The Shape of the Future

E M Risse


 

The Rise and Fall of Journalism

 

The age of traditional journalism is ending as media Enterprises lose their grip on information markets and advertising revenues decline. The big question: Can citizen-generation information take its place?


 

With a Conceptual Framework in hand – PART II -- one can far better understand the forces impacting MainStream Media and why it is no longer fulfilling its original role in the Fourth Estate.

The fact is, MainStream Media has shifted to a new role in a different Estate.

As we do often in The Shape of the Future, in PART III we take a second cut through reality outlined in PART I because it is made more understandable by PART II. With the new Conceptual Framework established by The Estates Matrix, the evolution of MainStream Media over the past 700 plus years is much easier to understand.

 

Background

The reason that “Journalism” ascended to a position of power, especially over the past 400 years, is rooted in the fact that society grew more complex and urban society's control was extended over most of the Globe. As complexity increased, new systems of gathering and reporting information became necessary.

Let us start at the beginning: The earliest humanoids were relatively weak animals which had to compete for food and territory with bigger, faster, stronger animals. They evolved to forage on the ground as well as in the relative safety of trees.

 

Even in trees their ancestors had found there was strength in numbers. They had learned that the extended family was a more formidable group for defense and offense than the nuclear family. On the ground, even larger groups were needed to construct shelters, defend gatherers and overpower larger pray. That led to the formalization of groups beyond the extended family – bands, clans, tribes and eventually confederations or “nations.”

 

Over the past three-plus million years as the economic, social and physical components of human activity became more complex, information became power. The first to grasp that information was power were the “leaders” at each level of primitive society. The “leader” of bands, clans and tribes took power by brute force and controlled shelter, food, water and safety for the benefit of his/her reign.

 

As Organizations grew in size, more complex arrangements were required. With complexity came specialization of tasks and that included the emergence of priests and shamans to help address the mysteries of health, the future and the-here-after. These new players found ways to manage information (and generate misinformation) to expand and perpetuate their own power. Priest and shamans morphed to become Clergy and eventually became powerful enough to be called the “First” Estate.

 

The Chief and his Household became Nobility, the “Second” Estate. However, when push came to shove, the Chief / King / Emperor often had the last word over the Clergy. The First Estate relied on its purported link to “the here after” and to information management to maintain (and regain) its “first” place.

 

With the emergence of trade and specialization, the evolution of urban settlements began. Urban settlements, in turn, led to a growing importance of craftsmen, traders and marketeers. The leaders of these specialties became the Third Estate.

 

By this time -- 8,000 years ago -- a large percent of the population had “dropped out” and had no “Estate.” Ingenuity and information processing ability allowed some to move up the ladder from slave, serf or peasant and into one of the Estates. Fairy tales are myths about the possibility to leap, from having No Estate and no status, into one of the Estates.

 

As the social systems became larger and more complex, the management of information and the generation of myths became more important. Evolution of verbal communication and then written language facilitated storytelling and myth propagation (First Estate), aggression, defense and governance (Second Estate) and accounting / business transactions (Third Estate).

 

Communications became useful to inform and delude the followers, to persuade allies and to conquer enemies. This was the way that those who practiced the precursors of journalism came to wield power that far outweighed their numerical representation in society. As we shall see, when citizens gained the power to communicate among themselves outside the existing Estate structure, the power of journalism began to wane. (See End Note Twenty-four.)

 

In a context where the Clergy, the Nobility and Commoners competed for control of information,  “journalism” grew powerful and wealthy, especially after the invention of moveable type and competitive pricing for the distribution of ideas and information.

 

Media (at the time, print media) separate from the Clergy, Nobility and Commoners was a necessity when informed (later literate and eventually educated) citizens were needed to support a more complex Industrial and then Urban society.

Media’s power and influence became the sine quo non of democracy and market economies.

After 1400, information about opportunities “over there” motivated those with “get-up-and-go” who lived in northern Europe’s Old World nation-states to move to the New World. They created outposts of a new order from South Africa to India, from Australia and New Zealand to Canada.

 

Those from southern Europe, less influenced by the early stages of the Second Transformation outlined in Part II and with less access to “free press” because of the domination of the First and Second Estates, evolved different “new orders” in Central and South America and in parts of Africa.

 

One unique agglomeration evolved in the territory that became the US of A. Geography, natural and human resources came together to create the foundation for the world's largest economy and most powerful nation-state. 

 

After the presidential election of 1828 the smart money would have called the US of A the nation-state of yeomen farmers. A few years later, it was a completely different place in large part due to the Media making available ideas and information about places to move and ways to transition from subsistence agriculture to urban industry and trade.

MainStream Media was finally identified as “The Fourth Estate” in 1837 and grew over the next 100 years to gain power due to the growth of citizen literacy, cheap printing and top-down management.

 

Ironically, this power began to shrivel due to advances in communications that put information transfer and management into the hands of citizens.

The telegraph, telephone, FAX, computers, cell phones and the Internet – and now the merger of the last three – represent an accelerating shift from MainStream Media control and management of information to control by individuals and Households (citizens) as well as by Organizations of every description. To understand the scope of the shift, consider that at this point:

  • Reporters and columnists fabricate “stories” by posting items on line and then editing the citizen feedback. 

  • CNN and other “news outlets” rely on “I Reporters” to supply observations and camera phone images of “on the scene” news.

  • The BBC has a blank form at the bottom of news pages for readers who are "at the scene" to e-mail their editors with comments, views and images.

  • When one has a friend with a house in the path of a California brush fire – or similar circumstance – they go to Google.com or Ask.com to search for up-to- the-minute reports by citizens who have ‘been there’ or “are still there.” They do not rely on the CYA “bulletins” of Agencies, “news” layered with ads from Enterprises or information from Institutions packaged with appeals for money.

  • If one wants to find out about election returns, or any other evolving event (other than a sporting event that is being broadcast live), they go to a website, not to radio or television “news” and especially not to the print media, which has a built in an 8- to 24-hour delay because of central printing and region-wide hardcopy distribution that still shackles MainStream Media.

The shift to Enterprise control of MainStream Media was accelerated by the growth in “entertainment.” The shift to entertainment programming was paid for by advertising. Advertising grew because in order for Enterprises to grow, citizens needed to find out what they could purchase and why they “need” to have a good or service.

Ironically, the belief among citizens that they had a “right” to be entertained was driven by advertising.

MainStream Media dominated the Fourth Estate and flourished in the top-down structure of the late 19th and early 20th Centuries. The influence of Journalism is now dying because it has become just one category of Enterprise. MainStream Media’s primary role is to advertise the goods and services of Enterprises as noted in PART II.

Citizens no longer see themselves as subject to the constraints of a top-down world in which they have to wait for the Fourth Estate to inform them.

Journalism started with one foot in the camp of priests and shamans (the First Estate) and one in the camp of Nobility (the Second Estate). The expansion of the roles of Commoners (the craftspersons, merchants and traders who became industrialists, wholesalers, retailers, brokers and bankers, etc.) allowed the Media to grow and eventually claim its own Estate.

 

An educated citizenry in a democracy turned society up side down. Democracy with market economies were powered by literacy and education. Education and technology gave individuals and Households the tools they needed build a home in the Fourth Estate.

 

There is a strategy that may provide a smooth transition from “traditional journalism” to citizen-based information systems. The problem is that traditionally educated journalists will not even listen, at least not yet. They are full of themselves and chant the Journalism mantra even though the market keeps telling them that they are dinosaurs in a changed world. (See End Note Twenty-five.)

 

Tech marketeers are hot on “Web 2" but most of these ideas suffer from Geographic Illiteracy and the irrefutable need for direct human interaction. 

 

He Said, She Said Journalism

 

As noted in GLOSSARY there are three types of Organizations beyond the Individual/Household (a.k.a., Citizen) scale - Agency, Enterprise and Institution.  Citizens (individuals and Households) can shift from Organization to Organization. Agencies, Enterprises and Institutions cannot function with a foot in more than one Estate. (See End Note Twenty-six.)

 

So what can MainStream Media do? Media Organizations are now Enterprises but are still pretending to be in a separate “Fourth Estate?” The “solution” they have settled on is “He Said, She Said, Journalism.”

 

MainStream Media’s response to the reality of declining revenue and the need to promote Mass OverConsumption has been to fabricate pseudo “balanced reporting,” other wise know as “He Said / She Said Journalism.”

 

From an historic perspective, at one time there may have been “two sides” to issues such as:

  • Mine Safety

  • Railroad safety

  • Pasteurized milk

  • Slaughter house and meat packing plant inspections

  • Restaurant and other sanitation standards

  • Building and housing codes

  • Drug standards

In the “Golden age of Journalism,” the publisher and his editors believed they knew which side was “right” and they led crusades for Fundamental Change in these and many other areas.

 

In the last seventy years there were said to be two sides to any story on:

  • Soil conservation

  • River / canal “improvements”

  • DDT

  • Tobacco

  • Water pollution

  • Obesity

  • Air pollution

That is no longer the case on these topics. (See End Note Twenty-seven.)

 

Advertisers and special interest groups (e.g. sponsored- agenda think tanks) insist / pressure MainStream Media to provide “balanced coverage” (aka, “two sides”) to every story that impacts topics such as human settlement patterns and resource conservation. Some of these topics include:

  • The impact on human settlement patterns on Mobility and Access

  • The impact of Alpha Community Balance and Beta Community imbalance on Affordable and Accessible housing

  • Scatteration of urban land uses in the Countryside

  • Climate change

  • Accelerating consumption of natural capital

  • The Balance of private rights with public responsibilities

  • Mass-OverConsumption

This is not to say good coverage does not exit on many issues as noted in PART I. The instance on “He Said, She Said Journalism” is focused on issues that have a direct impact on Enterprise bottom lines – especially Enterprises that advertise in MainStream Media.

 

Professional journalists are trained to write stories. Within MainStream Media Enterprises, they are trained to use those skills to “personalize” news and provide news with “emotional content.” These characteristics serve the purpose of building readership while obscuring the overarching frameworks and key relationships that citizens need to understand to make informed decisions in the voting booth and in the marketplace.

 

Professional journalists are trained to use simple words and phrases and communicate in a way that fourth graders can understand. Most believe that this gives them a license to use Core Confusing Words. They resist the creation of a Vocabulary made up of words and phrases with specific meanings. Many of the columns and Blog postings cited in End Note One focus on the impact of misused words and phrases by MainStream Media. (See in particular, the four columns “The Foundation of Babble,” 28 November 2005; “Deconstructing the Tower of Babel,” 12 December 2007; “Babble Postscript,” 3 January 2006; and “Words Matter,” 20 March 2006. Also, see End Note Twenty-eight.)

 

Attacking Television -- So Last Century

 

The beginning of the end of MainStream Media (MSM) as the primary force in, and focus of, the Fourth Estate occurred when television was added to Enterprise Media’s news arsenal. MSM (“network”) television is a medium suitable for entertainment, not a source for comprehensive information.

In The Shape of the Future, the analysis of television as a source of misinformation focuses on the limitation of gathering images and distorting the content to achieve programming that will cause viewers to view ads.

In The Shape of the Future, Chapter 2 Box 7 (“Television, the Disorienting Medium”) focuses on the fundamental limitation of network television as a news medium: It is often very expensive and sometimes impossible to capture compelling, vivid images on many important “news” issues. This leads to “if it bleeds, it leads” news coverage. Along with the need for advertising to pay for “free” news, this reality makes providing the information citizens need to reach intelligent decisions in the marketplace and in the voting booth essentially impossible for MSM television.

 

One cumulative result of years of bad network television news is that most citizens do not pay much attention to news unless there is a compelling disaster. The negative impact of television news is more than just citizens not paying attention to news on television. Citizens have stopped paying attention to news at all – unless they are somehow “involved.”

The problem is no longer that the television news is distorted, it is that few bother with news at all, especially news that is not focused on emotionally compelling events or personalities.

This leads to “Story Telling,” a mad pursuit of “emotional content” and abandonment of reality in the presentation of information. Contestants eliminated from “reality” shows taped months ago appear the morning after the show is aired on “the news.” Could there be a more blatant example of how far network “news” has fallen?

The goal of MainStream Media is now finding a hook to pull readers / viewers in so they can be exposed to advertising.

Online news has the shortcomings of both print and television. First, it is even easier on line than with print media to pick and choose what surfers see. It is easy to self-edit and avoid the full scope of “news.” Second, like television, advertising now makes “Internet news” as conflicted as print or television news. The goal is to maximize the number of page views, not the clarity of information. “Story” leads at AOL and other sites that purport to provide “news” are now suggestive / seductive questions, not intelligent summaries.

 

Looking ahead, there is a new, more compelling danger to informed citizens than MainStream Media’s current ignorance, misrepresentation and distortion of critical information. Many are seeking virtual alternatives to reality in places like Second Life. The challenge of victual lives will be explored in Chapter 6 (“Virtual Unreality”) of BRIDGES forthcoming.

 

Compounding these threats is the fact that the frenetic level of activity by citizens trying to “keep up” means there is a lack of time to consider a rational alternative to the current trajectory.

Time deprivation is, in large part, caused by dysfunctional human settlement patterns – the scatteration of the origins and destinations of travel demand.

As documented in PROPERTY DYNAMICS – Part I of ACTION PROGRAMS forthcoming – the majority of citizens who are lodged between the top five percent (“happy as clams”) and the bottom 50 percent (“losing ground”) of the economic pyramid are defined as the “Running Hard as They Cans” (RHTCs). Confounding the problems of not having an interest in news, RHTCs have no time for news. Over time, they reach the point where they have no context for understanding news even if they had time.

There is a desperate need for a completely new context for news coverage. News should not start with what the president’s spin misters told him to say but what is really of interest in the citizens Dooryard, Cluster and Neighborhood.

“The level of information equals level of interest” is an axiom in the same family as the governance reform axiom – “The level of impact equals level of control.” (See “One More? Two More?” See again End Note Twenty-four.)

 

Deceptive Advertising

 

The wall between the publisher’s economic interest and the editors professional journalism is gone.  The one wall that does exist is between reality and what is published and broadcast in advertising.

 

“Professional drivers on a closed course” autonomobile advertising; thin, attractive models wildly gyrating while drinking beer; middle aged man after middle aged man testifying to the advantage of competing drugs to “cure” erectile dysfunction and enlarged prostates; testimonials for nasal decongestants, over the top graphics depicting space age, five-bladed razors, supersonic tooth brushes and tile grout scrubbers – the race for ever more compelling advertising “hooks” is mind numbing.

 

Emotional and suggestive ads such as “The Question is, when you turn on your car does it return the favor?” are blatant attempts to reinforce myths such as the Private Vehicle Mobility Myth and the Autonomobiles Enhance Sex Appeal Myth.  Real estate ads support the Large Homes on Large Lots Lead to Family Bliss Myth. Advertisements for GPS systems glorify and excuse Geographic Illiteracy. (Again, see the resources cited in End Note One.)

 

While hard news stories in the business section detail the short- and long-term dangers of a housing bubble, sub-prime mortgages and the credit crunch, the print, television and online advertising of risky mortgages runs on a continuous loop.  The same is true for deceptive advertising of credit cards at a time when consumer debt is at an all-time high and the dollar is falling like a rock.

 

These and other MainStream Media advertising staples drive Mass OverConsumption. These ads are just as detrimental to citizen’s health, safety and welfare as ads for foods with excess sugar, sodium and trans fats or misleading ads for drugs.

Even if MainStream Media is now part of the Second Estate, they must accept responsibility for weeding out deception in advertising.  Ads for shelter and autonomobiles are especially detrimental in creating the understanding necessary to evolve functional human settlement patterns.

 

It is clear there is a need to end advertising-driven Mass OverConsumption.  How can this be done?  Some suggest a new federal regulation such as:

“No citizen may be intentionally exposed to an advertisement using the radio spectrum or crossing public land for any product or service that is not the direct response to a specific request from the individual citizen for information on the specific product or service.”

This level of information targeting was not possible when advertising emerged as an accelerating force behind consumer consumption made possible by the Industrial Revolution.  Response Advertising is now possible and might be an intelligent way to curb Mass OverConsumption. It turns out, such a regulation may not be necessary.  The market is about to take care of the problem.

 

Not to Worry, Advertising Will Be Dead Soon

 

A new regulation might seem to be a draconian measure that “limits competition” but it will not be needed if citizens come to their senses.

 

If the current orgy of advertising goes on much longer, the advertising industry will self destruct.  Already, few citizens really believe ads, especially the full-page “image” ads that MainStream Media sell to energy and oil Enterprises and foreign dictators.

 

The ads that get attention are now mainly entertainment. The ad agencies hope they can continue to cook the survey numbers to convince clients that viewers can recall who sponsors the Gecko and similar characters. Only in this way can ad-promotion Enterprises claim that the advertisement they created helped sell an insurance product. Few people really watch ads, with the exception of Super Bowl ads, which often more interesting than the game. 

 

Many who read major Regional newspapers, listen to drive-time radio or watch television on a regular basis literally do not see or hear ads. (See End Note 29.  Test this yourself when you are watching the next “big game” (other than the Super Bowl) with friends. After an ad has run during a time-out, and without forewarning them, ask what product was advertised by what sponsor.

 

It turns out that one of the things that curtails improvement in television programming is that the more interesting the program, the less effective advertising becomes.  During breaks in the program, there is animated discussion of the program (or a trip to the facility) rather than paying attention to ads.

Advertising still “works” – in limited ways – because of genetic proclivity to acquire, especially to acquire at a bargain price – “order now and we will include a second widget at half price.”

Another aspect of a genetic proclivity that impacts information in all media is that many will pay for tangibles but not for intangibles like information.

The bottom line is that the more ads ones is exposed to, the less they believe the content.  At some point a majority will wake up and realize that ads should not be a significant guide for their activities in the marketplace or in the voting booth.

At this point, Enterprises will realize that they need new way of letting citizens know what they may want or need. Of course, most citizens do not “need” what advertisers seek to have them “want”. Growth of Internet ads is based on Enterprises being desperate to find a place to spend money in the hope that it will expand demand and increase consumption.

The core problem is citizens need to spend less, waste less and consume less, not more. (See Backgrounder “New Metric for Citizen Well Being,” 10 December 2006.)

What could replace conventional advertising?  How about endorsements by the citizens who live in Cluster X or Neighborhood Y and have actually tried the product or service and find it superior to others on the market? Why rely on a movie star or a sports figure to guide consumption?  What do skinny models have in common with the average citizen's needs?

 

In Chapter 16 Box 1 of The Shape of the Future the sources of revenue to support a more robust structure for governance at the Cluster, Neighborhood, Village and Community scales is addressed.  The suggestion is data – information on actual activities of the residents of Clusters, Neighborhoods and Villages. The same strategy could be applied to endorsements.

 

PART IV will examine of ramification of citizens and Households establishing an intelligent, well-informed presence in the Fourth Estate.

 

-- December 27, 2007

 


 

Part III End Notes

 

(24). Again, refer to the role of “story tellers” and other issues related in information transfer outlined in the section titled “The Sources of Information” in Chapter 2, pages 41 to 50 of The Shape of the Future.  This section discusses the roll of entertainment and the need for “story tellers” to understand the reality of human settlement patterns before they start to tell stories.  Myths and rumors are still important aspects of ethnic group identity as the “urban” programming on some radio and television networks attest. See the Op Ed, “Talk Radio Can’t Handle the Truth” in WaPo. 5 August 2007.

 

(25). The concept for a bottom-up new media based on Cluster, Neighborhood, Village and Community scale structures is being developed by SYNERGY/Planning.

 

(26). Institutions can be a Public/Private Partnership, but like any “partnership” this is a multi-purpose activity and to function, all components of the partnership must be in one Estate or another and no party can be dominant. If these conditions are not met, it is not a partnership but a bogus Agency, Enterprise or Institution masquerading as a Partnership.

 

(27). On these topics, MainStream Media coverage now tends to be, “How is it possible to overcome the conflicts and improve the conditions?” and, “Why is improvement not moving more quickly?”  News stories also note that PCBs, DDT, as well as other pesticides and poisons have been chased off-shore and are now “Global” issues in developing nation-states where an uninformed and / or unregulated market can be found by multi-national Enterprises.  For a graphic example of intelligent education on the first two topics – Soil Conservation and River / Canal “Improvement” see “The Plow that Broke the Plains” (1936) and “The River” (1937).  These are Pare Lorentz documentaries with Virgil Thomson sound tracks now available on NAXOS DVDs.  Although there is no science-based debate about these topics, Agency actions have not changed with respect to Corps of Engineer water projects.  See “Down Memory Lane with Katrina,” 5 September 2005, and “A Second Stroll with Katrina,” 4 September 2007.  To its credit, WaPo has focused a series of articles on the Corps of Engineers' wasteful and environmentally damaging projects but to no good end as the recent veto override on the current authorization bill documents.

 

(28). A good example of not understanding the impact of Core Confusing Words is the practice by some in the conservation community of sending out quotes of MainStream Media coverage related to settlement pattern issues without clarifying the context or the Vocabulary used in the stories.

 

By printing the quotes directly from MainStream Media, conservation Organizations perpetuate the use of confusing language.  When someone clicks on the link they get the "He-Said / She-Said" version of reality spread by MainStream Media and that leads to Geographic Illiteracy.  See APPENDIX TWO.

 

As we document in “Quantification of Land Resources and the Impact on Land Conservation Efforts,” 28 August 2006, the current trajectory of conservation efforts is to have a 50 / 50 split between scattered conserved land and scattered urban land uses instead of a sustainable ratio of 5 percent devoted to Urbanside and 95 percent devoted to Countryside.

 

(29). Test this yourself when you are watching the next "Big Game" (other than the Super Bowl) with friends. After an ad has run during the time-out, and without forewarning them, ask them what product was advertised and by what sponsor.

 

 

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Estates Matrix: 700 Years of Profound Transformations and Estate Conversions

 

On the road to contemporary civilization, morphing estates have fundamentally changed the management of society. One recent conversion is the MainStream Media's abandoning of its fourth estate responsibilities.

 

This Backgrounder is presented in four Parts:

 

I. The Morphed Estate

 

II. The Estates Matrix

 

III.  The Rise and Fall of Journalism

 

IV. The Road Ahead

 


 

Ed Risse and his wife Linda live inside the "Clear Edge" of the "urban enclave" known as Warrenton, a municipality in the Countryside near the edge of the Washington-Baltimore "New Urban Region."

 

Mr. Risse, the principal of

SYNERGY/Planning, Inc., can be contacted at spirisse@aol.com.

 

Read his profile here.