Richmond-based
Chmura Economics & Analytics, for example, has
begun using new definitions developed by the
federal Bureau of Labor Statistics to trace
technology jobs in the state. Level one technology
industries, for example, are those that employ at
least five times the national average of those
occupations. Sectors such as software publishing;
Internet publishing, broadcasting, services and
searches; data processing and hosting; and
computer design and services are on that list.
Greg Chmura reports in his quarterly “Virginia
Economic Trends” that those five industries more
that doubled their employment in Virginia between
1992 and 2002 and will jump more than 50 percent
higher between 2002 and 2012. That signals
leadership in the New Economy.
Virginia
has about 262,000 employees in these level one
industries and another 276,000 employees in levels
two and three, which measure lower averages.
Chmura concludes that growth in this high-tech
sector is the primary reason that Virginia’s
economy has performed above the national average
in recent years. Some of Virginia’s most recent
vital statistics are: 7.6 million people, 3.75
million jobs, $270 billion in annual income, and
an unemployment rate of 2.9 percent. Two-thirds of
Virginia’s level one jobs are in Northern
Virginia, which has about 32 percent of the state’s
population.
Those
figures are the jumping off point for another
evaluation of Virginia’s economy and a
comparison of its transformations with those in
other states. “The 2007 State New Economy Index,”
now a joint project of the Ewing Marion Kauffman
Foundation and the Information Technology and
Innovation Foundation (ITIF), was released in
February. The index draws on similar work done in
1999 and 2002, but again, has added new indicators
and modified others to judge more precisely how a
state’s economy is structured and operates to
compete in a knowledge-based, entrepreneurial,
innovation-driven world.
Virginia,
which ranked 12th among states in the 1999 index,
held its eighth position from 2002 again in 2007.
In an increasingly competitive world, that is a
very positive sign. Massachusetts held on to
number one, but other well-known tech centers
slipped -- California to fifth, Colorado to ninth,
Oregon to 17th and Arizona to 22nd. Yet it was
disappointing to see New Jersey leapfrog the
Commonwealth into second place and Maryland jump
to third.
For
the first time, Virginia can see itself clearly
linked more to the Mid-Atlantic region than the
South going forward. Despite its Research Triangle
Park and the technology aura it bequeaths,
neighboring North Carolina ranked only 26th among
states in the index, down two spots from 2002.
Georgia was 18th, Florida 23rd.
And
there are gaps that the index highlights for
Virginia, which proved to be first among states in
its percentage of information technology
professionals, second in technology jobs and first
in fastest growing firms.
Keeping
that jobs and skills pipeline full is a challenge,
but the Commonwealth has had a series of relative
successes. Virginia was ranked fifth in workforce
education, sixth in e-government, ninth in
technology in schools and eleventh in the
immigration of knowledge workers. But given the
top ranking for Virginia in growing new businesses
fast, its rank of 17th among states in venture
capital, 18th in industry-supported research and
development and 47th (!) in entrepreneurial
activity signals that some significant
opportunities are being lost.
The
primary author of the index, Dr. Robert D.
Atkinson of the ITIF, points out digital
transformations are still at early stages in
various sectors, from health care, education and
transportation to government and real estate and
that the productivity gains are still ahead. But
he also notes that information technology and the
Internet have made it possible for more work to be
done at a distance. That fact has prompted
investments by developing nations in
infrastructure, workforce and business attraction
that has fueled expansion of business and
manufacturing operations outside the United States
faster than inside.
Specifically
noted are examples of investments made in India,
the destination of a recent trade mission by
Virginia officials and business executives. Unique
incentives include governments providing free
right-of-way for fiber optic cable, donating
office space to information technology firms,
subsidizing electrical power for tech firms,
exempting software from taxes and seeding new,
low-cost education and skills programs.
“In
order to succeed in the new global economy,”
Atkinson concludes, “states can no longer rely
on a strategy of relentlessly driving down costs
and providing large incentives to attract
locationally mobile branch plants or offices.”