• IT IS THE NEW URBAN REGION, PLEASE

    Jim Bacon has been into the numbers again. See โ€œStates, Taxes and Laffer Curveโ€ below. (This is a new post since some may not make it past Anon 5:31’s post.)

    Good post Jim: Glad you noted the importance of human settlement patterns. That leads to the one concern we have with the post: The problem is not just using โ€œstateโ€ data instead of โ€œmetropolitan regionโ€ data. One has to go much deeper into the data issue before any analysis is of real value.

    For example:

    Larry G. (is that you Larry Gross?) cites a report by Milken / Greenstreet that makes this case crystal clear.

    First on Vocabulary: I am sure everyone who looked up the study noted the authors called this the โ€œbest performing โ€˜CITIESโ€™โ€ but the entries are the top 200 โ€œMSAsโ€ or parts there of (e.g. โ€œMDsโ€) not a “city” on the list.

    If you do not know what you are talking about, you do not know what you are talking about.

    Even more important of the top 25 places on the list โ€“ what ever you call them โ€“ 20 are in New Urban Regions. These are not small, out of the way places, they are parts of New Urban Regions, just as you would expect.

    What is more 11 of the top 25 places fall into just 4 New Urban Regions.

    In other words there is no reason to spend much time looking at this or other badly aggregated information.

    Using “state” data makes any analysis less meaningful than “metropolitian region” data, but not much.

    We explore the newly in-vogue term โ€œmegaregionโ€ in TRILO-G.

    There are problems with going too big as well as too small with data aggregation. Think organic, in the food market and in the data.

    charlie: Why โ€œNew Urban Regionโ€ not โ€œstateโ€? The reason is simple, the New Urban Region is the fundamental building block of contemporary economic, social and physical civilization.

    Yes, there are some things that vary by state (or by county or nation-state) but not as many as vary by the organic components of society.

    TMT: Think New Urban Region, not โ€œnova,โ€ where ever that may be.

    Darrell โ€“ Chesapeake: Right on except it is Fundamental Transformation, not fundamental change, that phrase has been hijacked by the Business-As-Usual political spinners.

    EMR


  • The Uranium Controversy Throwing Off Gamma Rays

    When Clarke Hogan, D-Halifax, threw a party at his family’s retreat in Brunswick, ME, recently, the guest list included legislative pals, Del. Wat Abbitt, I-Appomattox, and House Speaker William J. Howell, R-Stafford. The guest list also included John-Garrett Kemper, a top lobbyist for uranium mining in nearby Pittsylvania County, reported Jeff Schapiro in the Sunday Times-Dispatch.

    While Republicans have pushed hard for off-short oil drilling, notes Schapiro, Hogan and Abbitt helped kill a bill in the last session that would have launched a state study on the economic and environmental issues surrounding uranium mining in Pittsylvania, home to what is reputed to be the largest untapped uranium deposit in North America. While Republicans normally favor energy development, Hogan and the GOP-leaning Abbitt are both “downstream” — literally — from Pittsylvania, and have vocal constituencies worried about the impact of uranium mining on their water supplies.

    Schapiro contacted Hogan about the Maine shindig but was rebuffed. Said Hogan: “Where I go on vacation with my friends is, frankly, none of your business. . . . Write up your conspiracy theories, but don’t waste my time.”

    Hogan stands between the proverbial uranium ore and a hard place. Schapiro suggests that he might be looking for a way out. If the General Assembly refuses to back a special study commission, the report notes, it may be possible to do an end run by assigning the job to the Virginia Coal and Energy Commission.

    The politics of the uranium mining controversy are fascinating. Virginia environmentalists are mobilizing to oppose any move to end — or even think about ending — the moratorium on uranium mining. But Democratic Gov. Timothy M. Kaine and Dems in the state Senate have backed the study.

    As the United States braces for the construction of dozens of new nuclear power plants over the next couple of decades, uranium prices are rising and the Pittsylvania deposit is said to be potentially worth a billion dollars. The landowners, Virginia Uranium Inc., are lining up lobbyists and P.R. pros to knock down the moratorium. Meanwhile, the mining and processing of uranium could lead to the investment of hundreds of millions of dollars in Southside Virginia and dovetail with the nuclear services industry cluster in Lynchburg.

    Addendum: While Schapiro describes Kemper as “a top lobbyist for the prospective mine,” there is no record of his affiliation in the Virginia Public Access Project. It’s possible that he was hired since the last filing deadline.


  • SBA Loans for Pet Grooming

    Sheila and Kevin Nelson are obviously good at what they do. Since purchasing Groomingdaleโ€™s, an established pet grooming business, in November, theyโ€™ve boosted sales six percent, as Joan Tupponce tells the story in todayโ€™s Richmond Times-Dispatch. I wish the Nelsons all the luck in the world. I like to see small businesses succeed, especially in a heart-tugging instance like this: The flexibility of the business allows the couple to schedule appointments around the needs of their oldest daughter, who has cerebral palsy

    But I really do wonder: Was there a public policy justification for the Small Business Administration to finance the Nelsonsโ€™ takeover of the business with $175,200 in loans?

    As the SBA says on its website, it was formed in 1953 to โ€œaid, counsel, assist and protect the interests of small business concerns, to preserve free competitive enterprise and to maintain and strengthen the overall economy of our nation.”

    How did financing the Nelsons’ business โ€œmaintain and strengthen the overall economy of the nationโ€? Groomingdale’s had been in business since 1992. In other words, the SBA-guaranteed loans helped finance the purchase of an existing pet grooming business by a new owner. Are the owners creating new jobs or expand the tax base? Does the business serve new markets? Does it stimulate exports? Is it advancing a new technology? Does the enterprise complement, and help grow, a strategically important business cluster?

    With Wall Street firms collapsing, with the federal government committing itself to gazillion-dollar bailouts of mortgage-securitization giants Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, with the U.S. financial system imploding, foreign investors withdrawing their capital and lenders trimming their sales, is a pet-grooming service the kind of business into which the United States should be funneling scarce investment capital? Nothing personal against the Nelsons, whom Iโ€™m sure are wonderful people, but I reaaalllly donโ€™t think so.

    (This blog entry was adapted from a post on R’Biz.)


  • States, Taxes and the Laffer Curve

    Arthur Laffer, known for the “Laffer Curve,” and Stephen Moore, a Cato Institute scholar, published a study last year, “Rich States, Poor States,” that asks exactly the kinds of questions we explore here on the Bacon’s Rebellion blog. What are the public policy variables that affect states’ long-term economic growth — and how does Virginia fare?

    I have only now come across this study. Although its data is a year older than we’d like, “Rich States, Poor States,” covers a recent 10-year period (1997 to 2006), so its conclusions are still informative for purposes of long-term analysis.

    Laffer and Moore pick three criteria for tracking a state’s economic performance: per capita income, net in-migration, and job creation. We have oft-touted the virtues of “per capita income” as a metric for economic well-being. The usefulness of “job creation” as a measure of economic vitality needs no elaboration.

    I find the net in-migration number the most interesting because the data is less widely reported and it’s a forward-looking indicator. Domestic migration is the best single indicator there is of the flow of human capital. For the most part, domestic migrants are better educated and earn more money than those who stay behind. They enrich the human capital of the regions and states where they end up. If you’re trying to build up your creative class, domestic in-migration is a good measure of how you’re doing.

    Anyway, according to Laffer and Moore, between the 1Q of 1997 and the 1Q of 2006, Virginia recorded:

    • per capita income growth of 56.4 percent (7th best in the country)
    • job growth of 18.8 percent (12th best in the country), and
    • net domestic in-migration of 162,653 (12th best in the country)

    Add it all up, and Virginia had the 4th strongest economic performance nationally over that period. (Arizona was 3rd, Florida was 2nd, and Texas was 1st.)

    What contributed to that strong performance? Laffer and Moore focus mainly on state tax and regulatory policies. They don’t provide a composite score for each state, but here’s how Virginia ranks for individual variables (with state rank in parenthesis):

    Top marginal personal income tax rate: 5.75%…. (23)

    Top marginal income tax rate: 6.0%…. (15)

    Personal income tax progressivity (change in tax liability per $1,000 in income): $6.42…. (22)

    Property tax burden (per $1,000 of personal income): $29.85…. (20)

    Sales tax burden (per $1,000 of personal income): $15.00…. (9)

    Remaining tax burden (per $1,000 of personal income): $21.35…. (33)

    Estate/inheritance tax: No…. (1, tie)

    Recent legislated tax changes (2005 and 2006, per $1,000 of personal income): -0.37…. (14)

    Debt service as % of total tax revenue: 7.8%…. (17)

    Public employees per 10,000 population (FTE): 563.4… (28)

    State liability system survey (tort litigation treatment, judicial impartiality): 66.9…. (12)

    State minimum wage (federal floor is $5.85): $5.85…. (1, tie)

    Average workers comp costs (per $100 of payrol): $1.52…. (3)

    Right to work state? Yes…. (1, tied)

    Number of tax expenditure limits: least/worst…. (23, tied)

    Education freedom index score (vouchers, ease of private/home schooling): 1.47…. (42)

    My main quibble with the Laffer/Moore analysis is that it chooses states as the unit of analysis rather than metropolitan regions. Breaking down the performance data by region would permit a finer-grained analysis. Here in Virginia, there is enormous variability between the performance of Charlottesville or Northern Virginia and, say, Danville.

    While tax/regulatory policy clearly is a major determinant, it is not the only one. Human capital — and the capacity for upgrading human capital, i.e. education and training — is another one. The existence of strong industry clusters is another. Human settlement patterns are yet another. Still, while the Laffer/Moore analysis doesn’t explain everything, it explains a lot.


  • Business, the GOP and Change

    Virginia Republicans may be losing their grip on power, but they can console themselves that they’re still perceived as “pro business.” That gives them a significant advantage in fund raising. I’m yet to be convinced, however, that the pro-business epithet is terribly beneficial for the rest of us.

    According to the 2008 report card issued by the Virginia Foundation for Research and Economic Education (Virginia FREE), the top pro-business legislators in the General Assembly are all Republican. As listed by the Associated Press, they include:

    1. Sen. Walter Scotch, R
    (tie) Sen. John Watkins, R
    3. Sen. Kenneth Stolle, R
    (tie) Sen. Thomas Norment, R
    5. Sen. William Wampler, R
    6. Sen. Frank Wagner, R
    (tie) Del. Thomas Rust, R
    8. Sen. Harry Blevins, R
    9. Sen. Robert Hurt, R
    (tie) Sen. Stephen Newman, R

    Once upon a time, I would have said it was a good thing to be pro-business. America is, after all, a capitalist society. A healthy economy requires healthy, profitable businesses. But I’m not so sure I believe that anymore. Increasingly, businesses view government and politics not as a thing apart from the private sector but as an extension of marketplace, an arena where they can manipulate the rules and the power of patronage for their own benefit. Increasingly, the “business” lobby has evolved into an aggregation of special interests that look out for themselves, not the general welfare.

    Clayton Roberts, president of Virginia FREE, doesn’t see it that way. In a column published widely around the state this morning, he regards the interests of business, the citizenry and good government as largely synonomous:

    Virginia businesses do not see public safety, education, health care, transportation, and energy as partisan issues. They are Virginia issues. They are pressing business issues.

    Roberts, a delightful guy whom I regard as a friend, blames elected officials and partisan stand-offs for Virginia’s failure to devise legislative fixes. I wouldn’t disagree. Mindless partisanship does not lend itself to solving problems.

    But the biggest obstacle in Virginia is something else entirely: the widespread belief that complex problems have easy answers — usually entailing the expenditure of larger amounts of money. The answer, we hear repeatedly, is mo’ money. We don’t hear a cry for Fundamental Change.

    John McCain may be trying to seize the mantle of change in the presidential elections, but I see little evidence that Virginia Republicans — or businesses — have been caught up in the same spirit.


  • Reality Check from the Inc. 5000

    Inc. Magazine is known mainly for its prestigious โ€œInc. 500โ€ list of fastest-growing private companies in the United States. As I reported for Rโ€™Biz last month, the Richmond region contributed only one company โ€“ Logical Innovations, a software development firm — to that list. But it turns out that Inc. compiles an even bigger list, an โ€œInc. 5000,โ€ that dips even deeper into the entrepreneurial economy.

    Ah, hah, I thought. Perhaps the Richmond areaโ€™s successful companies were buried a layer or two under the elite strata of the top 500. If only I searched the larger database, I reasoned, the regionโ€™s rising stars would be unveiled. Alas, searching the Inc. 5000 list proved to be even more demoralizing. Out of the 5,000 fastest-growing private companies in the United States, 244 companies are from Virginia — nearly one out of 20. But the vast majority are from Northern Virginia; only 12 are located in Richmond.

    In a metropolitan area of about one million people and a country of 300 million people, the odds are that at least one company out of 300 would be found here. In actuality, the ratio is less than one out of 400. If the Inc. 5000 list can be trusted as an accurate reflection of economic reality, the Richmond region is entrepreneur poor. We have a severe shortage of the fast-growth companies that drive regional economic development through job and wealth creation.

    While Richmond has been successful at recruiting corporate headquarters and professional firms, weโ€™re doing a lousy job of creating the next generation of businesses, jobs and technologies. No wonder the Milken Institute ranked the region 102 out of the 200 largest Metropolitan Statistical Areas for the growth of its technology sector. (See โ€œRichmond Falling Short in Tech Cred.โ€)

    As the Richmond region has experienced repeatedly, large corporations come — and they go. Itโ€™s great when we recruit a new manufacturer or, even better, a corporate headquarters. But there is no assurance that they will stay. In the past year alone, Albemarle Corp., a specialty chemicals manufacturer, has relocated its corporate headquarters to Baton Rouge, La. Far more damaging to the local economy, Wachovia Securities moved to St. Louis, taking hundreds of highly compensated employees with it.

    As Robert Reich argued in his book, โ€œSupercapitalism,โ€ corporations today have no regional loyalties. They invest their capital wherever they can maximize their profits, whether thatโ€™s in Virginia, or Louisianaโ€ฆ or China. Maximizing profit for shareholders is the reason why corporations exist. If senior executives donโ€™t maximize profit, they will either be relieved of their command or investors will shun their stock.

    By contrast, citizens are invested in their communities, and they want to see their communities prosper. The citizens of Richmond need to create the social and economic conditions โ€“ a deep pool of human capital, and institutions supportive of entrepreneurs — that encourage the formation of innovative, fast-growth companies. Even successful fast-growth companies can grow up to become Fortune 500 companies and move out of town. But in the two or three decades it takes to reach that stage, the fast-growth companies are creating jobs, wealth for investors, opportunities for vendors and partners, and economic prosperity generally.

    Our business, political and civic leaders appear to be very engaged in community issues. But, whatever priorities they may have, supporting entrepreneurial growthis not one they take terribly seriously. Perhaps more depressing evidence like that of the Inc. 5000 will induce the big shots to change. Instead of jetting off to places like Jacksonville, Fla., for inspiration, maybe they should take a bus up to Northern Virginia to see where that region’s entrepreneurs come from.

    (This post was adapted from an article first published in R’Biz.)


  • Republicans, Democrats and Income Inequality

    Washington, D.C., has the greatest extremes of wealth and poverty of almost any place in the United States. Yet, ironically, both extremes — the rich and the poor — vote overwhelmingly for Democrats, observes David Frum, former speechwriter for President George W. Bush and now a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

    The same pattern applies across the country: Places with greater income inequality vote for the Dems, places with more egalitarian incomes prefer Republicans. The danger for the GOP is that the nation is becoming more unequal, Frum argues in “The Vanishing Republican Voter,” an article published Sunday in the New York Times Magazine.” As America becomes more unequal, it also becomes less Republican,”

    To advance his argument, Frum hones in on Fairfax County, a once solidly Republican stronghold that now leans Democratic, and Prince William County, where the GOP lock is loosening.

    The million residents of Fairfax County have an economy larger than Vietnam’s. Incomes average more than $100,000. But that high average conceals wide variations between those with great educations and high incomes, and the arrivals “speaking 40 different tongues.” Inequality has created new social problems, contends Frum: “The schools are stressed. The roads are choked. Land use is more contentious.” And the county is shifting steadily into the Democratic column.

    Why? Frum doesn’t really explain why. He just notes that super-affluent Americans generally trend Democratic. Says Frum: “Al Gore beat George Bush 56-39, among the 4 percent of voters who identified themselves as ‘upper class.’ America’s wealthiest ZIP codes are a roll call of Democratic strongholds.” It goes without saying that poor people prefer Democrats, who look more favorably upon the redistribution of wealth.

    Moving on to Prince William County, Frum says, “There are no more egalitarian and no more Republican places in the United States than these exurbs. The rich shun them, and the poor can find no easy foothold.” But even here, the Republican dominance is slipping. Democrats Gov. Tim Kaine and Sen. Jim Webb both won majorities here.

    Frum argues that Republican policies under the Bush administration have yielded few benefits to middle-income Americans. He then focuses on Prince William as “ground zero” for the illegal immigration debate. Illegal immigration is bad for the poor because it drives down wages, and it helps the rich because it lowers the price of personal services like landscaping and restraurant meals. In other words, it fosters inequality. Making matters worse, middle-class communities like Prince William are paying the cost of maintaining social services for the illegals.

    Frum points to one other crisis: the rising cost of health care. What the middle class needs even more than tax breaks, he suggests, is for someone to tame the soaring inflation in health care that has bitten deeply into wages and salaries. “If health-insurance costs had risen 50 percent rather than 100 percent over the Bush years,” he writes, “middle-income voters would have enjoyed a pay raise instead of enduring wage stagnation.”

    Bacon’s bottom line: Frum’s article is a good read, and parts of it are quite perceptive. But he fails to close the loops of logic in a number of his arguments. For instance, I agree with Frum’s economic analysis about the disparate impact of illegal immigration, but he never explains how that issue would induce the stressed-out middle-class residents of Prince William County to vote for Tim Kaine or Jim Webb, neither of whom have championed the anti-illegal immigration cause.

    On health care, Frum may be on firmer ground. If middle-class Americans are worried about the impact of health care costs, they may be drawn to the Democratic pitch for a national health care system. Even then, though, he doesn’t take his argument quite that far.

    Finally, Frum omits what may be the most crucial cluster of issues of all: those relating to transportation, land use, energy and the environment. Middle-class NoVa residents fall into the demographic that Ed Risse refers to as the “Running As Hard As They Cans” (RHTCs) whose lives are impacted by dysfunctional land use patterns — unaffordable and inaccessible housing, traffic congestion, fiscal stress at the municipal level, rising energy costs — in ways they do not fully understand. It’s possible that they’re losing faith in the old Republican mantra: Just keep keep taxes low.

    Without question, taxes matter to the middle class, but so do wage levels, and health care costs, and mortgage costs, and housing values, and gasoline/energy costs, and traffic congestion, and the quality of the schools… What those problems have to do with income inequality, I’m still not certain. I would think they would matter to everyone. If Republicans want to hold on to middle class voters, they’d better find a bigger bag of tricks — regardless of what happens to income inequality.


  • The Numerati: How Number Crunchers Change Our Lives

    Funny how old associations come up. About two weeks ago, I was up near Tysons Corner for an appointment. I was early so I dropped by the Borders across the street. As I was waiting for the cashier with my CD of bluesman John Lee Hooker, I noticed one of those stand-up photo advertisements. The face looked awfully familiar.

    It was. It was Steve Baker, a BusinessWeek senior writer with whom I have worked off and on for 20 years. He was in Mexico City when I was in Moscow and later he was in Pittsburgh while I was in Cleveland. The latter association brought on occasional barroom discussions of rust belt economics and the many sins of our New York editors.

    Steveโ€™s done very well. The ad was for an excellent book heโ€™s just published about โ€œThe Numerati,โ€ a class of math experts who quietly orchestrate the massaging of the zillions of bits of data about us. We generate the stuff every time we use our cell phones or search Google, use a grocery loyalty card or whisk through a toll booth using a Smarttag.

    Steve, who has specialized in technology reporting for more than a decade, draws intriguing portraits of the numbers class, many of whom are non-Americans from Syria, Pakistan, or France. How they use the tremendous cache of data about us will make a huge difference in our future lives.

    Even in Virginia. In his section on politics, Steve zeroes in on how pollsters and campaign officials used and massaged data in the state gubernatorial race in 2005 to get money or reach out to undecided and critically important voters. How such data will be gathered and analyzed will be extremely important in the tight presidential race this year between Barack Obama and John McCain, especially in the Old Dominion, which is a swing state. Data management will probably be less important in the Mark Warner versus Jim Gilmore senatorial contest, as an outcome favorable to the Democrat seems preordained.

    For more, please check out https://www.baconsrebellion.com/Issues08/09-08/Galuszka.php

    Peter Galuszka


  • Time for a Break

    Bacon’s Rebellion has been a huge part of my life for the past six years. But it’s time for a break, as I explain in “Passing the Baton.” While I will continue to participate in Virginia’s public policy dialog in the blog, I just don’t have the energy right now to keep up the time-consuming commitment of publishing the e-zine every other week. I have more important obligations, foremost among them my wife, my children and my elderly parents.

    That doesn’t mean the e-zine is necessarily dead, or even dormant. It may be taking a breather. A number of long-time friends of the e-zine have approached me with ideas for keeping it going. I am most gratified by their response, and I’m open to their thoughts. I expect those conversations to unfold over the next two or three weeks. If there are any breakthroughs, I will keep you posted.

    Meanwhile, if anyone has any suggestions on how to keep the e-zine going, or knows of any potential benefactors — life was sweet when the Piedmont Environmental Council supported us, I didn’t have to make a “real” living — please feel free to e-mail me at [email protected].


  • Reprise: Who Will Report the News?

    For my e-zine swan song, I figured I might as well go way out on a limb and divine the future of regional and community media. So, here goes…

    Newspaper profitability is imploding. Here is the latest round-up, as summarized in “Who Will Report the News?“:

    Media General’s Virginia newspaper group, which includes the Richmond Times-Dispatch as well as papers in Charlottesville, Lynchburg, Danville, Bristol and other locations, saw month-to-month revenues plunge 17 percent in July. While Media General reported a nominal loss in the second quarter, the once-formidable Washington Post Company racked up a $2.7 million loss, reflecting $133 million in early retirement write-offs for the Washington newspaper and Newsweek magazine. Print advertising revenues at the newspaper sank 22 percent. Privately owned Landmark Communications does not report its financial results, but the fact that the Virginian-Pilot and Roanoke Times are still for sale after months and months on the market suggests that they aren’t faring much better.

    Newspapers are all shifting to an Internet-based model as fast as they can. But newspaper websites can’t possibly support the volume of news generated under the old print media model.

    For metropolitan newspapers, the end game is a business model as an online publication… a publication with lean staffs and paper-thin profit margins… a publication that produces a small fraction of news content that it did in its heyday.

    The citizens of Virginia have to face the prospect that their traditional sources of news and information about state, regional and community affairs may well dry up and blow away.Where, then, will people get their information? I foresee four sources:

    • Paid content for information of a highly specialized nature, such as newsletters, market analysis and business intelligence articulated by industry gurus.
    • Public relations content dressed up as press releases and journalism-style articles.
    • News aggregators that comb the Internet for content from news articles, press releases, blogs and other sources, digest it, repackage it and comment upon it.
    • Superstars, the Oprahs and Rush Limbaughs of the world, who are such huge phenomena they can break through the clutter and capture the economic value now provided by networks, broadcast stations and other bundlers of cable, television and radio content.

    It ain’t pretty, folks. I’m not saying that it’s a better world — I’m just calling ’em as I see ’em. I was hoping that Bacon’s Rebellion e-zine might last long enough to feast upon the decomposing remains of the Mainstream Media, but I just ran out of steam. More on that subject in the next post.


  • Nooooooo! Say it Ain’t So!

    All good things must pass…. even rebels need to take a break. This is the last edition of the Bacon’s Rebellion e-zine under my editorial direction for the foreseeable future. While it’s possible that I may turn over the e-zine to “new management” — I am exploring the idea with some long-time friends of the Rebellion — no decision has been made.

    So, rebels and friends, enjoy this edition of the Rebellion. It may be the last. (There’s no need to totally wig out, however. You can continue getting your fix of insurrection and mayhem on the Bacon’s Rebellion blog.)

    Passing the Baton
    After six great years, the time has come to step down from the Bacon’s Rebellion e-zine. It’s been fun, rewarding — and exhausting.
    by James A. Bacon

    Who Will Report the News?
    How’s this for irony: The knowledge economy craves information more than ever, but newspapers and print media are imploding. Where will Virginians get their news in the Internet age?
    by James A. Bacon

    Katrina Yet Again

    The hurricanes keep coming — and they always will. We can continue Business As Usual, making ourselves more vulnerable, or we can evolve safer, better protected human settlement patterns.
    by EM Risse

    A Picture is Worth a Thousand Lies
    One reason it’s so hard for people to envision functional human settlement patterns is that the images peddled by the Business-As-Usual crowd are so deceptive.
    by EM Risse

    Ch-ch-ch-ch-Changes
    Turn and face the strange: An African-American from Illinois and a woman from Alaska have infected millions of Americans with a thirst for change. Will Virginia heed the call?
    by Michael Thompson

    Making the World a Better Place — with Other Peoples’ Money

    We all want change. The question is, whom do you trust to deliver it — a government run by self-appointed elites, or friends and neighbors working as volunteers?
    by Norman Leahy

    The Numerati
    In the land of the mathematically challenged, the “numerati” rule as kings. These inscrutable geniuses massage the data that drives business decisions — and, increasingly, determines who wins elections.
    by Peter Galuszka

    Nice & Curious Questions
    A Rocky Business: Quarries in Virginia
    by Edwin S. Clay III and Patricia Bangs


  • HIGH NOON FOR ENTERPRISE SOCIALISM

    The bail out of Fannie and Freddie confirms how far the US of A has drifted from a democracy with a market economy.

    No one is yet even talking about the real problem with Freddie and Fannie โ€“ putting billions into a dysfunctional Agency backed system to put the wrong size house in the wrong location (aka, the Affordable and Accessible Housing Crisis).

    Agency programs demonstrate a bipolar oscillation between IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE and pandering populism on the road to Collapse.

    P.S. Why is the Freddie Foundation logo on ads for a charity basketball game?

    P.S.S. No wonder he is in the Hall of Fame:

    โ€œAnother thing Riley would have done differently would have been actually living in New York (the Core of the New York / New Jersey / Connecticut New Urban Region) instead of maintaining a home in (a relatively remote part of or the Region) Connecticut. That may have contributed to some of the burnout.โ€

    The only help that can be offered to commuters is to help them become non-commuters.

    EMR


  • Back and forth over Patrick Henry

    One of the more fascinating things about Richmond politics is that it combines roughness with dysfunction to such a degree that it becomes a form of art. The two strands are on full display here, where not just average folks, but a passel of school board members go at it in the comments section. Comment #20, from Carol Wolf, is eye-opening. Snip:

    If this contract were โ€œfair,โ€ then this School Board would already require each school in the system to file โ€œmonthly written financial statements, including specifically all operating and non-operating expenses and sources of revenue.โ€ [p.8 of the contract]. Additionally, each school should have to provide to the School Board a written consolidated financial report. [loc.cit].

    We donโ€™t. One need only read the audits of the RPS conducted by City Auditor Umesh Dalal to see that such a reporting requirement would greatly assist the taxpayers of this city to understand why it is that our per pupil costs are as high as they are.

    And it just gets better… and more informative.

    (HT: Jonathan Mallard… a Bacon’s regular who is also a candidate for the Richmond school board)


  • The Patrick Henry Contract

    Via RVANews comes a copy of the contract for the Patrick Henry Charter School. It contains margin notes from school board member Carol Wolf, some of which are quite interesting.

    The story is that board member Keith West will try to revised and resubmit the contract to the board. However, his chances of success are slim:

    Two School Board members who supported the original contract expressed no interest yesterday in seeing West’s revisions.

    School Board Chairman George P. Braxton II said he didn’t want “some watered-down” version. He also nixed West’s hope for quick reconsideration, saying he would send any new contract proposal to committee for review.

    “I don’t think there’s any support for a scaled-back version, especially when it’s presented this way,” said Vice Chairwoman Lisa Dawson, another supporter of the original contract.

    Unless their objections can be overcome, the idea seems dead.


  • Arguably the Most Ossified Public School System in the Country

    Virginia doesn’t have the worst public school system in the country — we’re fair to middlin’ as measured by spending per pupil and educational outcomes — but it is arguably the most resistant to change. The latest evidence is a rejection of a charter for the Patrick Henry charter school earlier this week by the City of Richmond school board.

    Keith West, one of the school’s main backers, wound up voting against the proposal on the grounds that it had been bound up by so many contract restrictions that the city was setting up the school for failure. ‘The contract “micromanages them,” he said, as reported by the Times-Dispatch. “We’re telling them how to do what they’re supposed to do.”

    The elementary school would have occupied a school building that had been closed down more than a year ago, and would have offered an integrated science and arts curriculum that integrated the neighboring Forest Hill Park into the curriculum to teach “environmental awareness and social responsibility.” The school would have been funded by the usual state and city sources for schools, supplemented by private sources. It would have been governed by its own board of directors.

    The school was opposed by the usual constituencies. The NAACP, the Richmond Council of PTAs and the Richmond Education Association had mobilized in protest. “We oppose any scheme that creates a private school in a public school setting,” said Melvin Law, a former School Board chairman and a Richmond NAACP branch member.

    As Times-Dispatch columnist Barton Hinkle points out, there are about 4,200 charter schools across the United States. Only three are located in Virginia. Support for vouchers, an even more radical alternative to charter schools, is spreading. Opponents, he suggests aren’t worried that the school might fail — “they’re petrified that it might succeed.” In the words of one school board member, “By allowing this group to proceed, it would open the door for any other group that wants to create a school.”

    As infuriating as such thinking is, it’s not restricted to the City of Richmond. Outside of one school in Albemarle County, one in the city of Hampton and one in York County, there aren’t any charter schools anywhere in Virginia. (According to the Virginia Charter School Resource Center, five other charter schools have opened and closed.)

    What a disgrace. The educrats and special interests are determined to protect the current system, regardless of what it costs the children. And no one in Virginia is willing to override them.