Virginia Pundit Watch

Will Vehrs


 

 

Red State Review

 

Despite a noble effort by Democrats, Virginia remained comfortably in the Red State column on November 2nd.  Pundits in the Commonwealth still expressed the wide range of reactions that swept the nation in the wake of President Bush and the Republicans’ victory.

 

Soul-Searching: A subdued Bob Gibson of the Daily Press surveyed the wreckage and offered three suggestions. He told Democrats not to run as the anti-Bush, that faith and values are not dirty words, and “running as a moderate does not require anyone to run as a light Republican.”

 

Triumph: A delighted Ross Mackenzie of the Richmond Times-Dispatch claimed that “Middle Americans - the people who get up early each day to raise the kids and make this nation work - just blew John Kerry away. He couldn't connect with them - didn't get it even in his concession speech that they voted against him in droves.”

 

Recriminations: One would think that Paul Goldman, campaign manager for Doug Wilder’s stunningly successful mayoral race, would be magnanimous in victory. Instead, writing in the Washington Post, Goldman linked those who did not support Wilder vigorously enough to “why the national Democratic Party lost the South to George Bush in the presidential election.” Goldman specifically blasted Virginia Pundit Watch favorite Gordon Morse, author of a skeptical look at Wilder prior to the election.

 

Conservative Caution: Melanie Scarborough of the Washington Post hailed the election of several “conservative” candidates, but warned, “Virginians will be ill-served if their representatives give the president free rein. Bush's policies have helped drive Americans $7 trillion into debt. Where are the Republicans who supposedly favor fiscal restraint?”

 

Denial: Wil LaViest of the Daily Press, while claiming he was “fine” with Bush’s re-election, expends a lot of energy denying that the President has a mandate. “This was no mandate to bask in. It's the rise of an unholy alliance between government and the church that the nation's founders sought to avoid.”

 

Bitter Denial: Virginia Tech Professor Dennis Kilper wrote in the Roanoke Times that he was “appalled and devastated by the election results. It's like a validation of Stanley Milgram's experiment - that in support of authority the people will condone any atrocity.” Adding paranoia to bitterness, Kilper even claimed the IRS would audit him because of his views.

 

The most realistic view of Election 2004 as it relates to Virginia may have come from the Virginian-Pilot’s Margaret Edds:

 

The election is dead. Long live the election. In Virginia, politics is never done. At the very moment one election cycle slips into the grave, another exits the womb. The burping and diapering on the 2005 statewide elections for governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general are already under way.

 

Winning by Losing

 

Some might say that popular Democratic Governor Mark Warner, unable to deliver Virginia to John Kerry, was a 2004 election loser. Others were quick to anoint Warner as the type of moderate, geographically advantaged candidate that Democrats should turn to in 2008. As Harold Meyerson wrote in the Washington Post,

 

The only two successful Democratic presidential nominees since Lyndon Johnson were both governors of Southern states . . . That's why Hillary Clinton's stock has been falling since Election Day, and why that of Virginia Gov. Mark Warner and other red-state Democrats has been rising.

 

Winning by Winning

 

Virginia Republican Senator George Allen is almost universally recognized as a big winner coming out of the 2004 elections. As head of the Republican Senatorial Committee, he is being credited with the party’s gain of four seats. Both Ed Lynch of the Roanoke Times and David Lerman of the Daily Press saw Allen’s performance a strong indicator that he will pursue a higher national profile, up to and including a possible Presidential bid.

 

Recovering from Soul-Searching

 

It took Bob Gibson only a week to begin fighting back for Virginia Democrats. He wrote of Lt. Governor Tim Kaine’s religious faith and his service as a missionary in Honduras, challenging Republicans to question Kaine’s “morality.” Does anyone remember Gibson writing so approvingly of former gubernatorial candidate Mark Earley’s religious values and missionary work?

 

What Does It Mean?

 

Preston Bryant of the Roanoke Times, a Republican delegate from Lynchburg, attempted to divine what the 2004 election results might mean for the 2005 General Assembly. “Republicans will be feeling their oats,” according to Bryant. “It is assumed that socially conservative initiatives will have little trouble passing the House of Delegates and Senate.” He wondered if the “ambitious” Governor Warner would veto a constitutional ban on gay marriages, “especially when 11 other states last week approved such bans overwhelmingly?”

 

Dumb or Dumber?

 

At least one pundit was neither crowing nor mourning over the election results. A. Barton Hinkle of the Richmond Times-Dispatch offered a tongue-in-cheek apologia from Bush voters scorned by certain quarters of elite opinion:

 

Us here in Bush Country sorry. We sorry for being so dumb, voting for dumb President Bush.

 

Only two groups go for Kerry: those with post-graduate schooling (55-44) and those who not even finish high school (50-49). If really smart people and really dumb people agree, does that make dumb people look smart, or smart people look dumb?

 

All that academic now, pardon expression. We take your word we dumb. From now on follow your advice: Vote for us, you stupid morons. Only true genius could come up with real winning political slogan like that.

 

We can only hope that the 2005 contest in Virginia will be slightly more elevated, although giving Hinkle more material to work with would be a nice consolation. 

 

-- November 15, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Will Vehrs grew up in Prince William County. He has a degree in American history from the College of William and Mary and an MBA from Chapman University. Will's experience includes a stint with a Fortune 500 company and economic development work in state government. His "Punditwatch" column appears on FoxNews.com and Jewish World Review, as well as on his own Punditwatch website. He also writes for the Quasipundit political site.