Koelemay's Kosmos

Doug Koelemay



 

 

Workforce Redux

How long does it take to grasp that smart, skilled workers are the key resource in a knowledge economy -- and to invest public resources accordingly?


Some Virginians were astounded in early December at news reports that concluded 44 percent of new jobs created in Virginia from 1990 to 2001 had been filled by immigrants. They shouldn't have been surprised, but they should feel chagrined that Virginia businesses, political leaders and educational institutions couldn't respond faster and more efficiently to secure more of these new job opportunities for Virginians. According to a new report from the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission (JLARC), regrettably, the Commonwealth still is not in a position to do much about it. New proposals from Gov. Mark R. Warner may change that.

 

More than 13 million immigrants came to the United States in the last decade, according to a Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University in Boston. Eight million joined the labor force, supplementing American workers in wage-sensitive jobs, but more impressively helping expand employment in highly skilled jobs that pay high wages, such as in the technology industry. The analysis shows nearly one in four held a technical, managerial or professional job. Immigrants also had an above-average share of the nation's jobs in engineering, computer science and the physical sciences.

 

In 1997, in the midst of the last boom, the State Council of Higher Education in Virginia (SCHEV) provided statistics that showed the number of graduates in engineering, science and technology majors at Virginia colleges and universities actually were declining. Strangely enough, the number of psychology graduates was growing, which seemed to indicate that Virginia was better prepared to deal with worry about the problem than to solve it.

 

The Northern Virginia Technology Council and Virginia's Center for Innovative Technology found in a survey of technology companies that 19,000 technology jobs that paid twice the average wage of other jobs in Virginia were going unfilled. Pressure began to build on the federal government to boost the number of H1-B professional visas issued to foreign workers, something the federal government eventually did.

 

The Commonwealth responded methodically, as is its habit. Then-Gov. George Allen convened a workforce study group only weeks before leaving office. The General Assembly, led by representatives, such as Sen. Charles Hawkins, R-Chatham, from regions with stubborn unemployment, pressed for comprehensive workforce reform in 1998. New legislation created the Virginia Workforce Council to provide strategic planning for overall workforce efforts. Policy advocates hoped the council would produce an accurate look at the shape of the Virginia workforce, a collective best judgment of what Virginia would need its workforce to look like in the future (and adjust that judgment regularly) and, most importantly, suggestions on how to get what Virginia needs in place in time.

 

The Virginia Community College System (VCCS) won the interagency battle to staff the Virginia Workforce Council and did create a new vice chancellor position for workforce. One of the initiatives that followed, through the leadership of Del. Jim Scott, D-Fairfax, was the Advantage Virginia Scholarship Program (AVIP), adopted and amended last in the 2001 session. Under that program, the Virginia Workforce Council would certify each year which jobs were in high demand in Virginia. Community colleges and universities, in turn, would inform the State Council on Higher Education in Virginia which of their two-year and four-year programs would qualify students for employment in those high-demand jobs. AVIP then would award annual scholarships to Virginians pursuing degrees in those programs.

 

For each year of a scholarship, the student recipient would agree to work one year in Virginia after graduating. If not, the scholarship would revert to a student loan that would be repaid. Finally, because the program would deliver qualified Virginia applicants to companies and institutions, it was expected that business would help capitalize the scholarship pool. As a financial bonus for the state, more jobs filled would mean more tax revenue for state and local governments. That was the theory.

 

The AVIP program still could help deliver qualified Virginians into Virginia jobs by connecting the dots in workforce development. Alas, good times, then budget problems, have kept the program from being funded. Moreover, the federal government countered with its own Workforce Investment Act reforms in 1998, which in the intervening years sidetracked additional progress by state government.

 

So fast-forward to 2002. The JLARC staff review released in November concluded that "Virginia lacks a coherent, coordinated system of workforce training" and that "22 state-administered workforce programs are fragmented and spread out among ten state agencies with no formal method for coordination." After five years and in dramatically different economic circumstances, the Commonwealth is still at square one, reorganized though it may be.

 

These programs represented about $255.8 million in federal, state and local funds in FY2002. Statistics in the JLARC study, moreover, show Virginia devoting 10 percent less to in workforce training programs in 2002 than in 1999 at the exact time economic slowdown and rising unemployment could be seen as demanding more effort. Both the federal and state governments are disinvesting. Federal dollars for Virginia workforce training programs are down $33.6 million in 2002 from 1999 levels. Commonwealth dollars are down $4.2 million in the same period. Is anyone putting in more funds? It turns out local governments in Virginia more than doubled resources dedicated to workforce training from $8.5 million in 1999 to $17.9 million this year.

 

The JLARC study, like other inquiries into workforce challenges, has a number of different ideas on how the Commonwealth can better organize, coordinate, administer and manage programs. On the laundry list are Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program partnerships with one-stop service centers, independent staff for the Virginia Workforce Council, minimum standards for training providers, evaluation measures for local workforce investment boards and one-stop service centers, even a new state agency for workforce training and development.

 

One could be highly creative and suggest that worker training programs be consolidated with education in one secretariat – call it Secretary for Education and Labor. The Secretary could be tasked with pulling down barriers between educational and training programs so an individual could move seamlessly through her or his life-long learning, job-changing experience. Why, for example, are the high school graduation and public college and university entrance requirements separate processes? The student is the same. Why are professional credentials and college degrees so separate and distinct? The future worker and current student are the same person. Why can an unemployed worker take advantage of new one-stop training services mandated under the Workforce Investment Act, but individuals coming off Temporary Assistance for Needy Families cannot? Moving citizens into high-wage, high-skill jobs is the same objective.

 

Suggesting a new secretariat for employment and worker training does not mean Commerce and Trade Secretary Michael Schewel isn't doing a good job. To the contrary, Secretary Schewel is considered to be one of the stars of the Warner administration. In fact, it is much more likely that workforce agency consolidations ahead will result in a Secretary of Commerce and Workforce. Such consolidations would help Secretary Schewel and the General Assembly not only achieve more efficiencies and effectiveness in workforce training programs, but also elevate the importance of human capital as an economic development strategy.

 

Governor Warner suggested last week that workforce training consolidation and reform will be part of his effort to make the most dramatic, sweeping changes in state government in 30 years. But the administration and Virginia General Assembly will miss the mark in 2003 if workforce training policy proceeds simply from the JLARC understanding of the challenge. The JLARC report suggests, "Developing and maintaining a quality workforce is one component of sustained economic development." Wrong.

 

In a knowledge economy, a quality workforce is the single most critical component for sustained economic development. Smart, skilled people are both drivers and magnets. Regardless of their sector in the service-driven economy, private businesses start with the same core objective – recruit and retain the best workers. The number of immigrants who helped build the economic future of the Commonwealth over the last decade provides just the latest proof.

 

-- December 9, 2002

 

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"Strangely enough, the number of psychology graduates was growing, which seemed to indicate that Virginia was better prepared to deal with worry about the problem than to solve it."