It's All on the Table

Joanna Hanks and Fred Williamson:


 

Williamson

Hanks

 

No Way to Run a Paved Road

      

The Commonwealth’s road building program is probably even more expensive than it appears. Why can’t VDOT apply the engineering advances found almost everywhere else?


 

The moment of truth is approaching. Voters in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads soon will either approve or reject tax increases to fund $12 billion in transportation improvement projects. But we can’t help wondering if the proposed cure for traffic congestion – years of orange barrels and other construction-related 

bottlenecks -- is worse than the disease.

 

“Time,” some smart guy once said, “is money.” If we consider the opportunity costs for all the drivers who negotiate the barrels and cones, and then do a net present value calculation, bringing forward the value of all the time saved in the future after the project is completed, the average driver comes out way behind.

 

Tearing up existing roads and widening them, creating new entrances and exits, and  installing new traffic controls are complex tasks. But so are building automobiles, fabricating space satellites, and renovating office buildings. Driven by competitive pressures to reinvent themselves, automobile, aerospace and real estate developers have continually reinvented themselves. They have refined such techniques as designing for manufacturability, designing for logistics support, designing for maintainability and reconfiguration and, in some cases, even designing for recycling of materials.

 

Why haven’t these concepts found their way into the road-building process? It isn’t because they aren’t being taught in the engineering schools. Note this excerpt from the engineering school website at Virginia Tech: “Green Engineering is a design philosophy which seeks to avoid and/or resolve potential environmental issues associated with the manufacture, use, and/or disposal of engineered systems and their byproducts early in the decision-making stages of design.” 

 

Hmmm. Anticipate problems early in the design process. There’s a novel idea.

 

We have closely observed a road-building project near our offices just north of Richmond through which we must pass twice each day. This spaghetti works involves the confluence of a major federal highway, an interstate and a beltway, with major back-ups occurring on the ramps and further perturbations induced by retail and residential concentrations nearby. Traversing this domain is sufficiently daunting – whether to go out to lunch becomes a major decision – that we have dubbed it “Springfield II.” In short, it is a living laboratory for everything that is wrong with highway construction in the Commonwealth.   

 

First, one has to ask how such bad situations come to pass in the first place. Fundamental fluid mechanics and dynamic modeling, further instructed by a “leisurely” drive through “ Springfield I,” should have been sufficient to inspire a different initial design. Second, close observation of men and machinery busily engaged in constructing medians, jack hammering medians, and pouring concrete into new medians causes a dull but persistent ache in the area of the taxpayer’s pocketbook. Third, similarly watching big, expensive equipment digging trenches, burying pipe, paving over said trenches, cutting through the new paving in order to re-dig part of the trench to connect something to the aforementioned pipe suggests that basic process-mapping and process-management skills are missing.

 

Then, there is traffic control by means of barrels and cones. This is a real non-science but, then, it is also a real non-art. Observed in situ, the goal seems to be to create the maximum confusion among motorists and maximum constriction in the traffic flow for the purpose of afflicting the maximum delay. When one of us wayfarers paused one day next to one of orange VDOT pickups that clogged the jobsite to express some concern about the then-current arrangement, said wayfarer was told: “Tough shit, Jose. That’s how we have to do it.” Said wayfarer, not being named Jose and not even resembling someone who could reasonably be expected to be named Jose, was momentarily taken aback but quickly recovered by realizing he had unwittingly sniffed out an opportunity for customer-service skills training.

 

But why do they have to do it that way? We think it must have something to do with protection of the men and machinery because the barrels are often accompanied by state trooper vehicles with flashing blue lights at each end of the barrel rodeo. Having served in the military and having had friends and family who served as public servants in risky professions, we are puzzled by what appears to be excessive caution. Our fathers picked up plenty of scar tissue, bad knees, bad backs, hearing losses, etc. in the course of their duties. Protection, if any, was sort of after the fact.

 

We, of course, wish no harm to come to highway workers but if the issue is the difficulty of attracting workers to a dangerous occupation, we would prefer to increase productivity and use the savings to pay those who remain a more attractive wage. At the very least, we would prefer to reassign state troopers to more pressing problems, such as catching snipers. We have not, incidentally, been able to find any data that indicates that highway work is as dangerous an occupation as military service, firefighting, or policing.

 

If the problem is not the skills, technology or underlying engineering concepts, could it be the same affliction that bedeviled Department of Defense procurement for so many years: a bloated bureaucracy supported by an even more bloated contractor base? We think it might, and in some cases the bloat is evident. Most of those we observe zooming about in pickup truckss and climbing out to wave their arms at those leaning on the shovels -- as well as the leaners themselves -- show little evidence of being engaged productive work. We have heard it referred to as “Dunlaps Disease” which occurs when the stomach done laps over the belt. Not wanting to practice medicine without the proper training or licensure, however, we merely report the observation as perhaps indicative of managerial problems.

 

Unchallenged organizations, be they governmental or industrial, are not forced to reinvent themselves and quickly get out of step with reality and current thinking. It is time that we challenged our friends at VDOT – and, believe it or not, we have quite a few – to do better. They can, although at first they may not think so.

 

Certainly the time is right. The budget situation screams out for major efficiencies in this huge department. The governor has made transportation improvements a centerpiece of his program for the Commonwealth. By all accounts, the new VDOT Commissioner is a tiger with the fortitude and energy to deliver the challenge and guide the recovery. As one employee told us: “He knows just what he wants. He wants it right and he wants it right now!” The Commonwealth should build on that attitude.

 

Two promising avenues would appear to be improved engineering and design – engineering could possibly be outsourced on a series of three to four-year contracts -- and improved process engineering. The governor, the secretary of transportation, the VDOT commissioner and the General Assembly will have to do some radical things to convince Virginians that VDOT is not really the Department of Perpetual Do and Re-do, the group that can’t get it right the first time and then wastes millions of taxpayer dollars and thousands of hours of citizens’ time in getting it wrong a second and third time until everyone gives up and the traffic blight moves on to another spot.

 

For Heaven’s sake, the state is doing Total Cost of Ownership studies on $3,000 computers. Perhaps it is time to apply this lifecycle cost analysis to transportation projects and ensure that we include our best guesstimate of all the costs -- including the time we spend in delay and frustration as we go about our daily lives. 

 

The current best thinking in public policy says that public monopolies are a bad idea. The time has come to apply that best thinking/best practice to the transportation arena.

-- October 21, 2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact Information

Hanks-Williamson & Associates
P.O. Box 9637
Richmond , VA 23228

Joanna D. Hanks
(804) 640-7710
jdh@hwagroup.com

Fred Williamson
(804) 640-7712
fhw@hwagroup.com

Website: Hanks-Williamson & Associates