Bacon's Rebellion

James A. Bacon


 

Conservation Capitalism

Want to increase energy efficiency, ward off global warming and save the planet? Then send in the capitalists. They have the creativity, resources and drive to get the job done. 


 

Climate change is the buzz word in Washington, D.C., these days. Everybody's talking about conserving energy and reducing carbon footprints. Lobbyists are publishing position papers. Congress is debating legislation. Trouble is, it's mostly hot air. Hardly anyone is actually reducing the consumption of kilowatts and BTUs.

 

The bloviating soon may be supplanted by real action, however, thanks to the Energy Efficiency Partnership of  Greater Washington -- not to mention the energy and efficiency that Laurel Colless, who heads up the Virginia Tech initiative, brings to the job. A New Zealand native who has lived in the U.S. only since early 2006, Colless has assembled a formidable team to reduce electricity use by power-guzzling buildings across the Washington region.

 

Blacksburg-based Virginia Tech will spearhead educational, outreach and research efforts. Pepco Energy Services, an unregulated sister company to the Washington-area power company, will retrofit up to 100 buildings over the next five years. And Hannon Armstrong, an Annapolis, Md.-based investment banker, will supply $500 million to finance the improvements. 

 

Colless hopes that the partnership's activity will spill into the broader economy, sparking even more conservation. Even after excluding federal government facilities, hospitals and universities, she estimates, the potential exists to save $3.6 billion a year in electric consumption in the Washington region. "Studies show that awareness levels here are appallingly low," she says: "Lower than in China" -- a nation not known either for energy efficiency or ecological consciousness. But the region may have reached a tipping point. The Partnership is generating intense interest. Says Colless: "I have a spreadsheet with, at last count, the names of 38 commercial building owners who have approached us."

 

To my way of thinking, the Energy Efficiency Partnership is a thing of beauty -- it shows how the profit motive and creativity of the private sector can be harnessed to accomplish a social goal like energy conservation. Once someone figures out how to make money at something, the United States doesn't need to pass laws and regulations to make it happen -- the model will replicate itself endlessly. Entrepreneurs will stumble over themselves to invent new technologies, identify new niches and refine new business models, and there will be no scarcity of private-sector capital to fund it.

 

The Partnership is wondrous for another reason: It demonstrates the power of the Distributed Generation model over the Big Grid model for electric power infrastructure. The electric power system today is dominated by a handful of giant power companies that build giant power plants in remote locations and criss-cross the countryside with giant transmission lines. Under a distributed system, entrepreneurs compete to develop small-scale sources of electricity closer to the consumer -- or figure out how to extend the supply of electricity by using it more efficiently. Dominion says that Northern Virginia faces power blackouts as soon as 2011. But if the Energy Efficiency Partnership can move quickly enough, it may be possible to forestall such a calamity 

without the need for expensive and intrusive new infrastructure investments.

 

The energy-efficiency movement undoubtedly would have sprouted in Washington sooner or later. The federal government is a national leader in "greening" its facilities. But Colless, who had lived in conservation-minded countries like Japan and Finland before arriving here, is the one who jump-started it for the private sector.

 

Among her previous assignments, Colless had worked for Nokia on corporate responsibility projects. Climate change and energy efficiency are high priorities in Finland, and she helped forge cross-sector partnerships for the mobile phone giant. (She must have been pretty good at her job -- one of the partnerships she established was with Pekka Lintu, whom she married and accompanied to Washington when he was appointed Finland's ambassador to the United States in January 2006.)

 

Colless' aptitude for creating partnerships was just what Virginia Tech needed when it started looking to bolster its presence in Northern Virginia and the Washington region. The University doesn't want to get into the retrofitting business itself, Colless explains. Its goal is to support the initiative through the unique strengths that it can bring to bear and leave the business to others.

 

Virginia Tech's overarching goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from existing buildings by 20 percent to 50 percent. As a practical first step, that means building awareness in the private sector of just how profitable energy efficiency improvements can be. With the London-based World Business Council for Sustainable Development, the university will host a workshop in March to take the message to the construction industry.

 

Virginia Tech also wants to use the Initiative as an educational tool: in effect, giving its engineering and architecture students a living lab to learn in. Additionally, the university wants to identify long-term cross- disciplinary research opportunities around the theme of energy efficiency.

 

Pepco Energy Services will line up customers and handle the retrofitting. Says Patrick Sweeney, vice president of business development: "Our job is to look for opportunities, qualify customers and make sure they understand what they’re getting into when they do an audit or a retrofit."

 

The first step is examining the prospective customer's electricity bills, adjusting for square footage and industry uses, and comparing them to energy benchmarks. Pepco isn't interested in doing the easy stuff -- installing compact fluorescent lights, for instance -- that people could easily do themselves. The company wants to undertake comprehensive programs that offer the potential to cut electricity usage by 20 percent to 50 percent, Sweeney says.

 

For property owners willing to achieve major savings, Pepco will conduct a detailed energy audit and rank the options. Alternatives range from simple tasks like double-paning windows or installing power managers for computers to more ambitious options such as installing solar panels or overhauling heating and cooling systems. HVAC systems are often terribly inefficient, cooling some rooms too much and others not enough. "We’ve seen it where people have space heaters plugged in while the room is being air conditioned," Sweeney says.

 

Not only does Pepco deliver the project, it remains engaged afterward. "Sometimes we do operations and maintenance," Sweeney says. "We measure and verify that the savings are being delivered. There is follow through. We guarantee performance."

 

While the energy savings can be ample, many property owners don't find the investment attractive. They may have alternate uses for their capital, or they don't like the length of the paybacks, which can stretch as long as eight to ten years. That's where Hannon Armstrong comes in.

 

"Most building owners, who are paying an energy bill, have an investment horizon of one to three years," says Jeff Eckel, president of the investment banking firm. "The biggest advantage we have is a willingness to go longer than three years."

 

As a generality, it costs about $5 million "to make a building as green as it can be," Eckel says. "It takes a lot of little projects -- heating, cooling, lighting windows. A lot of tiny stuff. It's most economic when it's all pooled."

 

Another advantage Hannon Armstrong brings to the table is an ability to aggregate smaller investments that would be individually unattractive into a package that investors are willing to put money into. For the financier, it takes no more work to do a big project than a small one, Eckel notes. 

 

The goal of the Energy Efficiency Initiative is to retrofit around 100 major buildings. Using that $5 million-per- building yardstick, Hannon Armstrong has committed to provide $500 million in capital over the next five years.

 

Eckel's strategy is to create a no-lose value proposition: Property owners get the benefit of lower energy bills while incurring no cost or financial risk to themselves. As a bonus, the energy improvements often deliver lower maintenance expenses and improved working conditions. (Lighting is more consistent, and there's no more shivering beside electric heaters in excessively cooled rooms!)

 

"It can be summed up as pay for savings," Eckel says. "If the savings aren’t there, we don’t get paid. The only choice that is uneconomic for the end user is to do nothing."

 

Pepco and Hannon Armstrong get paid from a share of the savings stream.

 

Financial engineering is what bridges the gap between the property owner's need for a two- or three-year payoff and Hannon Armstrong's eight- to ten-year investment horizon. Eckel was reluctant to discuss the details with me, but they presumably include tools such as synthetic and leveraged, long-term leases as well as the use of different combinations of debt and equity. Part of Eckel's role as investment banker is to package instruments that provide more stable, intermediate-term returns that certain categories of investors are looking for.

 

Although Hannon Armstrong has financed a number of alternate energy deals for the federal government -- wind turbines in Guantanamo Bay, a cogeneration facility at the 29 Palms, Calif., Marine Corps base -- Eckel expects most customers in the Energy Efficiency Initiative will be commercial property owners.

 

"The federal government has a good program in place," Eckel says. "Investments are getting done, projects are happening." But the commercial office sector is open for a gold rush.

 

Capitalism rocks. Once Eckel and Sweeney demonstrate the ability to make money from energy efficiency, they will inspire hordes of imitators. Entrepreneurs will scour the country for opportunities to squeeze greenbacks out of green buildings. Like a force of nature, they will transform the world -- and make it a better place.

 

-- December 10, 2007