Reality Check

Steve Haner


 

No Easy Way Out 

Rail improvements can do only so much to get trucks off the road. Fiddling with the state road funding formula isn't on the table. And the federal government isn't riding to the rescue. What's left?


 

“We’re not going to reformulate our way out of our transportation problems,” said Del. William Fralin, R-Roanoke. He was dismissing as an option one of the most common legislative campaign slogans – “changing the funding formula to make sure we in (fill in your home locality) get our fair share.”

 

Fralin’s comment came during a December 8 meeting of the House subcommittee charged with working on Virginia’s staggering transportation challenges. Two speakers earlier in the program had kicked out a couple of the other props that hold up the “we don’t need to raise taxes” optimists.

 

Karen Rae of the Department of Rail and Public Transportation didn’t say it, but her presentation eventually amounted to ”We’re not going to railroad our way out of our transportation problems.” And Mary Lynn Tischer, who had the thankless and largely successful task of watching out for Virginia in the new federal transportation bill, could have said the same about “federally fund our way out.”

 

Rae’s report actually was quite good news, an example of how a little money used wisely can make a major difference. Her department is making its final recommendations next week on how to spend the $23 million annual rail improvement fund created by the 2005 General Assembly.

 

The matching grants to be approved by the Commonwealth Transportation Board next week focus mainly on freight rail projects, although some have joint benefits with passenger rail and a couple are purely for passenger rail.

 

The most significant would allow double stacking of containers coming into and out of the Port of Virginia’s various facilities, both to the west on Norfolk Southern tracks and to the south into North Carolina and beyond on CSX. Federal money was earmarked for this, as well, and the bottlenecks in West Virginia also will be addressed (or Virginia won’t spend its money). Another project will allow the new Maersk terminal to put loads directly on rail cars instead of trucking them to a rail yard. Others buy right of way to make sure that key lines in the region remain double-tracked.

 

But at the end of her PowerPoint there was one unexplained line: “Market Share Increase: 8%”. What does that actually mean, your reporter asked?

 

That means, with all these projects and the resulting double stacking, removing maybe 200,000 trucks a year off the road at the start and far more in the future, the share of port business being handled by the rail would go from 25 percent to 33 percent. About two thirds of the loads – two thirds of the rapidly increasing loads – would remain on the roads.

 

Major rail improvements to the ports “are not the be-all and end-all. They are part of the solution,” Rae said.

 

Tischer’s news on the federal legislation was even more mixed. She walked the committee members through the complexities of federal programs, the mandatory projects and the long list of earmarks.

 

On average, federal spending in Virginia should increase more than $135 million per year, but more than $96 million per year is designated by Congress in some way and another $31 million goes into various special categories, leaving the Commonwealth with a grand total of (cue the drum roll, please) $8 million new dollars annually that we get to decide how to spend.

 

Of course, as she pointed out, those earmarks didn’t fall out of the sky. Some local government, planning district, interest group, asked their congressperson to put the money in there and lock it up for their pet project. Some, but not all, were also the CTB’s priorities. The enemy is, as it always is in these things, us.

 

The earmarked funds rarely (maybe never) cover the full cost, of course. And even the highway program increases which are not locked up for special projects require additional state matching funds. So the increased federal funding just continues to erode the state’s flexibility and increases the chances that some time in the future we will leave federal funds on the table because we can’t match them.

 

Now the kicker – the same higher gasoline prices which are depressing consumption and gas tax revenues at the state level also depress tax collection at the federal level. The five-year price tag on the federal bill is $286 billion, but the July 2005 (pre-Katrina!) revenue estimate was only $231 billion. That’s a shortfall of about $11 billion annually, mostly on the back end. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce figures the expenses will pass the revenue for the final two years.

 

And the federal bill included another $9 billion “rescission” at the end of the five-year cycle – in effect taking back $9 billion. There was much discussion at the meeting about just what this signified.

 

No mystery. The finance director at the Attorney General’s office told me all about those things years ago. It’s called a TTTB entry. When your expenses exceed your income you plug in a negative number to even things out – “takes this to balance.”  

 

-- December 12, 2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Steve Haner is the former chief lobbyist for the Virginia Chamber of Commerce and is now a government affairs and public relations consultant doing business as North Chase Communica- tions. You may reach him at northchase

    (at)earthlink.net.

 

Read his profile.