Koelemay's Kosmos

Doug Koelemay


 

 

Blueprint

Northern Virginia localities have the transportation plan should the General Assembly ever stop dithering and decide to fund it.


 

The Northern Virginia Transportation Authority (NVTA) was born of the Virginia General Assembly in 2002 as a bit of a Plan B scheme. Amid a shortage of state revenues to apply to exploding transportation challenges, a once acute condition now made chronic by General Assembly inaction, NVTA was to collect special regional tax revenues and apply them to transportation spending priorities in the Commonwealth’s fastest-growing region.

 

When a regional sales tax referendum failed in Northern Virginia (as another did in Hampton Roads), the NVTA could have shrugged and remained an empty vessel. After all, the 16 representatives of four counties (Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William), five cities (Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, Manassas and Manassas Park) and five towns (Dumfries, Herndon, Leesburg, Purcellville and Vienna) weren’t exactly standing around with nothing else to do. By its own estimates, the region is adding 650,000 new jobs to the 1.2 million now there and 918,00 more residents to its current 2.16 million over the next 25 years. And transportation is primarily a state responsibility in Virginia.

 

But instead of going into a shell, NVTA members took seriously their charge to develop a long-range regional transportation plan that could guide transportation investments. Its just completed "TransAction 2030 Plan" took a hard look at the challenges: How to improve travel conditions in heavily congested corridors; how to connect activity centers and enhance all modes of transportation; how to attain federally mandated air quality standards; how to fund aging infrastructure needs; and how to attain dedicated funding for critically needed transportation projects.

 

The Authority analyzed transit, bicycle and pedestrian networks needed to complement the road networks in place and planned. It reached out to all communities in the region (something one might expect from a group that includes nine mayors and county board chairs) to help prioritize the most important transportation improvements among eight critical transportation corridors. Seven community events, a public hearing, a 1200-person telephone survey and an interactive Web site were among the prime outreach tactics.

 

And NVTA reached a bottom line that is driving Virginia’s transportation investment strategy for the next two decades: $46 billion is needed for Northern Virginia projects, both highway and transit, over the next 25 years. That is about one-third more than had been contemplated in the Virginia portion of the current Metropolitan Washington Constrained Long Range Plan. Without such a comprehensive response to regional transportation challenges, moreover, NVTA found that levels of transportation service would deteriorate quickly, posing a serious threat to the health and future of Virginia’s economic engine.

 

Just how serious the threat is has been documented by researchers at George Mason University, who now estimate the total cost of traffic congestion in the Greater Northern Virginia region to be $5.49 billion dollars a year. Direct costs per resident, including hours lost ($1,740 worth a year) and fuel wasted (34 gallons or $90 a year) are growing, while indirect costs, such as nonproductive time, shipping and delivery delays, recruiting problems, lifestyle changes and company and workers who say "No" to the region, mount.

 

Turning even a small percentage of $5+ billion a year in costs into funds for regional transportation investments could produce some meaningful congestion solutions, even for those on the edges of Northern Virginia. GMU also found, for example, that 68 percent of Fredericksburg area residents now spend more than one hour a day on their commute. Two-thirds of those residents say they would give up at least $5,000 a year in salary if they could cut their commutes by 30 minutes a day.

 

So TransAction 2030 also tackles the regional revenue side of the equation. Each of three different revenue sources -- an extra one-half cent regional sales tax, an extra $25 for each $10,000 of taxable income and an extra 17.5 cents per gallon of gasoline -- could produce about $175 million more per year to support a Northern Virginia regional transportation bond improvement effort to supplement state taxes, fees and appropriations for transportation. The regional improvements in turn could cut the costs of congestion.

 

Unfortunately, in the words of former Virginia Gov. Gerald Baliles, who addressed the forum of another NVTA (the Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance) late in November, the state’s transportation investment effort continues to be "inefficient, unresponsive and underfunded." So regional transportation funding efforts could end up being a poor substitute for state plans, instead of meaningful supplements.

 

"The General Assembly’s own studies suggest there is a statewide need for $108 billion of new transportation investment," Gov. Baliles told the forum hosted by CapitalOne in Tysons Corner. "Improvements have to be paid for. The only thing you get for free is congestion. Waiting to address the problems, 2007 elections or not, amounts to a legislative abdication of its responsibilities."

 

For the record, the Alliance Forum was headlined, "Congestion Costs Us All: Virginia’s Future Can’t Wait."

 

More than incidentally, the "TransAction 2030 Plan" also set a new benchmark for other regions and the Commonwealth by using comprehensive criteria to evaluate and rank projects by corridor and by mode. Qualitative criteria included activity center connections, multi-modal connections, person throughput, urgency, land use support, reduced congestion, safety, freight movement and cost-sharing potential. But performance of the entire network also meant overall mobility, accessibility, land use linkage and environmental concerns were included.

 

So, the blueprint is there for Northern Virginia and it is unanimously endorsed by all counties and cities. The blueprint is also there as a model for any other regional planning group that taps into the NVTA’s comprehensive criteria. And frankly, the political blueprint is there, too, from a focused, pragmatic, action-oriented General Assembly of 20 years ago, which didn’t hesitate to follow the lead of an energetic, pragmatic Governor and adopt dramatic new solutions to Virginia’s transportation challenges.

 

-- December 4, 2006 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact info

 

J. Douglas Koelemay

Managing Director

Qorvis Communications

8484 Westpark Drive

Suite 800

McLean, Virginia 22102

Phone: (703) 744-7800

Fax:    (703) 744-7994

Email:   dkoelemay@qorvis.com

 

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