Koelemay's Kosmos

Doug Koelemay



 

Power to Choose

 

After Isabel struck, electric consumers just wanted their power restored. But the SCC, which recently dissed deregulation, should take a longer view of the future of the electric-power industry.


 

When Isabel roared through Virginia Thursday and Friday, the storm took down electrical power to hundreds of thousands. The power outages, in turn, cut water supplies to millions, scrambled traffic and shut down computer networks, a compounding of difficulties that proves how interdependent modern systems have become. Those of us who could tune in uninterrupted to Virginia Tech’s football win as the storm moved through, suffering no hardship other than boiling our drinking water in our air conditioned homes, are the lucky ones.

 

For the record, Isabel didn’t care whether there is retail competition in Virginia’s energy sector. The storm wasn’t concerned with transmission operations, planning, pricing, generation dispatch, reserve requirements or market power control. Neither were the millions of people faced with a loss of electricity in the storm’s aftermath, whose thoughts went no further than getting power back on as quickly as possible.

 

Unfortunately, a report from the State Corporation Commission earlier this month suggests the SCC doesn’t care about retail competition either, despite a process the General Assembly put in motion four years ago for the SCC to facilitate. Still assessing the future using measurements from the regulated past, the SCC said energy choice to date is a failure: Only 2,300 retail customers have chosen a provider other than Dominion Virginia Power, and there are no competitive offers of electricity being made in Virginia despite 12 competitive suppliers being licensed to do so. The SCC recommended the governor and General Assembly suspend portions of Virginia’s Electric Utility Restructuring Act, re-bundle rates and extend a moratorium on the transfer of control of electric transmission systems to federally regulated regional transmission entities.

 

There is a huge difference, of course, between deregulation as a philosophy and deregulation as a practical matter. Still, policy-makers and consumers in Virginia should take this traditional, short-term view offered by the SCC, a state regulatory agency determined to justify its existence, with a grain of salt. Its insistence that the Commonwealth of Virginia retain the authority to ensure reliable service at just and reasonable rates leaves only the old regulatory regime as an acceptable option. Despite a disclaimer that suspension of the process should last “only as long as necessary to provide Virginia policy-makers a reasonably clear view of the likely nature of the transformed industry,” the SCC basically calls on Virginia to abandon the deregulation process and keep the SCC in control.

 

A basic flaw in the SCC’s reasoning, of course, is the failure to acknowledge that a freer market in energy is a continuing process, not a specific result. Just as regulation doesn’t guarantee power in a storm, deregulation will not automatically provide reliable service or just and reasonable rates or perfectly ethical energy traders or generating and transmission assets dedicated only to Virginians. Deregulation means competition. Competition means options. Options mean risk. Risk tolerates a certain level of failure. So waiting for a clear view of a complex and dynamic process before committing to fundamental change really is an endorsement of regulation over market forces.

 

A second flaw is the expectation that somehow the Commonwealth of Virginia can provide for its own electricity needs in isolation from what is happening in other states, regions and even foreign countries. In the regulated environment most familiar to the SCC, greater reliance on wholesale market purchases of power by energy companies also has its risks. In a market-driven system over time, a greater reliance on wholesale market purchases of power positively encourages more investment in efficient and productive operations. Virginia electricity generators already are linked in multi-state grids, such as the Appalachian Power’s participation in an interconnection agreement among providers in Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan and Indiana. Attempting to bottle up the Commonwealth’s low-cost electricity providers, such as Dominion Virginia Power, inside its political borders and keep Virginia out of the competition cannot work.

 

A third flaw is suggesting that all future policy decisions of federal regulators and regional transmission authorities will work to the detriment of Virginia consumers, businesses and industrial users in ways that continued regulation at the state level will not. Actually, stalling of the process in the Commonwealth has produced an “unregulated monopoly” status for Dominion Virginia Power, which has found the perfect middle ground with a “rate to compare” high enough to generate profits, but too low to invite competition. Provisions of current law that require alternative providers to pay wire charges to Dominion Virginia Power make it even harder for others to compete.

 

But the retail competition equation is broader and wider than the simple comparison of cost per kilowatt hour. Consider, for example, the simple statement that only about 2,300 Virginians have chosen a supplier of electricity other than Dominion Virginia Power. Most of those have chosen Pepco Energy Services, which offers electricity generated from renewable sources -- wind, solar, hydroelectric, biomass -- at a slightly higher rate per kilowatt hour. But Pepco Energy Services markets itself as “more than energy,” with an integrated systems approach that weaves energy information systems, efficiency solutions, project financing, operations and maintenance, onsite generation and supply and advisory services into broad cost savings. Such an approach is attractive to large business, industrial and institutional users, such as the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Institutes of Health, Arlington County, Maryland state agencies and the Camden Yards sports complex in Baltimore that Pepco Energy Services has signed up.

 

The SCC September report sets up more critical questions than answers for the Commission on Electric Utility Restructuring (COEUR), formerly known as the Legislative Transition Task Force. But the lessons of Isabel and the August Northeast Blackout are clear. From a stand-alone electricity generating and transmission system regulated at the state level, the Commonwealth of Virginia has grown into a node in a multi-state network of infrastructure networks. Virginia ’s electricity systems no longer function separately from others in the region and they rely, in turn, on communications, transportation and other networks in a larger integrated, inter-dependent system. Dynamic change driven by and adjusting to market forces across electricity systems and across complementary infrastructure is the new reality. That means more regional, national and even international market agreements ahead.

 

So while old regulatory schemes may seem warm and fuzzy, COEUR shouldn’t turn voyeur and just watch. Speeding up restructuring is what will transform the power to choose into real choice. Move ahead prudently, but move ahead.

 

September 25, 2003

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

More about Doug Koelemay

 

Contact info

 

J. Douglas Koelemay

Managing Director

Qorvis Communications

8484 Westpark Drive

Suite 800

McLean, Virginia 22102

Phone: (703) 744-7800

Fax:    (703) 744-7994

Email:   dkoelemay@qorvis.com