• They Did What?

    Here’s the latest salvo from the General Assembly battlefield: Senate Democrats this afternoon killed a measure that would ensure that funds raised by regional levies would be spent exclusively in the regions that paid the taxes.

    According to an email missive from the Virginia Senate Republican Caucus, Sen. Creigh Deeds, D-Bath, led Democrats on the Privileges and Elections Committee to defeat the measure proposed by Senator Ken Stolle, R-Virginia Beach. It failed by a single vote, despite unanimous Republican support.

    Stolle’s measure would have initiated the process of adopting a constitutional amendment that would establish a “lock box” for regional transportation funds. Without a constitutional guarantee, future legislatures could divert the funds for any other purpose. Said Stolle: “Without this constitutional protection, taxpayers have no assurance that the measures we pass will do what we say they will do. This vote today does a great disservice to those who want to find solutions to our transportation challenges.”

    I have to agree. I’m sure the Dems offered some fig leaf of a reason for blocking the measure, desperately needed to retain trust, and I’ll report it when I come across it. Until then, I find this action unfathomable.

    Update: OK, here’s the story (as I understand it). Deeds blocked the Republican version of the lockbox measure in order to submit a substitute bill. That bill added some clarifying language regarding regional authorities but otherwise preserved the intent of the original. States Peter Jackson, with the Deeds campaign: “I think it’s worth noting that the same day Stolle expressed such outrage at Senator Deeds in that missive from the Senate GOP, he voted to advance the McEachin/Norment bill to the floor.”

    If that’s the case, I have to ask, what was the purpose of the email salvo?

    Speaking of Deeds, he’s offered a couple of interesting bills: one an income tax credit to employers whose employees enter into flextime scheduling agreements that allow them to avoid rush hour commutes, and a tax credit for employers to conduct a telecommuting assessment. Encouraging flextime and telecommuting are good things. But there must be another way to spread those practices. The state tax code is riddled with too many tax credits already.


  • Northern Virginiaโ€™s Transportation Quandry: Dozens of Cooks Spoiling the Broth

    The following was submitted by Ron Utt of the Heritage Foundation and the Virginia Institute for Public Policy:

    As the state legislature convenes in Richmond this June in a special session to revise Virginiaโ€™s recently enacted surface transportation program, a number of elected officials โ€“ ranging from the legislatureโ€™s Republican caucus to the Attorney General – have recommended that the state conduct an independent, comprehensive performance audit of the stateโ€™s transportation operation to determine areas of deficiency, improve program management, set clear goals and measures of accountability, and develop a plan to reduce traffic congestion. Such a performance audit was completed in Washington state in 2007, and the Idaho legislature is contracting with private consulting firms to conduct a similar audit in 2008.

    Among the many findings from Washingtonโ€™s independent performance audit were problems related to the large number of overlapping government bodies that had some responsibility โ€“ and some portion of the resources — for some facet of the stateโ€™s (or regionโ€™s) transportation policy. This balkanized system of responsibility, in turn, made it difficult to devote the combined resources of government to solving transportation problems, coordinate responses, or โ€“ most importantly — to hold any of these many public entities accountable for successes and failures.

    In the event that Virginia agrees to conduct its own independent performance audit of the stateโ€™s transportation system, the auditors will quickly discover a mother lode of more than a dozen overlapping, costly, and redundant government transportation bureaucracies spending vast sums of taxpayer money in pursuit of contradictory โ€“ and often counterproductive — transportation policies and projects. Indeed, Northern Virginia may very well have the most confusing and redundant collection of transportation bureaucracies in the Nation.

    A good place to start is with the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments and the regionโ€™s metropolitan planning organization โ€“ the National Capital Regional Transportation Planning Board (TPB). Members of the Board (and overseers) include five northern Virginia counties and five incorporated cities, as well as the District of Columbia, three Maryland Counties, and six Maryland pseudo-cities. In addition to these two region-wide bureaucracies, each of the five Virgina counties and five cities may embark upon some of their own transportation policies and initiatives.

    Serving as ex-officio member on the TPB are three Federal agencies — the National Park Service, the Federal Transit Administration, and the Federal Highway Administration โ€“ and also the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority (MWAA). Although MWAA has no experience in surface transportation issues, it recently became a major player in NoVA transportation policy when it assumed responsibility for building the Dulles Rail project.

    Recently added to this mix is the state government created and empowered (and then Supreme Court disempowered) Northern Virginia Transportation Authority (NVTA), whose member jurisdictions are the same as those Virginia entities serving on the TPB. This new transit-oriented focus will be supplemented by the ongoing work of three other Virginia government entities with some responsibility for transit: the Northern Virginia Transportation Commission, the Potomac and Rappahannock Transportation Commission and the Virginia Department of Rail and Public Transportation. The first two are responsible for operating and funding the Virginia Railway Express (VRE).

    I know that this is getting confusing, but, unfortunately, there are still a few more costly bureaucracies floundering around the state and the region, and operating their own competing transportation fiefdoms. Among them is one of the biggest, the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA), which operates the Metro and the companion bus system. In the original H 3202, spending priority on taxes raised is to satisfy any debt service obligations incurred by the new NVTA, while each year the VRE and WMATA would have had first claim on the next $75 million raised through H 3202โ€™s unconstitutional tax scheme. Added to this steaming bureaucratic brew is the Northern Virginia Regional Commission, and the biggest player of all โ€“ the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT).

    Maybe this regional broth of bureaucrats makes sense, but I doubt it, and a perfect project for the stateโ€™s Joint Legislative Audit and Review Committee (JLARC) and/0r the Auditor of Public Accounts (APA) would be to conduct a comprehensive financial audit to identify what it is that each of these taxpayer funded entities does, determine how much in administrative costs is required to keep them in operation, and provide an inventory of all personnel, as well as their salary and benefit packages. Such information would be a valuable supplement and assist to the independent performance audit that Virginia should conduct, and would also serve to inform taxpayers of the service tradeoffs incurred by big bureaucracies. For example, if the average Virginia pot hole costs $200 to fix, and if the average bureaucrat in any of the above named entities earns $80,000 per annum, then the public cost of each redundant bureaucrat represents 400 unfilled pot holes on Virginia roads. Think about it.

    (Cross-posted at Tertium Quids)


  • A Waste of Time

    Today’s newspaper accounts of the transportation special session are pretty pessimistic. After the first day, some have concluded, the whole exercise is shaping up a waste of time.

    Assuming the session collapses in a frazzled heap, it will be followed by the inevitable assignation of blame. Regarding the doling out of responsibility, Sen. Jill Holtzman Vogel, R-Fauquier, made a good point yesterday following Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s address to the legislature.

    Unlike the special sessions called by Governor Baliles to address transportation, or by Governor Allen to abolish parole, or by Governor Gilmore to reduce the car tax, Governor Kaine has failed to build consensus or support for his plan before calling legislators back to Richmond.

    During the six weeks since Governor Kaine unveiled the tax increase plan he detailed for you moments ago, he has held town meetings across Virginia to gain support for his approach. That strategy has not met with success, and there is no indication that the people of Virginia support his proposal.

    Good point. Kaine called the special session. He called it knowing that he didn’t even have buy-in either from the Republicans or from key players in his own party. Then he traveled around the state and tried to sell it to the public in the hope, presumably, of pressuring legislators to adopt his plan. But the public, it appears, is as fractured as the readers who leave comments on the Bacon’s Rebellion blog. Kaine’s gambit failed. Now everyone who has convened in Richmond is simply going through the motions of getting something done.

    Not that I blame Kaine for failing to forge a consensus. Given the level of public sentiment right now, a consensus is unforgeable. The Republicans came close with HB 3202 last year, but it turns out that key measures were… oops… unconstitutional.

    Ultimately, the problem boils down to this: Everybody wants more roads and rail, but everyone wants someone else to pay for it. Trouble is, if people want someone else to pay for their transportation improvements, they sure as hell won’t go along with paying for someone else’s! The only way this political gridlock can be solved is to convince people they’re getting something tangible for what they pay (either in taxes or tolls). Politically, nothing else will sell.


  • No Surprise, More Gridlock

    Cut through the rhetorical miasma of the General Assembly, and here’s what’s going on: Del. Ward Armstrong, D-Henry, has introduced Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s transportation package in the House of Delegates. So far, the governor hasn’t found anyone to introduce the same plan in the state Senate, where Majority Leader Richard L. Saslaw, R-Fairfax, has his own ideas.

    House Speaker William J. Howell, R-Stafford, says the House won’t vote on Kaine’s bill until it passes the Democratic-controlled Senate. “It is obvious to everyone that, since a Democrat governor called this special session, the body controlled by his party should act first on his legislation,” he said. “When the governor’s allies in the Senate send us a bill that they have passed and that he will sign, then we will give it full and fair consideration.”

    Kaine spokesman Gordon Hickey called that a “delaying tactic.”

    Bacon’s bottom line: Nobody can agree on anything. And everybody’s trying to set up somebody else to take the fall for failing to come up with a transportation “solution.”


  • Transurban’s Low Cost of Capital

    There’s a very interesting story lurking within Len Gilroy’s column, “Another One Bites the Dust.” Gilroy tackles the idea that privately financed public-private partnerships are a bad deal for motorists because the private sector can’t avail itself of tax-free bond financing like state and municipal governments can.

    In the last few weeks, the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission issued $177 million in tax-exempt bonds at a 4.89 percent interest rate. Transurban, the major investor in the Interstate 495 HOT lane project, went to financial close earlier this month on $589 million of 40-year, tax-exempt bonds with an average interest of 4.97 percent, and $587 million in TIFIA loans at 4.45 percent for 40 years.

    Bottom line: Transurban has a lower cost of capital than the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission.

    How did Transurban get such low financing? Writes Gilroy: “Because private investor-operators can tap into both federal tax-exempt financing vehicles and robust global capital markets, they can structure sophisticated financial arrangements at highly competitive rates that can neutralize the public financingโ€™s supposed advantages.”


  • “The War on Sprawl”

    A week or two I posted an item on Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s appointment of a “sub-cabinet” to promote smart growth. Not surprisingly, no one in the Mainstream Media has picked up on this initiative. Coping with growth is one of the two or three hottest challenges facing Virginia, and Gov. Kaine explicitly endorses a “smart growth” agenda, going so far as to organize his cabinet around the issue, and no one sees a story?

    Well, I think it’s pretty darned significant. And, as Kaine tries to get buy-in for his transportation plan, it’s not within a Business As Usual context, it’s within a context of trying to change Virginia’s human settlement patterns. That’s why, on the first day of the special transportation session, I decided to write, “The War on Sprawl,” which expands upon the original blog post. (Apologies to EMR: I know that “sprawl” is a core confusing word, and I would have entitled the column, “The War on Dysfunctional Human Settlement Patterns,” but the phrase did not roll off the tongue.)

    Kaine’s effort is a noble one, although, as I argue in the column, it probably won’t accomplish much. The sub-cabinet will be coordinating the expenditure of “discretionary” funds, which may amount to tens of millions of dollars a year. But, as Lisa Guthrie, executive director of the Virginia League of Conservation Voters, points out, transportation expenditures, the major driver of sprawl, measure in the billions of dollars. Transportation spending is where the action is.

    Still, it is important to realize that the state cab affect human settlement patterns in positive ways: by promoting companies to locate jobs where they will contribute to a balance of jobs, housing and amenities; by stimulating the development of housing where they will contribute to a balance; by locating state facilities where they contribute to urban redevelopment and revitalization; and by choosing wisely where to preserve open land.

    It makes sense for Kaine’s cabinet to coordinate these expenditures. Of course, it makes even more sense for them to coordinate them with local governments, which are responsible for planning land use, infrastructure and public services. Alas, there is no mechanism for doing so.

    When I discussed that last issue with L. Preston Bryant, Jr., the secretary of natural resources and chairman of the sub-cabinet, he agreed. “The whole interworking between state and local goverments could stand a good overhaul,” he said.

    Bryant cited the books, “Cities with Suburbs,” by David Rusk, which highlights the virtues of cities with “elastic boundaries” as opposed to Virginia’s “inelastic” ones. He likes the idea of city boundaries that expand and retract with the population, evening out taxes across the metro area, and avoiding the trap of concentrating poverty in the inner cities.

    But Fundamental Change in governance structures won’t occur in the 18 months that Kaine has left, and it probably can’t occur in a single gubernatorial administration, Bryant observes. It might take a two-term governor to accomplish a goal that ambitious.

    What Kaine has done, Bryant contends, is focused more attention than any previous governor on the critical importance of human settlement patterns. It’s hard to argue with that.


  • Bacon’s Rebellion: Special Session Edition

    As the special session convenes today, the General Assembly has got transportation on the brain, and so do we at Bacon’s Rebellion. Indeed, it’s pretty much transportation and land use from start to finish for the June 23, 2008, edition of Virginia’s preeminent public policy e-zine — with a dash of other topics to keep things from getting monotonous.

    (Don’t miss a single issue of the e-zine. Subscribe for free — just click here — and have it delivered to your in-box.)

    The War on Sprawl
    Andrew Jackson had his “kitchen” cabinet. Tim Kaine has his “sub” cabinet: five secretaries whose job is to marshal state resources to promote smart growth.
    by James A. Bacon

    Finding Common Ground
    There is no other way to conduct the public business successfully. Let us hope that the lawmakers convening in Richmond today take heed.
    by Doug Koelemay

    Shaping a Functional and Sustainable Future in Greater Warrenton-Fauquier
    by EM Risse

    Another One Bites the Dust
    Another toll-road myth — that governments can access cheaper infrastructure financing than the private sector — has been demolished. The proof? Transurban’s experience in Northern Virginia.
    by Leonard Gilroy

    A Transportation Reform Agenda
    A comprehensive solution to transportation in Virginia requires a lot more than raising taxes and spending money. We have to change the way we fund and administer roads and rail.
    by Michael Thompson

    On the Eve of Battle
    Republicans are bracing for a confrontation this week over transportation taxes and spending. Here are the thoughts, extracted from the first Tertium Quids podcast, of some GOP leading lights.
    by Norman Leahy

    Richmond vs. Charlotte: an Update
    Charlotte, N.C., snarfed up Richmond‘s big commercial banks in the early ’90s, a coup at the time. Fifteen years later, the sub-prime fiasco is pinching Richmond, but it’s putting the Tarheels in a world of hurt.
    by Peter Galuszka

    Audit Time
    Before jacking up taxes and throwing money around, let’s audit the plethora of Virginia transportation-related agencies and authorities, define clear goals and set priorities for spending.
    by Ron Utt

    Power Surge
    Big increases in electric rates are all but inevitable in Virginia. Consumers need to be educated about their options before they get shocked by their electric bills.
    by Barbara Kessinger

    Nice & Curious Questions
    Finding Felons in Virginia: Bounty Hunters in the Commonwealth
    by Edwin S. Clay III and Patricia Bangs


  • What the MSM Neglected to Tell You About the Governor’s Transportation Bill

    Any Virginian who reads the newspapers knows that Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s transportation bill will raise roughly $1 billion a year in new taxes because that’s what the newspapers have reported. The Mainstream Media narrative about the transportation debate is all about taxes and spending.

    It startled me to actually read the governor’s press release. Not only does the legislation provide for tax increases, lo and behold, it contains a number of noteworthy tweaks to HB 3202, last year’s omnibus transportation finance and reform bill that overhauled the way state and local government planned for and administered transportation and land use.

    It’s not as if the Kaniacs buried these elements of the proposed legislation in the press release. As the governor is quoted as saying in the second paragraph:

    Since January of 2006, I have worked closely with the General Assembly to improve the coordination of transportation and land use, to provide needed funding and budget reforms to how we spend transportation dollars, and to improve accountability and efficiency at VDOT and the other transportation agencies. The legislation I am introducing will continue those reforms. …”

    How so? As the press release elucidates, the bill:

    • Incentivizes more efficient land use patterns by providing dedicated funding for transportation improvements in urban development areas;
    • Provides start-up grant funding to increase passenger rail service through the Transportation Change Fund;
    • Clarifies local government flexibility to use secondary and urban road funding for transit projects;
    • Provides incentives for cities and towns to take responsibility for their road construction programs; and
    • Provides funds for innovative public-private technology projects to improve traffic flow and reduce congestion on existing roads.

    Each of these measures is significant. While I remain totally opposed to the tax aspects of the governor’s bill, which ignore user-pays set of principles, I am compelled to acknowledge that Gov. Kaine accompanies his revenue-raising measures with reforms to ensure that the money is better spent.

    Let us hope that Senate Democrats, who have tax ideas of their own, don’t lose sight of these measures. Moreover, let us hope that House Republicans, who were the architects of the legislation that the governor seeks to improve, also take up these issues. Too bad the public doesn’t have a clue. The only voices heard in this debate, it appears likely, will be those of the professional lobbyists.


  • More on VCU and the Evil Weed

    My last post generated considerable e-mail traffic from members of the VCU community and I learned of a faculty meeting on June 19 to discuss it. Uninvited, I went to it and was allowed to stay if I respected the participants’ desire for confidentiality. Here are excerpts from a post I did for R’Biz on richmond.com:

    Virginia Commonwealth University could risk its national reputation among scientific researchers, its ability to win research grant money and its credibility in the local community if it continues with secretive research agreements with Philip Morris USA, a group of VCU faculty discussed at an on-campus meeting yesterday.

    Eighteen faculty and researchers came to the meeting at the Student Commons building to discuss concerns stemming from a โ€œresearch service agreementโ€ that VCU entered into in 2006 with the locally-based tobacco firm. The terms of the agreements forbid discussion about the contracts and require VCU to immediately alert Philip Morris if the news media asks about them.

    The existence of the research contracts was revealed in a front page article in the New York Times last month, touching off a controversy about the manner in which VCU conducts research. Since then, VCU has been castigated by experts from other research institutions across the country and among informal blogs linking the VCU community with other scientists. VCU President Eugene Trani says that the agreements are not basic research but are commonly-used consulting agreements. According to Trani, the secrecy and special conditions involved with the contracts are necessary because of proprietary material involved.

    At the meeting, the faculty discussed rumors and fears that seem to be abounding at VCU. It was said that faculty and administrators are so fearful of retribution if they question the tobacco contracts that they have been using their cell phones instead of the university phone system to talk about the matter and have been considering trying to file documents to protect themselves with the university human resources department.

    A source of frustration for the faculty, they said, is that they cannot get information clarifying Philip Morrisโ€™s relationship or future relationship with several major VCU health projects, including the Massey Cancer Center, the Women’s Health Center and the proposed School of Public Health.

    Some faculty involved in community outreach noted that if VCU specialists try to promote health in inner cities or other neighborhoods, their credibility could be compromised. It was pointed out, for example, that if VCU workers try to encourage children at Boys and Girls Clubs not to start smoking, they might have a difficult time if it is known that VCU encourages tobacco funding of its research.

    Trani has appointed an internal task force to review VCUโ€™s corporate-sponsored research and prepare a report by Oct. 1. The report will later be sent to the schoolโ€™s Board of Visitors.

    One possible point of conflict involves Dr. Francis Macrina, VCUโ€™s vice president for research, who is heading the investigative committee into corporate funding. Faculty members raised questions about possible conflicts of interest within the review committee. They noted that Macrina is head of the review committee although he oversaw the negotiations of the contracts that touched off the corporate funding controversy.

    The research service contracts with Philip Morris involve a total of about $284,000 and involve studies of pulmonary disease and wastewater pollution. VCU provided this reporter with copies of the Master Service Agreement under the Virginia Freedom of Information Act, but refused to provide specific โ€œtask ordersโ€ that give details about the actual work to be done.

    For more details, see R’Biz in richmond.com.

    — Peter Galuszka


  • Football Analogies Run Amok

    When ideas and arguments fail, politicians resort to sports analogies. And most of the time, regrettably, the sport they pick is football. Witness the Governor’s press conference yesterday regarding his tax hike plan. Close your eyes, and you can almost hear the crashing pads:

    “I’m a good fourth-quarter player,” [Kaine] said of the measure, introduced yesterday at a news briefing at the Capitol, which at times resembled an anemic pep rally.

    “Anemic pep rally.” Were Craig and Arianna in the back of the room?

    In spite of that, the football lingo kept flowing:

    “The time for kicking the can down the road is over,” he said at the Patrick Henry Building. “Adult leadership means taking adult responsibility.”

    Kick the can. Maybe this was really just a dress rehearsal for a new “Our Gang” series.

    As for the adult leadership thing, well… the less said about politicians and adult behavior the better (particularly on a family blog).

    But right when it seems as though the football imagery was spent and we were consigned to another Hal Roach short, Ward Armstrong boldly leaps into the gap:

    “I’m ready to carry the ball, coach.”

    Just like Roy “Wrong Way” Riegels.


  • Malthus, Singularities and Chins-up

    The NY Time’s Jay Tierney has a good post that is also a useful tonic for what seems to be a creeping Malthusian trend on the Rebellion of late.

    He discusses an article by George Mason University economist Robin Hanson that focuses on “singularities,” the stunning advances that have completely transformed the way we do just about everything (think the creation of agriculture and the industrial revolution). Hanson believes we’re due for another such event, perhaps within our lifetimes. What might it be? Hanson thinks it could be intelligent machines (no, not Terminators) that will increase growth 60 to 250 fold over current levels.

    It’s all a big guess, of course. But I think it’s a far more likely outcome than the ashen forebodings that are both easy and fashionable to embrace.

    In other words: Chins-up, people!


  • Dominion to Invest $600 Million in Smart Grid

    Dominion Virginia Power has unveiled a plan to invest $600 million in “smart grid” technology plus a slew of energy conservation programs that it estimates will save electric consumers $1 billion over 15 years and reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 12 million tons.

    “This plan will provide a jump start toward meeting the 10 percent conservation goal enacted last year by the Virginia General Assembly and the governor, getting the Commonwealth more than one-third of the way there within five years,” said David A. Heacock, president of Dominion Virginia Power. “It will provide significant environmental benefits in a cost-effective manner that translates into very real financial savings to customers.”

    If the plan is approved by the State Corporation Commission, Dominion said in a press release issued this afternoon, it will begin executing it next year.

    The centerpiece of the plan is the installation of “smart grid” technologies that enhances the performance of the electric distribution system. The grid will allow energy to be delivered more efficiently, resulting in substantial energy savings and permitting more precise control of the energy flow.

    Under the smart grid program, Dominion would replace all of its existing electric meters with Advanced Metering Infrastructure, capable of two-way communications, as well as equipment to monitor and control electric distribution. The resulting fuel savings will more than offset the cost of the capital investment. As a bonus the technology should lead to improvements in service reliability and the ability of customers to monitor and control their own electricity usage.

    The plan has many other elements, including:

    • Incentives for constructing energy-efficient homes that meet EnergyStar standards, whcih are 15 percent more efficient than homes built to regular standards.
    • Incentives to install energy-efficient light.
    • Energy audits and improvements for homes of low-income customers.
    • Incentives for residential customers who allow the company to cycle their air conditioners and heat pumps during periods of peak demand.
    • Power cost monitors that display how much electricity customers are using and what it’s costing them.
    • Incentives for residential customers to upgrade heat pumps to more efficient units.
    • Incentives for commercial customers to improve the energy efficiency of their HVAC units and to reduce consumption during periods of peak demand.
    • Incentives to turn in refrigerators that are 20 years old or more.

    Electricity savings could reach 2.6 million megawatt-hours annually by 2013 , the company said. That’s enough to power 216,000 typical homes — but the savings will not be big enough or kick in soon enough to mitigate the need to add enough new generating capacity to meet demand expected to grow by 4,000 megawatts over the next decade.

    This is just the first wave in the overhaul of the DVP electric system. The company continues investigate other energy-conservation and demand-reduction initiatives, including rate structures that would send better pricing signals to customers and emerging technologies that would leverage the smart grid to help customers manage the cost of individual appliances. “These technologies,” states the company, “will support the integration of on-site customer generation and future plug-in hybrid vehicles.”

    Bacon’s commentary: Plug-in hybrids? Hoo-ah! See comments for details.


  • MORE HEADLINES

    WaPo had an interesting front page โ€œanalysisโ€ by Neil Irwin this morning:

    โ€œWhy Weโ€™re Gloomier Than The Economy: Consumer Anxiety Outstrips the Data.โ€

    Earth to Neil: Citizens can Read.

    They can read the headlines we noted in the recent post โ€œHEADLINES, HEADLINES.โ€

    They can read the other headlines on todayโ€™s front page of WaPo and every other MainStream Media Outlet:

    โ€œIowa Flooding Could Be An Act of Man, Experts Sayโ€ and citizens know the era of Corps of Engineer โ€˜flood controlโ€™ providing โ€˜protectionโ€™ is past. They can shoot all the pigs on levies they want but the water will keep rising because the there is no storage area.

    โ€œBush Calls for Offshore Oil Drilling, President Joins McCain in Seeking to Lift Long-Standing Banโ€ and citizens know Bush, McCain and Car Tax Gilmore all would like to barrow from the great grand children to buy a new belt instead of the addressing the consumption / obesity problem.

    Citizens also know the economic data is cooked to make a โ€˜growth is goodโ€™ stew. All the economists MainStream Media quotes are paid directly or indirectly by the Business-As-Usual advocates who thrive on ever-expanding levels of consumption.

    Finally, more and more citizens are coming to realize that MainStream Media is also an Enterprise that lives on advertising by those same Business-As-Usual advocates. See THE ESTATES MATRIX

    EMR


  • Climate Change Commission a Waste of Effort?

    Patrick Michaels, Global Warming skeptic, has weighed in on the Virginia Commission on Climate Change — and this time there’s no question that it’s him and not one of his colleagues (as was unclear in another recent communique discussed in “Low Hanging Fruit vs. Deep Green.”) This time, he has written a column in the Times-Dispatch under his own name.

    In a nutshell, Michaels’ point is that nothing the Commission can do will have a discernible impact on climate change. One of the Commission’s goals is to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 30 percent by 2025, a goal which, if accomplished, would set Virginia emissions back to the level they were back in 2000. That’s way less ambitious, he notes, than the goals of the Kyoto protocols, which aspire to cut global emissions to about 5 percent below 1990 levels for the years 2008-2012.

    And even the draconian Kyoto protocols would barely impact climate change. Citing scientists at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., Michaels says that Kyoto would reduce global temperatures by 0.07 degrees C in the next half-century. “That’s right: not 7 degrees or even seven-tenths of a degree, but seven hundredths of a degree.”

    Adopting the Virginia plan across all Kyoto nations would result in about 72 percent of the emissions reductions of Kyoto itself by 2050, again according to data from the Energy Information Agency. That translates into five hundredths of a degree of warming by then, and 0.13 degrees by 2100. “The 2050 figure is about 20 times less than the mean annual temperature difference between downtown Richmond and suburban Short Pump.”

    (In one sense, Michaels is being generous to the Commission. His figures assume that commission goals could be applied to all Kyoto nations, which they clearly cannot. Virginia accounts for only a tiny sliver of global economic output. The impact of Virginia actions on global climate will be so infinitesimal as to be unmeasurable.)

    Michaels concludes: “It’s hard to believe that any member of Virginia’s commission really thinks he’s doing much about global warming. … People need to know that the proposed goal of the Governor’s Commission on Climate Change will simply have no detectable effect on global warming. So what’s the point?

    Bacon’s bottom line: Michaels is missing the point. As I see it, the Commission has at least two valid missions. First, Virginia needs to understand the risks posed by climate change. Regardless of whether our actions can affect climate change, climate change can affect us. As we’ve discussed on this blog, there is a significant risk that rising global temperatures and sea levels could inundate large parts of Virginia’s low-lying coastline. How do we prepare for that possibility? I’d like to see that issue aired.

    Secondly, there are sound reasons for reducing the energy intensity of Virginia’s economy that have nothing to do with climate change. You can be an agnostic on global warming (as I am) and still see value in cutting carbon dioxide emissions, which are a good metric of fossil-fuel energy intensity. The prices of oil, natural gas and coal are soaring. Because Virginia institutions are geared to a cheap-energy era, we are suffering needlessly as the world economy transitions to an dear-energy era. Rising energy prices are sucking billions of dollars out of our economy, crimping living standards and reducing the competitiveness of our businesses.

    If the Commission on Climate Change can identify strategies for going “deep green” — changing transportation systems and human settlement patterns that keep Virginians stuck in an energy-intensive mode — we can all benefit. If reducing energy dependence and cutting CO2 emissions also happens to reduce global temperatures by .00007 of a degree, then so much the better!


  • Electronic Health Records Coming to a Doctor Near You

    The Kaine administration has been doing some useful things behind the scenes, but because of my monomaniacal fixation on transportation, land use, energy and the environment, I have not had time to highlight the more positive initiatives. With this post, I hope to make up for that deficit to some small degree.

    One of Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s priorities has been to increase the efficiency of Virginia’s health care system by encouraging physicians and hospitals to adopt electronic health records. Until this week, none of these endeavors had resulted in anything terribly newsworthy. But on June 12, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Michael Leavitt visited Richmond to announce Virginia’s participation in a Medicare initiative to promote the use of certified electronic health records (EHRs).


    Leavitt thanked Kaine, legislators, members of his cabinet, and Michael Mathews (CEO of MedVirginia), and others for developing a winning application. The project, one of 12 in the country, will provide financial incentives to as many as 100 primary care physician practices in Virginia to use certified EHRs.


    If there’s anything close to a silver bullet for out-of-control health care expenditures, it’s probably EHRs. Let me rephrase that. There are no silver bullets. But of all the remedies discussed, getting physicians, hospitals and other health care providers to adopt electronic records would do more than any other single thing anyone can do to cut costs and improve patient outcomes.


    The U.S. health care industry has been notoriously slow to adopt electronic records. A majority of physicians still make hand-written notes, which are sometimes illegible and lead to transcription errors. Paper records also are far more difficult to share, resulting in redundant and unnecessary procedures when a patient moves to a new setting. Although systems with computerized provider order entry have existed for more than 30 years, fewer than 10 percent of hospitals as of 2006 have a fully integrated system, according to Wikipedia.

    According to one 2004 estimate, one in seven hospitalizations occurred when medical records were not available. Additionally, one in five lab tests were repeated because results were not available at the point of care. โ€œThe evidence is too compelling and the stakes are too high to maintain [the] status quo,โ€ said Mathews, the MedVirginia CEO.

    MedVirginia, Virginia’s Regional Health Information Organization, is the logical group to take the lead in the Medicare initiative. Since its inception in 2001, the organization’s vision has been to create “the most electronically connected medical community in the United States.” In 2005, MedVirginia developed the capability to collect patients’ hospital, lab and pharmacy data and organize it into one single electronic chart. The key now is to get all players to use electronic records.

    Medicare will begin working with Virginia in the summer of 2009 to build partnerships and develop strategies to recruit Virginia physicians into the program. It’s a shame we have to wait a full year just to start work on this important project. More.