• IT WILL TAKE A LOT MORE THAN LINT

    In the Baconโ€™s Rebellion Blog post “Here, Take My Lint” of 10 August, Jim Bacon profiles the current debate on the role of the Hampton Roads Transportation Authority (HRTA) in achieving Mobility and Access in the Hampton roads New Urban Region.

    In Peter Galuszkaโ€™s Baconโ€™s Rebellion News Service story “Fizzled Launch” and in Jim Baconโ€™s 14 August Blog post “A Stumbling Start” further details of the status of HRTA emerge.

    In a 15 August Blog post Jim Bacon examines “The Conservative Backlash Grows” over the legislation that established HRTA and gave a similar Agency, similar powers in the northern part of Virginia. Jim provides links to six news stories on the topic. Something must be important here to spend all this ink. Or it there?

    The issue being discussed is how to raise money for transportation facilities. The debate rages in spite of the fact that more money, no matter how much is raised or from what source it comes, if spent for more of the things Agencies have spent money for in the past โ€“ primarily roadways for Large Private vehicles โ€“ such new facilities will only make the Mobility and Access Crisis worse in both the Hampton Roads New Urban Region and the Virginia portion of the National Capital Subregion.

    As large an issue as this is, there is a bigger one.

    As reported in Jim Baconโ€™s “Here, Take My Lint” story, George Donley, an “ordinary citizen,” told a 9 August public hearing by HRTA that he had only “lint” left to contribute to the functions of government. Donleyโ€™s plea made for a good quote for the public hearing story in MainStream Media and it caught Jim Baconโ€™s eye.

    A citizen who has the wherewith all to get to a hearing and the ability to make a public statement saying he has only lint and that this foolishness would be newsworthy is a tragedy of epic proportions.

    Citizens may not, for good reason, approve of what government Agencies are doing with the money they are now getting or where these Agencies plan to get more money in the future. However, the reality is that it is “the public,” “the Commons” that is running on empty. Those in the top one half of the economic food chain are spending their childrenโ€™s and grandchildrenโ€™s future.

    It will take vastly more taxes, vastly higher fees and vastly greater amounts of volunteer and sweat equity devoted to public, common efforts (rather than private, self-serving efforts) to create safe and secure Households, Dooryards, Clusters, Neighborhoods, Villages, Communities and New Urban Regions much less safe and secure nation-states.

    Contemporary Civilization is running on fumes. There is a Mobility and Access Crisis, an Affordable and Accessible Housing Crisis and a Helter Skelter Crisis directly related to dysfunctional human settlement patterns.

    The well respected commentator “Anon 12:18” states the issue well (although that may not have been his intent) in a comment under “The Conservative Backlash Grows”:

    “The problem is that no taxes, no new spending is not a principle. It’s a slogan. … A promise to never ever raise taxes, to hold spending to an artificial goal, simply sets up an impossible goal.”

    Bridges are falling down. Lenders are packaging debt and selling it as a speculative investment / asset. Nation-states are tearing down forests to grow sugar to burn in Large, Private Vehicles. The temperature is rising faster than anyone expected a few years ago and the US of A is leading the world in the production of Greenhouse gas and buying everything China and India can produce regardless of health, safety or economic concerns.

    There is staggering private debt, mortgages are being forclosed, credit is shrinking. There is a huge balance of payments deficit, two wars and a federal government that took a 50.1% vote as a mandate and has demonstrated more incompetence and corruption than the U. S. Grantโ€™s administration โ€“ the cannot even rebuild after a hurricane. There is a widening Wealth Gap that threatens free markets and democracy…

    In the face of this fat, self-serving citizens get press quotes for saying they have noting to give but lint?

    Humans has built a technology based civilization that is hugely expensive yet well fed citizens who enjoy โ€“ for now โ€“ unprecedented freedom and luxury and champion ever more private rights are not willing to accept public responsibilities.

    Governance practitioners, in fear of losing their jobs, scramble to see who they need to appease and subsidize โ€“ cotton farmers, oil refiners, autonomobile makers — to keep the ship up for a few more years…

    Those who only have lint to give better save in for their life jackets.

    EMR


  • At Last, a Political Thriller that Libertarians Can Love

    If Jim Bowden pens political potboilers reflecting the perspective of the evangelical wing of the conservative movement (See โ€œAt Last, a Political-Thriller that Cultural Conservatives Can Loveโ€), Matt Carson reflects the libertarian wing. In his slender, self-published novel, โ€œOn a Hill They Call Capital,โ€ Carson places a gang of wise-cracking, tobacco-chewing good olโ€™ boys from Rappahannock County at the center of a plot to spark a second American revolution.

    In the world of Matt Carson, president of a Warrenton web development firm, government has become the leviathan state. The governing class, in the words of Ronald Reagan, has taken on the attitude, โ€œIf it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it.โ€ In a post 9/11 twist, government doesnโ€™t threaten only economic liberties, it undermines their civil liberties. To Carson, the Patriot Act aims a double-barreled, sawed-off shotgun at the Bill of Rights.

    In this fast-paced novel, Cat, a bubba philosopher king, organizes his beer-drinking buddies into a conspiratorial brotherhood they name the Grandsons of Liberty. Launching a night-time raid into Washington, D.C., reminiscent of the Boston Tea Party, they hurl PCs out of the windows of the Internal Revenue Service headquarters building. As a follow-up, they roam the East Coast abducting Congressmen, whom they bring back to their compound in the Virginia hills and hold in a redneck re-education camp. Unlike real bad guys, though, the Grandsons of Liberty wouldnโ€™t hurt a flea.

    โ€œOn a Hill They Call Capitalโ€ has a breezy, humorous style full of allusions to popular culture, but it mines a deep vein of disenchantment with the political system. As Carson writes:

    โ€œWe wanted to do something to make a real and lasting difference. Cat was right, enough bitching, we didnโ€™t want to live the rest of our lives in fear of the tyrants in DC. Weโ€™d voted, some of us had written letters, weโ€™d talked to our friends and families โ€“ Spanky even called in to John Stewart. Ultimately, we had tried the routes available to us and no inkling of change was in sight โ€“ so now were going to hold them accountable.โ€

    In the fictional world of the novelist, the grand-standing stunts of Cat and his red-clay compadres succeed in igniting the popular imagination. If onlyโ€ฆ In the real world, the media would portray Carsonโ€™s rollicking revolutionaries as deluded and dangerous fanatics, and the authorities would hunt them down like terrorists. In the real world, the majority of the population would be too stupefied by government-engineered wealth transfers or too consumed by mortgages, car payments and other obligations to ever heed the call. In the real world, the American population is too beset by historical amnesia for the name โ€œGrandsons of Libertyโ€ to resonate with them in any way. Americans are incapable of launching the kind up uprising that Carson imagines. But, hey, itโ€™s fun to fantasize that a few daring men might try.

    To read more about the book, visit the website at http://www.grandsonsofliberty.us/.


  • Tax Hikers of the World Unite

    House Speaker Bill Howell (R-Fredericksburg) announced the other day that he will be the campaign chairman for Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee.

    Howell said that he had “been looking about, and not really being 100 percent sold on a lot of people.” But when he heard Huckabee speak he was “really very impressed with not only his message and vision but his delivery.”

    Howell and Huckabee talked after the speech and the rest is history as they say–Howell didn’t waste any time in signing up to be Huckabee’s point man in Virginia.

    So could there be more to the mutual attraction between Howell and Huckabee?

    Both Howell and Huckabee have campaigned as politicians that can be relied to hold the line on taxes and smaller government.

    Here in Virginia, we learned the hard way that Howell speaks from both sides of his mouth, professing to be a fiscal conservative while enabling unprecedented spending increases, like the 2004 tax hike that led to a 20% increase in spending in the 2005-2007 budget. This year, Howell has been the chief architect behind HB3202, which contains a series of new taxes, unelected/unaccounted regional authorities, and traffic abuser fees that are about to generate a voter revolt.

    But what about Huckabee’s record? The following YouTube ad puts things in a clear perspective on what’s behind the Howell/Huckabee mutual admiration. It’s simple, folks: They both like spending your money…

    Powered by ScribeFire.


  • At Last, a Political Thriller that Cultural Conservatives Can Love

    Not long ago I watched a piece of forgettable piece of Hollywood drivel in which the bad guys, a bunch of corporate tycoons and rogue CIA goons, were undermining democracy and killing people with impunity. Sigh. Five years after 9/11, the lefties in La La Land have yet to produce a thriller in which the villains are Islamic terrorists. The United States may be engaged in a war with people who behead their captives on videotape and kill indiscriminately with truck bombs but in the mindset of tinsel town, the biggest threat to the world isnโ€™t al Qaeda or nuclear-armed mullahs, itโ€™s environment-raping businessmen, murderous members of the military and power-hungry Southern Senators reading from the Jerry Falwell playbook.

    If youโ€™re tired of the predictable Hollywood formula, then hereโ€™s a fresh one for you: Drug Lords and Islamists have united to attack the United States. Narco-terrorists are besieging the country. A government run by namby-pamby liberals is powerless to halt the slide into anarchy. Only a handful of good guys โ€“ a group of patriotic officers and computer programmers within the intelligence community โ€“ can save the country.

    That summarizes the plot of Rosetta 6.2, a self-published novel by James Atticus Bowden, a military futurist and frequent contributor to the Baconโ€™s Rebellion blog and e-zine. Bowden is a gifted writer. Although the book could have benefited from the advice of a professional book editor โ€“ pick up the pacing over here, flesh out the plot over there โ€“ Rosetta 6.2 is a compelling read. I found myself reaching eagerly for the paperback volume on my bedside table every evening until I finished it.

    Early in Rosetta 6.2, Bowden pulls in the reader with โ€œthe mystery of the rose cinquefoilโ€ โ€“ an inscrutable insignia that pops up on the Internet. As the novel moves along, it sucks in the reader with the thrust and counter-thrust between the good guys, who are on the run, and the cyber-savvy narco-terrorists determined to destroy them. Bowden does a creditable job with character development, peopling his book with distinct and memorable individuals, many of them Evangelical Christians like himself, and builds an effective sub-plot around Jack, an agnostic NASA computer programmer, and his growing respect for his God-fearing companions.

    The plot culminates with the execution of a hair-raising plan to destroy the Narco-terrorists. Bowden creates a fascinating scenario, but Iโ€™m not sure that it has the impact on the reader that he intends. Indeed, even as one who not infrequently finds himself on the same side of the political divide as Bowden, I found his solution to the Narco-terrorist threat to be scary โ€“ the very kind of potentially totalitarian, civil rights-trampling scheme executed by rogue militarists and fanatical Christians that jangle the nerves of paranoid Hollywood liberals. I wouldnโ€™t be surprised if some lefty script writer one day purloins the Rosetta 6.2 plot and flips it to re-fashion Bowdenโ€™s heroes from good guys into deluded and dangerous fanatics!

    Bowden has assumed a high profile in the Republican Party politics of Hampton Roads in recent years. Admire him or loathe him, youโ€™ll gain insight into his worldview โ€“ and that of his conservative, Evangelical confreres โ€“ by reading Rosetta 6.2. You can order the book either through Amazon.com or by visiting his website, http://www.americancivilization.net/.


  • NOTE FOR GROVETON

    Dear Groveton:

    Unlike Jim B, I do not have a way to contact you other than via BRB.

    I am with you 100% on the new “Party” and the guidelines make good sense on first reading.

    In our household, my wife and partner manages the funds so I cannot commit a dollar amount at this time. Perhaps 50% of our annual book royalites?

    On a second topic: Thank you for test driving some of the terms in GLOSSARY. You are getting a good grasp of what Funcamental Change will mean.

    Do not be dissuaded by sillyness like 2% shared-vehicle system potential. In a Balanced Community with Villages served by a high capacity system it would be closer to 90%. Even in a lower intensity Balanced Community the number would exceed 50%.

    There are two things driving down the conventional wisdom perception.

    One a shared vehicle system served Village the intensity made possible by the system converts many vehicle trips to pedestrian trips. We have pointed this out in most of our long columns on shared vehicle systems.

    Second the whole conception of what a household is and how it obtains Mobility and Access has not been updated in traffic generation models.

    I will be posting one more note on the density string when we have time but wanted to get a word to you before heading for the Farmers Market and then the Core for a chained trip with 9 stops. One way we cut VMT.

    Keep up the good work…

    EMR


  • The Apogee of the Auto-Centric Beach Resort

    Ugh, so much for sitting on a shady, breezy porch and sipping Margaritas! The Bacon family and friends are spending the night in Morehead City, N.C., before heading to Ocracoke. Last night was insufferably hot and humid, relieved only by a 20 mph breeze coming off the sound. Today, the temperature read 77 degrees — at 6 a.m.! Looks like another day in the sauna.

    Morehead City is a poster child for dysfunctional human settlement patterns. There is the germ of a quaint downtown business district and residential area in the historic area on the waterfront. The streets are lined with cool, wind-beaten trees with gnarly branches — someone said they were a kind of oak, but I have no idea if that’s accurate — distinguishes Morehead City from Virginia burgs of its size. But most of the town, from what we have seen, consists of an endless commercial strip running along state highway 70. Mile after mile of shopping centers and big boxes.

    A few miles down the coast lies Beaufort, an ante-bellum port city, with a larger, better preserved historic district. Beaufort is truly charming. Although Beaufort’s historical core, too, has been swallowed by dreck, the dreck is at least relieved by an abundance of colorful crape myrtle trees. Across the sound, is Atlantic Beach. Beautiful beach but godawful human settlement patterns: an endless succession of residential and commericial pods strung along a single coastal road. Forget walking anywhere, riding your bike or even riding a golf cart. Virtually the entire North Carolina coast — Ocracoke Island excepted — represents the apogee of the auto-centric beach resort.

    Argh! My goal for the day is to head to historic Beaufort, camp out at one of those little restaurants on the waterfront, drink Coronas and finish reading “The Elegant Universe.” I suspect, though, that my wife may have other plans in mind.


  • Off to Ocracoke

    So long, folks, it’s off to Ocracoke for the Bacon family. If there’s wireless Internet access, I’ll have a few things to post. If not, you won’t hear from me for 10 days. Enjoy sweltering in the 100-degree heat. I’ll be thinkin’ of ya as I’m sitting in the shade and sipping Margaritas.


  • What’s the Abuser Fee for This One?

    German physicists say they have broken the speed of light.


  • More on Smart Grids

    Smart grids that allow users to get real-time pricing for the electricity they buy is gaining some federal support:

    Both the House and Senate versions of the pending energy bill encourage the use of smart grid technology, but don’t mandate it. Both call for an updated study of the subject. More significantly, the House bill authorizes a Smart Grid matching grant, which could go to either the utilities or the customers, with total funding of $2.25 billion through 2012. That’s at least a start towards the $14 to $26 billion the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission estimates it would cost to install the technology nationwide.

    Not surprisingly, most of the early adopters are west coast utilities, who labor under growing demand, shrinking supply and a series of greenhouse emissions mandates. But a couple of east coast companies are looking at the smart grid idea, too, including Baltimore Gas & Electric and PEPCO.

    What are the chances for a smart grid test in Virginia? There are some legislative hurdles, plus plain, old-fashioned inertia:

    …for smart grid technology to succeed, states must lift regulatory barriers to allow variable rates, and more utilities must take the plunge.”

    In other words, don’t hold your breath waiting for the General Assembly or Virginia Power to make the leap.


  • Does This Strike Anyone as Ghoulish?

    The administrators of the Hokie Spirit Fund have announced how they plan to distribute some $7.5 million to Virginia Tech’s mass shooting victims and their families. Reports Matthew Bowers with the Virginian-Pilot:

    Families of those killed will be eligible for $180,000 in cash, or the same amount in a combination of cash and fully or partly endowed scholarships in the names of victims. … Those injured could receive $40,000 or $90,000, depending on how long they were hospitalized, plus free tuition to complete their studies at Virginia Tech. … Others injured, and those who escaped injury but were in the Norris Hall classrooms involved in the shootings, can receive free tuition or a $10,000 cash payment.

    Perhaps someone can explain to me, what is the purpose of reimbursing families for the loss of their children to the tune of $180,000? I am totally sympathetic to the families of victims for the grief they feel. But if any one of my three children died in such a horror, I can’t imagine that any amount of money would console me. I would have no desire for the money. (I could use it, trust me, but I wouldn’t want it.)

    In fairness, the distribution protocol does allow recipients to endow scholarships in the names of victims. But the tenor of article suggests that a goodly number of people think $180,000 is not enough. What’s that all about? And what’s this about giving $10,000 to people who survived the shootings? Sure, they experienced a horror, but they weren’t even injured. Nobody’s giving cash pay-outs to the soldiers returning from Iraq.

    This seems to be part of a larger phenomenon, the spread of the entitlement mentality: If something bad happens, I’m entitled to compensation, regardless of the circumstances, regardless of who pays. As the Washington Post reports:

    Some slain students’ relatives, who plan to meet this weekend, appeared unimpressed by Feinberg’s decision on distribution of the fund. “It was expected. We’ve got to take a look at it and decide if there is going to be a response or not,” said Joseph Samaha of Centreville, whose daughter Reema was killed in Norris Hall.

    The announcement is another step in the tense discussions between state officials and some family members over how much money they should receive to compensate them for their losses and cover outstanding bills.

    Several relatives of slain and wounded Virginia Tech students, who believe that the school was negligent in its response to the tragedy, have said they think they are entitled to more money, in addition to the disbursements from the Hokie Spirit Memorial Fund. Some have suggested a taxpayer-financed compensation fund, which Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) and Virginia legislators said they will consider.

    Bottom line: Something horrible happened to my kid, and somebody is going to pay — even if they had nothing to do with it. Thus, society is held collectively responsible for the acts of a madman.


  • Kaine to Unveil Scaled Down Pre-K Initiative

    Gov. Timothy M. Kaine will roll out his pre-K education program at an education summit today. Instead of making it universal, a proposal that could cost $300 million a year (or way more, depending on whom you believe; see “Universal Pre-K: $300 Million a Year or $850 Million a Year?”), he will settle for an expansion of the Virginia Preschool Initiative, reports Christina Nuckols with the Virginian-Pilot.

    Kaine’s revised proposal would increase the number of children from low-income households eligible for the program from 17,500 to 30,000, at a cost of roughly $75 million a year by 2012.

    Kaine’s move is a shrewd one. First, by downscaling his plan, the Governor shows that he is cognizant of the budget difficulties Virginia will face in the next two-year budget; $75 million looks like chump change compared to the $300 million that he had been talking about. Second, the money will be concentrated on children — low-income, at risk — whom studies show will get the most benefit from pre-schooling. In other words, he’s focusing funds where he can get the most bang for the buck.

    Dueling experts will debate the efficacy of pre-K. Kaine will roll out his experts, including a Nobel prize-winning economist, to argue that the money will be well spent. Opponents will roll out their experts showing that the positive effects last only a few years. In all likelihood, the debate will be inconclusive. The outcome will be decided by politics, not the evidence.

    I’d ask only one thing: If the General Assembly passes this legislation, set up a mechanism to track the performance of children enrolled in the program through high school, at the very least. Let’s demonstrate definitively that the program either does or does not generate the positive Return on Investment — higher academic performance, lower drop-out rates, fewer kids convicted of crimes, less welfare dependency, etc. — that proponents claim it will. Let’s not come back in 15 years and have the same debate in the absence of authoritative data to settle it.


  • Propagating the Big Lie

    As reported in today’s Washington Times (“GOP hit hard on road plan“), House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith (R-Salem) had this to say about the constitutionality of HB3202:

    “The facts are that some of us raised the question and we were assured by the [attorney general’s] staff that it was constitutional”

    This claim has often been repeated by the likes of Speaker Howell, Delegates Albo, Rust and a bunch of other legislators who are now trying to justify their vote in favor of HB 3202, in the face of a mounting statewide voter revolt.

    Unfortunately, this is nothing more than an often repeated Big Lie. As shown in the email received by one of the plaintiffs in the lawsuit against HB 3202, AG Bob McDonnell responded to the Robert Dean’s inquiry by stating that his office has issued no such formal opinion.

    From: [email protected]
    Subject: RE: Constitutionality of transportation plan…
    Date: May 2, 2007 12:41:31 PM EDT
    To: robertkdean@XXXXXX.XXX

    Robert, thanks for your inquiry. No formal opinion of the Attorney general has been issued on constitutional questions relating to HB 3202. Formal opinions are the ones that are public and used to clarify the law. These are all available on our website at http://www.blogger.com/%3Chttp://www.vaag.com%3E. There has been informal advice rendered to several clients of this office upon request, which as you know I am bound by the attorney client privilege to keep confidential. I am unsure what opinion copy was being referred to last night. Thank You for your interest. (emphasis added)

    Given this fact, how can anyone vote for politicians who continue to propagate lies and misinformation?

    Powered by ScribeFire.


  • The Conservative Backlash Grows

    Senior Republican legislators justified the funding provisions of the Comprehensive Transportation Funding and Reform act of 2007 on the grounds that they had to show voters that they were “doing something” to tackle traffic congestion. Otherwise, they said, they were at risk of losing several Northern Virginia seats in the General Assembly. After the uproar over Abuser Fees, challenges to the constitutionality of several aspects of the legislation and, now, an overt revolt of fiscal conservatives, Northern Virginia Republicans could still be at risk.

    At a Tuesday press conference, a group of conservative activists chastised the GOP’s legislative leadership and vowed to withhold their support in the fall elections, even if it meant electing Democrats.

    “This bill is a dramatic policy failure,” said John Taylor, president of the Virginia Institute for Public Policy at a press conference Tuesday. “We believe it is unconstitutional and demonstrated a political ineptness that is stunning in an election year. The Republican grass roots needs to ask their leadership, ‘What were you thinking?’ “

    Taylor was joined by other foes of higher taxes, including Paul Jost, chairman of the Virginia Club for Growth. The Mainstream Media doesn’t normally pay much attention to the public policy prescriptions of Taylor and his friends, whom they typically write off as fringe radicals, but it’s big news any time anybody bashes the General Assembly’s GOP leadership, so the press attended the press conference in force.

    Washington Post
    Richmond Times-Dispatch
    Norfolk Virginian-Pilot
    Fredericksburg Free Lance-Star
    Washington Times
    Associated Press

    J. Scott Leake, a spokesman for the Senate Republican leadership, defended the legislators. “It’s very easy to be against things,” he said. “It’s a lot harder to come up with your own solutions. Replacing who wields the gavel in the legislature is not going to build any more roads or ease any congestion.”

    Fair point. But that’s no excuse for violating a fundamental precepts of fiscal conservatism: making taxes transparent to taxpayers. What I find particularly disturbing about the actions of GOP leaders this year was their willingness to raise revenues as long as they could avoid calling it a “statewide tax hike.” Fees are OK, penalties are OK, a welter of regional tax hikes are OK. In other words, the GOP leaders wanted to have their cake and eat it, too. They wanted to say that they managed to raise revenues without anyone really noticing.

    I’m sorry, but that’s just a farce. Not only is it bad policy, it insults the voters — especially fiscal conservatives. Conservatives, the backbone of the Republican Party, are incredibly dispirited today. A decade of GOP control over the General Assembly has seen nothing but steady increases in spending and taxes. Former Republicans, like myself, are deserting the Party in droves. We would rather call ourselves independents than align ourselves with the Republican brand of Business As Usual, tax-and-spend politics. What separates Republicans from Democrats is not the principle of fiscal conservatism — both parties give lip service to that principle only to violate it. What separates them is their differing constituencies — the demographic and interest groups to whom they pay their boodle.

    Sorry, but that’s not what we’re looking for in our elected leaders.


  • Universal Pre-K: $300 Million a Year or $850 Million a Year?

    Chris Braunlich, a vice president of the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy, a regular contributor to the Bacon’s Rebellion e-zine and a candidate for the Fairfax County School board, recently issued the following statement about Gov. Timothy M. Kaine’s universal pre-k initiative. I cannot improve upon it, so I reproduce it here nearly in full.

    As Governor Tim Kaine prepares to launch his program for universal preschool, it is worthwhile to underscore some of the statistics coming from a recent study by economist Robert Lynch for the Economic Policy Institute – an organization advocating universal preschool.

    In his study, Dr. Lynch examined the costs and benefits of high quality preschool programs and their positive impact over time on federal and state budgets, crime costs, and earnings. Among his findings specifically for Virginia:

  • Quality universal pre-k will cost $6,000 per child. This is 20 percent higher than Governor Kaine’s estimate of $5,000, but is in line with most costs around the country. The “Start Strong Council” notes a current cost of $7,820 per child for full-time licensed child care.
  • The annual cost of a fully-phased in universal pre-k program in 2008 will be $847 million. This exceeds Governor Kaine’s projections by more than a half billion dollars.
  • It will take 11 years for the program to start paying for itself in societal benefits. These benefits include reduced crime costs, increased earnings of participating children and adults, and a greater commitment to marriage.
  • It will take 24 years for the program to pay for itself in budget benefits alone.
  • Advocates for universal preschool base their claims for a “business case” on three long-term longitudinal studies. But each of those studies involved only highly at-risk students who were massively economically disadvantaged and at risk for retarded intellectual functioning. The programs involved frequently began at four months of age and included free medical care, home visitations, health screening, speech therapy and other social services.

    To extrapolate those students and those services to the general population and assume the same benefits as justification for a universal program is disingenuous at best.

    Before the Virginia General Assembly commits to a new state entitlement program, it should carefully consider the real costs and the questionable benefits — including those costs likely to be imposed on local governments as part of the shared cost.


  • A Stumbling Start

    There have been two big stories surrounding the first meetings of the Hampton Roads Transportation Authority (HRTA). The Mainstream Media did a good job of covering one of the big stories: the vociferous protestations of citizens opposed to tax increases for roads they may never use. But Peter Galuszka, writing for Bacon’s Rebellion’s Road to Ruin project, is the only reporter to fully flesh out other one: The HRTA has gotten off to a stumbling start.

    The HRTA has no director, no staff, and no office to put a staff if it had one. The organization is not remotely prepared to execute the job it was tasked to do.

    While the HRTA approved last week a batch of taxes and fees capable of raising an estimated $168 million a year, it delayed the date the levies go into effect until April 2008, ostensibly to give the General Assembly an opportunity to fix the tax mix that local residents found so unfair. Until the money starts rolling in, nearly a year after the legislation was passed, the HRTA will have to limp along with staff and administrative leadership contributed by the Hampton Roads Planning District Commission, which has not been relieved of its normal duties.

    While planning district staff may be able to keep HRTA meetings running on schedule, they have neither the time nor the expertise to do the HRTA’s job. That job, as Galuszka points out in “Fizzled Launch,” entails a lot more than collecting tax monies and paying contractors to build roads. All six of the mega-projects to be constructed will be financed most likely by means of public-private partnerships, using a mixture of public funding and toll financing. Someone has to define the scope of the projects, negotiate complex contracts with the private-sector partners, and make sure the private-sector partners are doing what they promised.

    For purposes of comparison, look at the difficulty the Commonwealth has had negotiating a contract to build the Rail-to-Dulles project — a contract that outside observers say may leave the state liable for significant cost overruns. (See “The Phase 1 Contract: Read It and Weep.”)

    The HRTA launch has already fizzled. Let us pray that the organization does not compound its problems by trying to negotiate complex public-private partnership deals on the cheap just to show the public that someone is “doing something.”

    I dispute the value of several of the mega-projects that the HTRA is tasked with building. (More on that later.) But the fix is in. If we’re going to build them, let’s do the best job we can. The transportation authority needs to build a team with the skill sets to craft and administer public-private partnerships, and it needs to do so quickly. If construction costs continue escalating at the rate of six percent per year, every year of delay on $9 billion in projects will cost Hampton Roads taxpayers and toll payers some $50 million a year.