The Shape of the Future

E M Risse


 

Learning from Big Boxes

 

Consumers love big box stores for their "bargains" and "everyday low prices." What they don't see are the costs imposed by hidden subsidies and the scatteration of human settlement patterns.


 

PART I of "The Problem with Cars" demonstrated that primary reliance on Autonomobiles yields settlement pattern dysfunction.

 

Part II showed recreation and entertainment venues have much to teach about the use of shared-vehicle systems to achieve Mobility and Access. We found that from a thoughtful consideration of recreation and entertainment venues, citizens can come to understand the limits of Mobility and Access provided by the Autonomobile. They also can learn why Agencies, Enterprises and Institutions that have the mission and responsibility to make citizens happy and safe should make shared-vehicle systems the focus of Mobility and Access to serve functional human settlement patterns.

 

PART III turns to a second way to examine the reality of Autonomobiles. In this section, we examine venues that exacerbate Autonomobile over-use. The venues in question are facilities for mass acquisition of retail goods - the familiar urban land use called the “The Big Box.”

 

By learning why customers are attracted to Big Boxes, citizens can gain an understanding of the forces driving ever more extensive use of Autonomobiles. They can learn also why they need to modify habits to limit intrusion of Big Boxes into everyday life. Finally, citizens can respond more intelligently when Big Boxes apply to build nearby.

 

A Place to Start: The Argument for More Big Boxes

 

Big Box stores such as the “super stores” of Wal*Mart, Target, Sears, BJ’s, Sam’s Club, COSTCO and others are found throughout the US of A. There are about 40 of these venues - either free standing or grouped in “Power Centers” - in Fairfax County, Va., alone, and more are proposed. (See End Note Twenty-six.)

The macro-economic context of the Big Box retail is brilliantly described by Robert Reich throughout "Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life." (See End Note Twenty-seven.)

Big Box chains must continually increase sales and develop new stores to maintain the “growth” that analysts and stockholders expect. An expeditious way to come to understand the human settlement pattern reality of Big Boxes and their relationship to Autonomobiles is to consider arguments for and against creating more Big Boxes.

 

There are two free-standing Big Boxes in Greater Warrenton Fauquier, Va. Another Big Box is on the horizon. During 2007, discussion of the proposal was the subject of many articles letters to the editor in the Beta Community’s MainStream Media. In one letter to The Fauquier Times Democrat, a citizen who was active in the anti-COSTCO campaign, stated that “by a 9 to 1 margin,” citizens in the vicinity (emphases added) of the proposed COSTCO just off US Route 29 in New Baltimore are opposed to the use. A news story in the same issue of the same paper suggested that citizens are not against “COSTCO per se” but against COSTCO in that location.  (See End Note Twenty-eight and APPENDIX ONE.)

 

The argument for and against more big boxes is the same in almost every Big Box fight:

Conventional Wisdom is that Big Boxes are not a bad land uses per se, however, this Big Box is proposed in a bad location.

 

Let us not try to fool one another: There are no “good” locations for “Big Box” land uses.

Big Boxes are both: (a) generators of excessive, unnecessary Autonomobile and truck traffic, and (b) symptoms of over reliance on Autonomobiles for Mobility and Access in the customer shed of the facility.

A Big Box store is not just a good use in a bad location, it is an indication that dysfunctional Autonomobile- dominated human settlement patterns already exist in the area surrounding the proposed site.

Applications for a new Big Box indicate that the corporation’s store location staff is betting that the scatteration of urban land uses in the customer shed will continue to grow worse. Many applications for Big Boxes are outside the logical location for the Clear Edge around the Core of New Urban Regions and so these proposed locations impact both the Urbanside and the Countryside. 

 

There is no way to provide for Automobile traffic generated by Big Boxes and, at the same time maintain either viable Countryside or quality Urbanside.

 

By “viable Countryside” we mean places where nonurban economic, social and physical activities prosper.

 

By “quality Urbanside” we mean the patterns and densities of urban land uses and open space that have been proven in the marketplace to be the most desirable when citizens have a choice and where there is even a threshold attempt to fairly allocate location-variable costs. The reasons for this statement are obvious from the prior two PARTs of this Backgrounder.

 

It should be noted that originally, in the mid- to late-20th Century, Big Boxes were located near small urban agglomerations in Urban Support Regions (USRs). That market has been saturated. In addition, many urban enclaves in USRs are shrinking. On the other hand, New Urban Regions are growing. The preferred target (pun intended ) for Big Box expansion is outside the logical location for the Clear Edge.

 

NB: Retail outlets of Big Box Enterprises located in the Zentra of Villages and Communities within the Clear Edge around the Core of New Urban Regions have recently been developed as the “anchor” of “new urbanist” inspired “mixed use” projects. This Backgrounder does not address those venues. These facilities may have limited or paid parking and may contribute to functional settlement patterns at the Neighborhood scale and Village scale. The beneficial impact of these facilities is addressed at the conclusion of this PART.

 

Myth and Perception

 

The reality of Big Boxes is much different than the common perception supported by Big Box advertising and public relations initiatives.

 

For their very existence, Big Boxes rely on a wide range of direct and indirect subsidies. By “subsidies” we mean intentional and unintentional transfers of wealth from citizens and Agencies to Big Box Enterprises.

 

Before examining these two spheres of subsidy, it is important to state for the record:

Big Box corporations are Enterprises - they are in business to make money.

That may seem so obvious that it is not worth mentioning. On the other hand, the advertising and public relations efforts of Big Box chains lead some to act as if Big Boxes were established as an eleemosynary service to customers. Wal*Mart, the largest corporation in the US of A, did not achieve that status by giving away anything. Loss leaders are calculated to induce more overall spending. Wal*Mart and other Big Boxes achieved their size and market dominance by shrewdly optimizing their positions in the context created by consumer proclivities and Agency controls, programs and incentives. That is not “wrong,” it is just fact.

 

If one can set aside the deceptive advertising and public relations strategies that take advantage of gullible customers and Agencies, Big Box Enterprises are not Villains. Big Box Enterprises are doing those things that will make them the most money in the shortest time within the context established by an unenlightened consumer- driven market and the Agency-established regulations, incentives and programs. Big Box Enterprises, like all Enterprises, are driven by powerful regional, nation-state and global forces articulated by Robert Reich. (See Again End Note Twenty-seven.)

 

Most of the MainStream Media attention on Big Box’s negative impact is focused on how Big Box corporations treat employees, suppliers and competitors. The legal actions and protests against Wal*Mart and other Big Boxes are bankrolled by Enterprises and Institutions that are negatively impacted by Big Box actions - unions, grocery chains, pharmacy chains, banking and other interests.

 

As controversial, complex and “anti-social” as some of the oft-discussed direct impacts of Big Boxes are, to understand the human settlement pattern impacts it is necessary to step back and carefully consider the reality of Big Boxes as a class. The following sections document how Big Boxes generate and support Autonomobility and thus create dysfunctional human settlement patterns, a phenomenon that, in turn, has broad, negative impact on society in general.

 

In "Supercapitalism," Robert Reich does an excellent job of describing how and why Wal*Mart and other Big Boxes have achieved market dominance. He spotlights the pressure on Big Box Enterprises to continually expand sales and increase profits. Unfortunately, as noted in End Note Twenty-Seven, Reich is silent on the locational impacts of Big Boxes. It is the locational ramifications of Big Boxes that drive dysfunctional human settlement patterns and Autonomobility. These are, in fact, the most negative impacts of Big Boxes.

 

Consumer Subsidies

 

The first step is to understand the context and realities of what we term “subsidies.” How does a customer “subsidize” a retail outlet? Consider the time, resources and energy that customers expend in order to get to, get around in and get out of Big Box stores. There are other subsidies explored below, but first we examine why customers provide subsidies.

 

What is done to confuse customers and maximize the capture of consumer spending? The following is a threshold survey of issues that shed light on this question:

 

Attracting Buyers. The basic consumer attraction to Big Boxes is driven by two deep-seated genetic proclivities.  Citizens desire to:

  • Acquire and have on hand, a large, comforting cache of supplies, and

  • Take advantage of a “bargain” acquiring goods and services

Clever advertising and public relations translates these proclivities into: “Come to our Big Box, buy lots of stuff, save a lot of money and live the good life.” The same genetic proclivities drive Mass OverConsumption in general. Big Boxes have made a science of taking advantage of these proclivities. Wal*Mart advertises that shoppers will “save money and live better.” That couplet is hard to argue with, but can Big Boxes really deliver on that promise?

 

Big Box retail corporations understand human genetic coding and play to them by claiming to provide “bargains” in large packages. They hire the best consumption psychologist money can buy and when their theories only produce a better product or better service and not more revenue, they fire them.

The mirage of “bargains” is a powerful delusion. Citizens will put up with depressing locations, congested access, ill designed, confusing parking lots and poorly designed building exteriors as well as drab and uncomfortable building interiors to acquire items that they believe are “bargains.” (See End Note Twenty-nine.)

The Best-Deal-in-Town Illusion. Big Box chains promote the idea of one-stop shopping and bargains - “The Lowest Price, Always”; “Nobody has lower prices, Nobody.” Anyone who bothers to do careful comparison shopping can find out for themselves that Big Boxes often do not offer the best deal compared to traditional stores in the same market. (See End Note Thirty.)

 

If the customer needs (or wants) one of the items that is featured in this week’s advertising that’s one thing. If, on the other hand, one needs (or wants) one of the hundred thousand or so other items that are carried in Big Boxes they may or may not be getting the best quality, the best choice or the best price. (See End Note Thirty-one.)

 

One can be assured that what they purchase at a Big Box makes the most profit for the Enterprise or attracts customers who buy other goods and services that profit the corporation. That is not bad per se, that is what Enterprises are in business to do - make money. The problem is that the location and function of the Big Box places unrecognized monetary and time burdens on the customer and on Agencies. All the while, Big Box advertising suggests the customer is getting the best price, selection and quality.

The goal of Big Box chains is simple: Get as many customers as possible to spend as much money as possible. Multi-national Enterprises do not make handsome profits by selling most items at or near their cost – to repeat: Big Boxes are not in business to provide “bargains.”

In all cases the issue of getting a “bargain” depends on how one does the mathematics.

Whether or not what a customer buys in a Big Box is in fact a bargain depends on the bottom line after factoring in elements of the total cost.

To have a complete picture, the equation must include the value of one’s time and the cost of travel. A calculation must also include the service burden imposed by the scattered location of the Big Box facilities on municipal, state and federal Agencies.

 

Beyond the Illusion of Bargains. Inventory control, display and pricing strategies are established to maximize sales and optimize profits, not to provide convenience. Computers allow Big Boxes to manipulate inventory and price in ways that optimize the amount of profit from all the products they sell, compensating for loss leaders and other techniques that stimulate shopping. (See End Note Thirty-two.)

 

Big Boxes and other chains use data-mining and purchase- tracking techniques such as those noted in End Note Thirty-two. Unlike Amazon.com, however, they may not tell you they have been following your patterns. There is nothing intrinsically wrong with these practices if the shopper is informed of the scrutiny, and if, as a result of Big Box data, mining the customer can acquire goods and services that he / she wants and will use, it is a benefit.

The issue of what one needs, what one wants and what one can afford frequently get confused by push marketing as documented by the record credit card debt carried by citizens in the US of A and the growth of debt management services.

This debt would have translated into a record number of bankruptcies but for recent changes in the federal bankruptcy laws enacted to protect creditors.

Beyond the pain of over spending, there is the larger issue of the escalation of the per capita and cumulative Mass OverConsumption. (See the Backgrounder “A New Metric for Citizen Well Being,” 10 December 2006.)

Inventory manipulation goes beyond price to include the amount of goods in a package and the variety of goods available. Shelving and displays are designed to make it look like there is a splendid variety of goods for sale. You may have noticed that newly “remodeled” Big Boxes and grocery chains have more ambiance and larger packages but fewer items and thus less real choice. There are many items and package sizes that were available in the last generation of the same chain’s stores which no longer are.

A primary objective of the recent store “improvements” has been to eliminate those items which sold only a limited number of units and to sell larger packages of the goods. A one pound box of granulated sugar is now much harder to find, for example.

Big Boxes steer the shopper towards larger quantity packaging and thus generate a higher profit per item. Large quantities are a good idea for big Households but Households are getting smaller, not bigger. Large quantities encourage over-buying, spoilage and waste. They also enable / encourage less frequent - but longer - trips to retail service outlets. That means more efficient Big Boxes but less efficient Households.

 

The variety of items available to the shopper has narrowed to focus on those that make the most profit and those that move off the shelves fastest. By monitoring the competition, rival Big Boxes can ensure that many stores offer the same fast-moving, profitable items. The flip side is that some products cannot be obtained no matter where one looks. The availability of specialty items via the Internet has exacerbated this trend, making shopping more complex, more costly and more time consuming.

 

Think you are getting the best price or the best choice? Do some careful comparison shopping and check out reality for yourself. When calculating the cost, be sure to include the value of your time and the cost of travel.

 

Variations on Basic Big Box Themes

 

It is important to note that all Big Boxes are not the same. Target tries to provide more “design” and quality in their products than Wal*Mart. COSTCO prides itself on paying higher wages and offering more worker benefits than Wal*Mart. As Reich points out in "Supercapitalism," when the growth and profit at COSTCO does not meet “expectations” the pressure builds to cut those “frills.”

 

Wal*Mart, the 800-pound gorilla of Big Boxes, is not immune to pressures from customers and critics. The most significant recent change at Wal*Mart has been to wrap the corporate image in a mantle of green. There is a fierce fight going over whether this is just Greenwashing or if it signals real change. (See End Note Thirty-three.)

 

Have you noticed how Big Boxes encourage customers to “go green” and accompany this self-serving moralizing with lists of “green” products to buy? (See "Greed in the Name of Green," at the Bacon's Rebellion blog, 17 March 2008.)

Wal*Mart, Home Depot, Lowe’s and others advertise specials on energy-saving appliances and other goods. They have an endless parade of ways for customers to buy more so they can feel “green.”

The reality is that the scattered locations of large retail outlets and the direct travel and indirect inefficiencies of the settlement patterns generated and supported by Big Boxes consume far more energy and generate far more pollution than all the green innovations in their warehouses, trucks or stores -- and much, much more than fluorescent bulbs they can sell -- will save. And that doesn't even account for the resources embedded in every product, or the blister packaging that is required to hold down the theft in large, impersonal stores with small, underpaid staffs. The list is nearly endless.

 

Now, The Other Subsidies

 

In addition to consumer subsidies, there is a second category of subsidies - Agency subsidies for Big Boxes and their distribution system. These include roadways as well as direct and indirect payments to stimulate “job growth” and the cost of supplying social and economic services for low-wage, Big Box workers. These subsidies ultimately come out of citizens' pockets in the form of taxes and fees - municipal, state and federal.

 

Efficiency of Operation. One hears that a major reason Big Boxes can offer “bargains” is the immense buying power of large chains. It is a fact that the volume of Big Box purchases creates leverage in the wholesale market. However, Big Boxes would have that same buying power leverage in China, South East Asia or Brazil if the chain sold the same volume of goods from 10,000-square-foot stores as they did from 200,000-square-foot stores.

This lynchpin of Big Box economics, often overlooked, shows why location and scale are so important.

One also hears about Big Box’s efficient warehousing and delivery system. This is where the benefit of store size and store location pays dividends for Wal*Mart and other Big Boxes. It is far more efficient to distribute to and operate one 200,000-square-foot store than four 50,000- square-foot stores or twenty 10,000-square-foot stores. 

The trick is to get enough customers driving to a single location to make a 200,000-square-foot store feasible. The other side of the equation is to get Agencies to foot the bill for roadways, subsidize “job creation” at warehouses and distribution centers, and provide other support for the distribution system.

Once there are a lot of big stores that are “making their numbers” and there is an efficient distribution system, leveraging the suppliers based on volume is a piece of cake. What is the impact of this “efficiency”?

 

Study after study has shown that the net Regional impact of Big Box “efficiency” is to reduce total employment in retail. That makes sense if one gives the issue thought. Overall, “efficiency” of operation means fewer and lower paid employees. Retail trade is shifted from relatively inefficient Neighborhood, Village, Community and Regional retailers to very efficient multi-national Big Box retailers. (See End Note Thirty-four.)

 

Big Box Site Selection

 

Big Box retail centers are located using Radial Analysis.  Large chains try to locate a new store so that it has X Households, with at least Y average disposable income within Z miles of the new store. They also want to locate their store away from potential competitors to limit comparison shopping. This makes trip chaining more difficult and engenders scatteration of origins and destinations of travel. The bottom line is demand for “beyond the Clear Edge” store locations, as noted above. 

 

Another Big Box corporate goal is to acquire a site as inexpensively as possible. It is axiomatic that the asking price for a potential Big Box site is determined in large part by the quality of access. The site-selection strategy of Big Box chains is to buy cheap sites with poor access and find ways for others to improve the access as suggested below. Also note that acquiring a large, cheap site makes it less expensive to provide parking. (See PART IV concerning Parking subsidies.)

 

Big Box chains and their agents taut the tax revenue that the municipality and the state will reap from taxes on sales and operation. The problem is that the total tax revenues do not cover the total costs. In addition, the revenues do not flow to accounts that pay for the cost generated. In the typical Big Box, much of the tax and fee revenue goes to the state but much of the cost and inconvenience fall on the municipality and its citizens. (See End Note Thirty-five.)

 

In sum, Big Box site selection parameters lead to scatteration, the driving force of dysfunctional human settlement patterns. (For a future discussion of this issue see the three-column “Special Report” at Bacon’s Rebellion that includes “Wild Abandonment,” 8 September 2003; “Scatteration,” 22 September 2003; and “The Myths that Blind Us,” 20 October 2003.)

 

Warehouse and Distribution Subsidies

 

The best location for a warehouse / distribution facility for a Big Box Enterprise is within half a day’s drive of the maximum number of scattered Big Box retail locations. One of the most frequent state-level Big Box subsidies is support for “job development” at “distribution centers.” The process works like this: The Big Box agent finds a cheap site in a remote location with access to an Interstate access ramp and rail service. This combination is not hard to find because the parameters that determine the alignment of the Interstate system between New Urban Regions are similar to those that determine the location of interRegional rail lines a century earlier. Big Box agents then look for municipalities that have job / tax base deficits and seek subsidies from pandering governance practitioners at the state and municipal levels for “job creation.” Funds are used to pay for access, site improvements and job training. Part IV will explore a "portal to portal pay" to address the issue.

 

Roadway Subsidy for Big Boxes and for Big Box Chain Distribution

 

The biggest, most direct and easiest to understand Agency subsidy for Big Boxes is roadway improvements for individual stores as well as for warehouse / distribution facilities. When customers are attracted from long distances, the impact is felt far from the Big Box site. When Big Boxes are supplied by trucks traveling long distances, the negative impact is distributed over an even wider area. Making matters worse, taxes and fees on long-haul trucks pay only about 30 percent of the true roadway wear and tear of “heavy goods” vehicles.

 

There is not good data on the topic of travel to acquire goods and services at Big Box facilities but Stacy Mitchell in “Big Box Swindle: The True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for America’s Independent Businesses” cited in End Notes 28, 32 and 34 point out that travel for “shopping” has increased dramatically since the advent of Big Boxes. This is especially true or locations outside the Clear Edges in New Urban Regions and Urban Support Regions.

 

Learning from Wal*Mart and Other Big Boxes

 

So, what can be learned from Big Boxes that will inform citizens about Autonomobility? First citizens can learn to be forearmed with respect to Big Box applications. There are no “good” locations for Big Boxes.

 

More important is to understand the futility of zoning and other regulatory approaches. Big Box regulation by municipal governments is a classic example of closing the barn door after the horse is gone. By the time there is pressure for municipal governments to regulate Big Boxes, the corporation has already decided that market and other conditions exist to make the site an attractive location for a Big Box in the middle of a big parking lot. (See End Note Thirty-six.)

A Big Box store application is an indication that dysfunctional distribution of origins and destinations of travel demand already exist. It also means that the Big Box chain staff has found a cheap site with X Households, with Y average disposable income within Z miles of the site.

Serious interest in “regulating” the Big Box - as opposed to welcoming the Big Box with open arms as a “generator of new jobs and a service to residents” - occurs when the municipal jurisdiction is about to reach the “Tipping Point” outlined in “Burned Out,” 10 July 2006, a Bacon’s Rebellion column. (See End Note Thirty-seven and APPENDIX ONE.)

 

The “Burned Out” column focuses on the transition from a municipal government’s “pro-development / tax base growth” orientation to “concern for the impact of development.” Rejection of a Big Box application is a clear indicator that the municipal government is ready to consider proposals for land use changes that will result in functional settlement patterns. 

 

The question is: Will there still be the resources left to do it right and create Balance? This is especially important since it now requires “redoing” what should have been done in the first place.

 

Alternatives to the Big Box

 

The solution to limiting the impact of Big Boxes is not regulation. The solution is creating functional human settlement patterns consisting of Balanced Communities – and Balanced, organic components of Communities – both inside the Clear Edge (the Urbanside) and outside the Clear Edge (the Countryside). When those conditions exist, the Big Box problem goes away. Big Box chains have no interest in locating a typical one-story warehouse store surrounded by parking lots in the Zentrum of an Alpha Village or an Alpha Community. As suggested earlier, the Big Box Enterprise may, with a fundamentally different facility configuration, contribute to the evolution of functional human settlement patterns.

The first step is to create a level playing field by getting rid of single-use, segregated zoning restrictions and create a process to support evolution of a Balanced (Alpha) Community.

As Alpha components evolve, Enterprises will open retail outlets that sell the same or similar goods but from smaller stores convenient to residents. They will be located in Neighborhood-, Village- and Community-scale Zentra. These places support shared-vehicle systems and the total cost of goods and services will be lower. As a recent ad in WaPo suggests “life will be within walking distance.”

 

In the meantime, there is also a need to intelligently tax all Big Box stores based on the real demand they place on Agency services. The Retail Service District tax is discussed in The Shape of the Future, Chapter 30 Box 3: Multi-Objective Tax Policy. The revenue collected from Retail Service District tax would reflect, among other things, the distance customers have to travel to a store and how many places offering similar goods and services were closer to the home (or workplace) of the shopper.  (See End Note Thirty-eight for a copy of Chapter 30 Box 3.)

 

Big Box applications for new or expanded facilities can be leveraged to generate Affordable and Accessible Housing and to address other urban fabric needs generated by the projects. An example would be putting Affordable and Accessible Housing Units on top of parking structures and retail space that is equal to the number of employees the store hires. That does not mean all the employees live near the store, it does mean they could if they so chose.

Affordable and Accessible dwelling units should be added to the Community inventory equal to the number of employees. The current practice is to surround the Big Box with parking lots and expect workers to find housing even thought there is none in proximity to the jobs.

Some can be expected to say: “Wait a minute! We want the 'convenience' of a Big Box but do not want housing for workers anywhere near here.” That is exactly the sort of reaction that has generated the municipal plans and regulations that result in dysfunctional human settlement patterns and the dominance of Autonomobiles. In the long term, unBalanced human settlement patterns are not sustainable and there will be neither quality goods at affordable prices nor Affordable and Accessible Housing. (See "The Role of Municipal Planning in Creating  Dysfunctional Human Settlement Patterns," 23 January 2002.)

 

Big Box Summary

 

The viability of a Big Box is based on the desire, and ability, of large numbers of citizens to drive long distances to buy large quantities of consumer goods at what they believe to be bargain prices.

 

This reality plays to genetic proclivities to save money and to have large stocks of supplies. It also reflects the fact that citizens do not understand the cost, in either time or resources, required to drive to scattered Big Boxes. In addition, they do not realize the facility and its support system, in that location, are also subsidized by Agency expenditures.

Big Boxes are the exponents of scatteration. They guarantee more Autonomobility, longer trips, more disaggregation for the reasons spelled out in PART I. This reality will be further explored in PART IV.

Citizens say the opposition to Big Boxes is about “traffic” but they often miss the point. The discussion must address the distribution of origins and destinations of travel generated by existing Big Boxes and those yet to be built. Scattered, dysfunctional settlement patterns enable Big Boxes to make money -- and induce even more Autonomobile travel in the future. That is why long-term strategies impacting human settlement patterns should be addressed long before Big Box applications are submitted.  

 

-- March 24, 2003

 


 

End Notes

 

(26). It is hard to distinguish between a “Big Boxes” and the larger stores (also known as “category killers”) operated by chains such as Home Depot, Lowe’s, Best Buy, Dick’s, Staples, Office Depot, and some grocery chains such as H.E.B. This is especially true if they are grouped together in a “power center.”  In Europe the all-in-one grocery plus consumer retail outlets like H.E.B. are called “hyper-marts.” “Hyper” is a useful way to describe them.

 

(27). Reich, Robert B., "Supercapitalism, The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life."  New York, Knopf, 2007.  The problem with the Reich perspective on Big Boxes is, as noted later, complete obliviousness to the impact of location and spacial relationships of Big Box facilities.  Other than that Mrs. Lincoln...

 

(28). For reasons spelled out in THE ESTATES MATRIX, MainStream Media in news coverage and editorials tend to support any expansion of retail trade that may expand advertising revenue. For an opposing perspective based on the impacts of small Enterprises, see Mitchell, Stacy, in "Big Box Swindle: the True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for America's Independent Businesses," Beacon Press, 2006.

 

(29). The Big Box “load-up-the-car / low amenity” shopping habits have been introduced to many by the Agency-subsidized shopping provided in military commissaries.

 

(30). When the international credit crisis raised the threat of a recession in January 2008, Wal*Mart “chopped prices in bid to lure shoppers.” Price cuts of 30 percent were reported with more to come. Wal*Mart must not have been charging their best price before the reductions.  See “Wal*Mart chops prices in bid to lure shoppers: No. 1 retailer to offer discounts of up to 30% on groceries, other items ahead of Super Bowl weekend; more cuts ahead,” CNN Money, 29 January 2008.

 

(31). There is a “non-super” Wal*Mart in Greater Warrenton-Fauquier that existed before we moved to the Beta Community six years ago. A Home Depot outlet subsequently opened next door.  Since Home Depot opened, we have done a survey of roughly 20 items at both Wal*Mart and Home Depot to determine if the items were available at hardware (and other retail outlets) that existed before Home Depot opened. We checked to see IF the items (1) are cheaper or (2) there is a better range of choices. In 15 of the 20 items, it turned out that one of the pre-existing retail outlets had either a better price, better variety or better quality for the same price for the items compared. In several cases the Big Boxes did not even carry the needed home / shop / garden / repair item. In addition, almost all were easier to find.

 

There is a pattern that emerged in these searches: Big Boxes do not have parts and supplies to repair many items but rather stock new units to replace them. Replacement makes a larger profit and is “easier” in economic good times. In addition, Big Boxes benefit from offering delivery / installation services. For some replacement items the warranty is void if they do not install the item. Getting warranty work done is a three-way battle with installer, Big Box and Big Box supplier.

 

In recent months one finds more and more empty racks for some specific products in the preexisting Village outlets, perhaps indicating a decline in the will to compete which is one of the documented fallouts of pressure from Big Box retail.

 

Our survey was aided by candid / off-the-record discussions with the manager of the Home Depot whom we happened to meet / seek out during several searches.  He noted a number of instances when “corporate” decisions overrode what he believed would serve Greater Warrenton-Fauquier citizens best and still make a profit for Home Depot.  (Also see books cited in End Note 32.)

 

In the case of Greater Warrenton, the preexisting retail outlets happen to be located closer to other retail destinations, making chained trips more convenient.

 

(32). If one wants to experience a clear demonstration of the power of computers to process data on preferences and push the buyer, try this: Sign on to Amazon.com and go browsing for books (or any thing else). Then sign on again a few hours later and find out how much Amazon was able to learn about you, your interests and preferences by what the website suggests that you might want to buy. “Since you looked at A, B and C you will surely want to buy X, Y and Z.” “Those who looked and D, E and F also purchased U, V and W.”

 

Other online retail sites are now adopting this practice. Similar insights come from the coupons that grocery chains dispense after a sale, especially if one uses a frequent shopper “discount” card. Some outlets mail coupons based on shopping data and many send discount coupons to those who have not visited a store recently. For further information on the basics of push marketing upon which Big Boxes thrive, see Underhill, Paco: “Why We Buy: The Science of Shopping.” Simon & Schuster, 1999; and Satterthwaite, Ann: “Going Shopping: Consumer Choices and Community Consequences,” Yale University Press, 2001; Mitchell, Stacy, in "Big Box Swindle: the True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for America's Independent Businesses," Beacon Press, 2006.

 

(33). An exploration of Wal*Mart and Greenwash is beyond the scope of this Backgrounder.  However, a listing of a few recent headlines provides an overview: “Wal*Mart Aims To Enlist Suppliers In Green Mission,” WaPo, 25 Sept 2007; “At Wal*Mart, ‘Green’ Has Various Shades: Environmental Push Earns Mixed Results; A Way to go till Wal*Mart Goes Green,” WaPo, 16 Nov 2007; “Working With the Enemy,” Fast Company, September 2007.

 

Wal*Mart is in a very strong position for the reasons outlined by Reich in Supercapitalism (See End Note 27 above) but the Enterprise is not immune to outside pressure: “Wal*Mart Reaches Out in Self-Defense: Retailer Embraces Political Activism, Wal-Mart Launches Green Campaign, Beefs Up Lobbying.” (WaPo, 24 Nov 2007); “Wal*Mart Considers Different Store Sizes as Rival Emerges” (WaPo, 28 Aug 2007);  “Wal-Mart’s New Tack: Show Em the Payoff” (WaPo, 13 Sept 2007); and “Wal*Mart Sharpens Vision: EEO Embarks on Mission of Social Responsibility” (WaPo, 24 January 2008).

 

While all the headlines from WaPo suggest a hard nosed look at the reality of Wal*Mart, the stories are “stories” and all have the stench of “He Said, She, Said Journalism” for the reasons outlined in THE ESTATES MATRIX.

 

(34). Stacey Mitchell's book, "Big Box Swindle: the True Cost of Mega-Retailers and the Fight for America's Independent Businesses," is all over this issue. The context of this issue is spelled out in Reich’s "Supercapitalism" but without any discussion of the locational impact.  For a plug-in-the-numbers, do-it-yourself Big Box Impact Calculator, go to http://bigboxevaluator.org 

 

(35). See http://bigboxevaluator.org for the parameters that go into the self-help Big Box Impact Calculator.

 

(36). Fairfax County, VA’s recent sojourn into the area of “tightening” their Big Box center regulations provides a classic example of tinkering with a failed regulatory approach.  The foolishness of the process was highlighted by the comments of Business-As-Usual agents. One comment in a post on Bacon’s Rebellion Blog was especially alarming:  “More Big Box stores are coming to Fairfax County and they will reduce the traffic.”  This statement violates the laws of physics and logic. This writer was not just whistling past the graveyard, he is a one-person band blaring away with trumpet, organ and drums.

 

(37). The 10 July 2006 Bacon’s Rebellion column “Burned Out,” explores the Tipping Point issue for Fauquier County and the Virginia portion of the National Capital Subregion. Unfortunately, due to the size of the jurisdictions and the poor citizen understanding of the dynamics of settlement pattern evolution, this process can go on for decades as evidenced by Fairfax County, Va., and more recently Loudoun County, Va. The jurisdiction’s voters have flipped and flopped from “pro” to “anti” “growth” over several decades.

 

In an interesting bit of irony, the supervisor who was the focus of the “Burned Out” column is still in office and, in response to the COSTCO application, was quoted as saying, “It could be worse.” Indeed, “it” could be worse. It could be an application for 3.5 million square feet of multi-regional commercial activity (aka, “super big boxes”) such as the one recently withdrawn for a site 30 miles south of the New Baltimore COSTCO site on US Route 29 in Culpeper County. That site has been attracting bad proposals for nearly three decades.  The most recent proposal was withdrawn due to the downturn in the economy and not due to a move to a more intelligent allocation of land uses.

 

(38).  Multiple Objective Tax Policy

 

A sound example of a multiple-objective tax policy would be a progressive retail service district tax which would apply to retail sales in establishments larger than a mom-and-pop/corner store/specialty boutique.

 

Under this system, the further away the purchaser lives (and/or works) from the retail site, the higher the tax rate on the retailer. This tax rate variation reflects the fact that the retailer is relying on a subregional transportation system to deliver customers. At the present time, the Autonomobile is used to access strip centers, ‘regional’ (community scale) shopping centers and ‘big box/power centers, as well as the more remote Wal*Marts, outlet centers and super regional malls (e.g., Mall of America). This access creates much higher costs, but the retailer pays no direct or indirect charge for wide-area access.

 

Under a multiple objective tax strategy, the tax would be lowest on sales to persons who lived or worked in adjacent neighborhoods. Presumably these persons could walk and would be encouraged to do so - perhaps by site design and parking charges. Even if they did not walk, the travel distance would be relatively short.

 

There would be progressively higher rates charged to those who came from outside the village, and even higher ones for those outside the community. The highest rate would be allocated for those outside the subregion. While these calculations would be impossible with hand-cranked tax billing processes of the past, they are simple given computer-based tax systems.

 

The tax could be levied on the purchase (sales tax) or on the vendor (value-added tax) or both. A place to start would be a random check of license plates in Wal*Mart parking lots. Many retailers already ask for a zip code before they ring up a purchase and use this information for their own business purposes. If the zip code reflected organic human settlement patterns, this would reinforce Neighborhood identity.

 

Some offset would be possible to avoid curtailing beneficial tourism. In a sophisticated system, the highest tax would be levied on those who drove past village centers offering the same services. Of course, all this complication — and perhaps the tax — could disappear when the human settlement pattern evolved to be functional and composed of alpha components.

 

The short-term objective here would be to generate tax revenue, which would then be allocated to those levels of governance responsible for providing the longer-distance transport access.

 

The tax would also have the secondary impact of making it more expensive to drive 30 miles to buy a quart of motor oil or a carton of Coke. This would avoid the current subsidy of mega-retail services (Wal*Marting) that are judged only on the price of the product, not the cost of getting the buyer to the site and back. The multiple-objective tax strategy would level the playing field for mega-stores that attract buyers over mega-distances.

 

The multi-objective tax policy outlined here would be an important element of a broader consumption tax strategy. For a detailed development of the related concept of broad-based consumption taxes, see Robert Frank’s book "Luxury Fever."

 

In Great Britain, there is a complex set of policies and incentives to support the existence of a ‘high street’ (shopping venue) in close proximity to residential enclaves at the Neighborhood-scale and Village-scale.

 

Of the fundamental objectives of urban revitalization outlined in Chapter 30 Box 2, perhaps none is more important than the recreation of Neighborhood and Village centers. In Community after Community, retail service providers try to position themselves to serve the entire Community thus gravitating to strip and remote box centers.

 

-- Chapter 30, Box 3, The Shape of the Future

 

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“The Problem With Cars” is presented in six parts:

 

Part I. What Is The “Problem With Cars”? 

 

PART II. Learning From The Mouse

 

Part III. Learning From Big Boxes

 

Part IV. Space to Drive and Park Cars

 

Part V. What Hath Mankind Wrought?

                               Part VI. Postscripts and APPENDIX ONE

 

Part I lays out the thesis of this Backgrounder: Cars (Large, Private Vehicles, aka, Autonomobiles) are fundamentally unsuited for provision of citizen Mobility and Access in urban environments. With high fuel costs as well as environmental and other impacts, Autonomobiles are an unsustainable alternative for provision of Mobility and Access in almost all 21st century human environments.

 

Parts II, III and IV provide ways for citizens who are not trained in Mobility- and Access-related disciplines such as civil engineering, transportation management and spacial economics to understand and prove for themselves that Autonomobiles cannot provide most citizens with Mobility and Access.

 

Part V and VI summarize and provide context for the major points made in this Backgrounder.

 


 

Ed Risse and his wife Linda live inside the "Clear Edge" of the "urban enclave" known as Warrenton, a municipality in the Countryside near the edge of the Washington-Baltimore "New Urban Region."

 

Mr. Risse, the principal of

SYNERGY/Planning, Inc., can be contacted at spirisse@aol.com.

 

Read his profile here.