• Democratic General Assembly Would Be Much Softer on Crime

    from Liberty Unyieldingย 

    Democrats are slightly favored to win control of Virginia’s legislature in this year’s election, although the election will be very close. If they take over, the legislature will become much softer on crime than it is now, because incoming Democratic leaders are more left-wing than their mainstream liberal predecessors. For example, if Democrats win control of the House of Delegates, the speaker of the House will be Democratic leader Don Scott, a convicted felon, not his mainstream liberal predecessor, Eileen Filler-Corn.

    Back in 2020, Don Scott proposed radical legislation that would release dangerous criminals from prison, even if prison and parole officials had proof of their continuing danger to society. It failed to pass back then, because Scott was a junior legislator, and Democrats were more mainstream liberal, and less left-wing, than they are now. The only moderate Democrats in the Virginia legislature are either retiring — such as state Senator Lynwood Lewis — or were defeated in the Spring 2023 Democratic primary. Some mainstream liberals are also leaving the legislature. George Barker was defeated in a primary by a candidate to his left, and Senate Majority Leader Richard Saslaw is retiring.

    Scott’s legislation in 2020 was very bad, and at odds with public safety. If he becomes House Speaker, he might be able to use his power to get his fellow Democrats to pass it. Then, he could hold Republican Governor Youngkin’s priorities hostage unless Youngkin allows such legislation to become law. For example, Scott could get Democrats to block the governor’s appointments. The Virginia Senate only approved Governor Youngkin’s appointment of Bert Ellis to the University of Virginia Board of Visitors because the Senate’s two moderate Democrats voted along with Republicans to confirm him. Both of those Democrats are leaving the legislature after this year. The House of Delegates can also block appointments to many posts in Virginia. (more…)


  • Governor Youngkin Steps to Curb Anti-Semitic Activities – How about Law Enforcement?

    by James C. Sherlock

    Governor Glenn Youngkin took action today with an Executive Directive to โ€œCombat Antisemitism and Anti-Religious Bigotry in the Commonwealth and on Campuses.โ€

    It is excellent, and we look forward to immediate steps by other actors in the Commonwealth. (more…)


  • Dominion’s Wind Project Wins Federal Approval

    Norfolk Virginian-Pilot photo of the first eight monopiles for Dominion’s offshore wind project, celebrated at a ceremony last Thursday upon their delivery.

    The Biden Administrationโ€™s Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) has issued final approval for the construction of Dominion Energy Virginiaโ€™s Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. Here is the release. A few more steps remain and should be completed by late January, according to BOEM.

    The announcement, fully expected since all previous U.S. projects have been similarly approved, followed by a few days the arrival of the first set of gigantic monopiles, the first eight of the 176 structures Dominion will build about 27 miles or more off Virginia Beach.

    The only coverage of their arrival was provided by The Virginian-Pilot. Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) attended and has praised the project all along. The paper provided only an indirect quote from his remarks:

    The project is also at the heart of Virginiaโ€™s all-of-the-above approach to energy production, which aims to make energy cheap and plentiful by employing fossil fuels, nuclear and growing green energy, said Gov. Glenn Youngkin, who attended the event.

    (more…)


  • Conservative Boycotts Work

    by Kerry Dougherty

    In the first month after Dylan Mulvaney began promoting the Anheuser-Busch beer, sales of Americaโ€™s most popular beer dropped 26.5% while Modeloโ€™s were up 13.5%. The Mexican beer quickly toppled Bud Light as Americaโ€™s best-selling beer.

    Likewise, the June โ€œPride Monthโ€ boycott of Target resulted in a 5.4% drop in that companyโ€™s second quarter profits and caused Target to revise down its yearly numbers.

    These are cautionary tales. Pay attention, Eventbrite.

    The online platform that allows event organizers to distribute and sell tickets was targeted yesterday by Virginiaโ€™s Gov. Glenn Youngkin after he learned that Eventbrite unceremoniously dumped a โ€œProtecting Womenโ€™s Sports with Riley Gainesโ€ event at the University of California at Davis.

    Riley Gaines, the champion collegiate swimmer who was forced to compete against Lia Thomas, a biological male, is on a mission to keep men out of girls sports. (more…)


  • Will the Left Repudiate this Evil?

    (This column was published earlier today by The Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy)

    by Chris Braunlich

    โ€œYou dance with the one who brung yaโ€ goes one of the oldest sayings in politics.

    It means that when elected officials get into public office, they vote with those who helped put them there.

    The deadly Hamas attack on Israel, an event slaughtering 1,400 Israelis that Hamas political bureau member Ghazi Hamad called โ€œour message to the world,โ€ has exposed divisions up and down the Biden liberal-left coalition โ€“ and sent a warning signal about those who power that coalition.

    Polling data demonstrate the split among Democrats, fueled largely by the young and the left. ย ย It has already caused President Biden to shift his tone, and a recent Reuters report noted that โ€œBiden, 80, has evolved in the face of a challenging 2024 reelection bid, (and) threats by some would-beย supporters to withhold their votes over his lack of backing for Palestinians .โ€ฆโ€

    Four hundred congressional staffers have signed a letter to their bosses opposing the Administrationโ€™s current approach.ย Two-hundred each among the former volunteers of presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have done the same.ย Groups supporting Biden are disbanding. (more…)


  • To Graduate or Not

    by John Butcher

    The 2023 4-year cohort graduation rates are up on the Virginia Department of Educationย Web site.

    VDOE likes to report its โ€œOn-Time Graduation Rateโ€ because it inflates the numbers by counting the nonstandard diplomas. The data below are the โ€œFederal Graduation Indicatorโ€ that counts only the Standard, Advanced, and IB diplomas.

    On average, Virginiaโ€™s economically disadvantaged students (ED) (mostly students who qualify for the free/reduced price lunch program) graduate at rates ca. 9% lower than their more affluent peers (Not ED). The handy VDOE database provides data for both groups.

    To start, here are the division average federal ED rates plotted v. the Not ED.

    The gold square is Richmond. The orange diamonds are the peer cities, from the left Norfolk, Newport News, and Hampton. The green diamonds are the Richmond โ€˜burbs, from the left Charles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, and Hanover. The aqua circle is the state average (average over all students, the averages of the division averages are slightly different, see below).

    The fitted line (with the state average removed and Highland not showing because of the suppressed ED datum) confirms what our eyes tell us: The ED rate is only slightly correlated with the Not ED. (more…)


  • Musings on Virginia Politics

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Southwest Virginia electionsโ€”The folks in the Mt. Rogers region take their politics seriously. Along all those mountain roads are numerous assemblages of campaign signs like the one shown above, although this is small in comparison to some. (You gotta love a candidate nicknamed โ€œStingyโ€!) Because the General Assembly seats are, for the most part, uncontested, the action is with the campaigns for local offices.

    Bellwetherโ€”The national columnist, E.J. Dionne, Jr., has picked up on David Toscanoโ€™s theme of Virginia being a bellwether state. In a recent column, he argues that both parties in Virginia are resorting to the familiar tactic of getting their voters to the polls by โ€œscaring the daylights out of them.โ€

    The Democrats are warning ominously that Republicans, โ€œMAGA extremists,โ€ if they take over both houses of the legislature, will abolish abortion. For their part, Republicans are declaring that Democrats want to defund the police and let criminals โ€œwalk easy.โ€ As Joshua Cole, a Democrat running for a House seat in the Fredericksburg area told Dionne, โ€œItโ€™s either abortion or itโ€™s crime.โ€

    Dionne concludes, โ€œBoth parties will be intensely watching Virginia for clues about 2024โ€™s political atmosphere…. The upshot: huge sums of money dropped on a few places are turning Virginia into a laboratory where competing theories about what moves voters are being tested.โ€

    Local elections are the most fun–Speaking of local elections, Dwight Yancey of Cardinal News has a fascinating summary of local elections around the state, albeit mostly in the western part.ย  It includes a description of three indicted Republican candidates on the ballots.


  • A Long Time Ago in a World Far Far Away

    Mafic dike in wall of granite. Roadcut on VA Rt. 16 near Mouth of Wilson Baptist Church

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    This past weekend I went back in Virginiaโ€™s history. Waaaay back. Over a billion years back.

    The occasion was the 2023 Virginia Geological Field Conference. This is an annual event staged by a group of leading geologists in the state. Attending were faculty members from several institutions, including one community college; geologists from the United States Geological Service; staff from several state agencies, such as the Department of Environmental Equality; college students, folks from the private sector; and one or two non-geologists (such as me) who nevertheless are keenly interested in the science.

    We met in the Mt. Rogers area (the site of the conference rotates among Virginiaโ€™s five geographic regions). There we spent a day and a half traveling among sites that have been explored and mapped by USGS geologists over the past few years. We would go to a site, get a briefing from the lead USGS geologist and then go crawl over and around the rocks, with many using their geologistโ€™s hammer to break off chunks for examination. As for me, I would stand in front of a wall of rock or hold a chunk in my hand and ask one of the USGS or other geologists, โ€œTell me what I am looking at.โ€ (more…)


  • List of Wrongly Purged Voter Registrations Gets Larger

    Susan Beals, Commissioner,
    Va. Dept. of Elections

    by Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Remember my earlier report on the Youngkin administration cancelling the registrations of voters eligible to vote? These were felons whose voting rights had been restored who had committed a parole violation, which shows up as a felony in the State Policeโ€™s official crime database.

    In mid-October, the state Department of Elections reported that there are only about 275 individuals affected. Now, it is up to 3,400.

    When VPM, Richmondโ€™s public radio station, first reported the errors, the administration was dismissive of the reports. Later, it minimized the extent of the problem. Now, it is trying to shift the blame. Jeff Goettman, the Governorโ€™s chief of staff, says the administration suspects the errors โ€œare the result of antiquated data systems and insufficient processes maintained over the last 20 plus years.โ€ Anyone who has worked with data knows that, when one grabs a bunch of data that was compiled for one purpose and uses it for an entirely different purpose, one needs to be especially careful and needs to be thoroughly familiar with the dataset that is being relied upon. Anyone except, apparently, the folks at the Department of Elections.

    To cover himself, the Governor has ordered the Office of the Inspector General to investigate the โ€œcircumstances, data systems, and practicesโ€ surrounding this event and, as a counter measure, to prepare a separate report examining whether thousands of residents had been left on the registration rolls despite having been convicted of a new felony.


  • What is Actually Taught about the History of the Jews and the Jewish State in Virginia Schools?

    German-Israeli woman Shani Louk, whose semi-naked body was paraded through Gaza by Hamas, has been declared dead. Her skull was found separated from her body. Credit Instagram

    by James C. Sherlock

    What comes first? Sadism or hatred? Does religious radicalism create sadists or do sadists flock there for approval and opportunity?

    Some on the radical right and the radical left in the United States share a hatred for Jews.

    The radical right may not be able to remember why, but pursue it anyway.

    Radical Islam combines Nazi views and medieval sadism and does not hesitate to act them out. Remember the Munich Olympics massacre, 9/11 and the ISIS beheadings? Now Oct. 7th? Any questions?

    Virginiaโ€™s schools have lessons to teach. Unfortunately it is not clear what the message has been and will be in the future. (more…)


  • Tales of Student Success in 2023

    by Matt Hurt

    Virginia Standards of Learning test results remained rather flat from 2022 to 2023 (see Table 1).ย  This occurred despite the fact that many considered the pandemic over.ย  There were many contributing factors, such as (but certainly not limited to) worsening teacher shortages and continued high rates of chronic absenteeism.ย  However, among Virginiaโ€™s one hundred and thirty-one public school divisions, there were certainly some success stories.

    Table 1: Virginia SOL Results for 2022 and 2023

    Among Virginiaโ€™s public school divisions from 2022 to 2023, overall SOL pass rate differences ranged from 8.94% to -9.19%.ย  Oftentimes it is also useful to compare division rankings from one year to the next as relative measures of performance tend to control for a number of factors.ย  The division that earned the greatest pass rate rank increase surpassed the performance of thirty-seven other divisions in 2023, while the division with the greatest decrease declined forty-four positions. (more…)


  • The Californication of Virginia

    by Kerry Dougherty

    Does anyone really think fewer gas mowers will make a difference?

    More importantly, is it the role of government to tell citizens what they must use to trim their fescue?

    Of course it isnโ€™t.

    Why should we in Virginia care? Because weโ€™re just one car back on Californiaโ€™s crazy train.

    During the disastrous Ralph Northam era, when both chambers of the General Assembly were controlled by Virginiaโ€™s far-left Democrats, the Old Dominion linked its automotive climate policies to Californiaโ€™s.

    Unless sanity is restored in the November elections and the Senate flips to the GOP, gas-powered cars will no longer be sold in Virginia after 2035. (more…)


  • Electric Vehicles May Be Worse for the Environment than Gasoline-Powered Ones

    by Hans Bader

    Electric vehicles require enormous damage to the environment just to produce their batteries — 250 tons of mining is required for a single battery, according to Real Clear Energy. Switching to electric cars would require a radical expansion of mining across the world, and the minerals for the car batteries will be refined mainly using the coal-powered electric grid of China, the world’s biggest emitter of greenhouse gases.

    Yet states are starting to mandate electric vehicles. Nine states, including California, have now decided to ban gasoline-powered cars by 2035, requiring that all cars sold be electric instead. In 2021, Virginia’s Democratic-controlled legislature passed a law adopting California standards for Virginia vehicles, so Virginia also will ban gasoline-powered cars in 2035, unless that law is repealed, as Republicans seek to do (the Republican-controlled Virginia House of Delegates voted to repeal the ban on gas-powered cars in 2023, but the Democratic-controlled Virginia state Senate kept the ban in place). (more…)


  • Resorts Like Airports

    by Jon Baliles

    There has been a lot of boasting from the casino advocates about their partnership with Kentucky-based Churchill Downs, Inc. (CDI). The rebranded Richmond Grand casino developer Urban One is a radio and TV conglomerate that has said they are partnering with CDI because of their huge capitalization and experience with casinos. But letโ€™s take a look at Churchill Downsโ€™ casino portfolio, because itโ€™s not what the casino advocates have been claiming.

    CDI is obviously world-famous for the running of the Kentucky Derby horse race, and they have expanded their portfolio to include more and more gaming facilities in recent years. CDI bought out Peninsula Pacific Entertainment (PPE) in a $2.75 billion deal in 2022, and PPE had been Urban Oneโ€™s original partner in the first, failed casino referendum. The deal included the Colonial Downs Racetrack in New Kent, as well as six Rosieโ€™s Gaming Emporium historical horse racing facilities across Virginia plus two smaller casinos, one in Iowa and one in New York. But among the eleven casinos in the CDI portfolio, none are anywhere near the scale what they promise for Richmond. And none of those eleven casinos resemble anything grand โ€” except for the indisputable fact that the house always wins, even if the resort looks more like an airport.

    The Richmond Grand advocates claim their casino will have a 250-room hotel, an entertainment/concert venue with 3,000 seats, a TV and film production soundstage, and 15 restaurants and โ€œdining options.โ€ But if you look at their other casinos, they are all small casinos in small markets and are not even close to the โ€œresortโ€ they claim to be bringing to Richmond. (more…)


  • A’s for All!

    by James A. Bacon

    Grade inflation in American universities is a well-documented phenomenon. Nearly half of all grades handed out at Harvard are A’s. The average Grade Point Average (GPA) at the University of Virginia, having drifted steadily upward over the past 30 years, is moving higher at an accelerating rate. One possible explanation — in defiance of the downward trend in standardized test scores in K-12 education — is that the kids are just so darn smart! They deserve the A’s!

    Another explanation points to the obsession with equality and self-esteem, and to the attendant collapse in standards that would differentiate between excellence, mediocrity and failure.

    The question arises in a recent article in The Chronicle of Higher Education which profiles a controversy at James Madison University. Six economics professors told the Chronicle that their annual evaluations have been penalized because they are handing out too many D’s and F’s. (more…)