It’s Really Business As Usual


O

ne of the troubling things about this blog are the perceptions revealed by some of the commentators, especially about economic policy.

There’s a steady drumbeat from some who take a rather unsophisticated view that President Barack Obama is some kind of wild socialist out to ruin free market economics. Dark and hidden agendas abound from nationalizing banks and health to setting up death committees to getting rid of all individual freedom.
It is unfortunate that such rhetoric falls to the Sarah Palin level (“I can see Russia from my house!”) when the truth is that economic policy is made pretty much by the same group of Wall Street bankers, economists from elite Eastern universities and well-educated civil servants who move gracefully from multi-national groups such as the World Bank and IMF to the Federal Reserve to the White House, and so on.
What you have is basically the same group recommending policy for Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama. The common thread is a belief in free markets, deregulation, and government bailouts when the going gets tough. The same basic medicine that worked in Mexico in 1995 and in Southeast Asia in 1997 works for the U.S. in 2008-2009. You toss in a lot of dough to clear things up and get things moving and then it’s back to business as usual.
What is interesting, if not stunning, about some of the Bacon’s Rebellion commentators is that they really see Obama as a kind of Trotsky, when, in fact, he is propped up by exactly the same club of advisers that propped up Clinton and Bush. The truth is that Obama’s is non-intrusive and rather limp when it comes to the kind of federal oversight these smart and greedy people really need. Despite the whining from the right, one year into his presidency, there hasn’t been one solid and successful step to reign in the financial sector. But let’s connect the dots:
  • Goldman Sachs. This is the gold-plated investment bank on Wall Street, the uber-institution that all kneel before..It produced Robert Rubin, who was Clinton’s second Treasury Secretary, who backed dereg of all sorts, including ending Glass Steagall which had kept investment and commercial banking separate. Globalists such as Clinton badly anted to dump the law. Henry “Bazooka in My Pocket” Paulson, Bush’s second Treasury Secretary came from, you guessed it, Goldman Sachs. Paulson masterminded the 2008 government bailout and the TARP act, which gave all kinds of bennies to companies deemed “too big to fail.” Mind you, this was long before Obama won the election.
  • Academics and the Fed. Two others who fit very much into the dereg, most anything goes mold come from academia and the Federal Reserve. Current Fed Chief Ben Bernanke, a Princeton Professor and Fed member, was one. Another is current Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner who had been an academic and a bureaucrat in multinational groups before become head of the New York Fed. In that role, Geithner worked closely with Paulson to arrange the TARP bailouts and played a sometimes questionable role in forcing Bank of America to bail out Merrill Lynch without apparently coming clean about how bad the books were.
  • Ones straddling everything. Larry Summers comes to mind. He’s been everywhere — president of Harvard, last of Clinton’s Treasury Secretaries, World Bank. With Clinton, he worked alongside Rubin to dump Glass Seagall and save Mexico and Asia. He’s now chief economic adviser to Obama and pretty much follows the same course in Clinton-Bush-Obama. Summers’ reputation for abrasiveness, especially to women, got him kicked out of Harvard. I knew him when I was a correspondent in Moscow during the Clinton Administration and he gave us very useful and entertaining background briefings, sort of like graduate student seminars.

The curious thing about Obama is that he seems to be getting economic advice from the same old, same old that advised all presidents, Democrat or Republican, since 1992. Since Obama has close ties to the University of Chicago, one wonders why he hasn’t picked up some of the free market magic that evolved from there, Uncle Milton Freidman and all that.

During the 2008 campaign, there were articles predicting that Obama might actually come up with U of Chicago free market stuff with a modern twist one it, a la “Behaviorist” economics which, (at least as far as I get it) is laissez-faire with the government sometimes coming in and using tools like taxes and the like to push public behaviors in directions it wants. Unfortunately, the Chicagoans are few and far between when it comes to economic (although not political) influence, it’s all very Northeastern and the same old crowd.
A commentator to one of my blogs, probably an illiterate, right-wing Republican, made a big deal about the stock market tanking for a couple of days when Obama proposed taxing proprietary trading by banks. This was supposed to have been some kind of socialist plot.
Well, it turns out that ideas like that, along with other ideas about getting tough with self-serving bankers and their minions, don’t come from Che, or Fidel or Mao or even Barney Frank (who, BTW, gets most of his campaign money from big banks and investment funds).
Nossir. The ideas come from Paul Volcker, the celebrated former Fed chief, who helped bail the nation out of Jimmy Carter’s inflation swamp through some very tough love monetary policies. It was Volcker who set up the decade of prosperity under beloved Republican Ronald Reagan (along with Reagan’s deficit spending sprees).
In sum, we’re not facing a takeover by the subversive left. We are facing business as usual.
Peter Galuszka


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9 responses to “It’s Really Business As Usual”

  1. Groveton Avatar

    Peter:

    I am sure you will say that I have Obama derangement syndrome. Maybe I do. Obama disappointed me with his health care program (the wrong program at the wrong time) and he has disappointed me with his lack of effort in financial regulation (the right program at the right time but not launched).

    I agree with your sentiments about large financial institutions and the political class' interest in business as usual. Barney Frank is the poster child of dishonesty in this.

    However, I disagree that Obama is just more of the same. I think he really believes that American society is fundamentally unfair and he wants to use a much expanded government to make it more fair. He is an income redistributor – just like Joe the Plumber said. Moreover, Obama is sliding down the slippery slope of sustained dishonesty. Tonight I expect that Obama will call for a spending freeze for some of the Federal government. It's a nice bit of sleight of mouth. First, the vast majority of government spending will not be subject to the freeze. More importantly, the freeze will freeze the spending at the vastly higher budget levels instituted by Obama last year. It will be like a landlord raising your rent payment by 35% but then saying it's all fair because he's going to self-impose a rent freeze that locks in vastly inflated rent. Maybe I am wrong and Obama will say something else but I doubt it.

    So, is Obama a calculating Socialist or just inept? Unfortunately, a bit of both. He's an inept Socialist. He wants bigger government, higher taxes and a broader social safety net (all socialist tendencies). He could have roared into office and enacted financial regulations that woild have pressed forward his cause. Instead, he went after health care. This was pure and simple bungling. When all is said and done he won't get either. He could have gotten both if he had proceeded in the opposite order.

    It takes a Carter to create a Reagan. We have this generation's Carter in the White House now. I wonder who this generation's Reagan will be.

    As for Volker – good man. As for you – poor historian. Volker was appointed well into Carter's disasterous one term presidancy. A Democrat, Volker was re-appointed by Reagan in 1983. He would serve as Fed Chairman for 4 more years – virtually Reagan's entire two terms. Volker is an outspoken critic of the role banks played in the recent meltdown and is a champion of expanded financial regulation. Too bad he wasn't on the ballot in Nov 2008. He would have been a better president than either of the two yo-yo's who were on the ballot.

  2. Gooze Views Avatar
    Gooze Views

    Thanks, Groveton,
    But as far as Volcker, isn't that what I said?

    PG

  3. James A. Bacon Avatar
    James A. Bacon

    Well, well, well, I find myself agreeing with Peter on almost all fundamentals. There *is* indeed a Washington-Wall Street axis that dominates economic policy making in this country, as Peter laid out. (I would add one more prominent name. Rahm Immanuel, Obama's chief of staff, made his millions working for Wasserstein Perella after his stint with Clinton.) And it functions much as Peter has described.

    The Washington-Wall Street axis looks out for No. 1 — itself. And it donates boatloads of money to both political parties — $10.3 million in the last round of Congressional elections. (As an aside, Wall Street donated nearly twice as much money to the Obama campaign as to the McCain campaign.)

    How else can we explain the fact that Wall Street, which plunged the country into the recession with its risk taking, is raking in huge profits and paying itself record bonuses while the rest of America suffers? It's not just the TARP funds, although that's part of it. It's also the strategems to prop up the housing sector, and a cheap-money Fed policy.

    I agree with Groveton that Obama is a big-spending liberal whose worldview looks at the private sector as "the problem" and government as "the solution." But I'm not so sure that our current economic policy would be a whole lot different if McCain were president. He would have inherited the same set of bad choices that Obama did, and he would have relied upon a similar cast of Wall Street types (only the names would be different) for economic advice. He wouldn't have spent so much on the "stimulus" but that's about the only difference.

    This is one of those rare areas of agreement between liberals and free-market conservatives. The liberals distrust Wall Street, the conservatives distrust government, and both sides have reached the point where they distrust Wall Street AND Washington!

  4. I'll agree with Groveton that Obama has dummied up as they say.

    and yes.. he does look like a goof and there is a visceral aura of Jimmy Carter deja vu hanging in the air…

    He and his team are a bit too arrogant and a bit too impatient and completely inept at reading the American people.

    I remember not that long ago when our friends the Republicans were shocked – SHOCKED that the American people were fed up with them…

    and Obama and his crew – they saw this – and they capitalized on it – but they never understood WHY people were fed up with the R's because they turned around and did the same DANG THING.

    These guys are just as tone deaf, just as arrogant and just as inept so I'm not sure why Groveton things another Reagan is going to pop up – not that I think the guy was all that bright anyhow…

    Iran-Contra? "Nope.. I was out of that loop" – this coming from the Prez…

    If Obama said something like that, he'd be crucified… but with Reagan it was "cute".

    The President of the most powerful country in the world – was "out of the loop"….

    " WASHINGTON – President Ronald Reagan did know about the plan to sell arms to Iran and divert the profits to Nicaraguan rebels, according to the long-awaited Iran-Contra report which was finally issued yesterday. And, contrary to his repeated denials, the then vice-president, George Bush, also knew all about the sale of arms, writes Patrick Cockburn.

    The special prosecutor, Lawrence Walsh, said he had had to contend with 'lies' and obstruction to produce his 566-page report on the scandal, which was unmasked in 1986. He concludes that senior members of President Reagan's cabinet systematically withheld information to conceal their chief's role in the affair."

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/reagan-and-bush-accused-in-irancontra-arms-report-1400970.html

    so ..no.. I am not one who "pines away" for another Regan…. and certainly not waiting for another one….

  5. Anonymous Avatar

    Good post.

    RH

  6. Anonymous Avatar

    Seems to me that the signature thing aout Obamas Health Insurance legislation was his singular lack of input to it. The House and Senate wrote this thing, and now thay can't agree on what they wrote.

    He seemed content to let the legislature legislate, and let them take the heat, which is what is going to happen.

    At least first. We'll have our shot at Obama later.

    RH

  7. Anonymous Avatar

    The vast majority will not be subject to the freeze, and you can imagine the Republican response if he tried to freeze Defense.

    It is going to come down to entitlements, evetually, and what we have is a prolonged game of musical chairs.

    One party or the other is going to be in control when we run out of chairs.

    RH

  8. Anonymous Avatar

    I see that the premier of Newfoundland is coming to the United States for open heart surgery. http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=2510700

    Also, the Virginia state senate, which is controlled by the Democratic Party, voted to make it unlawful to require a Virginian to purchase health insurance. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/01/AR2010020103674.html?hpid=topnews

    Very interesting.

    TMT

  9. You know… for ANY Health Care system in the entire world – including the United States ..NOW and in a future situation with possible universal health care

    ANYONE is FREE to go buy the health care that they want.

    You are not required to take only the "entitlement".

    The "entitlement" is a safety net to assure that people don't die for lack of access – which they do in this country anyhow.

    but we miss the main point here which is you have the freedom to pursue the best option for yourself – always.

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