• Who Will Report the News?

    According to an article in today’s Virginian-Pilot, WHRO, Hampton Roads’ public television station, has cut its staff from 103 to 79 — 23 percent — over the past four years. Departed employees include engineers, announcers, fundraisers and producers, some with 20-plus years of service. Reports the Pilot: “Critics say the station has hollowed out its capability to produce local programming, which they view as central to its public mission.”

    I suspect that WHRO is not alone. The Mainstream Media, both broadcast and newspapers, suffer tremendous cost-cutting pressures as audiences slowly shrink, advertising revenues stagnate and media corporations seek to prop up profit margins to appease shareholders. I would hypothesize that the newsrooms of Virginia’s newspapers and television stations — at least those outside of fast-growing markets in Northern Virginia — are smaller today than they were 10 years ago. Does anyone have any hard data to confirm or falsify that?

    If I’m right, and if the trends continue, and if newsroom expenses continue to get cut — and how can they not, with the Internet and Cable TV continuing to drain audiences — who will report the community the news? Are we witnessing the decline of the Golden Age of American journalism? Or will the Internet find a business model to support news coverage of its own, and step in to fill the void?


  • Post Poll Shows Kilgore at 51

    Today’s Washington Post is first out of the box with a post Labor Day poll and it shows Jerry Kilgore up by 7, with 51 percent, among likely voters. When all the registered voters they talked to (self-reported) are included the lead was 4, with Kilgore at 45 and Tim Kaine at 41. Potts was at 4-5 percent in both samples. You have to do a bit of digging to find that 51 percent number, because Shear concentrates on the smaller 45-41 lead among “all” registered voters. Some of us kind of doubt there will be a 100 percent turnout, Mike. Not everyone who tells a pollster they are registered really is.

    Among the most engaged likely voters the “undecided” is down to 2 percent, leaving little room for Kaine or Potts to grow without taking votes away from Kilgore or each other. Strap on your body armor — here come the attacks.

    The Post also included a summary of the results, which is where you can find the 51 percent figure in question 4. It does not report any of the demographics on its sample or the crosstabs. In the past the Post has weighted parts of its sample to force the demographics to fit what it expects the electorate to look like on Election Day. But it would be interesting to see just what the breakdown is among the various voting blocks.


  • Goldman/Holsworth on the Kaine-Kilgore Campaigns

    Paul Goldman, long-time Doug Wilder confidant and “Secretary for Change” for the city of Richmond, is known for his occasional e-mail missives, which I’ve dubbed Goldmangrams. Here’s his latest, which is unusually succinct:

    My good friend Larry Sabato, head of the UVA’s Center for Politcs and highly regarded seer of things campaign-wise, is known for his one-liners: but right now, he is playing second fiddle to the newly quotable Professor Robert Holsworth of the upcoming VCU public administration and politics team.

    Sorry Larry, but the Holsworthism quoted below has got the Oscar for best one-liner unless you UVA folks can really get something cooked up in the next two months.

    “The emails coming out of both the Kaine and Kilgore campaigns resemble a student body election rather than a governor’s race,” Robert Holsworth told Goochland Republicans at their luncheon.

    New technology yes, but the same ole, same ole, for sure, whether electronically transmitted, or written by a quill pen and sent by horseback.


  • Another Avenue For Help

    Hugh Keogh, President and CEO of the Virginia Chamber of Commerce, just e-mailed the following to its membership. He had shared it earlier in the week with the local chamber executives, and with this posting perhaps we can reach an even wider audience. The letter is from his Mississippi counterpart, Blake Wilson. (No specific advice on help has been received from the Louisiana Chamber)

    Friends.

    Mississippi has been devastated by Hurricane Katrina. The damage is much worse and the death toll much higher than what you are seeing and hearing on television.

    We are in desperate need of donations — large donations from companies — indivdual servings of pre-packaged, non-perishable food, water — still huge need and it will last for another two weeks, when we will see the efforts shift more toward recovery — new clothing — toiletry items — baby diapers and fomula — rakes, shovels, hammers, nails, generators, tarps.

    MEC helped our state establish a Hurricane Recovery Donation Line at – 866-230-8903. Volunteers will take your information and make a match.

    Large lot shipments of these items may be trucked to the Multi-Agency Donation Staging Center, 840 Boling Street, Jackson, MS…but please call the donation line first and let them know what you are sending.

    Community efforts are making a huge difference. If possible, keep all like items together — and even better if they can be put on pallets and shrink wrapped as like items for shipping. We can still handle even if not on pallets, but it takes more time.

    The center cannot accept used clothing or goods.

    For more information, go to www.mec.ms. We will keep this constantly updated.

    Although my team has been working non-stop since the disaster, this is the first day we have had email capability and power at our office. The storm was a Category 1 when it hit Jackson, which is 200 miles from the coast.

    Thank you for your help.

    While this is heartbreaking…the outpouring of support from around this nation has been very heartwarming.

    Keep the faith.

    Blake

    I am difficult to reach because we are helping coordinate private-sector relief functions. However my team can reach me directly — please work through them — Peggy Howard is coordinating — 1-800-748-7626.


  • Technology Plays Vital Role in Efforts to Get WBO’s Back in Business

    All you fellow capitalists and entrepreneurs out there…. we all have a shared interest in getting women entrepreneurs (and other small businesses) hurt by Katrina back in business ASAP:

    The Center for Women’s Business Research estimates that as of 2004, nearly half (48%) of all privately-held businesses in the U.S. are owned 50% or more by women, for a total of 10.6 million enterprises. … Since 1997, the Center estimates that women-owned firms have grown at nearly twice the rate of all firms (17% vs. 9%). Growth in employment by women-owned firms has been even more dramatic, 24% compared to 12% for all firms. More….

    The National Association of Women Business Owners, a McLean, Virginia based association, has launched an initiative to do just that — an iniative that would not have been possible in the days before web-based applications and WYSIWYG composing.

    Leading a collaboration with other organizations serving women entrepreneurs, NAWBO has established a grant fund to make cash grants quickly (can you say “no red tape”?) for computers, business cards, and other things necessary to do business, and has launched a website to accept online donations and facilitate the exchange of resources between businesses. The website also has a blog (!) that will allow folks involved in the collaboration to share stories of hope and opportunity as our colleagues rebuild the economy of the Gulf coast.

    There is no question that, without new user friendly technology, NAWBO and others could not have come together to establish a national network, a community of purpose, and an efficient fundraising mechanism all in less than a week. With help from Blacksburg, Virginia based Click and Pledge, NAWBO was accepting online donations in less than 24 hours from thought to execution!

    It is a brave new world. We just need to be sure that we keep harnessing the power of technology to good purpose.


  • Virginia’s Cost of Doing Business Still Moderate

    Despite higher taxes, a soaring residential real estate market, and an overheating labor market in Northern Virginia, the Old Dominion’s “Cost of Doing Business Index” actually has declined in relation to other states, according to the Milkin Institute’s 2005 rankings. Virginia ranked 24th in the country, with an index 5.3 percentage points below the national average. Last year, Virginia ranked 21st.

    Hawaii and New York scored at the top of the list both this year and last. Maryland ranked 17, while North Carolina ranked 30. The Index measures wage costs, taxes, electricity costs and real estate costs for industrial and office space.

    See the list.


  • In Katrina’s Wake: A Proposed Gax Tax Moratorium

    Del. Ben Cline, R-Rockbridge, has called for a two-month suspension of Virginia’s gasoline tax as a way to buffer Virginia motorists from the impact of high gas prices. Over on the Road to Ruin blog, I discuss why this is a bad idea.


  • Bugging Out At The Beach

    An important and useful story from today’s Virginian-Pilot on the challenges of evacuation there, with the good news that everybody is going back to the planning table. This story didn’t have the “it can’t happen here” Rosie Scenario headline from the September 6 article I referenced in the “Wishful Thinking” post of that date (a failed attempt to do with a soft glove what Mr. Bacon is now doing with sterner measures — refocus on where we can be useful.)

    Went by the gas station near me recently and it’s back below $3.10 a gallon. Apparently Mr. Kaine’s jawboning was finally heard in Houston and Riyadh.


  • What censorship looks like


  • Enough of this

    Please. Enough of this. I am guilty first. I repent, and ask forgiveness and ask all of those on my side of this horrible divide to stand down with me.


  • Spinning hard; revisionism at work

    DOING THE BEST WE CAN: BUSH
    6.9.2005. 08:43:04

    US President George W Bush has visited hurricane affected areas on the US Gulf Coast in a second attempt to neutralise searing public criticism of his handling of the crisis.

    On Friday the President surveyed the devastation in New Orleans by air and visited residents in Mississippi.

    He was that state again and parts of Louisiana this Tuesday, but the now neared-deserted New Orleans was off the agenda.

    Mr Bush, who on Saturday described the initial response to the disaster as unacceptable, told reporters the government was doing the best it could.

    The World News/Australia


  • Best they can

    Bush says authorities doing ‘best they can’ after Katrina

    Tuesday, September 6, 2005 at 07:38 JST
    NEW ORLEANS โ€” While thousands of returning suburban residents jammed roads to check on their homes evacuated a week ago, President George W Bush made his second tour of the devastation Monday and said authorities were doing the “best they can” to cope.

    from Japan Today


  • KATRINA AND GOVERNANCE

    We have all had about enough of government bashing concerning Katrina. However, there are lessons from the past two weeks concerning governance. A good place to start is to consider the issues raised on the Bacons Rebellion Blog.

    Barnie D. is right that the feds have a lot for which to answer. Jim B. is right that there is plenty of apparent blame at the state and municipal levels too but that it is too early to have all the facts. Most of those pointing fingers and most of those arguing that “it” was someone elseโ€™s fault are partisans from the Elephant Tribe or Donkey Tribe trying to spin, score points or do damage control because of the prospect of an election looming in November. Today the headlines suggest many are jumping on the “bureaucracy-is-the-problem” band wagon.

    James Atticus Bowden opened an important line of inquiry in a 3 September 2005 post with the heading “Baconโ€™s Rebellion” and subtitle “When Disasters Have Names.” Bowden clarified in a comment that this was a reprint of his September 2003 op ed concerning the impact of Hurricane Isabel on Poquoson, VA. Poquoson City is a village-scale municipality on the peninsula between the Chesapeake Bay and the James River north of Hampton and east of Newport News.

    Bowden highlighted the role and importance of cluster-scale, neighborhood-scale, village-scale and community-scale agencies and institutions. As we point out in “What You Can Do About Katrina” a fundamental problem is there is not effective governance structure at any of these levels. In the case of Poquoson there is a village scale municipality and a geography context (a peninsula on a peninsula) that reinforces the focus of both agencies and institutions.

    “South of the James/Conaway” posted important points about the current condition of urban society and the roles of both agencies and institutions. Bowden, to his credit, graciously agreed. Conaway at first glance seems to undermine Bowdenโ€™s positions on cluster-scale through community-scale enterprises, agencies and institutions but in fact does not.

    “Subparte” enters to suggest if the “government” is to take up the slack it will be hugely expensive. He is absolutely right if we rely on the current municipal / state / federal levels of government. If the current bureaucracy (“Subparteโ€™s term) is any indication, it will not function regardless of cost.

    “Conaway” reenters and says in para one that he does not think cost must go up. (See above note about cost.) but then in para two hits the nail on the head: Governance has not evolved to match society. He cites good examples. Also see “Where is Northern Virginia” 18 Aug 2003 at db4.dev.baconsrebellion.com and the note on levels of governance in the post “What You Can Do About Katrina” from 3 September cite above.

    A fundamental failure regarding Katrina was one of the governance structure that did not YET exist, not just failure of the governments that do exist.

    The core issue is more than semantics but it starts with a failure of vocabulary. “Sub-urban” means less than urban. Humans cannot build and sustain an urban society with “sub-urban” settlement patterns. That is what the English thought when the word was coined in the 16th century. That is what we document in The Shape of the Future.

    Just as important humans cannot build and sustain a civilization with a governance structure that does not match the settlement pattern. Mr. Bowden and Poquoson happen to be better off than most in this regard. The City of New Orleans and the adjacent Parishes are about as bad as it gets in the Untied States based on my experience there as noted in this weeks column “Down Memory Lane with Katrina” 6 Sept 2005 at db4.dev.baconsrebellion.com Perhaps some sections of northern New Jersey are on a par. Those with experience in Greater Buffalo and Greater Detroit suggest there are other candidates. Our own work in Cleveland suggest they may be right.

    Before someone reaches for the “Manhattan” red herring we must repeat that densities that range from 10 persons per acre to 100 persons to the acre at the Alpha (Balanced) Community scale are not “Manhattan.” “Manhattan” is not the alternative to “sub-urban,” Balanced Communities in a sustainable New Urban Region are the alternative. See our column of 23 Aug 2005 on that topic at db4.dev.baconsrebellion.com

    As long as the default setting of contemporary civilization is economic competition, the pattern and density will depend on the operation of the Third Law of Human Settlement Patterns: The “U” shaped cost of services (and goods) curve. The application varies by scale of the settlement pattern component and the nature of the good or service. With a fair allocation of all location variable costs there are many alternatives but none of them are “sub-urban.”

    Balanced Community “costs” include the cost of time and energy which we hope will be the subject of our next column. We will get to the issue of the “U” shaped curve in a future column.

    We have noted often that no one ever said that creating functional human settlement pattern would be cheap. In fact the cost of functional governance of functional human settlement patterns will be less for just the reasons that Bowden suggests.

    Citizens cannot afford dysfunctional settlement patterns. Compare the cost of the strategies RBA suggested in 1973 with the cost of “recovery” in 2005.

    EMR


  • Virginians Walk the Walk with Hurricane Katrina

    Virginians aren’t just talking about helping the victims of Hurricane Katrina, or blaming others for not doing enough, they’re taking matters into their own hands. Dozens of Virginia companies and not-for-profit organizations have surged into action to help repair the damage that the hurricane unleashed along the Gulf Coast. In publishing today’s edition of VA Newswire, I compiled a list of companies that have responded to the humanitarian call. This list is by no means complete, it is only what I could pull together from press releases and websites in a couple of hours yesterday. The omissions, I’m sure, would make a much longer list.

    The Commonwealth of Virginia
    The Salvation Army
    MCI
    Sprint/Nextel
    Defense Logistics Agency
    Charlottesville Fire Department
    Freddie Mac
    Sallie Mae
    Smithfield Foods
    Albemarle Corporation
    LMI
    Volunteers of America
    Project Hope
    US Airways
    RCN Corporation
    The Public Entity Risk Institute
    International Bottled Water Association
    Global Learning Semesters
    CALIBRE

    For details about these groups’ contributions, click here, and scroll down to “Hurricane Katrina: Relief.”


  • A Blog Pause

    For a variety of reasons, large and small, I have decided that I need to step away from this blog and my e-zine column. Jim Bacon has graciously allowed me to call it a “sabbatical,” leaving open the option for me to return at a time of my choosing.

    I resolve to read more and think more during my absence, in addition to the proverbial “spend more time with my family.”

    The most gratifying thing about blogging for me has always been the commenters who add new information, fresh insight, and differing perspectives–those who enrich the dialog. Fortunately, even on sabbatical, I’ll be able enjoy that positive side of this powerful medium.