Could Brad Marrs Be Headed for an Upset?

In the absence of good polling data, campaign contributions are one of the best gauges of voter sentiment. And the signs are favorable for Independent candidate Katherine Waddell, who is challenging incumbent Republican Brad Marrs for the 68th House of Delegates seat in Richmond. Marrs, as you will recall, distinguished himself this summer for the anti-gay rhetoric of one of his fund-raising letters. The Waddell campaign has repudiated social issues in favor of education, public safety, transportation and economic growth.

According to the Virginia Public Access Project, Waddell was matching Marrs almost dollar per dollar through Sept. 30: raising $192,000 compared to Marrs’ $194,000.

But it looks like Waddell must have surged ahead in October fund raising. According to Virginia FREE, which reports October numbers, Waddell ranked No. 20 — with $272,000 — on a list of the Top 20 fund raisers among all House candidates statewide. Marrs did not make that list.

Waddell’s platform is common-sense and middle-of-the-road for the most part. But one plank really bothers me. On transportation, she says: “Virginia cannot afford to wait any longer to fund a comprehensive long-term transportation plan that includes mass transportation as a major component.” Although she does not say so explicitly, I take that as an endorsement of the Business as Usual, tax-and-build approach to transportation that has gotten Virginia in the fix that it’s in. 68th District voters beware: There’s a good bet that Waddell, if elected, will vote to raise your taxes in 2006.


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10 responses to “Could Brad Marrs Be Headed for an Upset?”

  1. Ray Hyde Avatar

    What “fix” is VA in? AAA bond rating and millions in the bank and a growing economy?

  2. Anonymous Avatar

    I have in my possession a copy of a Brad Marrs mail piece, “Our Delegate: Brad Marr” “Improving Transportation” in which he touts his 2005 vote “to increase funding by over $848 million” and promising to do even more “without further tax increases.” Clearly he thinks transportation is an issue in that district. I have no idea who is going to win that district Tuesday, but it sounds like both agree we gotta do more than we are on transportation.

  3. Anonymous Avatar

    Well can Virginia wait any longer to fix it’s transportation problem? I’d say no. Something has to be done, but I don’t think that means they’d have to raise taxes again. Look at the Bush Administration, they spend all the time!

    Waddell has a new TV ad out that looks pretty good. It’s at http://www.katherinewaddell.com.

    I think Marrs is headed for an upset.

  4. Anonymous Avatar

    I have heard Katherine speak on the transportation issue and I can tell you that she never, never advocated for raising taxes to fix the problem. In fact, I believe I heard her speak about the fact that we cannot cover Virginia with concrete. She speaks of putting all the options on the table and making transportation a priority so that the issue will get the attention it deserves.

    She’s a traditional conservative- and traditional conservatives dare not raise taxes at the drop of the hat.

  5. Short Pump Shorty Avatar
    Short Pump Shorty

    Jim is right to
    “follow the money.” As I posted yesterday on the MSM thread, when incumbents receive large sums of money from their colleagues and their leadership PAC, it’s because they are in some danger. Likewise, when challengers garner big bucks, it’s because donors can sniff an upset. That’s what’s going on to some degree in HD 68.

    (Btw VPAP is doing a great job updating large contributions twice daily.)

    Waddell still has quite an uphill battle. Independents win so rarely in part because they lack a grassroots GOTV mechanism that comes with the major parties. Plus, in Waddell’s case the Richmond and Chesterfield constituencies are quite different. However, I’ll bet that Warner’s numbers are sky high and Bush’s numbers tanking in this district. It could be interesting.

    As for the transportation verbiage in her mailer, I would not take it too seriously. Sounds like typical boilerplate rhetoric.

    When you start believing the direct mail, you’re in trouble. The one I got from Bill Janis yesterday says “Janis has successfully worked to bring more state dollars to Henrico County schools, without raising taxes.” Huh? Taxes haven’t gone up? Or does he mean that they went up but he didn’t do it? What does this gobblygook mean?

  6. Jim Bacon Avatar

    Anonymous, I hope you’re right and that was just campaign boilerplate. But the phrase — “fund a comprehensive, long-term transportation plan — certainly implies that “funding” is a big part of the solution. The website says nothing about “putting all the options on the table.”

  7. Anonymous Avatar

    Of course Marrs talks about all the money he’s bringing in for schools, yet he votes against the budget every single time. I don’t see how anyone could vote for this guy.

  8. Anonymous Avatar

    I think you should notice that Dave Albo has received about 100k in the last 3 weeks. Meanwhile, Greg Werkheiser has received 33k in the last 5 days…hmmm…

  9. Doug in Mount Vernon Avatar
    Doug in Mount Vernon

    Could Dick Black?

    This is absolutely mind-numbing. Black is desperate folks. I really think he may actually be going down this time.

    http://getblackout.blogspot.com/2005/11/hes-like-so-third-grade.html#comments

  10. Anonymous Avatar

    Good call – Marrs lost!

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