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Follow
the Money
Rail-to-Dulles
is the most expensive public works project in
Virginia history. To understand the maneuvering
over what gets built and who pays for it, start by
untangling the web of special interests.
by
Peter Galuszka
The
corridor between Tysons Corner and Washington
Dulles International Airport is home to one of the
most dynamic high-tech business communities in the
world. But economic growth has far outpaced the
ability of state and local governments to keep up.
Roads are so congested that Northern Virginia
could teach L.A. a few lessons about gridlock.
The
great hope of business, political and civic
leaders is a $4 billion proposal to run a 23-mile
spur off the Washington Metro rail system through
Tysons Corner, Reston and Dulles Airport. Boosters
say the project would add the equivalent of four
lanes of rush-hour freeway. Not only would
Metrorail offer public transit to thousands of
desperate commuters, they say, it would coax
billions of dollars of new investment into Tysons
Corner, transforming the disconnected tangle of
offices and shopping centers into a vibrant,
world-class business center.
Yet
there is frantic gnashing of teeth and mashing of
calculators about the project, the sheer size of
which seems to make it an unstoppable juggernaut
with a life and purpose of its own. The $4 billion
cost estimate, now four years old, could climb
much higher.
Dulles
Rail is the biggest cash cow to graze in Fairfax
County since its dairy land turned into concrete
decades ago. The construction and service
contracts will run into the multi-billions of
dollars. Corporations owning land near planned
Metro stops will reap billions more in windfall
value. And the bulk of the bills, as currently
envisioned, will be paid by taxpayers and Dulles
Toll Road commuters.
It’s
the nature of politics in America: Whenever the
spoils are that huge, and whenever there are big
winners and losers, various interest groups
emerge. They form organizations to promote their
agendas, hire lobbyists, proffer self-serving
arguments cloaked in the rhetoric of the public
interest, donate money to politicians and seek to
influence the bureaucratic process in their favor.
With Rail to Dulles, the magnitude of the dollars
at stake and the jostling of the special interests
are on a scale and complexity that Virginia has
never seen before.
Phase
One of the 11-station project would run as an
offshoot from Metro’s orange line past east
Falls Church to Wiehle Avenue in Reston. Phase Two
would take Dulles rail from Reston for six more
stops through Dulles airport to Route 772 in
Loudoun. At the moment, Phase One is estimated to
cost $2.1 billion.
Some
$900 million of Phase One would come from the
Federal Transit Authority, about $525 million
would come from the state of Virginia through
Dulles Toll Road revenues and another $525 million
would come from Fairfax County through a special
tax district encompassing private businesses along
the Dulles corridor. It isn’t known yet who
would pay for the balance of $125 million or any
possible cost overruns, says Marsha McAllister,
communications manager for the state Department of
Rail & Public Transportation.
There
are no firm estimates for Phase Two, and
McAllister warns that “the $4 billion total
construction number was what was contained in an
Environmental Impact Statement four years ago.”
Assuming that construction costs have escalated by
five percent annually since then, the price tag
could well be 20 percent higher. Where that $800
million would come from is anybody’s guess.
Here
are just some of the cross-cutting interests with
a stake in the outcome:
-
Rail
vs. Road. Dulles Toll Road commuters are
furious that the state reneged on a promise to
stop charging tolls after the original
construction bonds were paid off. Why, they
ask, should they be asked to pay for
construction of a rail line they won’t
use?
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Consortium
vs. Consortium. Gov. Tim Kaine recently
scotched plans to tunnel the line underneath
Tysons Corner, fearing that the extra $200
million cost would threaten federal funding.
That decision works to the advantage of Dulles
Transit Partners, which has the inside track
on getting the construction contract. The
loser is a rival construction consortium
headed by McLean-based WEST*GROUP, which was
angling for the tunnel.
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Politicians
vs. Smart Growthers. Elected officials of
both parties, desperate for a solution to
Northern Virginia’s region’s legendary
traffic congestion, are in a panic to get the
project built whatever it takes – even if it
means supporting the less popular aerial track
through Tysons. Bitterly disappointed are
those who regarded the tunnel option as the
impetus for transforming the dysfunctional
suburban district into a world-class urban
center that offers a mix of housing, offices
and retail with pedestrian access to the
stations.
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Landowner
vs. Landowner. Tysons landowners with
property near proposed Metro stops stand to
become Double Lotto winners: Once for access
to the Metro and twice for increased densities
to go along with it. Through a special tax
district in Fairfax County, landowners as a
class would pay a portion of the tab for
building Metro. But that district levies
landowners at the same rate, regardless of
whether they sit adjacent to a Metro station
or are located a half mile away. The clear
winners are a handful of landowners near the
Metro stops.
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Fairfax
vs. Loudoun. Eight of 11 Metro stops would
be located in Fairfax County, one in Dulles
Airport and two in Loudoun County. The Metro
would spur investment first and foremost
around the four stops in Tysons Corner,
yielding a tax bonanza in commercial
development. Some critics in Loudoun County
wonder what’s in it for them: Loudoun won't
get the development benefits until Phase Two.
Yet Loudoun commuters relying upon the Dulles
Toll Road to get to work in Fairfax will be
paying a fortune in tolls over the next
decade.
Adding
to the general confusion, the project is still in
flux. The Virginia Department of Rail and Public
Transportation, a public entity tasked with
spurring public-private investment in transit,
currently oversees the project. But Gov. Kaine
wants to transfer oversight to the Metropolitan
Washington Airports Authority, a
multiple-jurisdiction organization with its own
distinct set of interests.
Another
big question is who will get the design/build
contract for the project. The Department of Rail
and Public Transportation awarded the preliminary
engineering contract, for $45.5 million, to Dulles
Rail Partners after a competitive bid. It now
appears that Dulles Rail has an excellent chance
of winning contracts for the entire project
without any more competition. Some have called for
open bids in the hopes of driving down the cost.
If a negotiated contract for Dulles Rail comes in
at much higher than $4 billion, this is likely to
become a major issue.
The
prospect of a negotiated bid is already raising
eyebrows because Bechtel, one of the Dulles Rail
partners, has a penchant for drawing controversy.
Bechtel was at the epicenter of one of the most
contested mega projects ever, the “Big Dig” in
Boston, whose price tag started at about $2
billion in the 1980s and ended up in the $14
billion range.
Part
of Bechtel’s modus operandi, critics charge, is
to co-opt public officials with campaign
contributions so they won’t be too critical when
such their projects hit bumps or cost overruns. An
official for Bechtel Infrastructure, part of the
Dulles consortium, denies his firm operates that
way. He notes that his firm’s work on the Boston
project, finished in 2003, was limited to
engineering and management, not the actual
construction. Despite Bechtel’s denials,
suspicions linger.
You
can’t understand the game without a roster. Here
is a detailed look at the major players:
The
Politicians
Ever
since Dulles rail was conceived, the special
interests have made a sophisticated effort to get
politicians on board. A sample of prominent
backers includes:
-
Gerald
Connolly, chairman of the Fairfax County
board of supervisors, is a consultant who also
happens to be employed by SAIC, a defense
contractor that owns land that would grain in
value from the rail project. Connolly, a
Democrat, has received at least $9,800 over
the years in campaign contributions from major
developers and construction firms connected
with the rail project including, WEST*GROUP
and Lerner. Bechtel Infrastructure has given
him $150.
-
Del.
Kenneth R. Plum, D-Reston, member of the
House Commerce and Labor committee, is a
founder and chairman of the Dulles Corridor
Rail Association, a lobbying group. He has
received more than $6,700 in campaign
contributions from business interests linked
to Dulles Rail. Plum also has received $2,250
in political campaign contributions from
Washington Group International.
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Del.
Vincent F. Callahan, vice chairman of the
Dulles Rail Corridor Association and chairman
of the House Appropriations Committee, has
received $1,000 in campaign contributions from
Washington Group International.
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U.S.
Rep. Frank R. Wolf, a Republican whose
10th district covers McLean to Winchester. A
major supporter of the project, Wolf had
backed a tunnel connecting four stops in
Tysons Corner along the rail line, which also
happens to be strongly supported by major
Tysons real estate interests, including
WEST*GROUP, Lerner and SAIC. Wolf has received
campaign contributions worth $25,050 from
Science Application International Corp (SAIC),
a major landowner near the Dulles rail line,
from 2002 to 2006. He got $9,750 from
West*Group Management in 2004.
However,
in a July 26 letter, Wolf urged Gov. Tim Kaine
to reconsider the tunnel for fear of losing from
the Federal Transit Authority and running the
entire project off the rails. Kaine nixed the
tunnel plan in late summer.
-
U.S.
Rep Tom Davis, a Republican from the 11th
District, co-signed the July 26 letter to
Kaine asking that the rail project not be
delayed because of a tunnel at Tysons. He has
received $41,500 from SAIC from 2002 to 2006
and $11,250 from Lerner Corp.
The
Landowners
Named
for the intersection of two, once-rural roads,
Tysons Corner has grown over the years into a
sophisticated Washington-area destination with
25.6 million square feet of office space and four
million square feet of retail. Its Tysons Galleria
and Center shopping malls host tony stores and
hotels, including a Ritz-Carlton. The business
center is home to many of Northern Virginia’s
leading high-tech firms, which are enjoying the
defense and homeland security spending bonanza.
Major developers include Lerner Corp. and
WEST*GROUP which has patiently built up Tysons
from its inception.
One
reason that the Tysons developers so adamantly
back the rail project is that it gives them a
reason to seek increases in office and retail
densities in the Fairfax County comprehensive plan
and zoning.
Mike
Cavin, an official of a computer company who has
studied the Dulles rail project, says that
densities, measured in “floor area ratios” (FARs),
run about 1.5 in the Tysons area. Yet he believes
that the major commercial entities there could
seek FARs of from 3.0 to up to 5.5 if the rail
line goes through. Higher densities of that
magnitude would provide a windfall in property
valuations worth hundreds of millions, maybe
billions, of dollars. Says Cavin: “These guys
would reap big property value increases on their
books” the moment FAR increases are approved.”
Those
real estate values would provide the impetus for
landowners to raise billions of dollars to
refashion Tysons Corner into a more cohesive,
pedestrian- friendly community with a better
balance of housing, offices and retail amenities. About 100,000 people work there each day, but only
about 17,000 live there. Creating a balance of
residents and workers potentially would take tens
of thousands of commuters off the strained highway
arteries serving the region.
Indeed,
McLean-based WEST*GROUP, led by Gerald Halpin, and
other local companies have strongly lobbied for a
tunnel through Tysons: Underground Metro stations
would add more value to the properties above. But
tunnel advocates include those with no financial
interest in the outcome. Construction of an
above-ground rail line along major thoroughfares,
many fear, would bring traffic to a screeching
halt for extended periods. Furthermore, smart
growth proponents contend that the looming,
above-ground rail lines will divide Tysons into
unconnected islands, dashing the dreams of
improving connectivity and access within the
business district.
Tysons
developers are major players in local political
campaigns. WEST*GROUP’s Halpin, for instance,
has contributed many thousands of dollars to local
and state candidates connected to the Dulles rail
project. In recent years, the real estate mogul
has given nearly $400,000 to Democratic candidates
and $45,250 to Republicans. He helped Kaine to the
tune of $40,000 when he ran for lieutenant
governor with former Gov. Mark Warner, to whom
Halpin also gave $50,000.
Halpin
later gave $85,000 to the “Tim PAC” for Kaine
and helped bankroll Kaine’s Williamsburg
inauguration this January for $25,000, according
to the Virginia Public Access Project, which
compiles data on contributions. Halpin has also
given other local leaders money, including
Connolly, Callahan and Plum.
Despite the contributions, Halpin did not get his
way on the Tysons tunnel. Although Kaine had
strongly preferred the tunnel option, he nixed it
for fear that the added expense would jeopardize
federal funding for the project. Despite the
failure to win the tunnel, WEST*GROUP, which owns
undeveloped land in the Tysons area plus multiple
developed properties, still stands to benefit from
higher density zoning if the rail line goes
through.
In
a written response to questions from Bacons
Rebellion, WEST*GROUP officials said that the
Dulles rail project “is a critical component for
the Northern Virginia Transportation system, but
that the project should be built “so that it is
both attractive and easily accessible for all
riders from the beginning.” User services such
as elevators, bridges and conveyors must be built
from the beginning and not subject to deletion for
cost reasons later by the developer, the company
says.
WEST*GROUP
officials cited a $2 billion construction figure
for Phase One that includes the tunnel option,
which is less than the most recent. $2.3 billion
price tag for the aerial option. That's why, the
firm said, any contracts should be bid
competitively.
WEST*GROUP
gives political contributions because it “has
been in business for 42 years” and is active in
the community, a spokesman said.
Big
Transit
When
it comes to mega projects, Bechtel and Washington
Group International are hardly strangers. Bechtel
built the famed Grand Coulee Dam and WGI erected
Pennsylvania Station in New York in 1910 and, more
recently, the Hudson-Bergen light rail line in New
Jersey and another one connecting Los Angeles with
Pasadena. The two formed a consortium in 2004 that
bid competitively for the design and engineering
work worth $45.4 million for Phase One of Dulles
rail.
“We
are currently in negotiations for a fixed-price,
design/build contract,” says Jennifer Augment,
manager of communications for Dulles Rail
Partners, the consortium. WEST*GROUP had at one
time been part of the consortium but dropped out
for potential conflict-of-interest reasons.
Negotiations for the next $2.1 billion Phase One
could take several months. If the state and the
consortium cannot come to an agreement, then the
state will put the contract out for competitive
bidding. Otherwise Bechtel and WGI have the inside
track for the whole project.
Such
a fixed-price, design/build paradigm is the modern
way to go for such big time players as Bechtel and
WGI, Bechtel officials claim. Years ago, a state
would assign contracts for a major building
project in bits and pieces, in part to satisfy
political constituents. But computers and newer
construction management policies make it more
cost- and time-efficient to manage and build the
entire project while subbing out much of the work.
At
least that’s the argument of Augment and Howard
Menaker, a Washington-based communications manager
for Bechtel Infrastructure in Washington.
“Bechtel has worked on a number of
public-private partnerships,” says Menaker,
“and we offer more continuity. The work is done
far faster and with less money.”
While
Menaker’s statement fits a definition of modern
construction management, Bechtel’s record in
management is spotty. Bechtel and partner
ParsonsBrinckerhoff got the lion’s share of the
blame for the $14 billion “Big Dig” project
which connects Logan International Airport with
downtown Boston and other neighborhoods through a
huge system of tunnels and bridges.
The
“Big Dig” became a Poster Child for
mismanagement of public works projects with
massive cost overruns. Accusations flew that
materials used were substandard and that asbestos
threats were ignored as completion schedules got
pushed back and expenses grew from about $2
billion back in the 1980s to more than $14 billion
when the project was completed in 2003. The
project got another black eye earlier this year
when a section of tunnel broke apart and killed a
passing motorist.
In
2003, The Boston Globe published a scathing
investigation of the project that in part
lambasted Bechtel for creating a web of lobbyists
and political money to grease its way in the Big
Dig and blunt criticism. So extensive was
Bechtel’s practice of contributing to
politicians and pushing lobbyists on them that it
drew comment from Alan Altshuler, a land planning
professor at the Harvard Graduate School of
Design. The Globe quoted Altshuler as saying:
“This was a case where (Bechtel executives) are
obviously being very responsive to the politics in
Massachusetts . . . You would have wanted a
legislative oversight committee or someone to say,
‘Hey, that’s wrong. These guys should not be
active in Massachusetts politics. They are
powerful enough.’”
Altshuler,
coauthor of 2003 book on mega projects including
the Big Dig, declined through a spokeswoman to be
interviewed by Bacons Rebellion. Bechtel
has issued an 18-page-long, point-by-point
rebuttal to the Globe series. Menaker says
that a major difference between Dulles and the Big
Dig is that Bechtel and ParsonsBrinckerhoff were
merely design and construction managers in Boston,
while in Virginia they hope to be general
contractors as well. In the case of the Big Dig,
the Commonwealth of Massachusetts was the general
contractor, he says. In Virginia, with Bechtel and
its partner in charge, things should be different,
he implies.
Is
Bechtel following a similar business model in
Virginia? Some signs suggest yes.
For
starters, Bechtel and WGI have hired a highly
well-connected lawyer John G. Milliken, a partner
at Venable LLP, a prominent Washington law firm
whose roster of partners also includes former U.S.
Sen. Birch Bayh of Indiana. Milliken has extensive
ties and experience with Virginia’s
transportation policy makers. From 1990 to 1994,
he served as state Secretary of Transportation
under then Gov. L. Douglas Wilder. He is now chairman
of Virginia Port Authority board and helped lead
the transition team for former Gov. Mark Warner.
Contacted by Bacons Rebellion, Milliken
says he “has done legal work for the
consortium” for a couple of years but insists
that he does no lobbying for them.
Menaker
says that Bechtel gave no money to local or state
politicians in Massachusetts but conceded that
Bechtel does give money to federal candidates in
36 states. At first, he stated that the same was
true in Virginia, but after checking his records,
he noted that Bechtel Infrastructure did, in fact,
donate more than $17,000 to local and state
politicians, including members of the General
Assembly and members of the Fairfax Board of
Supervisors.
Moreover,
Bechtel Infrastructure gave $50,000 to a political
action committee called Citizens for Better
Transportation, which represents some of the
largest builders and developers in the state and
has advocated tax increases to pay for more
transportation projects. The company also gave
$5,000 to the Yes Campaign, which supported
referenda to raise more money for roads in
Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads several years
ago.
The
Bechtel consortium, Augment says, has no position
on whether a tunnel should have gone through
Tysons Corner or any other policy aspect of the
Dulles rail project, despite widespread rumors to
the contrary. “We serve the people who hired
us,” and she adds that those people make the
decisions.
The
Outlanders
In
theory, Dulles rail would be a boon to
fast-growing Loudoun County, which would see three
stops not far from its borders in Fairfax and then
two more after the Dulles airport stops. Except
for a short underground section at the airport,
the planned stations follow the routes of the
Dulles Toll Road and then the Dulles Greenway, a
public-private toll road. The above-ground rail
line would run right through the median strips
with walkways taking passengers over the
multi-lane highways.
What
isn’t known yet because preliminary engineering
for Phase Two hasn’t begun, is how exactly these
stations and walkways will be laid out and what
provisions for parking will be made for
commuters.
The
vague nature of the project doesn’t end there.
Its true cost isn’t known since definitive
engineering hasn’t started. A 1997 estimate put
the price at $1.45 billion. By 2001, the tag had
escalated to $4 billion. Under that
now-out-of-date scenario, Phase Two will cost $1.9
billion. But, then, Phase Two isn’t likely to be
finished until 2015 so anything is possible.
Some
Loudoun officials pay lip service to the plan
because it would be the first public rail to serve
the county, which has been overwhelmed with growth
for years. Some landowners and landowners near the
stops would benefit just as their counterparts in
Tysons Corner would from rezonings allowing for
higher densities, although, realistically, that
lies years in the future.
There
are some short-term benefits, however. Many
residential development in Loudoun are handled
through real estate trusts or REITs, which need to
put returns in the hands of investors. Even the
illusion of having public transit someday gives
REITs a market boost.
Yet
there are also plenty of critics. Dulles Rail’s
Loudoun stops are miles from some of the busiest
commuting corridors, such as Route 7, and
doesn’t run to Leesburg, the county seat where
much of the county’s office space exists. In
theory, the rail line would offer affordable
public transit to low-paid airport workers at
Dulles International. Problem is, many of those
workers live far to the west of the airport, where
they can find cheap housing. They would not be
served at all by the rail line.
For
Washington-bound commuters, there had been a plan
for Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) involving regular bus
trips through radio-timed stoplights on main
arteries such as Route 7. These, critics say,
could deliver commuters to downtown Washington in
30 minutes rather than an hour on the Dulles Rail
line. Local officials, however, abandoned BRT for
the rail line, even though rail is many times more
expensive.
Some,
like Reston commercial developer Chris Walker,
believe that the only reason Dulles rail exists is
that it is “all pork, a huge earmark. [The]
Dulles [project] is so stupid that even in the
free world, it makes no sense.”
Another
critic, Ken Reid, a town council member in
Leesburg, says Loudoun County's liabilities for
the project remains a mystery. “Loudoun will
have to pay enormous subsidies and operating
deficits,” he says, although “most of the jobs
and people won’t be living near the Metro
line.” Moreover, Reid doesn’t expect to see
Loudoun served until 2026 -- 10 years later than
the figures bandied around. He expects that the
entire project will end up costing at least $6
billion, not $4 billion.
Assuming
a payment structure similar to Phase One,
Loudoun’s car-borne commuters will bear much of
the rail’s cost through higher tolls. It will be
hard to find alternative sources of state funding
since the Virginia Department of Transportation
road budget is in serious shortfall as it is. As
for the county’s share, it isn’t clear whether
or not Loudoun could set up a special tax district
similar to Fairfax’s.
Indeed,
as far along as the project is, Dulles rail poses
more questions than it answers. Opportunities for
public input have been limited largely to an
environmental impact statement finished several
years ago, before the engineering and planning for
just Phase One was completed. There seems to be no
additional forum for more public input nor is
there likely to be one if Bechtel and Washington
Group International win a no-bid contract to build
the entire project.
In
sum, the Virginia’s largest public works project
ever is likely to lumber down a bureaucratic
track, nudged one way or the other by special
interests, lobbyists and politicians, until it
either collapses under its own weight or finally
gets built. The public will just pay the bills.
--
September 29, 2006
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