Category Archives: Technology

Thumbsucking, Richmond-style

By Peter Galuszka

The incredible, shrinking Richmond Times-Dispatch offers a lot less to read these days. Under  the leadership of Publisher Thomas A. Silvestri, many staffers have been fired to boost parent firm Media General’s top line. The effort hasn’t been entirely successful since its stock, once around $65 a share, is now a little better than $4 a share, admittedly better than the near buck a share low of a couple of years back that brought MEG close to delisting on the Big Board.

So, the TD tries to get around its dearth of real reporting by getting Richmond’s pooh-bahs to write tomes in the “Commentary” section about what a great job they are doing. These, coupled with Silvestri’s unfailingly sunny and typically mindless columns boosting the Confederate Capital, make for a more amusing section on Sunday mornings than the funny pages.

This Sunday’s section was kicked off by Eugene Trani, the fireball, former president of Virginia Commonwealth University. Trani is famous for growing VCU from a Tier Two commuter college to something aspiring to greatness. He bulldozed block after block of Richmond’s downtown to expand the university and make it more of an economic driver.

Now retired, Trani heads Richmond’s Future, which the TD describes as a “forward looking regional think tank.” That, in itself is an interesting choice of words. If it were “backward looking,” we’d be in more of a heap of trouble than we already are.

After a couple of years of heading Richmond’s Future, Trani has used the group’s mostly corporate funding to finance studies by a Federal Reserve economist and a VCU assistant professor. Together, these reports try to rate the Richmond SMSA, which Trani meticulously explains to the dullards among us, against 10 other SMSA around the country to see where it stands. Good and bad, it turns out. Second in per capita income and sixth in annual employment growth  compared to places such as Jacksonville, Fla. and Salt Lake City.

Writing in the TD, Trani claims  that it is important to know where Richmond  stands against other similarly-sized city. I looked thoroughly through his article to find more of a “so what” but couldn’t find it.

And that is the problem. Richmond’s business elite has been staring at its navel for a long time. There has been study after study trying to “benchmark” the city. Consultant James A. Crupi, who does a lot of thumbsuckers for the Fortune 100, did a study in 1993 that found that Richmond is a “glass half-empty.” He returned in 2007, funded by Greater Richmond Chamber of Commerce money, to find that Richmond had somehow transformed itself into a “glass half full.”  What that means, I have no idea.

There are other groups trying to get a real bullseye on Richmond. There’s something called the Capital Region Collaborative that promotes navel-gazing on a regional basis. Its ranks are fed from something called “Leadership Metro Richmond” which trains “leaders” to be big shots among the corporate salons and, of course, participate in and cheerlead Crupi and Trani style reports.

OK, fine. But so what? Trani says Richmond should boost its base in logistics. No brainer, there. Greatly expanded Ft. Lee is a dominant defense supply area and Richmond has a great central-location on the Mid-Atlantic coat. Too bad its tiny seaport was so badly managed that it has all but shut down. Richmond also should boost science and math studies, like every other burg in the U.S.

And, there’s something called the Commonwealth Center for Advanced Manufacturing, which is a multi-university and community college effort to take advantage of a new Rolls Royce plant east of Petersburg.

Small problem, there. The Rolls Royce plant was originally intended to build  parts for engines for corporate jets. The 2008 global financial meltdown, and  the bad judgment of big U.S. corporate titans to fly corporate jets to Washington to beg for Congressional bailouts, chilled that market.

Now, the big facility underway is looking for other markets. One hope had been making engines for the new F-35 joint strike fighter for the Air Force, Navy and Marines. That’s something anti-spending hawk U.S. Rep. Eric Cantor, a key player in the Richmond elite, pushed mightily although the Pentagon said it had another supplier and didn’t need more engines from Rolls. In any event, it won’t matter. Reacting to Republican anti-spending fanatics, President Obama is likely to cut back on the F-35 program.

These are small details, however. The reality is that no matter how much the Tranis and Crupis look into their crystal balls, Richmond’s economy is still pretty much dominated by electric utility Dominion, packaging maker MeadWestvaco and cigarette giant Altria, whose primary products are lethal and which moved its headquarters to Richmond after being pretty much thrown out of New York City. The region was badly hurt when mass retailer Circuit City self-destructed from bad management and chip maker Qimonda went under, with thousands of jobs, because of bad local markets.

Yet another firm went under, too, during the 2008-09 recession, mortgage lender LandAmerica. Interestingly, Trani was a director of the firm and, in that capacity, is a defendant in a lawsuit that alleges that he and others failed in their fiduciary duties because they took decisions that resulted in the collapse of the firm and major losses for investors.

The Richmond newspaper, naturally, doesn’t hit that one too hard. Instead, Trani, rather than a professional journalist on staff, will be writing a series of reports about his new think tank and where he thinks Greater Richmond rates and should be going in the Greater World.

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Good Bye and Good Riddance to 2011

Glimmer of hope

by James A. Bacon

Good riddance to 2011, 365 days of misery that brought us the Gulf Oil Spill, Quantitative Easing 2 and the bulge in Anthony Weiner’s briefs. Most distressing of all, the year marked another failure by the country’s political leadership to address the nation’s fiscal free fall and avert the hard, hard landing that awaits us all.

Readers are well acquainted with my reasons for believing that Boomergeddon is at most a decade away, so I will not belabor them here. Instead, I go against type by listing three positive trends. To be sure, they won’t come close to staving off federal government default, but they do offer a glimmer of hope.

Violent crime is down. Violent crime in the United States has declined to the lowest rate in four decades. The odds of being robbed or murdered are less than half of what they were 20 years ago, and the downward trend shows no sign of abating. Society is so much safer that crime has vanished from the list of Americans’ top worries. As a bonus, coinciding as it does with the highest unemployment rate in 60 years, the downturn discredits the notion that “poverty” and “lack of opportunity” are driving forces behind crime. The experts and other social engineers took it on the chin. They still are at a loss the explain the cultural phenomenon.

Fossil fuel production is up. I’ve long been a proponent of the “peak oil” theory that says oil production has peaked, demand for petroleum products is soaring as China, India and other developing nations become more prosperous, and the price of oil will hit a permanently higher plateau that will cause considerable economic hardship in America’s auto-centric economy. I still believe that. What I did not anticipate was the Marcellus shale revolution. (I’ll withhold any judgment on the environmental impact of the new natural gas-drilling technologies until more authoritative data comes in.) Clean-burning gas will supplant dirty coal as the preferred fossil fuel for electric power generation and, in an added benefit for those who worry about Global Warming, will significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

In a parallel trend, U.S. oil production is rebounding and is expected to reverse much of its 40-year decline. If you include Canada in the mix, the U.S.-Canadian economy could be producing record volumes of oil within five years. North America may never achieve “energy independence,” but we’ll ship a lot fewer dollars to hostile petro-states.

While the greens advocated reorganizing the energy economy around solar, wind, electric cars and other alternate energy technologies that squander billions of dollars in economically inefficient investments — think Solyndra on a trillion-dollar scale — they were blindsided by disruptive innovation coming from the private energy sector. Once again the “experts” are looking pretty ignorant.

Technology innovation continues apace. The advance of technology continues to amaze. Moore’s Law is old hat — we take it for granted that each new generation of computer will be faster, smaller and more powerful. What will really change things is the ability to embed computing devices with voice recognition, artificial intelligence and GPS sensors so (a) we can talk to the devices and (b) the devices “know” where they are.  “Smart” phones are just the beginning. Soon, everything from your car to your refrigerator will be smart as well. If there’s one thing that can bail this country out of its budgetary morass it’s the potential for extraordinary gains in productivity and economic efficiency made possible by technology. Let’s just hope that human-designed institutions can keep up.

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Secondary Payloads Lower Cost of Satellite Launches

Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport (MARS) at Wallops Island

by Jack Kennedy

Earlier this month, news of a proposed Virginia tax incentive for sending cremated remains into space went viral around the globe. Stories appeared in Germany, the Arab Emirates, Australia and throughout the United States. Most mocked the idea.

All missed the underlying storyline of opportunity to boost primary satellite payloads at a significantly lower cost than exists today. There is more to the story of the state tax credit than meets the eye.

If Virginia’s Legislature were to adopt a tax credit to seed the Virginia market for launching cremated human remains into low earth orbit, the buyers of mortuary space science would defray costs associated with carrying the primary satellite payloads to orbit. In many cases, the primary payloads of rockets lofting from Wallops Island are scholarly and scientific, involving students learning engineering and science skills.

In other words, Virginia high school, college and university students would have a better chance of lofting miniaturized satellite research experiments to space from Wallops Island at a more reasonable cost if coupled with a secondary commercial payload defraying the costs of the booster rocket. A small satellite (MicroSatellite or NanoSat) is typically less than 1,000 pounds with technology advancing to place them in low earth orbit at a significantly lower cost than the typical NASA suborbital sounding rocket.

Universities throughout the United States today are participating in various NanoSat space launches as a secondary payload. One such program is the University NanoSat Program administered by the United States Air Force. A similar program is underway among Kentucky universities under the moniker “Kentucky Space.”

While Virginia’s universities have yet to take a networked leadership position in building and flying NanoSats to low earth orbit, the time is right for them to make it so. The University of Virginia, Virginia Tech, Old Dominion University, James Madison University, George Mason University and others need to have such a discussion.

For example, Thomas Jefferson High School students have built a 10-centimeter cube satellite that weighs less than 1.2 kilograms. The Fairfax County students plan to place their space satellite into orbit from Cape Canaveral, Florida in 2012 after having it tested this month at Virginia headquartered Orbital Sciences Corporation.

High profile efforts like the Apollo program have come and gone. The space shuttle has been retired after 30-years of service. Government-sponsored launch programs are in demise. The entrepreneurial market for space access is emerging with a more diverse cast of actors.

Small, entrepreneurial rocket-launch firms are building markets and driving down costs. Unique and unusual means to generate cash flow will sustain business and provide access to space for the next generation of earth and space science researchers.

Virginia can seed lower cost university and high school space science experiments by boosting the economics of an underlying secondary satellite payload – human cremated ashes. Orbital Sciences Corporation, a Northern Virginia firm, first entered this unusual market when it flew human cremated remains as a secondary payload aboard a Pegasus air launch rocket in 2002.

The proposed tax credit exclusively for Virginians has a sunset provision after a few years. The chances of taxpayer costs exceeding more than a hundred thousand dollars would be slim. The opportunities created for science and engineering education may be significant, however.

Del. Terry Kilgore’s bill is already a success in generating worldwide media attention to Virginia’s emerging commercial spaceport and the tourist opportunities along the Eastern Shore. More Virginians will learn of their spaceport as well. Given serious effort, it may launch new science and innovation making the primary NanoSat payloads a more viable proposition.

If journalists resist the temptation to make the space burial legislation the butt of sarcasm, Virginia may continue as an innovative space policy leader. Building a capital nexus between student-driven NanoSat primary payload launches and the underlying secondary payload of cremated remains will provide a unique pathway to build a more dynamic Virginia space access market.

This column responds to a story, “HB19: Fly (What’s Left of) Me to the Moon,” posted by Groveton last week. The author, Jack Kennedy, is an attorney and former member of the state legislature. He holds a MS in Space Policy from the University of North Dakota. Contact him at Jack@JackKennedy.net.

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HB19: Fly (What’s Left of) Me to the Moon


2012: A space oddity.
 I have long commented on the bizarre nature of Virginia’s General Assembly.  The annual General Assembly session in Richmond usually creates a sense of frustration and dismay among us voters.  In addition, it always provides ample material for comedy.  This year is no exception as Terry Kilgore (R – Scott County) has pre-filed legislation which would allow an individual income tax deduction for those opting to launch their cremated remains into orbit.  I am not making this up.  The bill can be found here.

Ground control to Major Terry.  Del. Kilgore’s proposed legislation would provide an $8,000 personal income tax exemption for those who elect to have their cremated remains launched into either Earth or lunar orbit.  And here’s the good news – you don’t actually have to die to get the deduction.  You just have to sign a contract with a Virginia spaceport to have your remains blasted into the cosmos.

Corporate welfare vs. corpse welfare.  Presumably, Del. Kilgore wants to drive a nail into the coffin of those who say that Virginia is not a modern society. He wants to kill the idea that Wallops Island is a lesser space base than Cape Canaveral.  Ashes to ashes, deduction to deduction.  You have to be as dead as Terry Kilgore’s political career to get into space with this proposed legislation.

Low budget cosmonaut.  I know what you are thinking, “A tax deduction is all well and good but how much will it cost to actually launch my cremated butt into orbit?”   A company named Celestis is already slinging people’s particles into the firmament.  Their price list allows for a final road trip at the affordable cost of between $2,995 and $12,500.  The higher price allows for the extra costs of launching into “deep space”.  For anybody considering this, please make it a point to wave to Terry Kilgore when you actually arrive in deep space.

Thinking outside the urn.  Terry Kilgore might be on to something here. Start with space ashes but then move to living people.  Pop them into a rocket and sell space sight-seeing tours.  Go into orbit and look down at the traffic chaos in Virginia caused by the General Assembly.  Virginia’s space port could even offer volume discounts for groups.  I wonder what Wallops Island would charge the taxpayers of Virginia for 140 one way seats into deep space?

Hat tip.  Greg Letiecq at Black Velvet Bruce Li.

By … Groveton

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Boosting the Productivity and Quality of Road Design

truck mounted laser scanner

Here’s how state highway departments do their project design work: An engineer sits at a work station equipped with Microstation 3-D modeling software and downloads topographical data provided by VDOT surveyors. To get new data, the engineer sends a request over to the surveying department. When a surveyor is available, he is dispatched to the site where he takes the measurements. Sometimes the surveyor, using his best judgment, gets everything the engineer wants. Sometimes not, and he has to be dispatched again. Then the engineer starts tinkering with the design. Often he (or she) realizes he needs more information, and he issues another request to the surveying department. It’s not unusual for the process to take weeks.

3-D modeling software has dramatically increased engineer productivity, and GPS tools have dramatically increased surveyor productivity. But neither can do much to improve the clumsy interface between the two. Along comes TopoDOT, a Microstation plug-in created by Certainty 3-D, a start-up company in Orlando, Fla. All it takes is driving down the road and pausing periodically for the laser scanner in the truck bed to sweep the area. TopoDOT’s technology dumps the data into Microstation for instant access. Engineers now can gather all the topographical data they need in a single sweep. A job that once took days now takes hours.

Engineers can work faster and without interruption, says Certainty 3-D CEO Ted Knaak. They can run more what-if scenarios. They can spend more time and effort into creating the most cost-effective design. “The information’s right at their fingertips.”

I ran into Knaak in the exhibit hall of the Governor’s Transportation Conference last week. The hall was packed with vendors and consulting companies of all stripes, but Knaak’s was the only exhibit with any technological pizzazz.

Knaak charges $7,000 for the software plus a flat fee for each use. The technology will enable DOTs to save a lot of money on surveying costs while speeding up design times. “Everything is 40 to 50 percent cheaper than what they did before,” he asserts. But even bigger savings can come from reorganizing work processes around the technology. In theory, better project design should translate into more cost-effective projects at a savings of millions of dollars. Virginia is one of five DOTs that have acquired a license, although at this point, only one person at VDOT is actively using it.

There is no magic technology bullet to solve Virginia’s transportation woes. There certainly is no substitute for adopting more efficient human settlement patterns and for selecting projects that provide the greatest Return on Investment. But boosting VDOT employee productivity represents a small step forward, and engineering more cost-effective designs a pretty big one. Every little bit helps.

– JAB

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The Wonk Salon, November 17, 2011

Students without Borders
Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy
Providing education in virtual classrooms costs 65% of what it does in traditional bricks-and-mortar classrooms. But Virginia’s education funding formulas get in the way of more widespread adoption. Chris Braunlich has a plan.

By 2030, K-12 Education Will Be Privatized
Hoover Institution
Eventually, the United State will emulate the example of South Korea, Japan, India and Sweden, which encourage vigorous private-sector competition in educational services and achieve far better results.

What a Broadband Boost Would Mean for Rural New England
Maine Heritage Policy Center
A seven percentage-point increase in broadband adoption in Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont would increase annual economic output by $1.4 billion, create or save $27,221 jobs, and boost annual income by $1 billion.

Income Segregation Has Grown Since 1970
US2010 Project
Not only are the rich getting richer, they’re living in places where they don’t have to mix with the hoi polloi.

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The Wonk Salon, November 2, 2011

Thirty-four Referenda this Year
National Association of State Budget Officers
It’s an off-year for elections so there are only 34 ballot measures in nine states this year, down from 160 last year. The referenda range from voting on slot machines in Maine to approving/rejecting an Ohio law limiting collective bargaining.

Implementing Common Core State Standards
National Governors Association
Forty-four states serving 80% of the nation’s K-12 school population have adopted new common core standards in English/language arts and mathematics. But policy makers can do more.

How States Can Support Creativity and Innovation
Southern Growth Policies Board
Innovation is the only way to climb out of the current economic malaise. States can stimulate innovation by establishing venture funds, hiring world-class researchers, establishing R&D tax credits, promoting STEM teaching careers and undertaking other measures.

Healthy Americans, Health Economy
Trust for America’s Health
Healthy Americans are more productive at work. States and communities around the country are partnering with business to encourage employees and their families to make healthier choices.

Best Start LA off to a Slow Start
Urban Institute
Best Start LA is designed to strength the capacity of families to raise children and the capacity of communities to support families. In other words, it takes a village. But this program seems to be having trouble getting off the ground.

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The Wonk Salon, October 26, 2011

Custom Education through Online Learning
Goldwater Institute
Students sitting in rows, teachers lecturing in front of blackboards… Teaching hasn’t changed much in the past century. The growth of online learning solutions changes the conversation from choosing a school to choosing individual services that specifically meet a student’s needs.

Do Special Programs for the Gift Really Work?
Education Next
Two studies of a large, urban school district in the Southwestern United States suggest that Gifted & Talented programs do little to improve educational achievement.

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The Wonk Salon, October 12, 2011

State Spending Still Outpacing Inflation, Population Growth
Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission
Despite the recession, state spending over the past 10 years has outpaced inflation and population growth by a wide margin. General Fund spending hasn’t kept up — the growth comes from Non-General Fund spending.

Medicaid Errors Costs the State $ Tens of Millions
Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission
Improper eligibility determinations may have cost Virginia’s Medicaid program between $18 million to $263 million in FY 2009. Outright fraud cost only $6.1 million.

Rural Telecommunications Creates Jobs
Manhattan Institute
Rural telecommunications operations have a direct economic impact in Virginia of $241 million and an indirect impact of $118 million.

Housing Voucher Recipients Go Suburban
Brookings Institution
When people get housing vouchers, where do they choose to live? Surprise, surprise, half of them choose to live in the suburbs.

Rethinking Teacher Retirement
American Enterprise Institute
Schools recruit 300,000 teachers a year — about one in five new college graduates. No wonder it’s hard finding qualified teachers. How about hiring more older, mature second-career teachers?

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The Wonk Salon, October 8, 2011

Open Source IT Architecture in Houston
James A. Baker Institute
It’s time for Houston to move from expensive, proprietary IT platforms an open source architecture. Among other initiatives, the city should develop a wiki platform to capture institutional knowledge.

Uh, Oh, Our Water Infrastructure Is Decaying, Too
Economic Policy Institute
Rebuilding America’s decaying water/waste water infrastructure would cost $188 billion but it could create 1.9 million jobs and be incredibly cool. Green roofs, permeable pavements and bioswales, anyone?

Minority College Instructors Improve Minority Student Performance
National Bureau of Economic Research
Minority students in community colleges perform better when taught by instructors of similar race. Better roll models… decreased threat of “stereotype threats”…

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