• Bacon Bits: Hampton Roads Edition

    Wind power to the rescue? Hampton Roads, Virginia’s second-largest population center, is the anchor dragging down Virginia’s economic growth. Could that be about to change? The region has pinned its economic-development hopes upon leveraging Dominion Energy’s $9.8 billion offshore wind farm to become a manufacturing and supply- chain center for the burgeoning East Coast wind industry. Earlier this year, Dominion announced that it would invest $500 million to build a wind-turbine installation ship, but would build it in Texas — a seeming disappointment for Hampton Roads. However, the energy company announced yesterday that it had ordered 176 wind turbines from Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy. The turbine blades will be manufactured in a Portsmouth facility the Spanish company announced in October that it planned to open, investing $200 million and creating 310 jobs. So, there is hope after all that Virginia will capture some economic benefit from the super-expensive wind farm.

    Hampton Roads hotels on the upswing. The hospitality industry was crushed by the COVID epidemic as Americans cut back on travel. But hotels in Hampton Roads have outperformed the industry compared to Richmond, Northern Virginia, the state as a whole, and even the U.S. After suffering a 9% contraction — much milder than elsewhere — the industry has rebounded smartly, according to data published in the “2021 State of the Commonwealth Report” published by Old Dominion University. (more…)


  • Not a Lost Decade, Perhaps, But a Lagging Decade

    GDP growth by Virginia metro area. Source: “2021 State of the Commonwealth Report”

    Old Dominion University’s “2021 State of the Commonwealth Report” provides an unwelcome, but necessary, reminder that Virginia’s economy has beenย  lagging since 2010. While the U.S. gross domestic product grew at a compounded annual growth rate of 1.6% between 2010 and 2020 (hardly a robust performance), Virginia’s economy grew at a mere 0.7% rate.

    Of all Virginia’s metro areas, the only one that came close to matching the national growth rate was Richmond, which grew at a 1.5% rate. Virginia’s traditional growth engine, Northern Virginia, grew at a mere 1.0% rate, Winchester by 1.2%, Charlottesville by 1.0%, and Blacksburg-Christiansburg by 0.8%. The economies of Hampton Roads, Roanoke, Kingsport-Bristol, Lynchburg, Harrisonburg, and Staunton all shrank over the decade. (more…)


  • Virginia Migration Trends

    Net Domestic and International Migration, Virginia, 2010-2020. Source: “2021 State of the Commonwealth Report”

    by James A. Bacon

    Over the decade between 2010 and 2020, Virginia lost more than 80,000 inhabitants through domestic out-migration (a figure that captures the number of people moving across state lines within the United States). But it more than offset that loss through an international in-migration of roughly 300,000, according to data published in the “2021 State of the Commonwealth Report” by the Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy at Old Dominion University.

    When broken down by metropolitan area, it turns out that the net domestic out-migration was concentrated in the Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads metropolitan statistical areas. The Northern Virginia component of the Washington MSA lost a net of 157,000 domestic residents, while Hampton Roads bled 61,000. All of the state’s smaller metros, led by Richmond with 41,000, gained inhabitants through domestic in-migration. (more…)


  • End the Johnnymander!

    The original gerrymander

    by Scott Dreyer

    In March 1812, the Boston Gazette ran a cartoon showing โ€œa new species of monsterโ€ — โ€the Gerry-mander.โ€ It made fun of a contorted voting district that the Jeffersonian Republicans had drawn up to benefit its candidates. Governor Elbridge Gerry signed off on it, and with the cartoonโ€™s publication, a new word entered the English language. โ€œGerrymanderingโ€ is the process whereby politicians can influence elections based on who is voting in that district.

    The Johnnymander: Virginia senate district 21

    Every ten years after our nationโ€™s new census, those in power scramble to draw new political boundaries. Because of the โ€œone man-one voteโ€ principle, each district should have roughly the same population as all the others. However, these districts are not to be drawn too willy-nilly. Each district is supposed to combine โ€œcommunities of interest.โ€ In other words, each district should contain people who have much in common geographically, culturally, and economically. Also, the districts are supposed to be compact and contiguous. That is, the regions are to be as small and close together as reasonably possible.

    This brings us to Southwest Virginia now. (more…)


  • Youngkin’s Education Pick Signals Support for Data-Driven Reform

    Aimee Guidera

    by James A. Bacon

    Governor-Elect Glenn Youngkin has announced the first major appointment of his incoming administration: Aimee Rogstad Guidera as Secretary of Education.

    As founder and former CEO of the Data Quality Campaign, Guidera brings to the table an extensive background in the use of data to inform K-12 educational policy. In making the announcement, Youngkin described Guidera as an advocate for innovation, school choice, data-driven reform, and high standards.

    โ€œAimee will be a critical partner in restoring expectations of excellence; overseeing a record education budget to invest in teachers, facilities and special education; rolling out innovation lab and charter schools; and standing for a curriculum that prepares Virginiaโ€™s children for a dynamic future and removes politics from the classroom,โ€ said Youngkin in the announcement. (more…)


  • BBB Demise Is Also Labor-Rules Reprieve

    Washington Post photo of a cake delivered to Virginia Senator Mark Warner in May, encouraging support for the pending PRO Act. Elements of the PRO Act are also included in the BBB omnibus.

    by F. Vincent Vernuccio

    Yesterday, Senator Joe Manchin, D-WV, gave an early Christmas present to Senators Mark Warner, D-VA, and Tim Kaine, D-VA, by declaring he would not support the $2.2 trillion Build Back Better Act (BBB).

    Virginia small businesses, job creators, and workers were wary of what the U.S. House passed in BBB, specifically some provisions mirroring parts of another disastrous piece of legislation called the Protecting the Right to Organize Act.

    However, it was not just those who would be affected who need to worry. Virginia politicians may have also had worries of the electoral consequences of voting for these bills.

    If you are a small mom and pop business with only a few employees but no labor attorney on retainer, you better get one if the Senate votes for the PRO Act or if the Biden Administration continues to push the provisions in future “must pass” legislation. (more…)


  • Embarrassing Managerial Incompetence

    M. Norman Oliver M.D., Virginia Health Commissioner

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    The Northam administration has just had an embarrassing case of managerial incompetence exposed.

    A series of articles by the Richmond Times-Dispatchโ€™s Patrick Wilson (here, here, and here) sets out the story of the Department of Health laying off 14 state employees who monitor drinking water systems across the state, including six field directors with a combined 180 years of experience, due to โ€œbudget error.โ€ This office monitors water quality across the state, enforces state and federal drinking water standards, handles inspections and permits, and assists with lab testing.

    The sad tale has its beginning in 2019, when the Department of Healthโ€™s Office of Drinking Water, being advised by agency administrators that it had the funding to do so, provided salary increases to 55 employees in the office and opened a field office in Richmond with four people. It turned out that advice was wrong, with a resulting shortfall projected to be $1.4 million this fiscal year. So, now, almost halfway through fiscal year 2022, the agency, facing a budget shortfall in that budget line item, tells these 14 people they are going to be laid off, effective January 9. (more…)


  • “Equity and Identity” Now at the Core of a Virginia Tech Education

    Members of the Pamunkey (or possibly the closely related Mattaponi) tribe perform a tribal dance during a First Thanksgiving ceremony.

    by James A. Bacon

    A Blacksburg correspondent has forwarded to me a copy of the “Indigenous Peoples’ Day Resolution,” in which the Office for Inclusion and Diversity at Virginia Tech calls for replacing Columbus Day as a state holiday with Indigenous Peoples’ Day. The resolution honors the Monacan-Tutelo people as the “historical stewards and traditional custodians of the land” now occupied by Tech and refers to racial integrity laws that discriminated against Virginia’s indigenous people until the early 1960s. It also recites the many ways in which Tech has sought to make amends: establishing an American Indian Studies Program;ย  hosting “tribal summits”; fostering the survival of traditional Indian dance and song; andย  declaring Oct. 8 as the university-recognized Indigenous Peoples’ Day.

    You can make of this what you will. Speaking personally, if Virginia Tech wants to help descendants of indigenous peoples preserve their cultural identity, I’m OK with that — as long as Tech doesn’t try to cancel my cultural identity, which is exactly what the Office for Inclusion and Diversity proposes to do by asking to end Columbus Day.

    But that’s not what disturbed me the most. The fight over culture-war symbols is out in the open. It’s the things we don’t see that are really dangerous, such as a 2017 revision (alluded to in the resolution) to Virginia Tech’s “Pathways General Education Curriculum.” The core concepts of a Virginia Tech education, I learned, now include “critical analysis of equity and identity in the United States.” (more…)


  • Jeanine’s Memes


    From The Bull Elephant


  • Incompetence and Lawlessness Alleged in the Peoples’ Republic

    by James A. Bacon

    A bid-protest letter from the Ratcliffe Foundation and the Trevilian Station Battlefield Foundation to Charlottesville City Council represents more than a bid to block the melting down of Charlottesville’s Robert E. Lee statue. It delivers a devastating indictment of a dysfunctional city government.

    The city removed the statue in July. In September, the City of Charlottesville issued a formal solicitation for offers to relocate and recontexualize it. The city received six proposals, with groups offering to pay as much as $50,000 to acquire the statue. On Dec. 7, City Council voted to convey the statue to the Jefferson School African American Heritage Center, which planned to melt down the bronze sculpture and forge a new piece of public art. In the words of the Heritage Center director, the Swords into Plowshares project would “allow Charlottesville to contend with its racist past.”

    The Ratcliffe/Trevilian letter seeks to thwart the transfer on two grounds: first, that the City lacks the legal authority to alter or destroy a monument, and, second, that the City violated its own procurement and public-notification regulations. (more…)


  • For the Left, Government Is Always Underfunded

    by Arthur G. Purves

    Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin has proposed several savings for Virginia’s taxpayers, including doubling the standard deduction, providing a one-time tax rebate, eliminating the grocery tax, and suspending the 10-cent increase in the gas tax. His proposals come at a time when Virginia has a record $2.6 billion budget surplus.

    Nevertheless, Virginia Public Media ran a Dec. 10, 2021, article entitled, โ€œEconomic experts say Youngkin tax cuts could continue underfunding Virginiaโ€™s essential services,โ€ primarily education and healthcare. They also said that Virginia taxes and cost of living rank in the middle of all states.

    The phrase โ€œcould continue underfundingโ€ would be humorous if it were not so reckless.

    Since 1981, Virginia spending on education has increased more than twice as fast as population and inflation. Welfare spending, which is mainly Medicaid, has increased nearly four times faster than population and inflation.

    Since 1961, the Virginia General Fund, primarily based on income taxes, has increased six times faster than population and inflation. (more…)


  • Delegating Emission Standards to California Is Unconstitutional

    by Emilio Jaksetic

    As Steve Haner noted in a December 10 post, โ€œNow California Will Control Virginiaโ€™s Auto Sales,โ€ the Virginia Air Pollution Control Board (VAPCB) adopted a regulation that places ultimate control of Virginiaโ€™s vehicle emission standards in the hands of the California Air Resources Board. Although the VAPCB acted pursuant to a statute enacted by the General Assembly in 2021, the regulation is unconstitutional.

    Such a conclusion may seem odd given that the VACPB regulation was issued as a result of ostensibly valid steps. First, the General Assembly has the authority to set vehicle emission standards for Virginia. Second, the General Assembly has the authority to delegate to VAPCB administrative responsibility to implement the vehicle emission standards set by the General Assembly. Third, there does not appear to be any procedural irregularity in the VAPCBโ€™s issuance of the vehicle emission regulation. However, those three actions culminated in a regulation that violates the Virginia Constitution.

    Legislative power is vested in the General Assembly. Virginia Constitution, Article IV, Section 1. Although that power is broad, it is not unlimited; the General Assemblyโ€™s power to legislate is constrained by the Virginia Constitution and the U.S. Constitution.ย  Terry v. Mazur, 362 S.E.2d 904, 908 (1987). (more…)


  • All Brisket, No Bacon

    What a travesty. So much decadence… and no bacon!


  • Remembering

    Woodrow W. “Buddy” Dowdy. Photo credit: Bob Brown, Richmond Times-Dispatch

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Jeff Shapiro of the Richmond Times-Dispatch has a nice column today remembering people in Virginia politics and government whose deaths in 2021 may have gone largely unnoticed. For those interested in recent political history, you may want to check it out. During my time around Capitol Square, I knew and have fond memories of Frank Hargrove, the Hanover County Republican delegate who annually put in a bill to abolish the death penalty, and Buddy Dowdy, the Capitol Police officer who died of COVID-19.


  • No Clear and Compelling Justification

    by Donald Smith

    Governor Northamโ€™s November speech to the VMI cadet corps has been widely panned for many reasons. Here I offer a new reason: The speech violated a cardinal principle of American leadership: you must be able to articulate compelling reasons for your decisions and actions.

    When Northam spoke to the assembled Corps of Cadets, his previous treatment of VMI hung over his head like a dark cloud. Among the many animosities he had inspired was the banishment of Stonewall Jackson’s statue from Main Post, followed by an assault on the general’s legacy at VMI. Statues are symbols — of people, events or traditions we want to honor. They reflect upon the people who create and honor them — and also on those who tear them down.

    With his speech, Northam had a chance to confidently and compellingly explain why Jacksonโ€™s statue had to go and why his legacy should be erased from the military academy. (more…)