• Voodoo Economics, Meet Cow Poo Economics

    There’s a reason why Albemarle County is one of the most picturesque places in Virginia. Its stately manor houses and landscapes enjoy layers of protection from the higher real estate taxes that result from providing services to a growing, urbanizing population. But people who don’t live in those manor houses are beginning to grumble.

    A group calling itself Forever Albemarle and claiming more than 100 members was formed in October. The leader, Hank Martin, asserts that small property owners are getting a raw deal, according to the Daily Progress. At issue is a land-use taxation program that allows landowners to defer hefty amounts of their real-estate tax bill on agricultural and open space land for up to five years. About 60 percent of Albemarle County acreage qualified for the program, with the result that $17.8 million in taxes were deferred last year– shifting the tax burden onto homeowners. (And those numbers don’t even include the tax benefits of conservation easements.)

    But Albemarle Farm Bureau President Carl Tinder argues that open space and farmland don’t require the same level of services that subdivisions do. Says Tinder: โ€œMy cows have never got on a school bus. … Weโ€™re paying more than our fair share.โ€ Without the tax deferment program, he argues, more farmers would be forced to sell their land.

    Supervisor David L. Slutzky disputes that logic. As reporter Jeremy Borden summarizes his thinking:

    When a rural landowner bought the land, he paid less because the sale price reflects the longer wait for emergency services, rural roads and other โ€œdis-amenities,โ€ Slutzky said. โ€œI think that the land-use program in its current form is a bad idea,โ€ Slutzky said. โ€œThe cows-donโ€™t-go-to-school position is bogus economics.โ€

    Voodoo economics, meet Cow Poo economics. As this controversy reminds us, the politics of growth is all about getting what you want — and getting someone else to pay for it.


  • SCC Nixes Apco Coal Plant — Is a Post-Coal Energy Era Soon Upon Us?

    The news: The State Corporation Commission has rejected a proposal by Appalachian Power Co. to build a 629-megawatt, coal-fired power plant in West Virginia, stating that its $2.23 billion cost estimate was “not credible.” (Read the SCC press release here.) The plant would supply electricity to Apco’s service territory in western Virginia.

    The proposed Apco plant bears similarities to a $1.7 billion coal-fired power facility proposed by Dominion in Wise County. Both would use a relatively novel coal gasification process to reduce pollutants, and both would be designed to incorporate carbon-sequestration technologies to capture emissions of CO2 greenhouse gases, if and when they become commercially viable. While the SCC approved the Dominion facility on the grounds that General Assembly legislation had usurped the commission’s usual oversight role by declaring the plant to be in the public interest, the commission was under no such restrictions with the Apco proposal.

    The SCC found that APCoโ€™s proposal was neither โ€œreasonableโ€ nor โ€œprudent,โ€ a finding that must be made under Virginia law before Virginia consumers can be charged for the costs of a new power plant. Among the problems: Apco has no fixed-price contract for any appreciable portion of the construction costs, and there are no meaningful price or performance guarantees or controls for the project.

    Of potentially broader significance, the SCC questioned the economics of the coal gasification technology on the scale that Apco proposes:

    The use of IGCC technology for a coal-fired power plant of this size (629 megawatts) posed additional uncertainties and risks for Virginia ratepayers. The SCC noted that this would be the largest commercial power plant to use IGCC technology constructed to date, and that APCo had โ€œconfirmed that there are only two IGCC power plants operating in the United States and both plants are โ€˜less than halfโ€™ the sizeโ€ of APCoโ€™s proposed plant.

    โ€œThe record โ€ฆ indicates that there is no proven track record for the development and implementation of large-scale IGCC generation plants like the one proposed by APCo,โ€ the SCC continued.

    Finally, the SCC contended that there was no credible way to forecast how much it would cost to implement the carbon-sequestration technology, which Apco had estimated at between $200 million to $300 million.

    Bacon’s spin on the news: Kinda makes you think that the SCC never would have OK’d the Dominion plant if given a choice, doesn’t it?

    Meanwhile, given the new, higher environmental standards to which coal-fired power plants are being held in the United States, far fewer will be built than thought only a few years ago. Power companies hewing to the Big Grid model of centralized, large-scale power sources connected to population centers by high-voltage transmission lines will have little choice but to turn to nuclear power… which the environmentalists are sure to oppose with equal zeal. That will leave us to the tender mercies of small-scale, renewable energy sources, which, however cool they are, are unlikely to meet projected increases in demand over the next 10 years.

    I think we can confidently predict a future of much higher electricity rates in Virginia. Consumers will have no choice but to conserve. The market for energy conservation technologies and business models is looking very bullish.


  • Albemarle Corp. Chases Mercury-Removal Business

    There are many, many environmental concerns associated with the use of coal as a fuel for electrical power plants. One of the most intractable has been the emission of mercury, a highly toxic chemical that tends to concentrate in the food chain.

    Now Albemarle Corp., a Richmond-headquartered manufacturer of specialty chemicals, has signed a letter of intent to acquire Ohio-based Sorbent Technologies Corporation, a full-service power plant mercury control provider. The $20 million deal combines Sorbent’s mercury-control solutions, which utilize bromine, with Albemarle’s $2.4 billion in revenues, its expertise in bromine manufacturing, and its track record in commercializing new specialty chemical products. (Read the press release.)

    Says Albemarle CEO Mark C. Rohr: “Escalating energy demands and the global call for environmentally sound power generation have converged to present tremendous opportunity for Albemarle’s leading bromine chemistry, as utilities and industrial plants seek cost-effective solutions to reduce emissions.”


  • Using Taxpayer Dollars… to Lobby for More Taxpayer Dollars

    The Northern Virginia Transportation Authority may be broke and powerless, but that’s not stopping it from agitating for more money. In a creative, Internet-era ploy, reports a chirpy Washington Post article today, the authority is asking Northern Virginia commuters to make videos of their miserable rides and post them on its YouTube page for NoVa legislators to see. (As of 8:41 a.m., no one had posted any videos yet.)

    As Eric Weiss explains: “The YouTube effort is part of an Internet-based lobbying campaign by NVTA to regain its money and clout after the Virginia Supreme Court recently ruled that its taxing power was unconstitutional. The main reason NVTA members are turning to the Internet is because it’s free.”

    But the NVTA must not be entirely broke. At the very least, from what I can deduce from its website, the authority has enough money to support an executive director, hold meetings, maintain a website and pen public policy statements. And it’s using that money, which comes directly or indirectly from taxpayers, to agitate for more tax money. Here’s the NVTA message to commuters:

    Virginia’s General Assembly needs to take action now! Contact your representative and ask them to implement the NVTA taxes and fees and enact a statewide transportation plan that meets the needs of Northern Virginia and the Commonwealth.

    The NVTA lists “eight principles” to guide Northern Virginia transportation solutions here. The principles can be summarized succinctly as demanding “mo’ money” to build more road and rail capacity in Northern Virginia at both the local and regional levels. Without saying so explicitly, the NVTA is pushing for more money for itself.

    Does anyone else have a problem with a quasi-state entity like the NVTA using taxpayer dollars to agitate for… more taxpayer dollars? It’s one thing for the elected officials who comprise the membership of the organization to lobby for particular transportation solutions, but it’s another for a taxpayer-funded organization to engage in such advocacy itself. The Business-As-Usual viewpoint already dominates the Mainstream Media, and the Axis of Taxes already enjoys a huge fund-raising advantage over taxpayers and environmentalists in the growth-management controversy. The NVTA initiative is just piling on.

    I will defend the rights of home builders, road contractors and other special interests to spend their own money to advance their agendas in Richmond — the U.S. Constitution guarantees the rights “of the people peaceably to assembly, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.” But I have a big problem — a very big problem — when advocacy groups co-opt tax dollars to promote their causes.

    This cute little YouTube initiative needs to end now.

    Update: John Mason, the NVTA executive director, defends the YouTube initiative as follows:

    With respect to the premise underlying your comments on NVTA advocacy, Virginia Code (ยง15.2-4840) specifically authorizes the NVTA to serve as โ€œan advocate of the transportation needs of Northern Virginia before state and federal governmentsโ€. Our approach is based on using YouTube, which is free. We are simply facilitating communication between citizens and their legislative policymakers.


  • Charlottesville: How Much Leverage Over Developers Is Too Much?

    It’s a perennial question: What’s the proper balance between planning and free markets in governing a municipality? That issue has come into sharp focus in Charlottesville as city leaders juggle property rights, economic development, transportation capacity, affordable housing and quality of life. Some developers are warning that the cityโ€™s effort to exert more control over future development downtown could backfire and deter growth, reports Seth Rosen with the Daily Progress.

    Last week, the Planning Commission endorsed height limits on buildings in order to preserve the pedestrian-friendly character of downtown. Meanwhile, the planning staff is seeking to decrease by-right building densities downtown in order to force developers to apply for special permits, which in turn gives the City more leverage in extracting monetary concessions from them. The tighter regs, says commissioner Mike Farruggio, provide โ€œsome more latitude and control to make sure it is healthy development and is what we want to occur.โ€

    Oliver Kuttner, who has re-developed several downtown properties, condemns the proposed changes. โ€œIf you drop the by-right you basically stop all development downtown,” he says. “Any developer who buys property buys it strictly on by-right calculations.โ€

    It’s a tricky trade-off. Handled incorrectly, Charlottesville’s proposed new approach becomes a mechanism by which the political class extorts wealth from developers for redistribution to favored causes and constituencies. If developers are spooked, downtown could stagnate.

    On the other hand, a laissez-faire approach towards development has its drawbacks. Re-developing old properties at higher densities increases requirements for parking, street capacity and municipal services, which the city must bear. If the city embraces the principle that growth should pay its own way — otherwise taxpayers wind up subsidizing the developers — it needs a mechanism for developers to contribute to the added strain their projects impose on city infrastructure and services.

    The strategy proposed for Charlottesville is very similar to the way Arlington County conducts business. Arlington officials tout their development model, but they warn that it requires certain political preconditions. First, there must be a long-term consensus on what the community should look like and how development takes place — no whip-sawing back and forth between conflicting policies. Second, Arlington hires top professionals in their fields, including men and women with hands-on experience in the private-sector side of the business, who can approach negotiations with realistic expectations and creative, problem-solving ideas. Charlottesville leaders would be well advised to consult the Arlington County experience before proceeding with their experiment.


  • What Parents Are Getting for their College Tuitions These Days

    I’m back from Augusta, Ga., and I’m probably miles behind the rest of the Virginia blogosphere on this topic, but I figured I’d post it anyway. As a father who has sent two daughters through college and anticipate doing the same for a son, I would be most unhappy if my child were attending Randolph College, an expensive liberal arts school in Lynchburg. (Jerry Falwell is spinning in his grave!)

    According to MSNBC, the American Studies program at Randolph College has sponsored a field to trip Las Vegas for a closer look at…. drum roll… a brothel!

    Each semester, the course examines a strain of American culture and ends with a class trip. Reports MSNBC in a breathless, isn’t-this-interesting tone: The brothel tour was a natural fit for a class on American consumption and “the ideas that consume us.” Said Julio Rodriguez, the director of the college’s American Culture Program: “Don’t just study America โ€” live it.”

    “I think it’s fascinating, this is fun for me,” said Nicki Amouri, a junior at the private liberal arts school . “Not many people get to do this.”

    Isn’t that special?

    The 12 students interviewed “Alicia,” a prostitute at the Chicken Ranch. Sample questions: Do you consider yourself a feminist? Is there a certain look that most men prefer? Do you give a military discount? What’s the worst part of the job? (Answer to the last question: Being cooped up all day. “Feeling morally degraded” apparently wasn’t high on the list of drawbacks.) Next stop for the class: a backstage revue of the risque review “Jubilee.”

    While the Randolph College students took a values-free look at prostitution, I had ringside seats two nights ago in an Augusta, Ga., restaurant where a group of five or six middle-aged men were hanging out and pounding down drinks at the bar. A stunning young black woman, dressed in a tasteful red and white sun dress and matching purse, joined them. She was extremely forward and familiar with the men, one of whom was wearing a wedding ring, and they clearly enjoyed flirting with her. One guy served her some mussel hors d’oeuvres and asked in a boozy voice, loud enough for everyone at our table to hear, “Does it make you horny?” After 45 minutes or so, they all left the restaurant together. Draw your own conclusions as to the nature of the relationship.

    The incident was almost as instructive as the Randy Mac students’ trip to the Chicken Ranch. Only difference: I didn’t have a chance to query the “sex worker.” (We wouldn’t want to use a judgmental word like “whore,” would we?) If I had, I would have asked the young woman at the Augusta restaurant – who must have been a college student, judging by her glamorous looks, vocabulary and diction, which surpassed in sophistication that of the men she was accompanying — what the hell are you doing?

    You’re a beautiful young woman, why are you selling yourself to low-life creeps like these guys? Given the fact that you’re black and they’re white, do you ever feel exploited? Does your family know about this? Do you ever feel guilty or remorseful about what you do? Is this something you’ll feel comfortable telling your children about some day? Could you explain your moral value structure — does sex mean anything more to you than a commodity to sell?

    Contemporary American consumerism exists in a moral void today. But it isn’t the consumerism that scours our souls. I think the causality works quite the other way around. A moral vacuum — a hedonistic search for pleasure and self-gratification, lacking any higher purpose — steers us into excessive consumerism without any thought to the moral implications. If the MSNBC story was any indication, however, the Randolph College course never plumbed the subject to that depth. The story itself certainly didn’t.

    If I were a parent of a Randolph College child, I’d be demanding my money back. Here’s the saddest part of all: The parents of these children apparently saw nothing wrong with the trip. Someone had to foot the tab for the cross-country travel — and it probably wasn’t the students. I am not religious and I am not a prude, but I certainly don’t want my daughters embracing a values-free outlook on prostitution.


  • Obligatory Post about Land Use in Augusta, Ga.

    I’d never given much thought to human settlement patterns in Augusta, Ga. I don’t follow golf, so the city is no more likely to enter my consciousness than, say, Minsk or Ougadougou. But I do make it a habit to observe what I can of human settlement patterns wherever I go. I must say, I was pleasantly surprised. The neighborhoods near the August Country Club are quite beautiful. There are many handsome houses lining impressive thoroughfares. Augusta loves its trees and landscaping, and this is the season for the dogwoods and azaleas.

    In most respects, Augusta displays the same human settlement patterns that pervade the United States: segregation of residential and commercial land uses, and segregation of neighborhoods by income. There was, however, one small, delightful surprise.

    We took a “short cut” yesterday through a neighborhood to avoid the awful morning traffic near the golf course and managed to get quite disoriented by all the windy, hilly roads. (In other words, we got lost.) But the neighborhood was stunningly beautiful. It was heavily wooded, with steams, stone bridges and immaculately landscaped gardens . For all its beauty, though, the neighborhood appeared to be a monoculture of detached, single-family dwellings, all in the same narrow price range ($1 million or so, applying Richmond valuations).

    Then, to my surprise, we rounded a curve, and there was an apartment building, a structure with eight or so units. Solid brick, tastefully done, not out of character with the houses nearby. Then, a little further, we encountered a long row of townhouses. These “multiple-family dwellings” fit seamlessly with the single-family houses.

    Now, this wasn’t exactly “workforce” housing. Instead of limiting itself to the top one percent of income earners, these dwellings might have opened up the neighborhood to the top 25 percent of the region’s income earners. But, hey, it was income diversity of a sort.

    I can fully understand why homeowners might want to keep their neighborhoods free of crack houses and halfway houses. But I never understood the need to segregate housing within the same narrow income band. Why not open up the neighborhood to households of smaller size and somewhat different incomes? This neighborhood in Augusta, Ga., did so successfully. Try it, you might like it.


  • Yes, I Did See Tiger Woods

    To answer the obvious question: Yes, I did see Tiger Woods. We camped out around the 11th hole yesterday, and we made a point of staying there until Woods played. As much as I have zero use for celebrity worship, I couldn’t come to the Master’s golf tournament and miss seeing him. And trust me, Woods is a massive celebrity, even among this crowd of mostly affluent, Southern, white, middle-aged men.

    Woods wasn’t playing particularly impressively at that point in the afternoon. He had racked up a succession of par rounds, even as a legion of lesser talents were smoking past him. But when Woods showed up in the fairway behind us, all heads swiveled away from the mere mortals who were teeing off on the 12th hole back toward Woods, who was doing nothing, just leaning casually against his golf stick and waiting for the group ahead to finish. A whole sea of people — investment bankers, corporate attorneys, building contractors, the business elite — stood up from their seats just to get a better glimpse of the Mighty One.

    Woods was cool — relaxed, almost nonchalant, showing no stress at falling three shots off the leadership pace. He played solid golf on the 11th hole, finishing up with another par. He had a chance at scoring a birdie, but he took a long putt that missed the hole by an inch or two. And then he was on to the next hole. No showmanship, no swagger. Very understated, very civilized. Woods, I would suggest, is one of the few celebrities who deserve the idolatry bestowed upon him.

    That was my brush with Woods worship. Been there, done that, bought the t-shirt with the Master’s logo.

    I get to stay in our guest house today, getting some work done, while my father-in-law, an avid golfer, uses my pass. The Master’s is a world-class event, and I’m pleased that I had a chance to witness it. The grounds were immaculate and beautiful. I soaked up impressions of a sub-culture to which I had never been exposed. But I’ll tell you this, as boring as golf is to watch on television, it’s even more excruciating to watch in person. At least the television cuts from player to player — no long waits between “action” sequences. In person, one must endure interminable intervals between golfing groups. Golf makes baseball look like a non-stop, fast-action thriller of a sport. On television, there is no trouble seeing where the golf ball travels. In person, you might be lucky enough to see the ball immediately after it’s hit, but you lose it in the sky and can’t see it again until it plunks down on the ground. Booooring.

    But, hey, it would be a dull world if everybody liked the same thing. If people love golf, good for them. I’ve got other things to do with my life. … Like blog.


  • Part Three on Supercapitalism

    This post is about the Have Nots in the workplace in the Supercapitalist (Robert Reich’s term) economy.

    Previously I posted about the conditions that frame the individual person’s economic condition. Those conditions can be improved substantially in Virginia by increasing capital. Lower taxes, personal and corporate, create Commonwealth Trust Accounts, reform health care (not addressed in detail), increase supply of energy, etc.

    Now, what is a person, let’s call him or her – Miss Have Not, to do when there are very few opportunities to move up a notch on the economic ladder? And, the jump up several notches requires new skills, education or successful entrepreneurship. Furthermore, Miss Have Not’s employer is constantly squeezed to keep her labor costs down and to push her productivity up.

    Let’s say the persons who feel trapped or left behind in this Have Not end of the normal curve – or economic ladder – are 40% of the citizens of Virginia. (I’m not including illegal aliens).

    First, the personal savings posted earlier, created from existing taxes, build significant security for health care and retirement.

    The next step is very hard to do. (It will likely undo many of the Republican Party credentials I’ve built over 16 years. What the hey, I was a Populist Christian the whole time – anyway. Still a Conservative)

    You can find money for redistribution from corporate good works and in executive salaries. You can share profits in stock and stock options.

    1. Corporate good works (the Breast Cancer ladies are going to hate this – and many others) come from the corporate bottom line. It is a zero sum game in the closed system of one business tally sheet, so corporate good works compete with wages.

    Encourage corporations to stop doing good works, public service, community relations, etc. and put the money into wages. Or, tax good works heavily and put that tax money into individual Commonwealth Trust Funds for persons in the lower 40% of income.

    Change the laws to tax non-profit organizations incomes as income or tax their distributions. It is capital that has avoided the ‘tax once’ rule. Recycle the tax money to the individual Commonwealth Trust Funds of the lower 40%. (I am okay with taxing my tithe to my church or taxing my church’s distributions – if it doesn’t cross the first Amendment line of establishing or prohibiting religion and I’d like to know the legal precedents back to the Roman Empire on what the ability to tax means – really)

    2. Encourage corporations to share their profits in company stock, stock options, or direct profit-sharing for small business that comes directly off corporate taxes. Or if we actually have a zero corporate tax rate, then make those corporations that don’t share profits pay corporate tax – which increases their risk and reduces their competitiveness.

    3. (Deep breath) I actually thought of this in the early 90s. Look at the maximum ratio of the highest paid person to the lowest paid person. Is it, or in your mind, should it be, 7:1, 10:1, 100:1 or 1000:1 or what? I call that ratio the “Greedcap”.

    The rationale is this. The CEO or management, (and I am paid a management salary), reflects how much money, value-added, the persons add to profit. (I’ve made my companies far more money than they have paid me – like a professional athlete… just not as well!). Yet, at some point the increased profit of a corporation is the result of everyone’s better work. I don’t know that number empirically. But, I know it exists.

    Enter labor unions or shareholders. Leverage must be brought to bear when the highest pay is over the Greedcap. Every dollar paid over the Greedcap should be split (say 50:50) with 50 cents going to a person and 50 cents going to the stock, stock options, profit sharing, health benefits or retirement fund, whatever, shared by all employees. Note, if the Government, Federal or Commonwealth, establish the Greedcap and try to regulate this it will be a screaming disaster. It falls to unions, non-union workers and shareholders and moral suasion to make this work. A key point here is that you aren’t taking capital from corporations but redistributing capital allocation within the corporation or small business. (And don’t forget anyone – medical professionals, lawyers, authors, movie stars, athletes, university presidents, non-profit management, union leaders, etc. They all make their money in a community of co-workers or employees)

    Next installment…dealing with the restructured economy, or… what about Walmart?


  • A Brief Hiatus from our Usual Blogging

    Well, Baconauts, I find myself in sunny Augusta, Ga. — except it’s not very sunny around 8 a.m. this morning: The town is covered with a thick fog. Anyway, I’m here to observe what has become one of the nation’s largest sporting events. At its peak, up to 150,000 people will crowd the fairways to watch a procession of middled-aged white guys — plus Tiger Woods — swing long sticks at little balls.

    I’ve never played a single round of golf, and at 55 years old, I don’t intend to begin. I’m here because my wife likes golf and in a fit of madness bid on some tickets at the Collegiate school auction — and won. As ignorant as I am of the sport, I doubt I will have anything useful to say. If you want insight into the tournament, turn on the television!


  • Our Energy Future: Subsidies, Incentives and Regulatory Obstruction

    There are some interesting tidbits buried in Greg Edwards’ story in the Times-Dispatch today about a Washington, D.C., conference on nuclear power. One of the panelists was Eugene Grecheck, Dominion’s Vice President for nuclear development.

    • Dominion would never have proposed building a highly controversial coal-burning plant in Wise County purely on the technical merits of the location. As Edwards paraphrases him, the decisive factor was “General Assembly support for the plant and incentives state lawmakers had offered a company willing to build a plant in the state’s coal fields.” Bacon’s Bottom Line: It’s all about the pork, baby!
    • Among all the electric utilities applying to build new nuclear power plants in the United States, Dominion Virginia Power is likely to be the very first to get the go-ahead. Grecheck based that appraisal on a permitting schedule posted on the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s website. BBL: Has anyone calculated how economically competitive the nuclear plant would be without federal subsidies?
    • Other than the Wise County plant, another coal plant is not an option for Dominion Virginia Power “because of the economics of building a coal facility and the permitting difficulties.” BBL: Translation: The environmentalist foes of the Wise County project have done their job well. Who wants to lay odds that their next target is the nuclear plant?

    Final question: Is it even possible to build energy sources in this country any more without economic signals distorted by subsidies, incentives or obstructionists? Do we even know which the most economical energy sources are?


  • Kaine Plots Transportation Strategery

    Gov. Timothy M. Kaine has met with top Democratic lawmakers and his personal pollster to talk transportation. According to Jeff Schapiro’s report in the Times-Dispatch, the governor is seeking “a transportation solution that is simple, statewide and sufficient to meet our transportation needs.”

    Oh, boy, we’re in big trouble.

    The idea that there is a “simple” solution to Virginia’s transportation needs is a non-starter. If there were a “simple” solution, someone in the 50 states or the dozens of industrialized nations around the world would have found it. Transportation systems are inseparable from human settlement patterns, global energy economics, demographics and governance structures. They are among the most complex systems known to man.

    In this case, “simple” is a code word for a simple-to-administer tax. I can only conclude that the governor is leaning towards a hike in the statewide gasoline tax, or possibly a hike in the state sales tax.

    Now, I’m a big proponent of the gasoline tax as a funding mechanism for road and highway maintenance — the gasoline tax is indeed a simple, statewide and sufficient solution for that particular purpose. I might even be prevailed upon to raise gasoline taxes enough to ensure that Virginia has sufficient state matching dollars to qualify for full federal transportation funding. But I oppose gasoline taxes as a mechanism for financing new road construction. Let us remind ourselves of two things:

    • The transportation “crisis” is not a statewide phenomenon. It is limited mainly to Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads (although, given the accelerating spread of dysfunctional human settlement patterns in the smaller metro areas, it could well become a “crisis” elsewhere in a decade or two). It makes no sense to raise taxes statewide to solve regional problems. One of two things will happen: Either (a) regions outside NoVa and HR will wind up taxing more and building more than they really need, with lots of money dumped into projects of dubious value or (b) excess funds money will be transferred to NoVa and HR from the rest of the state.
    • In the absence of Fundamental Change, pouring more money into a broken system will not “fix” the problem. It will propel the old jalopy a few more miles down the road, at which point it will be obvious that it’s still broken, and the politicians will be crying for another round of taxes.
    • There is no protection against the General Assembly raiding raid the Transportation Trust Fund (TTF) to pay for non-transportation priorities, as it has done in the past. Gov. Kaine has totally dropped the ball on his campaign promise to pass a constitutional amendment to protect the TTF. Heck, he hasn’t dropped the ball. He’s spiked the ball in the safety zone and done a victory dance!

    We know what is needed: a user-pays system for financing roads, sweeping reforms to land use, a mechanism to coordinate transportation and land use planning, and a restructuring of the powers of state and municipal government. Without Fundamental Change, we’re just spending more money, we’re not “solving” anything.


  • Part Two on SuperCapitalism

    In the first installment of Supercapitalism Redux I listed what I thought were Robert Reichโ€™s key correct findings. Here are my suggestions on what we should do in Virginia about those findings for the common good in the Commonwealth.

    Everyone has more money and stuff than 30 years ago. Our American poor are richer, materially, than they were three decades ago. They are considerably poorer, spiritually and in quality of life, than the poor from the 70 years ago โ€“ because of the destruction of the family.

    Yet, the middle class has thinned out considerably. The squeeze increased the number of upper middle class and wealthy (is rich a better term?) folks. Likewise, the number of lower middle class people increased. If these folks donโ€™t get new competitive skills or go into business, successfully, for themselves, they will not progress to the middle class. Ever.

    What to do for the people at the bottom economically?

    First, donโ€™t destroy capital. Reich agreed (p. 4) that โ€œCapitalismโ€™s role is to enlarge the economic pie.โ€ Build capital. Build capital as fast as it can โ€“ grow the economy just shy of cross-over point of inflation. Tax capital once โ€“ period.

    The 3% growth in total tax burden in Virginia since the 70s means about $157 a month for the median family (earning $51k in ROVa and more in NoVa). Lower personal taxes.

    Expand the supply of energy, as much as Virginia can, to lower the price. The cost of rising oil prices destroys the discretionary income – and even pushes into mortgage failure – too many working families. Build the double refinery capacity at Yorktown, build new nukes, build sea-based tide and windmills, etc.

    Provide individual supported by community, not government, opportunities for the big expenses โ€“ health, retirement, job insecurity, and education โ€“ that will break marginal income families. I wrote in Baconโ€™s Rebellion about Commonwealth Trust Accounts for lifelong individual savings. Return the bogus $1.5 B sales tax increase (2004) into individual accounts ($200 @)) for all 7 million Virginians. Give generous tax cuts for folks who contribute to other folksโ€™ accounts.

    Elect Representatives and Senators to the Federal government who will morph Social Security into individual, personal accounts. Elect politicians who will morph Medicare, Medicaid and the drug benefits into sustainable health insurance accounts. But, donโ€™t wait for the Federal government to reform to take action in Virginia.

    The social pathologies that plague families of every income canโ€™t be solved by government. Government shouldnโ€™t promote the pathologies, like welfare did.

    Coming up nextโ€ฆwhat to do about corporate excesses.


  • The Elliston Intermodal Facility: Institutional Gridlock?

    Norfolk Southern wants to build a $35.5 million intermodal facility in Montgomery County to transfer shipping containers from trucks to rail in an initiative that could remove 150,000 trucks a year from Virginia’s highways. Not only that, but the project could create as many as 2,900 jobs over a 14-locality area from Radford to Lynchburg, generate hundreds of millions of dollars in economic activity, and plunk down between $17 million and $71 million in taxes.

    Wow, sounds like a winner. The project relieves traffic congestion. It’s good for the environment. It creates jobs in a section of the state where unemployment is still a problem. And it adds to the tax base. What’s not to like?

    Well, apparently residents of the Elliston area, where the transfer center would be located, are worried that the project will adversely impact their quality of life by increasing traffic and noise, and degrading air and water quality. Now, Montgomery County, which endorsed the project in 2006, opposes it. (See coverage in the Roanoke Times and Times-Dispatch.)

    There are two ways to approach problems like this. One way is to fight bitterly, refusing to yield an inch. The other way is to seek reasonable compromises in pursuit of the common good. I don’t know which path the people of Elliston will follow, but the situation does not look positive. Maybe Gov. Timothy M. Kaine, who is trying to organize a regional meeting, can pull off a deal that makes everyone happy.

    The residents of Montgomery County would do well to talk to the Piedmont Environmental Council, which backs the construction of new railroad sidings in Fauquier County. The rail link between Manassas and Front Royal is “the major chokepoint” on Norfolk Southern’s New York-to-Texas corridor, according to an article in the Spring 2008 Piedmont View. The residents of Fauquier are just as concerned about the impact of increased rail traffic as the residents of Montgomery County — this is the region, remember, where citizens are fighting a proposed high-voltage transmission line tooth and nail — but they are displaying a very different attitude.

    The PEC acknowledges the public benefits of shifting container traffic from truck to rail. A train can haul one ton of freight up to five times further than a truck on the same amount of fuel, while emitting only a third as much carbon dioxide. Additionally, as the Piedmont View quotes The Plains resident Megan Gallagher, rail yards are “so much less destructive than a 500-foot roadbed with hundreds of thousands of vehicles.”

    Accordingly, PEC has chosen to work with Norfolk Southern to craft an outcome acceptable to piedmont residents. Priorities include:

    • Helping landowners get a fair deal in negotiations with the railroad
    • Reducing noise by adding gates at road crossings so that trains don’t have to blow their whistles
    • Diverting construction away from land under conservation easement, where possible
    • Offsetting the loss of conserved land through the protection of nearby properties of comparable size

    Let us all hope that the residents of Elliston take such a constructive approach.

    Update: The Roanoke Times reports that the state might have to contribute more money than originally thought to the project: an additional $10 million to $15 million to build the “Ironto Connector” between the rail yard and Interstate 81.

    (Map credit: Adapted from “Answers.com.” Blue dots show approximate location of proposed Montgomery County and Fauquier Count facilities.)


  • Does This Go On My Permanent Record?

    Re: Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy and Everyday Life by Robert B. Reich.

    Jim Bacon asked his writers to read and report on this book by former Clinton cabinet official, Robert B. Reich. Here is my homework in several installments.

    Reich describes the changes in America, and across the world, caused by the transformation from the Industrial Era to the Information Era. And, for the Third World from the Agrarian Era to the Industrial and Information Era at the same time. His findings of economic trends and facts, believe it or not, were the basic same things predicted by the long range study (the last of the Army 21 studies) I lead in 1990-92 for the period 2005-2015.

    Interestingly enough, our study said the key to the future, domestically and abroad, was โ€œthe political perception of economic change.โ€ And, that a โ€œGandhi with gunsโ€ could articulate the grievances of the Have Nots as a cultural identity issue.

    Consequently, I reject Reichโ€™s dichotomy of Democracy vs. Supercapitalism (Reichโ€™s name for the new phase of economics). Every โ€˜governmentโ€™ that makes rules, executes rules and adjudicates rules from the tiniest tribe to the greatest civilization โ€“ ever – has its hands in the economy.

    One of the best courses I took in grad school #1 was โ€œGovernment and Business in a Mixed Economyโ€ taught by the late Dick Darman and Roger Porter. The course showed how intertwined government and the business are. Was, are, is and will be โ€“ forever. So, I reject Reichโ€™s basic assumption. Yet, many of his findings were spot on. Those that werenโ€™t, Iโ€™ll just ignore for now.

    His findings include the following items Iโ€™d agree are valid:
    โ€ข Widening inequality in incomes
    โ€ข Reduced job security
    โ€ข Plethora of products and services appealing to our basest desires
    โ€ข Large companies spend on lobbyists, lawyers, experts, public relations specialists and donations to โ€˜drownโ€™ out the voices and values of citizens

    The result is โ€œAmericans are losing confidence in democracyโ€ (Reichโ€™s word for our government).

    Also, the GDP grew threefold (300%) from 1973 to 2006 โ€“ adjusted for inflation.

    Productivity grew by 80%.

    CEO incomes went from 66 times the โ€˜typicalโ€™ worker (1968) to 900 times the โ€˜typicalโ€™ worker (2005).

    And, ta da, the gains in real income from 1974 to 2004 are by quintile

    Lowest 5th โ€“ 2.8%, 2nd lowest โ€“ 12.9%, middle โ€“ 23.3%, 2nd highest โ€“ 34.9%, and highest โ€“ 61.6%.

    Chew on those finding fellow Virginians. Iโ€™ll post in another installment what I think are better answers of โ€œwhat must be doneโ€ than Reichโ€™s. IMHO.