Traffic
Buster
Pulte
Home's challenge: Slash the number of auto trips
generated by the proposed MetroWest project in
Fairfax County. Success there will show how the
right kind of growth can make traffic congestion
better, not worse.
By
Bob Burke
For
most of the 19 years since Metrorail laid tracks
down the middle of Interstate 66 in Fairfax
County, critics have mocked this sprawling
suburban giant as an example of what not to do
when it comes to developing around transit.
A
favorite target was the Vienna Metro station –
the westernmost stop on the rail system’s Orange
Line. Instead of using the rail station to get
commuters out of their cars, Fairfax surrounded
the station with parking lots, creating a magnet
for more commuting traffic. Almost no one lived
close enough to walk to the station, so nearly
everybody had to drive, and the surrounding
streets suffered.
Which
is ironic, because protecting the neighborhoods
near the station was a main reason Fairfax leaders
gave for keeping development away. Today, though,
with its population above one million and expected
to keep climbing, Fairfax is changing course. On
56 acres right next to the Vienna Metro station, a
developer is proposing a 2,250-unit high-density
development that would put townhouses, condos,
offices and retail within walking distance of the
rail station.
Michigan-based
Pulte Homes is the developer of the project,
called MetroWest. If the county approves the
project, in 10 years as many as 6,000 people could
be living, working and shopping there.
It’s
a huge investment for Pulte, which in 2002 paid
$500,000 apiece for 69 single-family homes next to
the station just to assemble the property. And
it’s a big step for the county. Fairfax is
already moving toward higher density,
transit-oriented development at its other Orange
line stations, and if the proposed extension of
Metrorail to Dulles International Airport is
completed it would bring eight more stations to
the county, including four in the crowded Tysons
Corner area.
So
the MetroWest project is a template of sorts for
what will happen along the rest of the Metrorail
line, where the county could concentrate thousands
of new jobs and new residents instead of spreading
them out in lower-density developments. “To some
degree things have kind of gone wrong around the
Vienna Metro,” says Fairfax Supervisor Linda Q.
Smith, whose district includes the Pulte project
site. “I think in some ways it does set a
precedent. We are looking at Metro stations in the
future, and what are we going to be doing around
them?”
Perhaps
the biggest question about the project is one
nobody can definitively answer: Won’t a project
this big make local traffic even worse?
“It’s
pretty clear to those of us living around here
that [the project] would just make the area
dysfunctional,” says Will Elliott, a local
resident who has organized an opposition group
called Fairfax Citizens for Responsible Growth.
But
supporters of the project say its mixed-use,
transit-oriented design is going to have less
impact than a traditional development would --
even though it will absorb more people and
commercial development. The county is insisting
that Pulte show it can reduce the number of
residential rush-hour trips by 47 percent and
office-generated trips by 25 percent compared
to development at traditional densities.
A
study completed this summer for the county by
Washington-based UrbanTrans Consultants agreed
that the trip reduction goals can be met. But it
described them as “aggressive targets” and
said that all elements of the project – from the
incentives and disincentives to the range of
commuting options such as transit, ridesharing,
biking or walking - would have to be in
place before that would happen. Pulte leaders say
they can meet those goals, through a variety of
carrot-and-stick strategies.
Possible
techniques outlined in the UrbanTrans study
include:
-
Make
sure the right retail mix emerges –
including a small grocery store, child care,
banks and ATMs, dry cleaning, cafes and
restaurants, that are readily accessible on
foot.
This
is new territory in many ways – asking a
developer to make people change their travel
habits raises lots of questions. Is it reasonable
to ask a developer to engage in behavior
modification? What happens if the developer
doesn't succeed?
“Clearly
the full reduction doesn’t come into play until
all the components of the project are up and
running,” says Jon Lindgren, Pulte’s manager
of land acquisitions. But in the seven to 10 years
he estimates it will take to complete the project
“there are going to be interim targets that we
need to hit,” he says. And if the company isn't
succeeding, it will try new tools. “Those
numbers will be hit at the end of the day.”
Critics
like Elliott are skeptical. He and others want the
county to cap the project at about 1,500
residential units, and consider phasing in the
construction to minimize the impact. He and other
opponents aren’t against higher density, he
says. “Everybody agrees that’s where the
higher density should go, but there has to be some
limits to it. That’s what we’re striving
for.”
But
Lindgren says MetroWest won’t be able to attract
retailers if it reduces the residential density.
“The more people living here, the better,” he
says.
Supervisor
Smith adds that bringing retail into the mix
around the Vienna station – the coffee shops,
dry cleaners and grocery stores - is crucial to
easing the traffic load. “We haven’t gotten
that mix of uses [before],”
she says.
Some
observers also are skeptical that anyone can make
many future MetroWest residents stop driving, or
accurately count how many of them do so. Says
Becky Cate, chairwoman of the Providence District
Council, an umbrella organization for area civic
groups: “It depends on all those components
coming together. But there’s nothing that says
they can’t come back in 10 years and say,
‘Darn, we just couldn’t get that commercial
partner. Can we build residential now?’”
Responds
Smith: Nobody can predict the future, “but we
can get those commitments established as firmly as
we can.”
Another
opponent of MetroWest’s density is Rep. Thomas
M. Davis III, R-11th district, who earlier this
year tried to block the sale to Pulte of 3.7 acres
of Metro-owned land at the Vienna station. Davis
later dropped that effort but is urging the
county’s board of supervisors to lower the
allowed density.
Lindgren
says without the land the project could still
proceed but it would push the
development about 150 feet farther away from the
station. It also would mean the company wouldn’t
make $11.1 million in improvements to the
Metrorail station, he says. “Our hope is to buy
it,” he says. “We think it’s the best thing
for the transit-oriented nature of the
development.”
The
trump card for supporters of the project is the
county’s expected growth. Fairfax will add
another 200,000 people by 2030, according to
Census estimates. Opponents struggle to answer
that challenge. “I’ve heard people say,
‘People are coming, where are you going to put
them?’” says Cate, the citizen activist.
“It’s a tough question. Do we put them all in
Fairfax?”
Smith
and others say the job and population growth is
coming no matter what, and the county needs to
make better use of the transit that the region has
already built. Along that corridor, at least, the
old suburban model is dead. “If we’re going to
put development someplace it needs to be where
density makes sense,” she says. “We can’t
put these kinds of densities out in the boondocks
of Fairfax County, because then everybody will
still get in a car.”
Bacon's
Rebellion News Service
November
2, 2005
|