Category Archives: Economic development

The Cooch’s Freak Show Dream Team

cooch dream teamBy Peter Galuszka

Ken Cuccinelli just can’t keep away from the bizarre, but perhaps that’s what makes him what he is.

He stages a convention instead of a primary to neuter Bill Bolling. And since a convention is smaller, it draws more GOP hard-righters than  June bugs on a humid night and they succeed in getting Bishop E.W. Jackson and Mark Obenshain selected. They underline the social conservatism that turns millions off and makes Virginia the butt of jokes on late night talk shows.

The Bishop is an even bigger gay basher than Cuccinelli and says that Planned Parenthood is responsible for more fatalities among African-Americans than the Ku Klux Klan. This may be new to a Harvard Law graduate, but women of any color have a legal right to an abortion within limits. The U.S. Supreme Court said so. Look under Roe vs. Wade.

Then there is the attorney general candidate Mark Obenshain of the legacy Republican family. He proposed and withdrew legislation to require any woman in Virginia who miscarries a pregnancy to report it to the police. The idea is so repulsive it is beyond words. A woman may have miscarried to her great sorrow due to medical reasons and then would have to go through the added horror of having to report to the police? Yes, this comes from a cabal that otherwise wants to keep the government out of your lives. Even Josef Stalin wouldn’t think of this.

What does the dream team have to say on the many policy issues facing a troubled state? We have a bunch of lame and poorly thought out tax cuts and Cooch playing hardware store populist. Cuccinelli was against McDonnnell’s mammoth road building tax plan and has since backed away from his opposition.

Is this good news for Terry McAuliffe, who has plenty of issues of his own? Yes, I would think. Cuccinelli doesn’t need the fringe hard right voters. He’s already got them in his pocket. He needs the center and Mark and the Bishop aren’t going to be much help there.

It boggles the mind how Virginia is so schizo. It is attracting hundreds of thousands of newcomers who are running the state’s economy and are dragging it into the 21st century world. Yet the Republicans put up people like this who aren’t dragging us to Virginia’s recent dark past but to medieval times.

Global investors might think twice or three times before investing in this freak show.

Why Commercial Developers Should Be Afraid, Very Afraid

Metro Park VI

Metro Park VI

by James A. Bacon

While most commercial real estate markets across the United States are slowly recovering from the recession, office vacancies in the Washington metro area ticked higher over the past year, to 13.8% in the first quarter, according to the Wall Street Journal. Clearly a sequester-related decline in federal spending was partially responsible, particularly in Northern Virginia, home to the Pentagon and locus of the defense industry, where vacancies hit 15.8%.

But that’s not the whole story. Buried in the article was an anecdote that should send shivers down the backs of commercial property owners, real estate brokers and local government officials everywhere — not just NoVa, but everywhere — who depend upon commercial property tax revenue to balance their budgets.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. signed up in 2011 to take one quarter of the space in MetroPark VI in southeast Fairfax County near a National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency base. But late last year, the WSJ reports, the firm reversed course. The company halted construction and put its entire space on the market for sub-lease. The reason for the move? Not just defense cutbacks.

James Fisher, a spokesman for Booz Allen, said the decision to sublease at least a portion of the space came as more employees have been working from home or at clients’ offices, and as the company has been looking to trim its real-estate footprint.

Companies everywhere are realizing that they have way too much office space. Given the increasingly mobile nature of work — cell phones, laptops, Wi-Fi, the Cloud — more and more people are conducting work at home, at Starbucks, on the road, or in client offices…. just as Fisher said. Mobile work has been around for  a while. What’s different now is that building-automation systems have reached the point where it is possible to measure office utilization far more easily and less intrusively than before. Energy-efficiency systems installed to eek energy savings from HVAC and light bills keep track of when offices are occupied and when they’re not in order to adjust lighting and temperatures. What many companies are discovering is that offices are literally half empty most of the time.

Other than payroll, office buildings represent one of the largest cost centers for service-sector businesses. Increasingly, companies are realizing that they can save loads of money by utilizing their work space more efficiently. This shift in thinking is a secular trend arising from new technologies, having nothing to do with the level of federal spending, and will persist regardless of what happens to federal spending.

As an aside, the Journal noted that tax revenues from commercial properties in Fairfax County are coming in $33 million short of expectations this year. Revenues grew only 0.1%, far less than the 6% anticipated.

If I were a commercial property owner in the Washington area, I would be very afraid.

If I were a Northern Virginia government official dependent upon property tax revenues to balance my budget, I would be very afraid.

If I were anyone, anywhere, counting on metropolitan growth and development patterns to continue on the same trajectory as the past six decades, I would be very afraid.

What the Clams Know: Warming Waters

atlantic surf clamBy Peter Galuszka

Are warming seas forcing fish to migrate to cooler waters?

That’s the thrust of an intriguing report in Nature magazine as covered in this morning’s Post. The impacts on the seafood industry are already playing out. New England fishermen after cod and haddock report having to move farther north to catch them.

There are impacts in the Mid-Atlantic as well. According to The Post, warmer waters from Delaware to Virginia are pushing Atlantic surf clams to move farther north, and this has resulted in the closure of a clam processing plant in Virginia. Atlantic surf clams are a popular variety used for fried dishes or in chowders

I tried and failed to find out what plant it was. I did find one that was shut down in recent years near Mappsville on Virginia’s Eastern Shore but could not confirm the reason. The firm, Eastern Shore Seafood, was bought by Maryland-based Seawatch International which later shut the plant down.

I spoke with Mike Hutt, executive director of the Virginia Marine Products Board who had seen The Post story but couldn’t confirm details of any related plant closings or the impact of warming waters regionally

It would seem that warmer waters will add further stress to the region’s troubled seafood industry, especially for certain species. I’m not certain how it would affect favorites such as blue crabs that seem to thrive in tepid waters much farther south or oysters, which are struggling make a comeback in Chesapeake Bay. My guess, and I am no expert, is that other prized species such as bluefish and rockfish (striped bass to Northerners) might change their migration patterns because of climate change.

If the Nature research is correct, the fish may be sending us a powerful message that many haven’t figured out yet.

How Seriously Should We Take the Dulles-Air Cargo Hype?

air_cargoThere’s an apocryphal story about a big corporation that assigned its scientists and nutritionists to concoct the healthiest dog food they could devise. After great effort, they unveiled the product. This dog food, they announced, would keep dogs fit and slender. It would give them thick, smooth hair. It would take away their bad breath. There was just one problem…. the dogs wouldn’t eat it.

I remember that story when I hear the claims, mainly from boosters of the Washington Dulles International Airport and economic developers in Loudoun and Prince William Counties, that building a $1 billion-or-more north-south corridor will stimulate the growth of the air cargo business at Dulles, creating thousands of jobs and millions of dollars in warehouse-and-distribution investment.

What if Virginia built this fantastic new intermodal highway connecting Dulles airport with points west and south for the purpose of stimulating air cargo business… and the air cargo companies turned up their noses?

Del. Bob Marshal, R-Manassas, took it upon himself to actually contact two representatives of major air cargo enterprises. He talked to a mid-level representative of FedEx at its New Jersey office. She had no knowledge of the North-South Corridor. If anyone at FedEx was open to establishing a major presence at Dulles, that knowledge had not trickled down to her.

More tellingly, Marshall also talked to Mark Alagna, vice president for corporate public affairs for UPS in the Washington, D.C., office. Said Marshall: “He told me that UPS does not support this road, that they are unaware of this road and they were not pleased that [Virginia Department of Transportation] representatives made that claim.”

If the McDonnell administration has expressions of concrete interest, Marshall said, “Please reveal your names.”

My sense is that all the talk of boosting air cargo at Dulles is purely aspirational — it’s something that Dulles officials and economic developers would like to see happen. Building the road would make it a lot easier to get a conversation going with major shippers — hey, come on down, and expand your operations here. But the McDonnell administration has provide the public no evidence that the shipping community is interested.

For all the talk comparing Dulles to the ports of Virginia in Hampton Roads as “engines” of Virginia’s economic growth, there are huge differences between the two. There is no question that the Panama Canal is expanding. There is no question that Hampton Roads has the deepest channels on the East Coast and will be the only port capable of handling fully-loaded post-Panamax ships for several years. There is no question that the shipping community is seriously interested in Hampton Roads. Whether that interest justifies an investment of more than $1 billion in public dollars to build the U.S. 460 Connector to create a second highway route out of Hampton Roads is another question. But the business potential is widely acknowledged to exist.

No such case has yet been made for air cargo at Dulles. That’s not to say that conditions won’t change and interest in Dulles won’t materialize. But given what we know now, there is no evidence whatsoever that the dogs will eat this dog food.

– JAB

Misunderstanding the Link between Taxes and Economic Development

Tax Foundation graphic reproduced in the Atlantic Cities blog.

Tax Foundation graphic reproduced in the Atlantic Cities blog.

by James A. Bacon

In his latest post at the Atlantic Cities blog, Richard Florida asserts that a “lower state income tax does not spur economic development.” In support of his proposition, he argues that states with higher tax burdens are more affluent; they have higher concentrations of talent and workers in the so-called “creative” occupations. Writes Florida:

States with tax [income tax] burdens that range from $1,205 to $1,864 per person average $10,000 more in income than states with zero state income taxes — $81,594 versus $69,612. The same pattern is true of wages — states with high collections average $50,610 in wages versus $43,638 for states with low collections.

That’s pretty much his whole argument, although he does cite a two-year-old study from Nevada finding that states with Republican governors are associated with somewhat lower rates of growth and another study that criticizes “business climate” indexes as designed with political ends in mind.

There’s really no excuse for such superficial analysis. Yes, it’s true that high taxes and high incomes are correlated. But which way does the causality run? Do high taxes lead to high incomes, or do high incomes lead to high taxes? I would argue that the high incomes came first and the high taxes followed.

The evidence will show that some high-income states can trace much of their good fortune to historical factors, such as their 19th-century and early 20th-century leadership in the industrial revolution that created the vast wealth that seeded key institutions (universities, especially) necessary for the transition to the late-20th century transition to the knowledge economy. Thus, to pick an obvious example, Massachusetts prospers today because it is home to Harvard, MIT and a host of other highly ranked universities with billion-dollar endowments — not because of the splendiferous benefits conferred by its high taxes. Other states retain pockets of prosperity because they are home to world-class industry clusters that emerged decades ago and that seemingly no amount of mal-governance can dislodge. Think California, Silicon Valley and Hollywood.

What small-government conservatives argue is that lower-tax regimes stimulate more economic growth than high-tax regimes. Lower taxes may have little effect on an entrepreneur’s proclivity to launch a new business, but they do allow entrepreneurs to retain more of their earnings, which they can reinvest in growth.

The evidence is indisputable that high-tax states, on average, experience less job creation and significant out-migration to low-tax states. It’s pretty intuitive that people don’t move from New York to, say, Florida, North Carolina or Georgia for the better restaurants and high-brow culture. They move in search of superior job opportunities and lower cost of living. As a result, over a time span measured in decades, the income and wealth gap between Southern states and Northern states has narrowed considerably, even more so if you adjust for the differences in cost of living.

Where the debate gets interesting is when you ask the question, do higher taxes allow some states and local governments to support a higher level of infrastructure, amenity and service that people value more than the taxes they’re paying? Essentially, that is the argument that Florida makes. Insofar as states and regions use higher taxes to pay for better public schools and higher education, there may be some truth to that counter-argument. But when higher taxes go to pork-barrel spending, outrageous retirement packages for public employees and a more generous safety net for the poor, the argument falls apart.

To summarize, taxes are only one variable among many affecting economic growth and they explain only a modest fraction of the variability in growth rates between states. While lower taxes are (to my mind) clearly preferable to higher taxes, it would be unwise to overstate the case and tout them as an economic-development panacea. On the other hand, it is foolish, as Florida has done, to insist they have no significance.

For what it’s worth, Virginia’s income tax burden is 8th highest in the country, according to Tax Foundation data. Maybe that explains why economic growth here is relatively sluggish given the otherwise favorable business climate we have.

Made in Virginia: Boron Nanotubes

boron_nanotubresby James A. Bacon

I’ve long held a pet theory  that Virginia should strive to achieve a leadership position in high-performance fibers. We’ll never wrest semiconductors and software from Silicon Valley, we’ll never replicate the biotech assets of Boston. There’s no point in chasing faddish industries. Just pick a cool but under-appreciated industry to build on and stick with it. No one  region dominates the manufacture of advanced materials, so that field is still wide open, and it happens to be an area where Virginia has some real strengths.

Among the Old Dominion’s assets are two industrial giants, DuPont, the maker of Kevlar, and Honeywell, the manufacturer of Spectra, super-strong fibers spun in a textile process that are found in a wide array of high-performance materials. Another asset is the presence just down Interstate 64 of the Jefferson Lab’s free-electron laser, which has extraordinary abilities to manipulate matter and develop materials with remarkable properties.

At long last, the Lab has given rise to a material with great commercial potential — Fibril Boron Nitride Nanotubes, a polymer having the appearance of cotton but with a molecular backbone 100 times stronger than steel. BNNT Inc., a start-up company that will produce the fiber next door to the Jefferson Lab in Newport News, asserts that its product matches the strength of carbon nanotubes.

Boron and carbon nanotubes are “the strongest two fibers that will ever be made,” states the company website. But the boron nanotubes out-perform their carbon cousins in important respects,  including the ability to hold their strength at higher temperatures.

The ability to spin the nanotubes into a fiber means means the material can be fabricated by well-understood textile manufacturing processes to blend into body armor, solar cells or other applications. And that’s where DuPont and Honeywell come in. They have that expertise just a few miles down the road in Richmond.

The NASA Langley Research Center, which licensed the technology to BNNT, sees the potential to use the material in new types of armor, thin coatings, batteries and aerospace components. Among their advantages in, say, space-faring vessels, the boron nanotubes can be used in temperature environments up to 800 C, they have unusual electrical properties and they shield against neutron and ultraviolet radiation. The product also has biomedical uses in cancer treatments and nerve and bone regeneration, as well as for electrical insulation, fire retardant cabling, and materials for sensors and robots.

“This is the start of a revolution in materials,” says Dennis Bushnell, a NASA engineer who wants to use the nanotubes for space vehicles.  “Just about everything can be made lighter, and hopefully, cheaper. You’re talking about energy savings all over the place.”

“The current world supply of Fibril BNNT is under 10 grams, less than the weight of four pennies, but the demand for this material is tremendous,” said Mike Smith, the company’s chief scientist, according to Virginia Business. “We believe we can sell as much as we make.”

Here’s hoping that Hampton Roads and Richmond one day will become known as the high-performance fiber capital of the world!

Cuccinelli channels his inner Greenjeans

Ken the farmerFaceplant.  Every morning I open my Facebook page to see what my “friends” are doing.  Some are ranting about Obama, some are still ranting about Bush, several want people to adopt dogs of various breeds.  Bacon is plugging his latest column and quite a few people are looking for things in a game called Farmville.  This morning was a bit different.  Staring back at me from my computer monitor was Ken “Mr Greenjeans” Cuccinelli.  The Cooch has decided to solicit support for his jobs plan by being photographed in a field, wearing jeans and leaning against the back of a pickup truck.  I actually did laugh out loud when I saw the picture.

Paging Michael Dukakis.  I have nothing but respect for farmers or ranchers or cowboys (except the ones from Dallas) or whoever Cuccinelli was trying to impress.  I even own a place in rural Maryland surrounded by corn and soybean fields.  There are plenty of real farmers out there so I’m pretty sure I could recognize a farmer if I saw one.  Cooch … dude – you look like a Swedish accountant who hasn’t been outdoors since the late 90s.  Jim Bacon looks more like a farmer than you do.

Pointers for the next farming photo op.  Here’s the difference between what I have observed of actual farmers and your photograph.  Farmers don’t wear golf shirts.  Put on a tee shirt.  If you don’t own one find a skinny 14 year old and see if he’ll lend you his.  There is no Earthly way that farmers can keep their skin as white as yours.  Maybe hit a tanning bed or at least try some insta-tan.  A hat would also be nice.  I’d recommend “Bass Pro Shops” but anything other than a hat made by a golf equipment manufacturer will work.  No flat brims and take the store tag off before wearing it.  We’ll work on the urban look later, for now it’s the rural thing we’re trying to get right.

The real Farmer Greenjeans.  Ken, there is hope – the actor who portrayed Farmer Greenjeans on Captain Kangaroo wasn’t a real farmer either.  His name was Hugh Brannum and he grew up in the suburbs of Chicago and became a jazz musician before he took on the persona of Farmer Greenjeans.

Equal time.  Anybody who knows of a picture of Terry McAuliffe pretending to be something he is not should bring it to my attention.  For example, a picture of Terry pretending to be a person interested in public service would work.

- D.J. Rippert

Cuccinelli: Promote Economic Development by Creating Level Playing Field

cuccinelliby James A. Bacon

In a press conference this morning at a Richmond SweetFrog restaurant, Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli laid out the philosophical principle that would guide his approach to economic development if he were elected governor: Create a level playing field for all businesses rather than incentives for a lucky few.

He would close tax loopholes carved out for special interests, restructure the tax code to eliminate local business taxes and reduce the top corporate income tax rate from 6% to 4%, and he would pare way back on grants and tax breaks used as economic incentives. “Relative to what you’ve seen in the past, I would take a much harder view” of incentives, he said.

Cuccinelli said he would follow the example of Governor Bob McDonnell in making job creation his top priority. But he has no intention of playing a wheeler-dealer in seeking big corporate investments. Instead, he wants to create a tax climate that is more attractive to job creators by lowering taxes for every Virginia business.

The presumed Republican gubernatorial nominee was introduced by Vance Spilman, chief operating officer of Sweet Frogs, a chain of yogurt shops that opened in 2009, now has 250 locations around the country and is preparing to expand overseas. Sweet Frogs is profitable, Spilman said, and it is reinvesting its profits to grow the enterprise, which currently provides jobs for about 400 Virginians. Reducing the corporate income tax from 6% to 4% would allow the company to grow faster, he said.

Cuccinelli’s plan contained only a few specifics. He would:

  • Reduce the top individual income tax rate from 5.75% to 5% over four years beginning in 2014.
  • Establish a Small Business Tax Relief Commission with the goal of reducing the state corporate income tax and eliminating or reducing local Business Professional Occupational License (BPOL), Machine and Tool (M&T), and Merchants Capital (MC) taxes.
  • Pay for those tax reductions by eliminating outdated tax exemptions and loopholes “that promote crony capitalism” and by limiting the growth of General Fund spending to the rate of inflation plus population growth.

If his revenue cap had applied to the current fiscal year, in which spending increased 5.8% and inflation + population growth increased 3.3%, his formula would have saved $530 million.

Cuccinelli did not say specifically which loopholes he would cut, although he did endorse a proposal outlined by Del. David J. Toscano, D-Charlottesville, and Del. R. Lee Ware, R-Chesterfield, that would have closed about $75 million in loopholes. He also said that service-sector exemptions for the sales tax would be “on the table,” although he ruled out extending the sales tax to education or health care.

Curtailing incentives, broadening the tax base and lowering tax rates would be “fairer” and create opportunity for all business, he said.

The candidate also highlighted the “unique window of opportunity” presented by the expansion of the Panama Canal and Hampton Roads’ temporary status as the only East Coast port with channels deep enough to accommodate fully loaded post-Panamax vessels. The next governor, he said, needs to maximize that opportunity, which is expected to last only three or four years, by participating actively in state marketing efforts to attract more port cargo and more distribution centers.

Still Looking for the Scandal

Jonnie R. Williams. Photo credit: Times-Dispatch

Jonnie R. Williams. Photo credit: Times-Dispatch

by James A. Bacon

Virginia’s GiftGate has escalated from a minor brouhaha into a full-fledged media feeding frenzy with national overtones. The Washington Post editorial page has referred to the relationship with Star Scientific founder Jonnie R. Williams Sr. and Virginia’s two leading elected officials, Governor Bob McDonnell and Attorney General Ken Cuccinell, as “Virginia’s deepening scandal.”

Rachel Maddow, the MSNBC host who has elevated snark to an art-form, has declared, “Yes, Virginia, there is a scandal at hand.” She lambasted the governor for such reprehensible behavior as vacationing at Williams’ lake house at Smith Mountain Lake and riding back to Richmond in Williams’ Ferrari — which, she hastened to inform us, has “a retail price of $190,000.”

Based upon the reporting that I have seen, however, it is way premature to call the revelations a “scandal.” The media are making a Himalayan mountain chain out of a series of molehills. There is absolutely no evidence — at this point — that either McDonnell or Cuccinelli reciprocated Williams’ generosity with favors or special treatment.

Let me hasten to add a very important caveat. While I remain less than impressed by the allegedly scandalous dimensions of the affair based upon the evidence presented so far, I am more than willing to revise my appraisal if more substantive information turns up.

Also, let me make clear, I have no problem with the media running down the facts. A critical role of the Fourth Estate is to investigate the intersection of wealth and power. The bigger and more all-encompassing government gets and the more corporations seek to gain competitive advantage in the marketplace through the currying of political favor, the more imperative it is for the media to stand vigilant. Those in power need to know that their relationships and actions will be scrutinized for their propriety.

Further, neither McDonnell nor Cuccinelli did themselves any favors with the sloppy reporting of gifts from Williams, most notoriously the $15,000 Williams paid toward the banquet for McDonnell’s daughter’s wedding. McDonnell’s excuse that he did not report the contribution because it was a gift to his daughter came across as particularly lame.

Further, I do consider it unseemly that the First Lady, Maureen McDonnell, would travel to Florida to promote the Anatabloc anti-inflammatory supplement produced by Williams’ company, Star Scientific. Do we want Virginia’s First Lady flacking for corporate interests? Not me, not unless her appearance has been vetted by bureaucratic economic-development authorities. Finally, Cuccinelli, who owned stock in Star Scientific, should have recused himself from any involvement in litigation by the Attorney General’s office over the company’s unpaid taxes as soon as the situation arose rather than waiting for his relationship with Williams to be made public.

McDonnell and Cuccinelli are big boys. They know how the game is played. And they deserve to take heat for their oversights. But if those offenses amount to a “scandal,” it’s pretty weak stuff. Where’s the quid pro quo? Where is the string pulling? Where’s the abuse of power? Where’s the big pay-off for Williams or Star Scientific?

As a prime instigator of the media frenzy, The Washington Post devoted an entire article to an incident in which Star Scientific repaid hundreds of thousands of dollars of incentive money when it failed to live up to investment and job goals. Read the lead:

Star Scientific, whose chief executive paid for the food at the wedding of Gov. Bob McDonnell’s daughter, failed to create enough jobs to meet its part of an economic development deal with Virginia and was forced to repay hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Oooh, that sounds deplorable. But it turns out that Star Scientific received the grant in 2002 — during the Warner administration! Governor Mark Warner had approved a $300,000 grant from the Governor’s Opportunity Fund as part of a $1 million incentive package when Star Scientific expanded a facility in Mecklenburg County. The $49.9 million project was supposed to create 315 jobs but it didn’t. Failing to meet investment and job goals outlined in his agreement with the state, Star Scientific returned the money in 2008 — during the Kaine administration. The system worked precisely as it was designed to. And none of this had anything remotely to do with McDonnell. What was the point of the article?

What we appear to have is an instance of a wealthy entrepreneur with Republican sentiments contributing lots of money to two Republican grandees and going out of his way to court a friendship with them. One might legitimately ask why. One might legitimately inquire if Williams was angling for some kind of favor. That’s why the public scrutiny is fully warranted. But to term the friendship a “scandal” at this point seems absurd. There is no public evidence that Williams received — or even asked for — special treatment.

Right now, it appears that that Williams, a wealthy man, likes to surround himself with rich and powerful friends and that McDonnell and Cuccinelli, both powerful men, enjoy the friendship of a guy with big houses and flashy cars.

If that’s a “scandal,” then it’s one that every governor of Virginia — and every governor of every state in the union — is undoubtedly guilty of.

Virginia: Pretty Darned Enterprising

enterprising_statesby James A. Bacon

For those who haven’t yet succumbed to state-ranking overload, here’s one more, this from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Its fourth annual Enterprising States report ranks states for the degree to which they are “best positioned to grow, create jobs and prosper in the coming five to ten years.”

The Chamber examines each state for 33 measures, which it organizes in six broad categories. Virginia snags a No. 5 spot for overall performance. Here is the breakdown by category:

Economic performance — 5th
Exports — 46th
Innovation and entrepreneurship — 3rd
Business climate — 16th
Talent pipeline — 5th
Infrastructure — 24th

Three of the top five performing states — North Dakota, Texas and Wyoming — are all enjoying natural resource booms. Of course, it could be said that Virginia has benefited from a federal spending boom. Here’s what the report says about the Old Dominion:

Virginia takes 1st place in our measure of general standard of living: median family income adjusted for cost of living. The state’s steady performance—ranking between 14th and 23rd in the other six performance measures—lands it 5th overall in growth and performance. Partly owing to its proximity to the nation’s capital, Virginia is a national leader in professional, scientific, and technical services. Virginia grew that sector 37% over the past decade — impressive growth for an already large sector.

And here is what Governor Bob McDonnell had to say:

Creating the best environment for private-sector job creation and innovation has been the top focus of our administration. Since we took office, our unemployment rate has fallen from 7.3 percent to 5.3 percent, the lowest rate in the Southeast and the second lowest east of the Mississippi. This report confirms that when it comes to supporting startups and new jobs, Virginia is a national leader and continuing to make substantive progress. But there is more to do. We have continued last year’s “Year of the Entrepreneur” campaign in Virginia with the ongoing “innoVAte” initiative, including an undergraduate business plan competition that brought some of the most promising startup ideas from 21 of Virginia’s colleges and universities to Richmond yesterday. Innovators like the young people who pitched their business plans to investors yesterday will form the backbone of a culture of entrepreneurship in Virginia that will continue to make the Commonwealth one of the best places to live, raise a family, and find a good job.

Bacon’s bottom line: To what extent can McDonnell, or any other governor, take credit for Virginia’s strong performance? That’s a really sticky question. Clearly, the national economy is a major factor in Virginia’s performance, and so is proximity to the federal spending machine in Washington, D.C. The boom in major industries, especially the energy and agricultural sectors, also has driven state performance recently — in Virginia’s case, an energy-importing state, acting as a drag on performance. It’s difficult to disentangle the effect of state or regional policy, and any claims must be taken with a grain of salt.

My first rule of economic development is, “Do no harm.” And other than raising taxes to crank up spending on transportation, McDonnell has done no harm. The initiatives he highlights in the prepared statement above have little more than symbolic value. What he has not done — he hasn’t passed a lot of expensive regulations or spending programs — is more important that what he has. And his record on that score is fairy good.