these โ€œexpertsโ€ know EXACTLY what to do. They just wonโ€™t do it.

    Letโ€™s be brutally honest here. So far, the WHO says 98% of the cases are in gay men who have multiple sex partners. Often strangers. Yet the same experts keep warning the rest of us not to be complacent about monkeypox. (more…)


  • Bill to Bury Fauquier Powerline Comes to You

    Various proposed power line routes from Warrenton’s Blackwell Road substation. Dominion illustration. Click to expand.

    by Steve Haner

    One of the key skills in politics is to make your constituents happy with money provided from those far, far away. It is happening again as Fauquier Countyโ€™s leaders want the General Assembly to force all Dominion Energy Virginiaโ€™s ratepayers to pay to bury a 230-kv power line out of sight from their voters.ย  (more…)


  • A Shameful Shallowness of Intellect

    by James A. Bacon

    The University of Virginia Student Council has called for the immediate resignation of alumnus Bert Ellis from the Virginia Board of Visitors, and chastises Governor Glenn Youngkin’s decision to appoint him as “rewarding behavior that endangers students.”

    Ellis stands in a long line of violent racist oppressors, says the proclamation. “From the bondage and abuse experienced by enslaved people, to the violent occupation by Nazis and KKK members, to Bert Ellis — the Lawn is no stranger to racist violence under the guise of ‘Jeffersonian ideals’ in order to maintain power for the white elite.”

    No, Ellis hasn’t marched in neo-Nazi rallies. He hasn’t burned any crosses. He hasn’t even used the N-word. His primary offense was a professed intention — never acted upon — to use a small razor blade to cut the infamous “Fuck UVA” sign from the door of a Lawn resident. “Whether or not Ellis used his blade, whether or not Ellis threatened the student directly,” the Council declared, “his conduct is reprehensible.” (more…)


  • Violent Crime Now the Top Public Health Concern

    Community violence and crime constitute the No. 1 “public health issue” that concerns registered voters in Virginia, finds the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association (VHHA) in a poll released today. Fifty-one percent of the 800 Virginians polled selected the issue.

    The No. 2 concern was healthcare work shortages, which logged the top vote from 25% of respondents. (The VHHA press release did not indicate which other concerns, such as COVID-19, that people could select from.)

    The poll also found that: (more…)


  • Richmond Police Unveil Anti-Violence Strategy

    Major Ronnie Armstead

    by James A. Bacon

    Shootings and homicides are surging in Richmond this year, and city police have a new strategy to bring the situation under control. They’re compiling a list of “shooters” and potential shooters. In a Monday press conference, Major Ronnie Armstead, who is leading the initiative, said the list includes “violent people that are known to be shooters, even if they didn’t have a record.”

    The police have compiled the list, which now has about 100 names, by identifying individuals who have shot people in the past, by talking to members of the community, and by tracking social media, among other means, reports Virginia Public Media. โ€œOne thing about these individuals is they love their guns, they love to post [online],โ€ Armstead said. โ€œWe look at things like that as part of an investigative tool to track these individuals and apprehend them.โ€

    โ€œWe’re going after those trigger pullers throughout the city, and especially in the Big Six,โ€ Armstead said last week. (The Big Six refers to the city’s six housing projects.) So far, police have arrested at least 45 public housing residents and charged them with 188 felony counts and 138 misdemeanors.

    That seems like a positive, proactive approach. Take lawbreakers off the streets for legitimate crimes and misdemeanors, and focus scarce resources on those posing the highest risk of violence.ย  (more…)


  • Wojick on Whales II: Missing BOEM Report?

    by David Wojick

    In my previous article I raised this question: what is the potential adverse impact of Virginiaโ€™s massive offshore wind project on the severely endangered North Atlantic Right Whales? Answering this basic question should be a central feature of the upcoming Environmental Impact Analysis (EIA) required for the wind project by the National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA).

    The 70-ton North Atlantic Right Whales migrate through Virginia’s offshore waters twice a year, making the impact of these proposed huge offshore wind projects a serious question. I have been doing some digging, and the results are puzzling. We may have some secret science going on.

    To begin with, while there has been a lot of research on these whales, it has almost all been done in their northern and southern habitat zones. There is almost nothing on migration, even though migration is especially dangerous for any critters that do it, whales included.

    So, it is not clear that we even have a clear picture of how they migrate through the waters where these massive wind projects are proposed. A lot of the risk depends on how they migrate, and we seem not to know much about that.

    I say we โ€œseem not to knowโ€ because someone in the federal government may actually know more than they are prepared to divulge. This is where it gets puzzling, as follows. (more…)


  • Capitalism is the Solution To, Not the Cause Of, the Affordable Housing Crisis

    by James C. Sherlock

    My colleague Dick Hall-Sizemore posted a column here on housing for the poor. He titled it โ€œLittle Guys Lose Again.โ€ His opening:

    A recent article on this blog about the high cost of housing generated a considerable amount of discussion. Much of the discussion centered around the role of government in contributing to the affordable housing shortage.

    I offer another reason: good old-fashioned capitalism.

    Interesting perspective, but I disagree.

    I offer a question directly on point: why have federal antipoverty housing programs failed in their missions? Why is there not enough low cost housing for the poor?

    We will pursue the answer. Hint — the problem isnโ€™t capitalism. Not even a little bit. (more…)


  • Sneering at Flyover Country


    by Scott Dreyer

    Thoughtful people are concerned about the growing divisiveness in our culture, with so many โ€œfault linesโ€ like those from earthquakes cracking up our country. Much of the tension relates to groups pitted against each other: Democrat vs. Republican, men vs. women, older vs. younger, skin color A vs. skin color B, college-educated vs. high school graduates, rich vs. working class, etc.

    As Americans who value our country and its freedoms, we should know that Marxism is based on the idea of โ€œclass struggle.โ€ Brainwashing groups to hate each other has long been a way for tyrants to weaken a country internally by dividing its people into mutually-hostile factions, at which point itโ€™s easier for a small clique to take over.

    The longer I live, the more I believe a major fault line in the U.S. is between largely urban โ€œcoastal elitesโ€โ€ฆ and the rest of us. (more…)


  • Liberal Democracy, Illiberal Institutions

    Maybe no one wants to work for a public education system that hates our values.

    by Shaun Kenney

    Carl Schmitt isnโ€™t precisely a household name. The German political theorist was a deep reader of Thucydides and Thomas Hobbes, whose evolution of thought occurred during the fratricidal tumult of Weimar Germany in the 1920s.

    One of Schmittโ€™s particular insights was the totalitarian nature of political parties, namely that the adjudication of power is both an authoritarian act and a totalitarian demand on the consciences of those who participate in it.

    Consider for a moment those who waver on any particular piece of Republican orthodoxy โ€” tax cuts, the right to life, the Second Amendment, immigration, supporting our police, or a robust national defense posture. Or on the left with the presence of a social welfare state, abortion on demand, gun control, open immigration policies, defunding the police, or a liberal internationalist order.

    One could be an avowed communist, but if that person also happened to be pro-life? The Democrats would savage that individual. Conversely, consider a Republican who was rock solid on every issue except life. Would most Republicans vote for that person? Probably not.

    (more…)


  • Little Guys Lose, Again

    Smitty’s Mobile Home Park, Norfolk. ย  Photo credit: Virginian Pilot

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    A recent article on this blog about the high cost of housing generated a considerable amount of discussion.ย ย  Much of the discussion centered around the role of government in contributing to the affordable housing shortage.

    I offer another reason: good old-fashioned capitalism.

    A recent article in Theย Virginian Pilot well illustrates this point. A mobile park in Norfolk in which approximately 100 mobile homes are located has been sold to an Alexandria-based real estate company.

    The real estate company paid $9.75 million for the 12-acre park. It did not shell out this money to own and operate a mobile home park. It plans to construct a 418-unit apartment and townhome complex with a pool, a clubhouse and a recreation area. The current tenants have until March 2023 to vacate. Some have lived there for more than fifty years. (more…)


  • Debunking Another Junk Study from the Left

    Source: The Prison Policy Initiative

    by James A. Bacon

    The Prison Policy Initiative, a group dedicated to exposing “the broader harm of mass criminalization,” has published data detailing the incarceration rate of communities across Virginia. Among Virginia’s 95 counties and 38 cities, 26 are missing at least 1% of their population to incarceration, finds “The geography of mass incarceration in Virginia.

    Among the more notable findings: while the cities of Norfolk and Richmond send the largest numbers of people to prison, less populous localities — Martinsville, Petersburg, Franklin, Buchanan, Lee, Dickenson and Brunswick — are missing a larger share of their populations. Moreover, within localities incarceration rates differ widely by neighborhood.

    The data is interesting and potentially useful, but the analysis that accompanies it is atrocious. If the numbers prove anything, it’s that “mass incarceration” knows no racial boundaries. The poverty-ridden Appalachian counties of Lee, Buchanan and Dickenson are overwhelmingly White. But the authors slight that obvious fact in favor of linking incarceration with “systemic racism.”

    This passage is typical: “Decades of systematic oppression and divestment from these poorer communities of color โ€” which we know are overpoliced โ€” have left these historically redlined communities particularly vulnerable to Virginiaโ€™s modern-day reliance on mass incarceration.”

    Where do I begin? (more…)


  • Wonders Never Cease: WaPo Gives Fair Treatment to Alumni Rebellion

    Bert Ellis, UVa graduate, president of The Jefferson Council, and newly appointed to the University of Virginia Board of Trustees, is highlighted in The Washington Post article on the alumni-led free speech movement.

    by James A. Bacon

    Every once in a while The Washington Post reminds us of the kind of newspaper it used to be — capable of producing balanced journalism. Education reporter Susan Svrluga has published an article describing the rise of what I (not she) call the alumni rebellion. She cites the concerns of Virginia-based organizations — the Jefferson Council (on whose board I serve), the Spirit of VMI, and the General’s Redoubt — as well as allied groups in Princeton, MIT and other nationally known universities about the erosion of free speech on college campuses.

    Svrluga doesn’t squeeze our statements into a left-wing narrative, she doesn’t mischaracterize our concerns, and she quotes us fairly, accurately, and in context. To be sure, she gives space to those who minimize our allegations about the state of higher-ed today — as it is her obligation to do. It’s important for readers to know that not everyone agrees with us.

    The contrast with Ian Shapira, The Washington Post author of repeated hit jobs on the Virginia Military Institute, is dramatic. Shapira epitomizes the new school of journalism. He started with his narrative of VMI as a systemically racist institution, uncritically repeated information that confirmed his belief, and ignored or sought to discredit information that did not. He did go through the motions of producing pro-forma statements for the “other side of the story,” but he never let them interrupt his pre-determined narrative.

    So, kudos to Svrluga for letting us tell our story.

    While I am grateful for Svrluga highlighting the new alumni-led free-speech movement, I do believed that she missed a critical angle. By way of preface, I need to quote UVa spokesman Brian Coy and renowned political scientist Larry Sabato. (more…)


  • What Virginia Gets Right About K-12 Education

    by Matt Hurt

    Much controversy surrounded Superintendent Jillian Balowโ€™s report (Our Commitment to Virginians) in May 2022. While I disagree with a few of the details included in the report, I agree with (and have written about) many of the main concerns that were presented. If we want to have the best educational program in the country, we need to increase expectations and accountability. Luckily, Virginia laid a solid educational foundation in the 1990s which provides the basis which can help us produce the most successful students in the country.ย ย 

    First, Virginia developed (and continues to update) a set of grade-level standards which ensured a continuum of skill attainment from year to year. These standards were sequenced to build upon prerequisite skills from the prior year, are very well aligned vertically, and the skills expectations in each grade are reasonable for the vast majority of students to master. While some may argue that this system might hold some students back from progressing at a quicker rate, there is nothing in the regulations which states that schools canโ€™t accelerate students through this progression.

    Second, Virginia has supplied educators with curricular documents (curriculum frameworks) which fully communicate exactly what students are expected to know, understand, and be able to do. (more…)