Koelemay's Kosmos

Doug Koelemay


 

53, 25, 21

Those digits show the percentage of economic growth accounted for by technology compared to labor and capital. But technological progress, Virginians now understand, does not just happen.


 

The hoary arguments of capital vs. labor that dominated the economic growth debate of the 20th century can be retired now. It's a new millenium, even in the Commonwealth. The state AFL-CIO dropped right-to-work on its candidate questionnaire sometime ago. Though cold and timid skeptics may try to dismiss the numbers or the methodologies involved, technological progress has emerged as the single most important driver of economic growth. That's the core agenda for any Virginia governor and General Assembly if the Commonwealth is to rise above what some describe as a gathering storm of international competition.

 

The numbers come from the Alliance for Science & Technology Research in America (ASTRA), which suggests 53 percent of economic growth in the United States can be attributed to its technological progress. ASTRA found that advances in labor contribute 25 percent and capital just 21 percent. ASTRA Chairman Dr. Mary Good, who is also the Dean of the School of Information Science at the University of Arkansas and a presidential science advisor, talked about those numbers and their implications for the future earlier this month at the Accelerating Innovation Foundation Conference in Washington, D.C.

 

"The future demands talent, investment and the right infrastructure," Dr. Good told attendees, "including physical environments and great conditions for business. But more than anything else, the future will reward technological progress."

 

ASTRA bills itself as a unique collaboration of individuals drawn from industry, professional and trade associations, universities and research centers to increase federal funding for the physical and mathematical sciences and engineering. It also backs initiatives in skilled workforce preparation, science education and basic industry research.

 

For its part, the Accelerating Innovation Foundation is an initiative of Luna Innovations Incorporated of Blacksburg. Luna is the business development brainchild of Dr. Kent Murphy, a former Virginia Tech engineering professor, to turn good ideas into successful commercial products and ventures. The foundation's inaugural conference in October was the beginning of efforts to widen the influence of Dr. Murphy's own bias to shake off "the false comfort of old assumptions" and learn to "prefer the possibilities of the future to the history of the past."

 

Much of the discussions were devoted to trends and barriers that show how difficult that is for Virginia and the United States right now. Dr. Charles Wessner of the National Academies reminded conference attendees that American leadership in science and innovation was not divinely ordained. The United States, he said, took advantage of circumstances in the second half of the 20th century to earn it and wrest leadership from Europe.

 

But industry in the U.S. now spends more on tort litigation that on R&D. Only 41 percent of U.S. eighth-graders have a math teacher who majored or is certified in math. China and India will graduate almost a million engineers this year: America will graduate 70,000. 

 

To continue to earn world leadership in innovation, United States Senator George Allen suggested, would take new investments in diverse talent, in facilities and in leadership, itself. "We have to include more funding and training for teachers so that students, particularly female, African-American and Latino students, find science and math more interesting and engaging."

 

Growing America's talent pool by providing scholarships and other incentives for new math and science teacher training is recommendation number one of a just completed study by the National Academies entitled "Rising Above the Gathering Storm." Increasing the numbers of well-trained people also increases the stream of scientific and technical innovations they produce. Increasing federal dollars for basic research is another recommendation. Streamlining visa and security requirements for international science, technology, engineering and math students is a third. Tax incentives to encourage research and innovation here is a fourth.

 

That there are dramatic results from economic development strategies that center on technological progress and a skilled workforce is clear. The Northern Virginia economy, for example, is a world leader in both and, as a result, drives job creation and income gains for Virginia. Technology leadership plus smart people attract capital. But even Northern Virginia businesses have to adjust to the twin challenges of globalization and innovation in a myriad of ways. Many purposely have built multi-national, multi-lingual work forces here. Others have created new jobs in markets where the science, technology and engineering talent pools are growing the fastest -- China, India, Taiwan and Australia.

 

But technology companies also are investing in the capabilities and promise of other parts of Virginia. Northern Virginia-based CGI-AMS announced late in October that it would invest $6 million in a software development and systems integration center in Russell County that could create 300 new jobs over the next 30 months. Parent CGI is among the largest independent IT and business process firms in North America with a $3 billion annualized run-rate.

 

CGI chose Southwest Virginia when it could have expanded anywhere in the U.S., Canada, Europe or Asia." The Russell County facility will be a key location to support business initiatives with federal, state and local government organizations, as well as commercial sector clients," said CGI-AMS President Donna Morea. "Our new facility represents our concrete commitment to developing a U.S. center of excellence with a focus on software engineering as part of our global delivery model."

 

Earlier this year EIT, Inc., a contract provider of electronic design and manufacturing services based near Dulles Airport, announced a $12 million investment to create up to 120 jobs in Danville. EIT was founded in 1977 by Joe T. May, an engineer who holds 18 patents. Chairman & CEO May also is a member of the Virginia House of Delegates and Chairman of both the House Science & Technology Committee and the Joint Commission on Technology & Science.

 

Why Southside as the best place to manufacture circuit boards with lead-free solder that meet stringent new international environmental requirements? Danville has a regional commitment to building a technology economy, noted Del. May, and a location central to EIT markets. There is a pro-business local government, the new Institute for Advanced Learning and Research, a Regional Center for Applied Technology and Training and a new broadband network. In May's words, Danville has broken "the language barrier of technology."

 

Part of the language of innovation and economic growth are the numbers 53-25-21. And if there is a growing "innovation gap" that needs attention, it shouldn't be a gap in Virginia's understanding of how fast and how thoroughly we need to respond to the challenges of the global, technologically driven future.

 

-- October 31, 2005

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact info

 

J. Douglas Koelemay

Managing Director

Qorvis Communications

8484 Westpark Drive

Suite 800

McLean, Virginia 22102

Phone: (703) 744-7800

Fax:    (703) 744-7994

Email:   dkoelemay@qorvis.com

 

Read his profile here.