Koelemay's Kosmos

Doug Koelemay


 

Sense and Census

 

Opinions about new and different Americans are fine. Facts are better. 


 

It was impossible not to read the article after the May 10 headline, "Of U.S. Children Under 5, Nearly Half are Minorities." After months of stories on immigration matters, rallies, new pieces of legislation, work visas and border fences for adults, the U.S. Census was reporting some new insights on American kids. The Census, it turns out, has found that 45 percent of the nation’s children under five years old are racial or ethnic minorities and that the percentage is increasing rapidly because of births in the Latino population.

 

Opinions about these young and different Americans are fine: Facts are better. Demographics have a way of marching on regardless of what anyone thinks with implications for schools, the future workforce, even support for retiring Americans.

 

Here are the Census facts: Out of a total population of 296.4 million people in the United States, 20.3 million are children under age 5. Many millions are the children of undocumented foreign nationals. In five years, these children will be well on their way through elementary school. In 15 years, most of these children will be done with high school, many will be in college, some will have started families of their own.

 

With those facts come serious questions. Will these children be prepared through quality education? Will they have the confidence and balance that come from supportive communities? Will they have the choices and opportunities to become the best? All of us should hope so, because the alternative -- half the new workers in America unprepared, imbalanced, without opportunities -- would be a nightmare for the future of the United States.

 

How bad could it be? Apply to these facts, as an example, the litany of those who see America’s future as one that walls off borders and restricts business and commerce based on citizenship and immigration documentation alone. "If they are undocumented, they are illegal," the conversation goes, "and they shouldn’t be here, so send them home." So far, it seems, so good. Who doesn’t want to see people obey the law? But then the first of many tough questions creeps in. Is it realistic to think the United States government can or will round up say five million to six million children under five years old who may have undocumented parents?

 

The casual conversation skips those logistics and family disruptions as it continues, "But If we cannot or will not send them home, we can at least make their lives here harder, even miserable, so they will want to go home on their own or if they still stay, they will not be able to succeed." Read those lines aloud two or three times and you’ll be hearing the sound of the American dream ripping apart from all ends. Limit educational opportunities, restrict access to health services, encourage discrimination that cannot help but focus on race and ethnicity for millions of children now in the U.S.?!

 

The Washington Post reporters in the May 10 article went on to note that minorities already are a majority of children younger than five in the Greater Washington area that includes Northern Virginia. That also is true for other, more traditional high-immigration areas such as Los Angeles, Houston and Miami. These areas already surpass the national average of about one-third of residents belonging to a racial or ethnic minority. And higher percentages of such minorities, according to William H. Frey, demographer with the Brookings Institute in Washington, can be a good thing.

 

Frey sees in 20 years a "multicultural population that will probably be more tolerant, accommodating to other races, and more able to succeed in a global economy." But it won’t be enough to hope that this positive analysis comes true. Virginians, along with other Americans, are going to have to work to make it so. Otherwise the transition from one-third now to over one-half of all Americans belonging to a racial or ethnic minority group in a few decades will be filled with fear, intolerance, bitterness, ugliness and hatred.

 

None of those negatives ever made sense in America and especially not now that we know the Census numbers on our children, our future. 

 

-- May 15, 2006 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact info

 

J. Douglas Koelemay

Managing Director

Qorvis Communications

8484 Westpark Drive

Suite 800

McLean, Virginia 22102

Phone: (703) 744-7800

Fax:    (703) 744-7994

Email:   dkoelemay@qorvis.com

 

Read his profile here.