Weighing
the Pig
The
idea of launching a "Marshall Plan for
Transportation" has its limitations, but you
have to give Steve Baril credit for taking the lead
on transportation funding when no one else will.
C.
Richard Cranwell, the gentleman from Vinton, had a
favorite admonishment to those who sometimes
confused motion with direction: “You
can’t fatten a pig by weighing it.”
(If
you don’t understand what he meant by that, skip
the rest of this column and go on to something else,
because you’re not going to understand what
follows either.)
In
the matter of transportation here in Virginia,
there is from our leaders, and our leader wannabes,
a hell of a lot of motion here lately, but very
little direction.
In
case you’ve been asleep, here’s the recap: Gov. Mark R. Warner, at least half the
legislature, Lt. Gov. Tim Kaine and Attorney General
Jerry Kilgore disavow new taxes and want to spend a
big piece of an anticipated surplus that could reach
$1 billion on specific, one-time highway projects.
John
Chichester, chairman of the Senate Finance
Committee, says ‘nothin’ doin, we’re not going
to put transportation funding into general fund
competition with things like education, law
enforcement, and the likes.’
Don’t
be fooled.
This
is not as one-sided as it looks. (A hint here: Don’t bet against
Chichester.)
Republican
Steve Baril, seeking the attorney general
nomination, recently took the strongest position of
any of the state-wide candidates—the strongest by
far—in his call for a "Marshall Plan for
Transportation" during a debate sponsored by
the Northern Virginia Republican Business Forum.
(I am restrained by space here, but I would
encourage you to read more about his thinking on
transportation at www.stevebaril.com)
If
Baril is, for the moment, out front on
transportation
--and he is, among the statewides—what
does informed opinion say about his proposals?
Well, that enthusiasm is restrained.
Ray
Pethtel probably knows more about transportation
than anyone in Virginia.
Pethtel, University Transportation Fellow at
Virginia Tech since 1994, and Associate Director of
Tech’s Center for Transportation Research, was
Virginia’s Transportation Commissioner from 1986
to 1994.
Says
he: “I think
it positive that Steve Baril is talking about
putting more revenue into transportation.
However, the reference to funding a billion-dollar
deficit by using “bonds, tolls, and general
funds” is highly problematic.
“First,
Virginia has stretched its ability to leverage
revenue through bonds—some think that Virginia has
stretched its leverage too far already.
We now owe $1.6 billion in payments for debt
service over the next six years and half of that
will come directly off the top of the construction
fund. If we
leverage too much, all we can do in the future is to
pay off the debts we incurred in the past.
Second, to sell bonds you must have a steady
and reliable stream of revenue to pay for them over
a 10-, 20-, or 30-year period.
If that revenue is to come from General Funds
(which is subject to appropriation by the General
Assembly every year) what other programs will be cut
and how can anyone be sure appropriation of those
General Funds to transportation will be a priority
every year?
“The
Virginia Transportation Act
(VTA) and Priority Transportation Acts were
premised in large part on the appropriate of General
Funds. Even
Governor Gilmore who had championed the VTA could
not recommend budgeting those funds at the end of
his administration. Those
funds had vanished into the economic downturn.
Virginia had to reduce its six year program
by $2 billion—much of it to fund VTA projects.
“PPTAs
(Public-Private Transportation Acts) are a good way
to build facilities that can be supported by tolls,
but Virginia’s transportation problems also
involve thousands of miles of open access primary,
secondary and urban roads that simply are not
possible to toll.
“These
are not new ideas—but they are one-shot, or
one-project, initiatives, not a long term
“Marshall Plan” solution to transportation
funding.”
Translation: Denial, deferral, delay is not direction.
Baril’s
thinking may not be the be-all, end-all that there
is on transportation, but it still leads the wannabe
pack, at least to my way of thinking.
Here’s
the thing—and there’s no way around this
one—it takes money—sustained money—to build
and maintain our roads, our highways and our
bridges. Sure,
we can keep weighing this pig, but at the end of the
day it takes money.
--
December 13, 2004
|