• What Cox Brings to the Contest for Governor

    Chesterfield Observer photo from a September interview, which you can read here.

    by Steve Haner

    Virginiaโ€™s 66th House District, basically Colonial Heights and part of Chesterfield County, was drawn by a federal court special master. The incumbent delegate, Republican Speaker of the House Kirk Cox, was not supposed to survive the 2019 election based on past partisan performance in those precincts.

    But Cox ran nine points ahead of failed 2018 GOP Senate candidate Corey Stewartโ€™s result in those precincts, and five points ahead of failed 2017 Republican gubernatorial nominee Ed Gillespie. He won another term in the House of Delegates with almost 52%. Unfortunately, so many of his colleagues fell to the new map that he was no longer to be Speaker.

    Being Governor is better than being Speaker. The effort to gerrymander George Allen out of Congress led to his term as Governor two years later. If a play works, wait a while and run it again. Only a Republican who can get beyond the hard core base โ€“ as Cox did in 2019 — has a prayer. Just improving the outcomes in nearby Chesterfield and Henrico counties, his back yard, would set the stage.

    Any Republican faces daunting numbers. Donald J. Trump just lost the state by 450,000 votes, a full 10-point spread. Gillespie lost to Democrat Ralph Northam by just under 9 points and 230,000 votes. If you-know-who is not in the White House next year, which is how it now stands, Democrats have lost their best โ€œget out the voteโ€ magnet.ย  (more…)


  • Anti-Marijuana Laws Are Racist… and So Is the Marijuana Industry!

    Attorney General Mark Herring is full of praise for the just-released Joint Legislative and Audit Review Commission report on marijuana legalization. As he notes in a press release today, criminalization of marijuana disproportionately impacts African-Americans and other Virginians of color.

    But the press release makes an observation that I’ve never seen before:

    The marijuana industry is predominantly controlled by non-people of color and Virginia must give serious consideration to how to make the industry more equitable.

    Nationwide, 81% of cannabis business owners are white, compared to 5.7 % Hispanic/Latino, and 4.3% black owners, according to Al Dia. “The Black community essentially created a highly valuable industry,” says writer Ericka Conant. Hispanics, she could have added but didn’t, perfected the art of large-scale marijuana horticulture and built the international distribution channels to meet U.S. demand. But those sneaky whites figured out how to legalize it, license it, and dominate legal production and distribution.

    Wow! Pass the popcorn. I’m going to enjoy watching how this one plays out.

    — JAB


  • Citizen Reporting of Misfeasance or Malfeasance of Virginia Government

    Virginia Office of the State Inspector General

    by James C. Sherlock

    I recently published a much commented upon column concerning the governance of Virginia.ย 

    In it I failed to mention the Office of the State Inspector General (OSIG).ย 

    The mission of that office is to partner โ€œwith other state agencies to serve as a catalyst for positive change by:

    • Facilitating good stewardship of resources.
    • Deterring fraud, waste, abuse and corruption.
    • Advocating and practicing efficiency and effectiveness.
    • Promoting and practicing integrity and ethical conduct.”ย 

    This site often serves as an outlet for citizen complaints about the performance of Virginiaโ€™s government. ย 

    It is thus useful for readers to know:ย 

    1. their rights and obligations in reporting government malfeasance or misfeasance; andย 
    2. how and under what circumstances to file a complaint to the Virginia OSIG that is charged with overseeing government performance.

    This column will be dedicated to providing that information.

    (more…)


  • What Works: Helping Students Complete their College Degrees

    Image credit: Lumenlearning

    by James A. Bacon

    In Virginia, nearly 30% of students who enroll in community college or four-year college fail to complete their degrees within six years. There is widespread agreement across the political spectrum that it would be a good thing if more students completed their degrees and fewer dropped out of college after loading up on student-loan debt they can never repay. The question is, how do we improve the college completion rate.

    Yesterday I highlighted analysis found in a study by Rachel Fulcher Dawson, Melissa S. Kearney, and James X. Sullivan, โ€œComprehensive Approaches to Increasing Student Completion in Higher Education,” that shed light on why students drop out of college. Today, as promised, I focus on eight programs they have identified that measured their results in raising the completion rate. These include:

    The Accelerated Study in Associate Programs (ASAP) was developed by the City University of New York (CUNY) in 2007. This program assigns full-time, low-income students to advisors with small caseloads to help them to transition to college life, navigate their college campus, plan a career path, and access additional supports if they fall off track. The program provides tuition waivers, a MetroCard, and free use of textbooks. The program achieved an 18 percentage point increase in degree completion, twice the graduation rate of a control group. But it was extremely expensive — $42,000 per student for a three-year program. (more…)


  • Some First Amendment Rights More Important than Others

    Cartoon circulating among University of Virginia alumni…


  • Virginia’s Splintered GOP

    by James A. Bacon

    Shaun Kenney a former executive director of the Republican Party of Virginia, offers a useful perspective into the state of Virginia’s GOP in a post-Trump presidency. The Grand Old Party in the Old Dominion is so fractured, he suggests in a new post on The Republican Standard, that it soon may descend into aย “five-way civil war.”

    Of particular interest is Kenney’s typology of the ideological factions within the party (here I quote him directly):

    1. Nationalistsย are adopting the Donald Trump rhetoric and adapting it to their own cause. Their ideas … at the local or state level have yet to play out. While the leadership (sic) would prefer to tap into the energy of the alt-right, the rank-and-file are far from it. Most of them see the violence of BLM/Antifa and say โ€œnot here; not everโ€ and define themselves likewise โ€” knowing that the America their values helped build is an America worth keeping. Whether they can find better champions remains to be seen.
    2. Libertariansย have offered the most stout resistance to this idea. Call them the inheritors of the Tea Party or the modern-day Sons of Liberty, but their idea of the Republican Party is much more in line with the values of Ron Paul than Donald Trump. Classical liberals, lowercase-L libertarians, and Tea Party types all find their home here.
    3. Conservativesย remain the 800-lb. gorilla in the room, if for no other reason than conservatives have identified the landscape for so long. Built in the mold of Ronald Reagan and Edmund Burke, the purpose of government is to set the rules and then get out of the way. A strong education system, good roads, and well paid teachers and deputies with as little red tape as possible.
    4. Moderatesย are a trickier bunch. They really havenโ€™t had a champion since former Rep. Tom Davis โ€” and Davis was in truth no slouch on taxes or economic freedom โ€” but should the disaffected โ€œlaw and orderโ€ moderate come back home to the Republican Party in a 2021 tidal wave, it will be through someone who is willing to set down Divisive Social Issues (TM) in order to carry home a fiscally moderate yet prudent agenda.
    5. Traditionalistsย are a more complicated bunch who are on the horizon and more prevalent a force than people realize. Restoring the dignity of human life, restoring marriage to its proper role in society, restoring a sense of self-reliance and self-worth, and restoring faith to its proper role alongside conscience are all necessary for the moral ordering of society. If the secular left can regiment our children to believe certain moral values, the religious right can do very much likewise.

    (more…)


  • Why So Many Students Drop Out of College

    by James A. Bacon

    Roughly 70% of all high school graduates in the United States pursue higher education. Among first-time full-time students who enroll in four-year institutions 40% fail to complete a bachelor’s degree within six years, and most of those never will. The non-completion rate is even higher for community college enrollees. This “completion crisis” is costly to students, most of whom wind up carrying a crippling load of debt, and to taxpayers, who are stuck with a fast-expanding portfolio of non-performing student loans.

    Here at Bacon’s Rebellion, we have argued that the completion crisis is one of the greatest sources of immiseration for the American people today. If you’re looking for institutional injustice, this is a good place to start.

    Society creates the expectation that Americans should be able to attend college, even if they are academically unprepared, and lends them to money to do so. But society often fails to provide the support to ensure that lower-income students succeed.

    Virginia is no exception to the completion crisis. Among students enrolling in four-year institutions in Virginia in the 2011-12 academic year, the most recent for which the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia publishes data, 70.2% earned degrees within six years. Put another way, almost 30% failed to earn a degree. The completion rate is highest among higher-income Virginians (earning four times or more of poverty-level income) at 77.2%. That still leaves nearly one out of four students from higher-income families who fail to graduate. Not surprisingly, the drop-out rate is higher among students from lower-income families, at 57.8%. (more…)


  • Bettina Love at Virginia Tech – a Different Context

    by James C. Sherlock

    A bad penny keeps on turning up.

    This appearance is however critically different in context from Ms. Love’s appearance at the University of Virginia School of Education.

    The Tech online get together is for faculty, and I have no problem with that. It represents legitimate academic inquiry.

    Presumably the audience will question Love on her recommendations for resegregation of the schools and a radically unique curriculum for black students. That should engender a lively debate that I will pay to see.

    The UVa School of Education appearance was as a keynote speaker for K-12 teachers, which represents an endorsement.


  • Virginiaโ€™s Government – a Critique

    by James C. Sherlock

    At the age of 75 with a life of experience in and with government, I will offer here my assessment of the current structural problems in our state government that make that government significantly less efficient and effective than it should be. ย 

    You will note that these comments generally do not point fingers at either party, but rather at the sum of their efforts or lack of same.ย 

    I grew up the son of a federal worker. Most of the men in our Falls Church neighborhood were WW II veterans and after the war most of them were civilian employees of the federal government.ย I spent nearly 30 years in the Navy and ten more as a government contractor.ย I dealt withย Congress a lot.

    In retirement, I took up causes for improving my state. I have spent a lot of time over 15 years dealing with the General Assembly, the Governor and the state administration.

    So those are the bases for my perspectives. You will note that my experience dealing with the federal government informs my critique of the government of Virginia. (more…)


  • VMI Wins with Wins as Interim Superintendent

    Maj. Gen. Cedric Wins

    by James A. Bacon

    The Virginia Military Institute has appointed retired Army Maj. Gen. Cedric T. Wins, an African-American, as interim superintendent. He will serve while the Board of Visitors searches for a permanent replacement for retired Gen. J.H. Binford Peay III, who resigned after Governor Ralph Northam announced an investigation into charges of “relentless racism” at the military academy.

    You can read a straight news story about the appointment in the Richmond Times-Dispatch here.

    You can read a jaundiced joke of a “news” story about the appointment by so-called “reporter” Ian Shapira in the Washington Post here.

    First a few facts about Wins…. He graduated from VMI in 1985, sixteen years after the military academic was desegregated, and spent 34 years in the Army. Son of an Army veteran and police officer, Wins, now 57, attended VMI on a basketball scholarship and starred as a shooting guard. He remains on the team’s top all-five scorer’s list. After earning a degree in economics, he was required to serve three years in the Army. As the RTD recounts, although he had never intended to make the Army career, the Army kept presenting him with opportunities, and he kept on taking them. His final post before retirement was commander of the U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command, the Army’s largest technology developer. (more…)


  • Man, That’s the Last Time I Say Something Nice about the Guy!

    by James A. Bacon

    Serves me right. Just yesterday, I praised Governor Ralph Northam for not panicking in the face of rising COVID-19 cases in Southwest Virginia and slapping arbitrary, economy-stifling restrictions on the entire state.

    Today he announced that he is slapping arbitrary, economy-stifling restrictions on the entire state. He is limiting gatherings to a maximum of 25 people, down from 250; expanding the indoor mask mandate to include all individuals five and older; prohibiting the sale of alcohol after 10:00 p.m., and making retail violations of physical-distancing a misdemeanor.

    โ€œCOVID-19 is surging across the country, and while cases are not rising in Virginia as rapidly as in some other states, I do not intend to wait until they are. We are acting now to prevent this health crisis from getting worse,โ€ Northam said. โ€œEveryone is tired of this pandemic and restrictions on our lives. Iโ€™m tired, and I know you are tired too. But as we saw earlier this year, these mitigation measures work.”

    Well, we’ll see if they make a difference or not. (more…)


  • A Big Election Day for Marijuana

    by DJ Rippert

    Rolling stoned gathers no moss. Marijuana reform has been gaining momentum in the U.S. since California became the first state to legalize medical marijuana in 1996. Today 36 states have either enacted medical marijuana access laws or are in the process of implementing such laws. In 2012 Colorado and Washington became the first states to legalize the recreational use of marijuana by adults. Today, 15 states have enacted recreational use laws or are in the process of doing so.

    (more…)


  • Outcome Disputes May Help Kill Electoral College

    The status of the National Popular Vote Compact, which goes into effect once enough states have signed on to let the national totals determine their electoral votes.

    By Steve Haner

    The battle is now rejoined to kill the Electoral College and elect a U.S. President in 2024 based purely on the national vote total. The stubborn refusal of President Donald J. Trump and many other Republicans to accept the November 3 outcome is likely to become a new talking point for Electoral College foes.

    Trump and his legal team see a path to victory if they can reverse votes in a handful of states he narrowly lost, by challenging votes or forcing recounts. Without the Electoral College process, the effort would be futile in the face of President-elect Joe Bidenโ€™s huge popular vote margin of victory. If the public grows tired of or even angry over the dispute, scrapping the Electoral College entirely may become more attractive.

    With House Bill 177, the Virginia House of Delegates voted earlier this year to have Virginia join a compact of other states which have agreed to award their votes in the Electoral College to the highest national vote recipient, without regard to the outcome among their own state’s voters.

    That bill was carried over to next session in a State Senate committee, but under Senate rules could be revived if voted on by early December. The chair of that committee, Senator Creigh Deeds, D-Bath County, told Baconโ€™s Rebellion today he will not be calling that meeting to look at carry-over bills.ย ย  (more…)


  • 3% Subsidy Cap for Washington Mass Transit “Appears” to Help Virginia Taxpayers

    Image source: Northern Virginia Transportation Commission

    by James A. Bacon

    A 3% cap on annual state contributions to the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA) “appears to be a useful tool” for managing runaway subsidies for the Washington-area transit agency, finds a report recently published by the Northern Virginia Transportation Commission (NVTC).

    The main benefit cited by the report, required by state law, has been to restrain increases in wages and salary levels, which constitute 70% of WMATA’s budget. States the report: “Data presented to the Working Group found the annual wage increases for union employees range from 0% to 4% per year in the multi-year CBAs over FY 2009 โ€“ FY 2024, demonstrating that the cap appears to be a helpful tool in WMATAโ€™s negotiations with labor.”

    Otherwise the “Report on Virginia’s 3% Cap” is a curious document. (more…)


  • Statue Contract Investigation: the Ball’s in Herring’s Court

    by James A. Bacon

    A special prosecutor charged with investigating a $1.8 million contract to take down Confederate statues in the City of Richmond, is asking Attorney General mark Herring to authorize the Virginia State Police to help him.

    “I hereby request that you authorize the Bureau of Criminal Investigation within the Virginia State Police to conduct an investigation into this matter,” wrote Timothy Martin, commonwealth’s attorney for August County, to handle the matter.

    According to the Associated Press, Martin told Jeffrey Breit, an attorney for Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney, he needs additional investigators to conduct interviews. (more…)