Pssst, Kid, Want a Scenario?

Here in the dog days of August, political junkies know that a good fix is hard to find. A snippet of email or a few ill-chosen words in a fundraising letter just do not slake the thirst.

Our friend Not Larry Sabato has decided to muscle into the junkie supplier business, declaring August “scenario month.” Freed from the constraints of actual activities on the ground, imaginations can run wild as scenarios are constructed that resurrect the Democrats in Virginia or extend Republican hegemony.

After yesterday’s close call in Ohio for a Republican congressional candidate running against an Iraq War veteran and Bush-Basher, Not Larry’s first scenario superimposes the Ohio model onto Virginia. It’s interesting stuff, delivered just as the shakes and cold sweats were taking hold.

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  1. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Let’s all repeat Tip O’Neill’s dictum, “All politics is local”. Having said that, let’s consider some points in these dog days of August about Republican voting in VA. We have sources of discontent as the folk in Ohio do.

    As a grassroots activist I can report from my anecdotal polling places at the 7-11 and Farm Fresh that there is measurable disgust from Republicans at national elected Republicans for spending too much, failing to address illegal immigration and privatize social security now and, especially, going weak on judges (John Warner turn on your hearing aid), as well as with Virginia elected Republicans for raising taxes.

    Kaine is running as a conservative like Mark Warner did – artfully. Fuzzes the lines and issues.

    If Kilgore is going to cut taxes, uh, where? Somehow interfere from Richmond in local property taxes?

    And what are the other issues in his honest reform? Impose an unelected regional government with taxing authority for transportation issues – which we (GOP grassroots) worked hard to defeat twice in the past 7 years.

    So, other than the generic (and true) labels of Liberal for Kaine and Republican for Kilgore, I am at a loss for the reasons the voters who supported Allen, Gilmore and Bush should hurry to the polls in November. I hope we find them – the other compelling reasons – soon. At least by Labor Day.

  2. Not Larry Sabato Avatar
    Not Larry Sabato

    Our scenerios are like drugs?

    Just inhale slowly Will. And don’t operate heavy machinery after reading our blog. 🙂

  3. Will Vehrs Avatar
    Will Vehrs

    What blog?

  4. Not Larry Sabato Avatar
    Not Larry Sabato


  5. Ranger03 Avatar

    I’ve got my own thoughts on OH 2nd here.

  6. Not Guy Incognito Avatar
    Not Guy Incognito

    Interesting thought. Too bad it has no relevance on our races.

    Ohio, I served with Virginia. I knew Virginia. Virginia was a friend of mine. Ohio, you’re no Virginia.

  7. Anonymous Avatar

    Will Vehrs for Lt. Governor 2009!!!! Who’s on board?

  8. a supporter of someone running Avatar
    a supporter of someone running

    I’m on board with the Will Vehrs campaign!
    He consistently and fairly represents each issue with much consideration and research and good judgment.
    His ideas and proposed solutions are equally well considered, researched and reasoned. He is of the people and will work hard to provide good leadership and…
    Wait a minute.
    This only applies if he runs as a Republican…
    If he runs as a gol dang (spit in disgust) democrat then he’s just a good for nothin, Massachusetts lovin, john kerry clone from (insert Will Vehrs’ home town) who wants to raise taxes and kill babies and take your guns so you can’t defend yourself from being forced to marry a man and then raise your taxes to pay for cloning more homosexuals and is probably fornicating with Hillary Clinton.

    Now which will it be? Run as a Republican? (Shining light and heraldic music)
    or as a (spit in disgust) gol dang democrat? (Demonic heavy metal and psychedelic light show with pictures of children threatened by satan)
    Your call Will, we wouldn’t want to try and influence your decision in any fashion because we don’t believe in partisanship…

    Note to Will: Satire aside, although you and I don’t always agree I do believe that we could work to agreement on 80% of issues. I admire your fair consideration of issues and do not mean to poke any fun at you, only at stereotypes. I realize also that stereotyping comes from both sides. Heaven protect us from extremes…

  9. Will Vehrs Avatar
    Will Vehrs

    I am truly humbled by this mini-boomlet for my candidacy.

    I suspect my possible declaration will not be an NLS scenario.

    Supporter, I suspect that, as reasonable people, we could come to 80-20 without rancor, name calling, or stereotyping, assuming you’re not a hippie.

  10. Not Larry Sabato Avatar
    Not Larry Sabato

    This is late! Will’s best chance would have come this year.

  11. Not a hippie Avatar
    Not a hippie

    If me not being a hippie is the little extra push that it takes to get you rolling then let it be known throughout the land that the blogger formerly known (after an llustrious career of one post)as “a supporter of someone running” will from this day forward be refered to as:
    drumroll please…………
    “not a hippie.”
    Now is just the right time to be setting up candidate Vehrs’ foundation and network of early donors. After the current campaign cycle we will be able to assemble quite the team to set things into place.
    a few things to begin working on:
    Don’t drink and drive, even water…
    Don’t speak to members of the opposite sex (or the same sex) at any distance close enough to have physical contact unless you also have at least three notarized witnesses willing to testify that nothing other than conversation took place.
    Don’t mention any affiliation with any religion, while at the same time speaking of your spirituality as often as possible.
    If you don’t already own a firearm, get one (or a collection) NOW. Here is where NLS’s impatience is short sighted. Then let it be known that you only hunt vegitarian wildlife. (of course this might tick off the wild carrot association of america)
    I am pumped up on this one!
    Will, you’re not stopping at any measly Lt. Governor’s office either, we’re takin it all the way baby!!!

  12. Will Vehrs Avatar
    Will Vehrs

    Look, if I can get my ROTC buddies to agree on what really happened, if I can get hold of that memo I sent to Robert Bork, and if that Linda woman doesn’t make any outrageous demands, I’m in.

  13. Will, no demands. Our affair is our secret. All I ask is when you are elected that I get a “night” in the Governors mansion

  14. All docs gone. Your good to go here.

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