• MORE ON BROWN AND WILD PRAIRIE HAY

    In our current column at db4.dev.baconsrebellion.com (“Size Really Doesnโ€™t Matter: Autonomobility”) we profile the wisdom of WaPo Car Culture columnist Warren Brown. For more good Brown see todayโ€™s Column “Free to Speak Truth to Power.”

    Giving the editors of Outlook their due, Tilman and Hill do a nice job in “Corn Canโ€™t Solve Our Problem: Grass Is Greener Than Corn for Fuel.” We have been following Mayor George Fitchโ€™s bio-fuel plant idea and his advisors seem to come to the same conclusions.

    Brown put his finger on the bigger problem. Governance practitioners, especially elected ones avoid making the rational choices.

    EMR


  • Salvaging U.S. 29 North

    Albemarle County is one of the most beautiful counties in Virginia, and Charlottesville is one of its coolest small cities. But the strip development on U.S. 29 North is one of the most god-awful products of the contemporary “planning” process you can find anywhere in Virginia. It’s as if Charlottesville/Albemarle took anything that could be remotely ugly or dysfunctional and smooshed it into an eleven-mile strip of state highway north of town Unfortunately, if you live in the region or travel through it, there is no escaping this horror.

    Citizens seem serious about doing something, although there doesn’t seem to be a consensus about what to do. The Daily Progress has published a lengthy article describing the Places29 initiative and the controversy it is generating.

    Places29, the product of local planners, provides what sounds like an attractive vision for the corridor (although the devil is in the details):

    Electric lines vanish. New roads appear, giving drivers a way to avoid 29. Some commuters simply avoid the hassle by riding the bus. Walking is encouraged, because residents work, shop and play in coordinated communities.

    And all it will cost is some $400 million.

    The usual NIMBYs object to anything that might impact their neighborhoods, oblivious that by-right development will impact their neighborhoods anyway. And there’s always some joker — in this case John J. โ€œButchโ€ Davies III, the local representative to the Commonwealth Transportation Board — who wants “Richmond” to pay to clean up the mess.

    There are no magic wands for a place like U.S. 29 North. Fixing that monstrosity is going to cost money, and it’s going to take doing things differently than in the past. The longer the region delays in implementing a new vision, the more dysfunctional development that will take place. It’s critical to minimize future costs by getting landowners and developers to buy into a new vision as soon as possible. Then, through the use of Community Development Authorities, municipal bonds and some 30 or 40 years of re-development, the corridor might have a fighting chance. If key players are unwilling to adopt a long-term time horizon, any spasmodic effort at cleaning the place up is bound to be cosmetic and a waste of time.


  • Who Will Gather the News: Media General on Credit Watch

    Media General Inc., owner of the Richmond Times-Dispatch and newspapers in Charlottesville, Lynchburg, Danville, Bristol and other Virginia communities, has been placed on S&P credit watch following an announcement that it would post a 1Q loss this year. Writes the Associated Press:

    The ratings agency said it would keep the newspaper and TV broadcast company credit rating at ‘BBB-‘ shortly after the company lowered its guidance for the first-quarter to a loss of 26 cents to 30 cents per share. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had been looking for a profit of 20 cents per share.

    Revenues at Media General’s broadcast division got hammered the worse, suffering a 27.4 percent decline in revenues. I don’t spend much time watching local television news, so cutbacks in the coverage of murders, traffic accidents and thunderstorms doesn’t particularly distress me. But revenues continue to erode — 4.2 percent — in the publishing division. That’s where the serious news gathering takes place.

    It can’t be much fun working for Media General right now. Said CEO Marshall N. Morton in a prepared statement: “We have implemented an aggressive plan to align our cost structure with the revenue environment we are experiencing. Our goal is to restore profit-performance to our original expectations for the year.” Translation: More budget cuts. Newsrooms will not escape the budgetary axe.

    There’s not much chance that the Interactive Media Division will ride to the rescue. Revenues did increase 28.6 percent, but that was on a tiny revenue base. Essentially, IMD is a parasite. The vast bulk of its content is generated by broadcast and print. If the traditional media can’t produce as much content, IMD lacks the resources to make up the difference.

    As much as I tout the Internet and blogosphere, I take no joy in this. Many of my friends work for Media General. I’m planning to get a pension one day from Media General. And I have yet to see signs of an Internet business model that can come close to delivering the content that we take forgranted from the Mainstream Media. I have my quarrels with MSM reporting, but I hate to see newspapers wither away.


  • Kaine, GOP Lawmakers Talk Transportation

    How refreshing. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine and Republican leaders in the General Assembly are finally talking to one another about transportation — and doing so cordially, no less. Judging by the multiple news reports, the lawmakers’ closed-door meeting yesterday was fairly productive.

    Kaine must submit his amendments to HB 3202 by Monday, and the legislature has until April 4 to accept or reject them. Apparently, much of the conversation centered on finding areas of common ground.

    Michael Hardy and Jeff Schapiro report in the Times-Dispatch: “The lawmakers indicated that there appeared to be major progress toward reaching a transportation agreement on a batch of regional tax and fee increases to raise more than $400 million a year for Northern Virginia and $200 million for Hampton Roads.”

    Christina Nuckols reports much the same in the Virginian-Pilot: “Several of the 10 lawmakers participating in the latest meeting said they do not expect to reach compromise on every change the governor wants to make. However, they said they have agreed on most details of the regional funding plans for Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia.”

    Seth McLaughlin at the Washington Times notes areas of continued disagreement: “Mr. Kaine opposes paying the state’s debt with money from the general fund, which primarily pays for schools, police and social services. He also has legal concerns about charging repeat driving offenders larger fines and wants to reduce or eliminate the option for Northern Virginia localities to increase the commercial real estate tax. “

    If this legislation passes, my concern is that legislators will declare victory and move on to other topics. My sense is that everyone has had a belly full of the transportation issue over the past three or four years, and that there will be little appetite to follow up with a second round of reforms. While HB 3202 does do some useful things — particularly in prioritizing road projects and devolving more responsibility for secondary roads to localities — it doesn’t come close to “fixing” the problem. More roads will get built, but congestion will not improve. Taxes will rise, but they won’t prove sufficient.


  • VA Club for Growth TV Ad

    The Virginia Club for Growth released today a TV ad that will be broadcasted across the state in different television markets. The ad urges Gov. Kaine to veto the HB 3202, the Transportation Compromise Bill (AKA Bill Howell’s tax increase).

    In the interest of full disclosure, the poster of this entry, Phil Rodokanakis, wants to remind everyone that he is also the President of the Virginia Club for Growth.


  • MEDIA NOTES

    Quote of the Day:

    “What kind of a person sends her own granny up a cul-de-sac.?”

    Ms Doonesbury, an MIT Freshperson

    ……………..

    Philip Kennicott the WaPo movie critic suggests (“Rose-Colored Lens: In Louisiana, Environmental Distruction Neever Looked So Pretty”) that the new Smithsonian IMAX feature “Hurricane on the Bayou” deserves a miss. See “Down Memory Lane with Katrina” at db4.dev.baconsrebellion.com

    Kennicott, by the way, will receive a major nomination soon for Best Reporting on human settlement pattern issues.

    …………….

    RINO Hunters on the Endagered List

    Community papers suggest that as RINOs become more rare, the RINO Hunters are coming under attack. The word is that to save their skins the RINO Hunters will have to put on RINO costumes. Advocates of “No Crazies to the Right” may have died in Afghanstan and Iraq.

    EMR


  • Rural Virginia Fights Back

    It’s interesting to see the line of argument developing in rural Virginia regarding the GOP’s transportation funding plan: There’s not enough money in the plan for non-metro areas. And Gov. Timothy M. Kaine is pushing the angle hard.

    How can rural Virginia justify demanding more, when it already benefits disproportionately from the allocation of state highway dollars? It’s all about safety. Read this article in the Martinsville Bulletin.

    Rural Virginia would get about one-fourth of the money the legislative transportation plan would yield, even though 61 percent of the stateโ€™s traffic fatalities from 2000 through 2005 occurred on rural roads, according to federal highway safety data. …

    During a stopover in Stuart last week on his โ€œlistening tourโ€ to gather input on the proposed $2.5 billion transportation bill, Kaine criticized the bill for its omission of significant help to rural areas. โ€œWhatโ€™s in this (bill) for rural Virginia?โ€ Kaine asked, adding that the one-fourth earmarked for rural Virginia could only be spent on primary roads and interstates, under the current wording of the bill.

    Of the 5,593 people killed in Virginia car crashes from 2000 through 2005, more than three-fifths โ€” 3,398 โ€” died on roads U.S. Department of Transportation highway accident data classifies as rural, according to a computer analysis by The Associated Press.

    Crashes in rural areas are more often lethal because drivers reach greater speeds on the open roads, said Ray Pethtel, associate director of the Center for Transportation Research at Virginia Tech. Driver distractions, which cause most crashes, occur in rural areas and urban ones, Pethtel said. … โ€œYou donโ€™t have on the rural roads the same safe design characteristics that you do on major arterials like interstates,โ€ he said.


  • A Growth Slowdown in the Making?

    Signs of the times from Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads…

    Scholars at the Brookings Institution see indications that the “galloping growth” of Washington’s Virginia suburbs is slowing. The Washington Post quotes William H. Frey, a demographer at Brookings:

    “There’s still growth in the Washington region, and there’s still migration from the inside of the doughnut to the periphery. But it’s kind of slacking. From being a very fast-growing exurban place, Washington has now come down to more normal levels.”

    Meanwhile, the Virginian-Pilot reports that, according to newly released Bureau of Census estimates, Norfolk and Virginia Beach are actually losing population.

    According to the new estimates, Virginia Beach, the regon’s most populous jurisdiction, lost 1,402 residents in 2006. Its population now stands at 435,619. Norfolk lost about 1,663 residents in 2006. Its population stands at 229,112. The Weldon Cooper Center, which tracks Virginia’s population, believes that Norfolk and Virginia Beach actually gained a small number of inhabitants last year.

    What seems indisputable is that growth in Hampton Roads appears to be shifting to the metropolitan periphery. Chesapeake has gained 21,000 residents since 2000, while Suffolk has gained 17,000. The Pilot’s article does not indicate whether that represents a continuation or a slowdown for the metropolitan area as a whole.


  • Henrico: Doing It Their Way

    One of the main threads of controversy in the transportation debate right now is the propriety of devolving responsibility for building and maintaining secondary roads to local governments. Many local officials have objected to the transfer of authority, fearing that the state won’t send along the money to match. Remarkably, no one has seen fit to ask local officials in Henrico or Arlington Counties what they think of the idea. They would seem to be logical people to ask — after all, they have been handling their own roads for the past 75 years.

    So, that’s what we’ve done. Bacon’s Rebellion dispatched Bob Burke to look into the experience of Arlington County and Peter Galuszka to take a look at Henrico.

    Peter has filed his article about Henrico: “Doing It Their Way.” One message came through loud and clear: Henrico County officials like having control over their secondary roads. They say they can make better decisions and faster decisions, and that they can be more responsive to local constituencies than VDOT can. Henrico officials also like to set their own standards, which often exceed VDOT’s.

    However, there doesn’t seem to be any way to quantify whether or not Henrico is doing a better job than VDOT would. Has the ability to align transportation and land use planning resulted in less traffic congestion? Can’t say. We asked for “levels of service” data, but Henrico hasn’t compiled it. Has local control resulted in more efficient expenditure of road dollars? Can’t say. Henrico hasn’t done the studies.

    Bottom line: We can’t get answers to fundamental questions. Little wonder. No one in local government seems to be asking the questions, so no one is collecting the information. Meanwhile, lawmakers in the General Assembly — both those in favor of devolution and those opposed — are flailing in the dark. They’re basing their positions on hunch, intuition and anecdote, not hard data. We don’t have a prayer of solving our transportation problems in Virginia without the basic information we need to make informed decisions.


  • Earthship Westerdam

    Comparing human settlement patterns on the luxury liner Westerdam with towns and cities in Virginia, as I’ve done in my most recent column, “Earthship Westerdam,” may seem a bit of a stretch. I certainly don’t advocate modeling Virginia communities on a cruise liner with midtown-Manhattan levels of density. I regard the article as more of a brain bender. Sometimes it helps to take a look at familiar problems from radically different perspectives.

    A number of observations come out of the story.

    • The autocentric society. It’s amazing what happens when you take cars and supporting infrastructure (roads, parking spaces, driveway and garages) out of the equation. The need for space is drastically reduced. Layer 15 decks (11 above the waterline, four below) on top of one another, link them vertically with stairwells and elevators, and nearly all destinations required for a population of 2,700 are within a five-minute walk of one another.
    • Private space/personal space. It’s remarkable how much you can shrink private space (personal residences) if you compensate with quality public spaces. In America, we buy ever bigger houses that incorporate an increasing array of once-public functions; all the while, the public realm suffers. Spaceship Westerdam does the opposite, cramming passengers into tiny staterooms but providing an extraordinary array of amenities from pools to casinos, concert halls to gourmet restaurants. And bars. Lots of bars.
    • Conservation and environmental protection. It’s incredible what a community (and a cruise liner is a community) can do with just one environmental officer among its 800-person crew and staff. The Westerdam has recycling and water treatment capabilities you won’t find in towns or cities 10 times its population. The lesson for Virginia: Set environmental goals, measure your progress in achieving them, and then ratchet your goals higher as you succeed. By cutting energy consumption and waste disposal costs, conservation often pays its way.

    Please note: I do not believe in social engineering. I do not want to turn our towns and cities into replicas of cruise liners. I just think that there may be perspectives worth borrowing as we visualize the kinds of communities we want to build and live in.

    (Photo credit: Holland-America Line)


  • Washed up from Sea: Bacon’s Rebellion

    Well, better late than never. I didn’t get back from vacation until late Sunday night, and I’ve had a devil of a time getting the e-zine published. But it is at last: the March 21, 2007, edition.

    Earthship Westerdam
    The Westerdam isn’t as self-contained as a spaceship, but it’s as close as anything you’ll find on the planet. Virginians have much to learn from the cruise liner about sustainable human settlement patterns.
    by James A. Bacon

    Tunnel Vision
    A shovel in the ground early in 2008 is the right answer for the Rail to Dulles project.
    by Doug Koelemay

    Size Really Doesn’t Matter
    Yes, the world would be better off if everyone drove smaller, fuel-efficient, non-polluting cars. But even small cars can’t solve traffic congestion. Only functional human settlement patterns can do that.
    by E M Risse

    HOT to Trot
    A decade of data from southern California proves that HOT lanes provide time-sensitive drivers, regardless of income, an alternative to driving in congestion. Virginia, let’s get moving!
    by Geoff Segal

    Politics with a Capital “P”
    The Republicans’ transportation bill is a farce but fighting it is a political loser. Gov. Kaine ought to sign it and move on to other issues.
    by Barnie Day

    Nice & Curious Questions: From Smarts to Smokers: How the Old Dominion Rates
    by Edwin S. Clay III and Patricia Bangs

    Road to Ruin: Doing It Their Way
    Since 1932, Henrico County has been building and maintaining its own roads. Local officials like the arrangement, but it’s not clear whether driving conditions are any better as a result.
    by Peter Galuszka


  • “10 to 15 Percent Off the Top”

    Gov. Timothy M. Kaine has introduced a new argument into the debate over the Republican transportation package: The cost of collecting the fees and taxes proposed by the General Assembly could run $80 million a year.

    Reports Tom Holden with the Virginian-Pilot: “Kaine said administrative costs accompany all forms of taxation, but the unusually large number of fees associated with the transportation bill could take ’10 to 15 percent’ off the top of the roughly $800 million raised statewide.”

    If the Governor’s “back of the envelope” calculations are close to correct — it will be interesting to see how vigorously the Republicans contest his numbers — the high cost of collecting the revenues constitute one more reason for killing the transportation-financing scheme.

    In an address to the Hampton Roads Partnership, Kaine also said he would likely propose more than 100 amendments to fix “technical and some glaring” mistakes in the bill. According to Holden, the Governor predicted that none of the proposed changes would kill the bill.


  • Virginia Scores Again: Top Pro-Business State in U.S.

    Virginia’s basketball teams can’t seem to make it to the top of any list, but the Old Dominion scores where it really counts. Pollina Corporate Real Estate Inc., a Chicago-based corporate relocation firm, has ranked Virginia No. 1 in its annual study, “Top Ten Pro-Business States: America’s Economy in the 21st Century.” (Pollina helped Forbes compile its “best states for business” ranking, which also rated Virginia at the top of the heap.)

    What I find interesting is that Virginia is part of a very dynamic region: the south Atlantic coast. South Carolina ranks 2, Florida 3, North Carolina 4, Alabama 8 and Georgia 9. That suggests to me that something bigger is at work than individual state policies. I believe that there is a deep-rooted cultural attitude in this part of the country that regards business as a positive force to be boosted, not a negative one to be curtailed.

    In support of that hypothesis, I would quote James Leaman, president of the Virginia AFL-CIO, whom the Associated Press contacted for a reaction to the news.

    [Leaman] said kudos for the state’s business environment are good for labor. “We want Virginia to have a good business climate because without businesses, we don’t have unions,” he said in a telephone interview.

    A quote like that is more telling than any Chamber of Commerce pronouncement. Sure, business and labor in Virginia have their issues. But Leaman doesn’t perceive business as an enemy. He understands that in a globally competitive economy, we’re all in this together.


  • No Constitutional Right Against Retaliation

    The Supreme Court will hear a property rights case out of Wyoming that some in my libertarian cohort believe could be worse than Kelo.

    …in 1993…[Robbins] bought a ranch in Wyoming, not knowing that the previous owner had agreed to give the Bureau of Land Management an easement over the land. BLM agents, however, had neglected to record the easement, so when the purchase went through, Robbins got the land free and clear.

    Realizing their mistake, the agents ordered Robbins to sign over the easement, and when he refused, they grew belligerent. โ€œThe federal government doesnโ€™t negotiate,โ€ one official told him. Instead, they promised that Robbinsโ€™ refusal would โ€œcome to warโ€ and that they would give him a โ€œhardball education.โ€ Then they began a vendetta against him that would last to the present day.

    They cancelled his right of way over government-owned land, repeatedly harassed the guests at his ranch, cited him for minor infractions while letting similar violations by his neighbors go unnoticed, and brought him up on criminal charges of interfering with federal agents during their duties. The jury acquitted him after deliberating for less than 30 minutes.

    But here’s what really has some folks up in arms:

    After enduring years of such treatment, Robbins sued, arguing, among other things, that the BLM agents had violated his Fifth Amendment right to exclude others from his property. The trial court and the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit agreed, but the government asked the Supreme Court to reverse in Wilkie v. Robbins. โ€œNo court,โ€ said Solicitor General Paul Clement in his brief, has โ€œever recognized a constitutional right against retaliation . . . in the context of property rights.โ€

    This will be one to watch.


  • The One Consistent Principle in the Transportation Debate: Make the Other Guy Pay

    Here’s the latest from Examiner.com: Gov. Timothy M. Kaine has vowed to block a facet of the Republican transportation plan that would impose a tax of $.25 per $100 of assessed value on commercial real estate in Northern Virginia. The tax, which has sparked heavy opposition from local governments and business interests, is a “non-starter,” the Governor says. “Apartment building owners are very concerned about that because it would mean rent increases for many Virginians. It would have a devastating effect on affordable housing.โ€

    You gotta love that NoVa business community. Those guys have never seen a tax hike they didn’t like — unless they have to pay it. Then they suddenly become concerned about the impact of the taxes — not on them, the magnanimous souls, but on the little guy.

    As far as taxes go, the tax on commercial real estate in NoVa is relatively painless. The greatest part falls upon the major commercial tenants such as the federal government and government contractors who can pass on their costs to the federal government. Sounds perfectly reasonable to me. But some sliver of that tax would get passed on to apartment dwellers, and the Governor finds the prospect of higher rents to be unacceptable.

    By contrast, Gov. Kaine does not find anything especially objectionable about higher motor vehicle sales taxes ($361 million in 2008), auto insurance premiums ($110 million) and auto registration fees ($108 million), all of which are included in his currently favored road-funding package.

    Could someone please explain how paying higher rent is any more onerous than paying higher sales taxes, insurance premiums and auto registration fees? It all comes out of the same pocket. (As an aside: Is anyone besides me concerned about making auto insurance more unaffordable? Do we really want more people driving around without car insurance?)

    The one principle that neither the NoVa business lobbyists nor Gov. Kaine seems willing to articulate is this: users should pay. Instead of taxing people for owning property, purchasing cars, registering their cars or buying auto insurance, we should require them to pay on the basis of how much they drive and when they drive.