• SCC Official Endorses Dominion Power Line

    A State Corporation Commission hearing examiner has endorsed Dominion’s plan to build a 65-mile, high-voltage transmission line through Virginia’s northern piedmont.

    In a written opinion, Alexander F. Skirpan Jr. wrote that Dominion made a solid case for the line, reports Sandhya Somashekhar with the Washington Post. The company contends that the $243 million project is needed to avoid blackouts in Northern Virginia that could begin as early as 2011.

    However, Skirpan recommended that the SCC condition approval of the Virginia segment of the transmission line upon Dominion obtaining approval in the two other states it would run through: West Virginia and Pennsylvania.

    Opponents of the transmission line, which would string power cables atop towers ranging in height from 75 feet to 165 feet, contend that the true purpose of the line is to wheel electricity from Midwest power plants to New Jersey and New York, by way of the Washington area. The Piedmont Environmental Council, which has spent more than $3 million on lawyers and experts to rebut Dominion’s case, also argues that aggressive conservation programs could reduce Virginia energy use by 10 percent within the next five years.


  • The Price of Gas in China

    The price for a gallon of gasoline plunged noticeably over the weekend. Maybe it was just my selection of gas stations, but I paid about $.40 less Sunday per gallon of premium on the way home from a funeral in Florence, S.C., than I paid Friday on the way down. It sure would help the ol’ wallet if the price of gasoline backed off even more.

    But I’m not counting on prices to ever drop back to the $2.80 average price of a year ago — which now seems blessedly low. Either are American consumers, who are switching to fuel-efficient cars on a scale not seen since the “energy crisis” of the 1970s. A sign of the times: Home-town used-car company CarMax, took massive write-downs on its national inventory of trucks and SUVs because the market price for those vehicles had collapsed 25 percent in just the previous three months.

    Americans, Europeans and the Japanese may be conserving gasoline, but not everyone is. The Washington Post has a fascinating article this morning about the phenomenal increase in automobile traffic in China. Not only are more Chinese driving than ever before, they’re driving bigger cars, not smaller. China just may represent the last growth market for General Motors’ Hummer behemoth anywhere in the world.

    Fifteen years ago, China had very few privately owned cars. Today it has more than 15 million. The Chinese government, which is stimulating domestic demand to balance the nation’s export-led economy, wants its citizens to buy more cars. National and provincial governments have subsidized the price of gasoline — it costs only $3.40 per gallon — cut the sales tax on cars, improved the availability of bank loans, and built a massive road and parking infrastructure to accommodate more vehicles. The Chinese, who regard automobile ownership as a sign of modernity, are obliging by buying more.

    Here’s the scary part. The increasingly affluent Chinese are moving out of their urban high-rises into suburban-style suburbs “with spacious villas and two-car garages, big-box chain stores, strip malls and office parks.” Like American human settlement patterns, these new Chinese communities are totally dependent upon the automobile.

    On, there’s one more scary part: Only four percent of the 1.3 billion Chinese people own cars. The other 96 percent represents latent demand. As it is, China accounts for 40 percent of the global increase in demand for oil as. There are no signs that the nation’s appetite is slackening.

    Meanwhile, in India, home to a population of one billion, demand for gasoline is growing 20 percent annually. This year, the combined consumption of China, India, Russia and the Middle East will increase 4.4 percent and for the first time exceed that of the United States, according to the International Energy Agency.

    Bottom line for Virginia: Barring economic upheavals in China and India, demand for gasoline will continue to increase globally, even as global oil production has peaked. Supply and demand assures that the current lull in petroleum and gasoline price hikes is only temporary. A transportation system built for cheap oil no longer makes sense. We can no longer afford Business As Usual.

    (Hat tip: Nova Middle Man.)


  • Conservation Voters Release Annual Scorecard

    The Virginia League of Conservation Voters has released its ninth annual Legislation Conservation Scorecard. The scorecard ranks 140 members of the General Assembly based on their votes on bills ranging from the application of fertilizers (to reduce runoff into state waters) to performance standards for state road projects, from the reporting of greenhouse gas emissions generally to uranium mining and natural gas rate decoupling.

    Only one member of the state Senate — Sen. R. Edward Houck, D-Spotsylvania — made it into the League’s list of “Legislative Heroes.” By contrast, 40 members of the House of Delegates were recognized.


  • Variable Speed Limits Come to Virginia

    Many Northern Virginians soon will get to experience a key feature of the congestion tolling on the Interstate 495 HOT lanes: variable speed limits.

    The Virginia Department of Transportation is deploying variable speed limits to help manage congestion on the Capital Beltway when lanes are closed for construction in the approaches to the Woodrow Wilson Bridge. By adjusting speed limits, VDOT hopes to reduce the funnel effect that causes blockages, reports Sarah Karush for the Associated Press.

    When a road narrows, or when lanes merge, smoothly flowing traffic typically bunches up. The chances for sideswipes and rear-end collisions increases as well. Using an analogy of rice pouring through a funnel, VDOT officials contended that if grains of rice (or automobiles) traveling through a funnel flow more slowly, they can get through it without bunching up and clogging the narrow gateway.

    Traffic operators monitoring the Beltway traffic with cameras and sensors will raise and lower the speed limit in increments of 5 to 10 miles per hour. Initially, VDOT plans to use the technology only during nighttime lane closures associated with the Woodrow Wilson Bridge construction project. If it’s successful, officials hope to deploy it during the day as well.

    Ultimately, the variable-speed strategy could be used around Northern Virginia both for recurring congestion and incident management — possibly even in locations like Tysons Corner where there aren’t any land closures but a large number of drivers try to get onto the highway all at once.

    Bacon’s bottom line: Kudos to VDOT. The Woodrow Wilson Bridge experiment could acclimate drivers to the paradoxical notion that driving at slower speeds can actually reduce congestion and get drivers to their destinations faster. It can also demonstrate the degree to which the operators of the Beltway HOT lanes, for which construction has recently begun, can keep tolled lanes flowing freely under dynamically changing conditions.


  • Just What We Need: More Businesses Begging for Public Funds

    The Virginia State Rail Plan is a dangerous document. The Kaine administration report, prepared by the Virginia Department of Rail and Public Transportation, lays out an intellectual justification for aggressive expansion of state planning and funding not only for commuter rail, as one might expect, but for freight rail.

    The plan is dangerous because, if acted upon, it would transform Virginiaโ€™s private railroad companies โ€“ Norfolk Southern, CSX Corp., and any short lines that may do business here โ€“ into supplicants of the state. The politicization of Virginiaโ€™s freight rail system would encourage yet another special interest to raise PAC money to sway legislators, hire lobbyists to roam the halls of the state capital, and form business coalitions to persuade Virginians to part with hard-earned tax dollars to support another mendicant industry.

    Some elements of the rail plan are worthwhile. It contains a cornucopia of data for public policy junkies, and it makes some worthwhile recommendations, such as acting to preserve abandoned rail corridors for possible future use. Even the emphasis on the critical importance of the privately operated freight rail is not entirely misplaced. Diverting more freight from trucks to railroads serves the laudable purpose of taking traffic off of Virginiaโ€™s increasingly congested Interstate highways.

    But the report leaps from that last, uncontroversial observation to the unfortunate conclusion that it is the stateโ€™s role to accelerate that shift โ€“ implicitly assuming that market forces in the form of rising energy and congestion costs are not sufficient to induce the change. Arguing that railroads can help alleviate congestion on state Interstates, a goal that has widespread public support, the rail report proceeds to spell out how the state can help make it happen.

    Here are key objectives spelled out in the report, listed under the goals of โ€œEconomic Competitiveness and Quality of Lifeโ€ and โ€œVirginia DRPT Public-Private Partnership Efforts and Program Delivery.โ€

    Objective: Provide incentives for businesses to ship by rail whenever this is the most effective method available.
    Future Strategy โ€“ Virginia DRPT should continue to connect businesses to rail and work to improve the overall freight rail system to improve its competitiveness and value against other modes. Virginia DRPT should track progress toward this objective by accounting for the value of freight traffic shifted to rail following the implementation of industrial connections and/or the improvement of main line corridors.
    (Bacon: If shipping by rail is the “most effective method available,” why are incentives required?)

    Objective: Promote continued dialog and cooperation between Virginia DRPT and the freight railroads to maximize system efficiency and investments.
    Status โ€“ In addition to the support provided to Virginiaโ€™s short line railroads, Virginia DRPT is actively leading major investment studies involving public-private partnerships.
    Future Strategy โ€“ Virginia DRPT should continue maintaining an open dialog with the private railroads and shippers to promote a unified vision of an efficient and competitive rail network for the Commonwealth.
    (Bacon: In theory, public-private partnerships are a tool to induce railroads to make private investments with public benefits they might not otherwise make. But almost any project can be justified on the basis of public benefits– and you can be sure that railroad companies, once trained to seek state funds, will start identifying public benefits in everything they do.)

    Objective: Secure stable and sufficient funding for a program of rail investment that will include funding for operating, constructing, and maintaining the rail network.
    Status โ€“ Virginia DRPT administers several programs with generally continuous funding and advocates for additional funding for important strategic initiatives, including interstate corridor projects.
    Future Strategy โ€“ Virginia DRPT should continue to advocate for increased and continuous investment in rail. Virginia DRPT should track its progress in securing funding by assigning a probability of funding to future projects.
    (Bacon: Aaaargh!)

    I will give the rail study credit for one recommendation not always heard in public policy circles: It advocates measuring โ€œcost effectiveness of investmentsโ€ in terms of air pollution reduced, traffic congestion ameliorated, etc. Unfortunately, such objective considerations are routinely ignored when a project has been turned over to the tender mercies of lobbyists and politicians.

    To this point, the big rail companies have shown little interest in plundering the state purse. Once they are persuaded that it is easier and cheaper to financing their capital spending programs by hiring lobbyists and organizing PACs than taking their case to Wall Street, citizens and taxpayers will be the inevitable losers.


  • With Big Stories Brewing, Bacon Goes AWOL

    So much to blog about and so little time… Unfortunately, my wife suffered a death in the family, and we have to travel to South Carolina today to attend the funeral. I will have no time to blog today.

    If I did, I would dearly like to turn my attention to Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s announcement of budget cuts — and the Republican response to the effect that, “We told you so.” (Readers of Bacon’s Rebellion may recall that we blogged this spring about those very concerns.)

    If I had the time, I would read, absorb and report upon Virginia’s new rail plan as well.

    If I can sneak away during the wee hours of the morning and tap into the Hampton Inn’s Internet connection, you may hear from me yet!


  • Has Gene Trani Stayed On Too Long?

    Someone has to ask the question: Has Eugene Trani stayed on too long as president of Virginia Commonwealth University?

    I have enormous respect for Trani, who has done an extraordinary job building VCU as an institution and will no doubt go down in Richmond history as one of its great, visionary leaders. He has transformed VCU from a third-tier, little respected “State U” into an up-and-comer with nationally recognized programs. By emphasizing interdisciplinary programs between schools and departments that traditionally stay pigeon-holed, he has made VCU a genuinely exciting place to study and conduct research.

    The VCU president has always had his critics. Some said he was too authoritarian, or that he emphasized bricks and mortar over program development. But there was no arguing with his ability to raise money from the community or squeeze more funds out of a parsimonious General Assembly.

    Now those accomplishments are beginning to fray. The simultaneous eruption of the Rodney Monroe and Philip Morris controversies (see “Scandal Reaches Critical Mass at VCU”) raise the possibility that systemic problems might plague VCU’s administration.

    Frankly, I have to wonder if Trani’s heart is still in the job. Trani, who turns 69 in November, originally planned to retire from the VCU presidency a few years ago, but the board of trustees apparently could not imagine a VCU without him and begged him to stay another five years. (I draw from memory — I cannot find any reference to the contract renewal on the VCU website. If someone can find it, please let me know.)

    While he agreed to stay on, Trani maintained other interests. For example, he serves on three outside boards: LandAmerica Financial, a Fortune 500 title insurance company; Universal Corp., a tobacco trading company; and the SunTrust Central Virginia Bank. Directors at the first two companies (and perhaps the third) are highly compensated and entail significant commitments.

    Meanwhile, Trani continues to pursue his academic interests. A historian, he has managed to juggle his administrative duties with scholarly research and writing. His official VCU biography lists an impressive number of columns, scholarly articles and even books written during his tenure as president. In 2005, he spent the summer in Oxford, England, working on a soon-to-be-published book, “Distorted Mirrors: American Images of Russia and China, 1891 โ€“ 1991,” and he was intending to spend this summer at Harvard.

    Whether this workload — enough to keep two or three normal people busy — affected Trani’s health is a matter of conjecture. But there is no getting around the fact that he was admitted for emergency surgery two weeks ago for a quintuple bypass surgery. A VCU press release stated that he would spend six to eight weeks at home recuperating.

    I’ve met Trani a couple of times, including once a few years ago when I interviewed him for an in-house VCU publication. He spoke enthusiastically about his research into early U.S.-Soviet relations — he was particularly interested in the U.S. expeditionary force dispatched to Archangel in 1919, as I recall. Trani also displayed a voracious appetite for information. One thing that struck me: He made a practice of Googling “Virginia Commonwealth University” every morning to see what people were saying about the institution.

    Gene Trani is a remarkable man. But it’s a legitimate question to ask: Has he taken on too much? Given his multiple pursuits and responsibilities, not to mention his ill health, can he possibly stay on top of the pressing issues that consume Virginia’s largest university? Who’s calling the shots in his absence? Is the eruption of simultaneous scandals a coincidence, or a sign of a deeper malaise at VCU? I don’t know the answer. But let us hope the Board of Visitors is asking that question.


  • Scandal Reaches Critical Mass at VCU

    It looks like Peter beat me to the punch on the latest developments at Virginia Commonwealth University (see “A Tale of Two Outrages.”) Rather than repeat the points he made, I want to amplify his comments about the “neo-Stalinist” atmosphere at VCU. I wouldn’t choose that particular, highly loaded adjective to describe the Trani administration — nobody’s been hauled off in the middle of the night and executed — but there is big, festering problem that must be dealt with.

    By way of background: I criticized Style Weekly magazine last month in R’Biz for publishing an article that gave breathless credence to fears expressed anonymously by VCU faculty members and researchers that the administration would retaliate if they openly expressed their objections to the controversial contracts with Philip Morris USA. Style noted that “senior people” at VCU had left because of the Philip Morris controversy but did not identify them. The weekly failed to present any other evidence that the dissidents’ fears were grounded in previous VCU actions.

    Well, I owe Style an apology. Peter’s subsequent reporting turned up the fact that one senior person (not “people”) at VCU — former vice president of research Marsha Torr — did depart in a controversy over Philip Morris a few years ago. And today we read in the Times-Dispatch that VCU officials made “improper threats” in an unrelated investigation into a degree improperly given then-Richmond police chief Rodney D. Monroe.

    The controversy over Monroe’s degree erupted into a full-fledged uproar when two prominent VCU faculty members resigned their senior administrative positions in protest earlier this week. Robert D. Holsworth, a noted Virginia political commentator, stepped down as dean of the College of Humanities and Sciences, and Michael D. Pratt resigned as interim director of the school of government and public affairs. As Karin Kapsidelis reports for the T-D, the VCU board will take up allegations contained in letters written by two of the four senior officials — presumably Holsworth and Pratt — that “some improper interviewing” took place during the Monroe-degree investigation.

    Kapsedelis quotes Dan Ream, president of the faculty senate, as saying that there were “improper threats made to potential tenure. … You don’t threaten tenure.”

    Well, if VCU officials can threaten tenured professors, non-tenured professors and research staff cannot be blamed for being skittish about expressing their concerns publicly about the Philip Morris contracts. Add to this latest development the fact that the task force assigned to study the university’s research contracts and recommend new guidelines is chaired by Francis Macrina, the vp of research whose underlings negotiated the contracts, and there is every reason for outsiders to wonder about the integrity of the process.

    VCU is the state’s largest, fastest-growing university, and it’s a pillar of the Richmond economy. VCU is an engine of economic development, critical to the growth of the life sciences sector in the region. Anyone who wants to build a more prosperous, livable and sustainable Richmond region needs to take an interest in what happens at VCU.

    As Peter rightly asks in the context of this dual controversy, if William & Mary alumni were outraged by the culture-war antics (my word, not his) of President Gene R. Nichol, where are Richmond’s community leaders and VCU alumni? Why aren’t they expressing outrage — or at least concern — about events at VCU that go to the heart of academic and research integrity? It’s a fair question.


  • A Tale of Two Outrages

    The drumbeat of bad news continues at Virginia Commonwealth University. The latest is that four top officials have resigned as part of the controversy over former Richmond Police Chief Rodney D. Monroeโ€™s improperly awarded VCU undergraduate degree.

    According to news accounts, one of the reasons for one of the resignations was that when VCU officials investigated the Monroe degree, threats may have been made that tenured professors might lose their tenure.

    Wow, thatโ€™s pretty strong stuff that stabs at the heart of academic freedom.

    But I can believe it. When I spoke with dozens folks in the VCU community for my reporting on another scandal, the erroneously secretive research contracts VCU entered into with Philip Morris USA, I constantly heard of the neo-Stalinist atmosphere at VCU. Faculty were afraid their e-mails were monitored and used their cell phones, instead of university lines, to communicate. After all the contracts that VCUโ€™s vice president for research now says are flawed stipulated that any discussion or inquiry of the two research deals had to be reported to Philip Morris (Big Brother) immediately.

    So, I keep asking myself, whereโ€™s the outrage? At least the outrage on my outrage-meter that goes as high as that involving Gene R. Nichol, the former president of another state school, William & Mary, who ran afoul of Virginiaโ€™s right wing thought police and was hounded out of office.

    Nichol was a highly regarded legal scholar who had taught at law schools in Colorado and North Carolina. He also was a liberal and an activist with the American Civil Liberties Union. Nichol did a lot of good at W&M by upgrading the schoolโ€™s financial aid program to reach more minority and poor students and had to deal with demands by the NCAA that W&M drop the feathers from its logo because they might offend Native Americans.

    Then, Nichol really stepped in it by having a cross removed from W&Mโ€™s chapel with orders to display it when Christian-related activities were taking place in the structure. That set off howls of rage from the โ€œChristiansโ€ in Virginiaโ€™s right wing community even though there are Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, etc., who attend the state-funded school and might find the implied religious bias of the crucifix offensive. (And please, dear readers donโ€™t come after me for not understanding your version of โ€œChristianity.โ€ I am a former altar boy who had it all drilled into him by the Jesuits and whose greatly-respected uncle was a Catholic priest who spent his life working with the poor.)

    The cross thing really brought out the yahoos. One was Jim McGlothlin, an alumnus who made his zillions ripping coal out of the ground. Miffed at Nichol, he withdrew a $12 million donation.

    Now back in my day, my school would have told McGlothlin where to stick it. But not W&M. They whimpered and scampered and howled. The right wing thought police went on alert and the ouster began. It wasnโ€™t helped when Nichol, correctly pointing to academic freedom, did not force out a sex worker exhibit at the school. After all, this isnโ€™t Liberty University or even Georgetown where one might not expect such as show.

    It was enough, however, to do Nichol, in. He resigned and left, leaving W&M for the worse.

    Move on over to VCU. Now there you have a far more serious situation where academic freedom seems to be getting trampled again and again. Rules were bent to allow Police Chief Monroe to win a degree in ways not permitted to your ordinary 21-year-old. But then, Monroe was tight with Richmond Mayor Doug Wilder and, by extension, with VCU President Eugene Trani. Ditto tobacco research. After weeks of dodging the issue, abetted by Richmondโ€™s local rag of a newspaper, Traniโ€™s junta finally admitted that the secrecy aspects the tobacco contracts were wrong.

    What about this reign of fear that wafts over VCUโ€™s two campuses? Thereโ€™s an awful lot of smoke. And this is serious stuff, not some parlor debate about a crucifix in a public school. But then, Nichol had โ€œliberalโ€ tendencies and he had to be targeted and smeared and ousted as if it were the days of Joe McCarthy in the 1950s.

    Peter Galuszka


  • Virginia’s Vulnerability to Gas Price Hikes

    Oil prices have backed off from their recent highs, and I would not be surprised to see the price tumble back to $100 per barrel, maybe even lower, as speculators flee the oil futures market. But let no one be deceived: A new, higher plateau has been established for the price of oil. Demand continues to grow in developing countries, and cheap-to-access oil is being steadily replaced by expensive-to-access oil. I’m not one of those who frets that the world will “run out of” oil any time soon. But I can plainly see that petroleum will only get more expensive.

    Unfortunately, I see little evidence that Virginia’s politicians peer past the short-term pain at the gas pump experienced by their constituents who — because the politicians insulated them from economic reality in the past — have failed to adapt to higher energy prices and, consequently, are paying a bigger price for their energy vulnerability than they would have otherwise.

    As much as public policy has failed us here in Virginia, we have have plenty of company. A recent report by the National Resources Defense Council finds that Virginia is somewhat less vulnerable to rising oil and gasoline prices than other states. In other words, many states do worse.

    โ€œFighting Oil Addiction: Ranking Statesโ€™ Oil Vulnerability and Solutions for Changeโ€ ranks the states on the percentage of income spend on gasoline. Mississippi is the most vulnerable: Residents spend 8 percent of their income on gasoline. Connecticut, where residents spend a little more than 3 percent, is the least vulnerable.

    Virginia is in the middle of the pack, rated 30th least vulnerable: 5.13 percent of our income goes to gasoline. We rank better than the national median not because we are especially conservation minded, however. Because we have higher-than-average incomes, our gasoline expenditures constitute a smaller percentage.

    Stewart Schwartz, director of the Coalition for Smarter Growth, piggybacks on the NRDC press release with this quote:

    The economic security of Virginia families and our Commonwealth will depend on greater energy efficiency in our buildings and communities. Since buildings and transportation constitute 75% of our energy use, green, efficient buildings in walkable, transit-oriented neighborhoods will be the best way for Virginia to be more energy efficient and help families save money. More than ever, smarter growth for Virginia is an economic imperative.

    There should be vigorous debate on how we achieve “smart growth.” Should we rely upon market mechanisms, subsidies for mass transit, top-down land-use changes, or some mix of each? As readers of Bacon’s Rebellion know, I favor market solutions to the greatest extent possible. The NRDC praises states that support biofuels, state-sponsored R&D, mass transit and other forms of government activism.

    Whichever approach you prefer, we’d be fools to do do nothing — perhaps in the blithe expectation that some miraculous technology will rescue us. Vehicles with superior gas mileage are surely coming. But we’ve been waiting for the miraculous technology rescue since the 1973 Arab oil embargo, and it still hasn’t arrived yet. Our energy economy is so complex, and the turnover of capital stock is so slow, that the miracle technologies will take many years, perhaps decades, to work their magic. Until then, Virginians will pay at the pump and suffer eroding standards of living.


  • Construction Begins on Beltway HOT Lanes, Questions Linger

    Fluor Corporation and Transurban (USA) Inc. formally broke ground on the Capital Beltway HOT lane yesterday. Patrick Flaherty, head of Fluorโ€™s infrastructure business, touted the project as a model for similar partnerships nationally. A press release from the P.R. firm for the project reminds readers of the benefits of the public-private partnership:

    • Fourteen miles of HOT lanes – two new lanes in each direction – from the Springfield Interchange to just north of the Dulles Toll Road;
    • Replacement of more than $250 million of aging infrastructure, including more than 50 bridges and overpasses;
    • Upgrades to 11 key interchanges, including improved connections at I-66 and three new access points into the Tysons Corner area;
    • Construction of more than 70,000 linear feet (13 miles) of new sound walls to replace current 30,000 feet of protection.

    The ground-breaking appears to be stimulating closer public scrutiny than the project ever received when it was still being negotiated. Bacon’s Rebellion raised questions two weeks ago about covenants that would restrict the Virginia Department of Transportation from making improvements that might siphon toll payers away from the Beltway. (See “The Capital Beltway HOT Lane Deal: Did the Kaniacs Give Away the Store?“)

    Then on Sunday, Eric Weiss with the Washington Post wrote an article focusing on financial penalties that would kick in if the percentage of carpoolers exceeded 24 percent of the traffic on the HOT lanes — a provision that could cost the Commonwealth $1 million a year.

    Barbara Reese, deputy transportation secretary and a key negotiator on the deal, said the subsidy would kick in when the HOT lanes are at maximum capacity for more than 30 minutes. At that point, the state is liable for every 15 minutes that the HOT lanes are at maximum capacity for that day. Wrote Weiss: “She said the estimated $1 million-a-year liability exposure to the state seemed reasonable to state officials. She acknowledged, however, that the spike in carpooling and transit use could increase the state’s liability, but officials said they could not estimate by how much.”

    Here are the higher-level questions: What performance standards are built into the contract? What levels of service must be maintained? Will the HOT lanes be optimized for providing mobility for the maximum number of people — or for generating the most toll revenue?

    The project very well could become a model for the rest of the country, as Flaherty suggests. But we won’t know if it’s a model to be emulated or one to be avoided until we have more transparency regarding the deal that the state cut with the private operators.

    I’m a big proponent of the private sector playing a larger role in building Virginia’s transportation infrastructure. But there is no inherent reason that VDOT couldn’t build the HOT lanes and administer them to optimize the public benefit. Indeed, the public may reject future public-private partnerships if fears persist that the deals are negotiated for the benefit of the private operators and/or the political class rather than for the benefit of the taxpayers and the public. The full contract needs to be made public.


  • Appalachia, Pharmacists and Economic Development

    As a follow-up to my pessimistic report on the economic future of Southside and Southwest Virginia, I thought it worthwhile to add a codicil on the University of Appalachia College of Pharmacy, located in Buchanan County, which appears to be a very productive deployment of the region’s scarce community development resources.

    According to Frank Kilgore, an occasional contributor to the Bacon’s Rebellion e-zine, 67 students graduated with pharmacy degrees this May. Two months after graduation, 97 percent of them had found employment — 79 percent of whom had taken jobs in Appalachia serving rural populations in Virginia, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee and West Virginia.

    The pharmacy college contributes to regional economic development in two ways: (1) it provides a supply of pharmacists willing to practice their profession in central Appalachia, a region that is otherwise under-served by pharmacists, and (2) it keeps the economic activity of providing the educational services in the region. Were it not for the college, would-be pharmacists would have to earn their degrees in Richmond, Chapel Hill or wherever, exporting hefty sums on tuition, room and board to those communities.

    This strikes me as a highly productive use of local resources, generating a high return on investment both socially and financially. The College of Pharmacy could well serve as a template for other professional schools that fill the void in professions which many poor and isolated communities find themselves unable to fill. (For the record, I am less sanguine about the law school in Grundy. Locals insist the region needs more lawyers. I’m dubious.)


  • My Lunch With Big Oil

    Things are going very, very, very well for my secret source, Mr. Big Oil. At our liquid lunch recently, he explained to me how offshore drilling in Virginia is a side show at best.

    No one knows how much oil is really out there. Existing estimates show that if all the oil off the East Coast were tapped, it would last the U.S. maybe six months.

    What will Virginia really get out of it? Who knows, despite the pandering of prominent state Republicans and President Bush’s call to end a drilling moratorium that has lasted nearly three decades.

    Mr. Big Oil points out that Virginia will actually get little from any projects because of the way royalties and littoral boundaries are set up. One wonders anyway why there hasn’t been a significant oil project in the state since the 1950s. And if anything actually goes today, it won’t start operations until maybe 2020. Who knows what the energy demand picture will look like then?

    The point, Mr. Big Oil says, is to get something, anything, off the East Coast to drive a spike through the heart of the moratorium so Big Oil can concentrate where they really want — namely Alaska, California and the Gulf of Mexico. For the real skinny, read my column in Bacon’s Rebellion.

    Peter Galuszka


  • Economic Development Triage

    Some truths are just too hard for politicians to speak: There are some things that constituents refuse to hear. That’s why we have blogs.

    One of those truths here in Virginia is that Southside and Southwest Virginia are experiencing an irreversible decline that cannot be halted as long as current economic trends and development policies hold. This is not a reflection upon the earnestness, work ethic or moral worthiness of the people of those regions. It’s just the way it is.

    I developed that theme in two recent blog posts, which I’ve knitted together in a single piece, “No Salvaging the Mill Towns“.) If you haven’t read the blog posts yet, skip them and read the column. If you have read the blog posts, you might revisit the column anyway: It states the case more lucidly.

    The occasion for these observations is a report by a blue-ribbon panel that has surveyed the handicraft of the Virginia Tobacco Indemnification and Community Revitalization Commission after 10 years and $400 million parceled out over 900 projects smeared across the region. The panel recommends adopting an “investor” approach to disseminating funds rather than a grants approach, in which funds are doled out to every town, city and county throughout the region. Likewise, the study group recommended making fewer micro grants under $100,000 and concentrating on projects that offer potential to transform the two regions.

    As Heinz Guderian, the theoretician behind the Wehrmacht’s WWII blitzkrieg tactics, famously said (in German, of course), “Kick ’em, don’t splatter ’em.” In other words, if you want to achieve a breakthrough, concentrate your resources.

    Fortunately, community leaders in Southwest Virginia are getting the picture. One reader has sent me a widely circulated letter written by Barnie Day, a Patrick County community banker, board member of the Tobacco Commission and former General Assembly delegate (and former Bacon’s Rebellion columnist) who, by speaking the hard truth, no doubt has transformed himself into political paraiah.

    “We have fertilized and watered the seeds of our own failure,” Day wrote, “with how we have chosen to structure and govern ourselves, with how we have chosen to allocate — in basically a ‘might is right’ fashion — the spoils of this endeavor. … Not only has [this approach] pitted region against region and local government against local government, but in many cases it has fostered spending for spending’s sake — spending without impact — spending sometimes based on little more than availability of funding.”

    As Day admits, he argued for and — “God forbid” — actually received funding for a “covered bridge festival.” The Tobacco Commission has lavished hundreds of millions of dollars on sewer lines, shell buildings, community centers, institutes, partnerships and initiatives of all sorts. “But what nags at me is this question: “Will any of them make a 100-year difference?”

    In my column, I argue that the problem runs even deeper. The dispersed, low-density settlement patterns of Southside and Southwest Virginia — small towns, tens of thousands of homestead scattered along country roads — are not sustainable (a) in an age of energy scarcity that drives up the cost of gasoline and (b) in a Knowledge Economy in which the “clustering force” rewards companies for locating near large pools of skilled labor.

    If there’s any hope for the region, it’s in conducting economic-development triage and concentrating resources into a handful of urban areas — Danville, Bristol, perhaps Martinsville — that are large enough to compete for human capital. Such a policy would be political suicidal for any community leader to advocate. But the hell of it is, the strategy of spreading around the tobacco booty to placate local politicos is doomed to failure. Southside and SW Virginia get only one chance at this: They have to do it right.


  • Torches Held High and Pitchforks Stabbing the Sky

    It’s summer, the air is sweltering and tempers are flaring. A most propitious moment for the latest edition of Bacon’s Rebellion… the July 21, 2008, edition. (Never miss an issue, have the e-zine mailed directly to your in-box. Sign up for a free subscription.)

    Here are this week’s manifestos:

    No Salvaging the Mill Towns
    Ten years and $400 million has failed to transform the economies of Southside and Southwest Virginia. Until leaders confront dispersed human settlement patterns, they will never address root causes.
    by James A. Bacon

    Thank You, Joe
    Former state Senator Joe Gartlan left his fingerprints all over the Code of Virginia and boosted the future of the Commonwealth.
    by Doug Koelemay

    Rocky Mountain Low
    A WaPo story highlights the threat of converting Montana wilderness into masses of McLodges. But there’s more to the story: Developers are destroying the land they exploit and, with rising energy prices, are creating the ghost (non) towns of tomorrow.
    by EM Risse

    Democrats for (School) Choice
    Putting the interest of the nation’s children ahead of those of the teachers unions, an increasing number of Dems are supporting school choice.
    by Chris Braunlich

    Summer Sweats
    Tim Kaine looks like a long shot to get the VP nod from Barack Obama. But it’s fun thinking about the what-ifs back in the Old Dominion if the governor were drafted into national politics.
    by Norman Leahy

    My Lunch with Big Oil
    Mr. Big Oil spilled the beans: Offshore oil drilling means bupkis for Virginia. He ginned up the flap here in the Old Dominion to win support for opening up California, Alaska and the Gulf where the big barrels are.
    by Peter Galuszka

    How Tim Kaine Lost his Mojo
    Tim Kaine campaigned as a liberal who would oppose tax increases. He has governed as a moderate who has advocated tax increases. Many Virginians feel betrayed.
    by Frank Kilgore

    Nice & Curious Questions
    The Developer’s Daughter: Road Names in Virginia
    by Edwin S. Clay III and Patricia Bangs